Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals

Riahi, Keywan, Kriegler, Elmar, Johnson, Nils, Bertram, Christoph, den Elzen, Michel, Eom, Jiyong, Schaeffer, Michiel, Edmonds, Jae +16 more·2015·Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Cited by (364)

Items 101–200 of 364

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  2. Large hydropower, decarbonisation and climate change uncertainty: Modelling power sector pathways for Ecuador
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  3. All options, not silver bullets, needed to limit global warming to 1.5 °C: a scenario appraisal
    Lila Warszawski, Elmar Kriegler, Timothy M. Lenton, Owen Gaffney, Daniela Jacob, Daniel Klingenfeld, Ryu Koide, María Máñez Costa, Dirk Messner, Nebojša Nakićenović et al. · 2021 · Environmental Research Letters
  4. CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies
    Nico Bauer, Valentina Bosetti, Meriem Hamdi-Chérif, Alban Kitous, David L. McCollum, Aurélie Méjean, Shilpa Rao, Hal Turton, Leonidas Paroussos, Shuichi Ashina et al. · 2013 · Technological Forecasting and Social Change
  5. Selection of climate policies under the uncertainties in the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC
    Laurent Drouet, Valentina Bosetti, Massimo Tavoni · 2015 · Nature Climate Change
  6. Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios
    Michiel Schaeffer, Laila Gohar, Elmar Kriegler, Jason A. Lowe, Keywan Riahi, Detlef Peter van Vuuren · 2013 · Technological Forecasting and Social Change
  7. Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals
    Elmar Kriegler, Christoph Bertram, Takeshi Kuramochi, Michael Jakob, Michaja Pehl, Miodrag Stevanović, Niklas Höhne, Gunnar Luderer, Jan Christoph Minx, Hanna Fekete et al. · 2018 · Environmental Research Letters
  8. Improved representation of investment decisions in assessments of CO2 mitigation
    Iyer, Gokul C., Clarke, Leon E., Edmonds, James A., Flannery, Brian P., Hultman, Nathan E., McJeon, Haewon C., Victor, David G. · 2015 · Nature Climate Change
  9. Annex III: Scenarios and Modelling Methods
    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change · 2023 · Cambridge University Press eBooks
  10. Halving energy demand from buildings: The impact of low consumption practices
    Antoine Levesque, Robert Pietzcker, Gunnar Luderer · 2019 · Technological Forecasting and Social Change
  11. The contribution of Paris to limit global warming to 2 °C
    Iyer, Gokul C, Edmonds, James A, Fawcett, Allen A, Hultman, Nathan E, Alsalam, Jameel, Asrar, Ghassem R, Calvin, Katherine V, Clarke, Leon E, Creason, Jared, Jeong, Minji et al. · 2015 · Environmental Research Letters
  12. The role of BECCS in deep decarbonization of China's economy: A computable general equilibrium analysis
    Xiaodan Huang, Shiyan Chang, Dingqian Zheng, Xiliang Zhang · 2020 · Energy Economics
  13. Impact of short-lived non-CO 2 mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming
    Joeri Rogelj, Malte Alexander Meinshausen, Michiel Schaeffer, Reto Knutti, Keywan Riahi · 2015 · Environmental Research Letters
  14. Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios
    David Gernaat, Katherine Calvin, Paul Lucas, Gunnar Luderer, Sander Otto, Shilpa Rao, Jessica Strefler, Detlef Peter van Vuuren · 2015 · Global Environmental Change
  15. Spatiotemporal differences and uncertainties in projections of precipitation and temperature in South Korea from CMIP6 and CMIP5 general circulation model s
    Young Hoon Song, ‪Eun‐Sung Chung, Shamsuddin Shahid · 2021 · International Journal of Climatology
  16. Perspective of comprehensive and comprehensible multi-model energy and climate science in Europe
    Αλέξανδρος Νίκας, Ajay Gambhir, Evelina Trutnevyte, Konstantinos Koasidis, Henrik Lund, Jakob Zinck Thellufsen, Didier Mayer, Georg Zachmann, L.J. Miguel, Noelia Ferreras-Alonso et al. · 2020 · Energy
  17. Assessing the Feasibility of Global Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios
    Ajay Gambhir, Laurent Drouet, David L. McCollum, Tamaryn Napp, Dan J. Bernie, Adam D. Hawkes, Oliver Fricko, Peter Havlík, Keywan Riahi, Valentina Bosetti et al. · 2017 · Energies
  18. Confronting mitigation deterrence in low-carbon scenarios
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  19. Energy system changes in 1.5 °C, well below 2 °C and 2 °C scenarios
    Ajay Gambhir, Joeri Rogelj, Gunnar Luderer, Sheridan Few, Tamaryn Napp · 2018 · Energy Strategy Reviews
  20. Biochar supply‐chain and challenges to commercialization
    David Zilberman, David A. Laird, Coleman Rainey, Song Jie, Gabriel Kahn · 2022 · GCB Bioenergy
  21. The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways
    Jiyong Eom, Jae Edmonds, Volker Krey, Nils Johnson, Thomas Longden, Gunnar Luderer, Keywan Riahi, Detlef Peter van Vuuren · 2013 · Technological Forecasting and Social Change
  22. Ratcheting ambition to limit warming to 1.5 °C – trade-offs between emission reductions and carbon dioxide removal
    Holz, Ceecee, Siegel, Lori S, Johnston, Eleanor, Jones, Andrew P, Sterman, John · 2018 · Environmental Research Letters
  23. Climate change impacts on socioeconomic activities through labor productivity changes considering interactions between socioeconomic and climate systems
    Ken’ichi Matsumoto · 2018 · Journal of Cleaner Production
  24. Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °C stabilization: a short-term multi-model assessment
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  25. Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways
    Detlef Peter van Vuuren, Heleen L. van Soest, Keywan Riahi, Leon Clarke, Volker Krey, Elmar Kriegler, Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Massimo Tavoni · 2016 · Environmental Research Letters
  26. The feasibility of climate action: Bridging the inside and the outside view through feasibility spaces
    Jessica Jewell, Aleh Cherp · 2023 · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change
  27. Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean
    Matthew T. Binsted, Gokul C. Iyer, Jae Edmonds, Adrien Vogt‐Schilb, Ricardo Argüello, Ángela Cadena, Ricardo Delgado, Felipe Feijoo, André F.P. Lucena, Haewon C. McJeon et al. · 2019 · Environmental Research Letters
  28. The Low-Carbon Transition of Energy Systems: A Bibliometric Review from an Engineering Management Perspective
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  29. Systematic map of the literature on carbon lock-in induced by long-lived capital
    Vivien Fisch-Romito, Céline Guivarch A, Felix Creutzig, Jan Christoph Minx, Max Callaghan · 2020 · Environmental Research Letters
  30. Comparison and interactions between the long-term pursuit of energy independence and climate policies
    Jessica Jewell, Vadim Vinichenko, David L. McCollum, Nico Bauer, Keywan Riahi, Tino Aboumahboub, Oliver Fricko, Mathijs J. H. M. Harmsen, Tom Kober, Volker Krey et al. · 2016 · Nature Energy
  31. Regulation and innovation: How should small unmanned aerial vehicles be regulated?
    Hiroko Nakamura, Yuya Kajikawa · 2017 · Technological Forecasting and Social Change
  32. Divestment prevails over the green paradox when anticipating strong future climate policies
    Nico Bauer, Christophe McGlade, Jérôme Hilaire, Paul Ekins · 2018 · Nature Climate Change
  33. Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate
    Laura Anne McBride, Austin Patrick Hope, Timothy P. Canty, Brian F. Bennett, Walter R. Tribett, Ross J. Salawitch · 2021 · Earth System Dynamics
  34. Mitigation strategies and energy technology learning: An assessment with the POLES model
    Patrick Criqui A, Silvana Mima, Philippe Menanteau, Alban Kitous · 2014 · Technological Forecasting and Social Change
  35. Modeling myths: On DICE and dynamic realism in integrated assessment models of climate change mitigation
    Michael J. Grubb, Claudia Wieners, Pu Yang · 2021 · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change
  36. Role of innovative technologies under the global zero emissions scenarios
    Koji Tokimatsu, Satoshi Konishi, Keiichi N. Ishihara, Tetsuo Tezuka, Rieko Yasuoka, Masahiro Nishio · 2015 · Applied Energy
  37. Integrated assessment model diagnostics: key indicators and model evolution
    Mathijs J. H. M. Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef Peter van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Gunnar Luderer, Ryna Yiyun Cui, Olivier Dessens, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Jennifer Morris et al. · 2021 · Environmental Research Letters
  38. Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios with historically observed rates of change
    Mariësse A.E. van Sluisveld, Jorrit Harmsen, Nico Bauer, David L. McCollum, Keywan Riahi, Massimo Tavoni, Detlef Peter van Vuuren, Charlie Wilson, Bob van der Zwaan · 2015 · Global Environmental Change
  39. Agriculture: Sleeping Beauty of EU Climate Policy? Overcoming Barriers to Implementation
    Godefroy Grosjean, Sabine Fuss, Nicolas Koch, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Stéphane de Cara, William W. Acworth · 2016 · Climate Policy
  40. Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions
    Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Stefan Frank, Florian Humpenöder, Christoph Bertram, Jacques Després, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Mykola I. Gusti, Mathijs J. H. M. Harmsen et al. · 2021 · Nature Sustainability
  41. Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
    Alexander Nauels, Joeri Rogelj, Carl‐Friedrich Schleussner, Malte Alexander Meinshausen, Matthias Mengel · 2017 · Environmental Research Letters
  42. Cost reductions in renewables can substantially erode the value of carbon capture and storage in mitigation pathways
    Neil Grant, Adam D. Hawkes, Tamaryn Napp, Ajay Gambhir · 2021 · One Earth
  43. A CROSS-MODEL COMPARISON OF GLOBAL LONG-TERM TECHNOLOGY DIFFUSION UNDER A 2°C CLIMATE CHANGE CONTROL TARGET
    Bob van der Zwaan, Hilke Rösler, Tom Kober, Tino Aboumahboub, Katherine Calvin, David Gernaat, Giacomo Marangoni, David L. McCollum · 2013 · Climate Change Economics
  44. The Past and Future of Corporate Sustainability Research
    Vanessa Burbano, Magali A. Delmas, Manuel J. Cobo · 2023 · Organization & Environment
  45. The Paris Agreement and next steps in limiting global warming
    Steven K. Rose, Richard Richels, Geoffrey J. Blanford, Thomas Fox Rutherford · 2017 · Climatic Change
  46. Planning a Low-Carbon Energy Transition: What Can and Can’t the Models Tell Us?
    Ajay Gambhir · 2019 · Joule
  47. The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis
    Neil Grant, Adam D. Hawkes, Tamaryn Napp, Ajay Gambhir · 2020 · Nature Climate Change
  48. Mitigation and Development Pathways in the Near to Mid-term
    Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC) · 2023 · Cambridge University Press eBooks
  49. Harmonization vs. fragmentation: overview of climate policy scenarios in EMF27
    Geoffrey J. Blanford, Elmar Kriegler, Massimo Tavoni · 2014 · Climatic Change
  50. Energy system transition and macroeconomic impacts of a European decarbonization action towards a below 2 °C climate stabilization
    Zoi Vrontisi, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Maria Kannavou, Pantélis Capros · 2019 · Climatic Change
  51. Considering environmental costs of greenhouse gas emissions for setting a CO2 tax: A review
    Till M. Bachmann · 2020 · The Science of The Total Environment
  52. Climate change and fossil fuel: An examination of risks for the energy industry and producer states
    Jim Krane · 2017 · MRS Energy & Sustainability
  53. Uncertainties in evapotranspiration projections associated with estimation methods and CMIP6 GCMs for South Korea
    Young Hoon Song, ‪Eun‐Sung Chung, Shamsuddin Shahid · 2022 · The Science of The Total Environment
  54. Energy Security Performance Under Various Socioeconomic Scenarios and Efforts Toward Low-Carbon Society in Japan
    Ken’ichi Matsumoto, Hiroto Shiraki · 2017 · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
  55. Mobility, food and housing: responsibility, individual consumption and demand-side policies in European deep decarbonisation pathways
    Karen Richardsen Moberg, Carlo Aall, Florian Dorner, Elsa Reimerson, Jean-Paul Céron, Bore Sköld, Benjamin Kenneth Sovacool, Valentino Piana · 2018 · Energy Efficiency
  56. Quantifying uncertainties influencing the long-term impacts of oil prices on energy markets and carbon emissions
    David L. McCollum, Jessica Jewell, Volker Krey, Morgan Bazilian, Marianne Fay, Keywan Riahi · 2016 · Nature Energy
  57. Actors, decision-making, and institutions in quantitative system modelling
    Enrica De Cian, Shouro Dasgupta, Andries F. Hof, Mariësse A.E. van Sluisveld, Jonathan Köhler, Benjamin Pfluger, Detlef Peter van Vuuren · 2018 · Technological Forecasting and Social Change
  58. Coupling national and global models to explore policy impacts of NDCs
    Panagiotis F. Fragkos, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Leonidas Paroussos, Roberta Pierfederici, Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Alexandre C. Köberle, Gokul C. Iyer, Chenmin He, Ken Oshiro · 2018 · Energy Policy
  59. Pathways toward zero-carbon electricity required for climate stabilization
    Richard Audoly, Adrien Vogt‐Schilb, Céline Guivarch A, Alexander Pfeiffer · 2018 · Applied Energy
  60. Global energy system transformations in mitigation scenarios considering climate uncertainties
    Diego Silva Herran, Kaoru Tachiiri, Ken’ichi Matsumoto · 2019 · Applied Energy
  61. Enabling energy system transition toward decarbonization in Japan through energy service demand reduction
    Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori, Yuki Ochi, Tomoki Ehara · 2021 · Energy
  62. How likely is Brazil to achieve its NDC commitments in the energy sector? A review on Brazilian low-carbon energy perspectives
    Nuno Borges Carvalho, D. Berrêdo Viana, Maria Silvia Muylaert de Araújo, João Lampreia, Marcos Sebastião de Paula Gomes, Marcos Aurélio Vasconcelos de Freitas · 2020 · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
  63. Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy
    Joeri Rogelj, Malte Alexander Meinshausen, Jan Sedláčék, Reto Knutti · 2014 · Environmental Research Letters
  64. The role of advanced demand-sector technologies and energy demand reduction in achieving ambitious carbon budgets
    Tamaryn Napp, Sheridan Few, A. Sood, Dan J. Bernie, Adam D. Hawkes, Ajay Gambhir · 2019 · Applied Energy
  65. Exploring the Feasibility of Low-Carbon Scenarios Using Historical Energy Transitions Analysis
    Tamaryn Napp, Dan J. Bernie, Rebecca T. Thomas, Jason A. Lowe, Adam D. Hawkes, Ajay Gambhir · 2017 · Energies
  66. Preliminary assessment of the potential for, and limitations to, terrestrial negative emission technologies in the UK
    Smith, Pete, Haszeldine, R. Stuart, Smith, Stephen M. · 2016 · Environmental Science: Processes & Impacts
  67. Economic impacts and risks of climate change under failure and success of the Paris Agreement
    Francisco Estrada, W. J. Wouter Botzen · 2021 · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
  68. Transformations for climate change mitigation: A systematic review of terminology, concepts, and characteristics
    Brendan Moore, Caroline Verfuerth, Angela Mae Miñas, Christianne Tipping, Sarah L. Mander, Irene Lorenzoni, Claire Hoolohan, Andrew Jordan, Lorraine E. Whitmarsh · 2021 · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change
  69. Low-emission pathways in 11 major economies: comparison of cost-optimal pathways and Paris climate proposals
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  78. Limiting global warming to 2 °C: What do the latest mitigation studies tell us about costs, technologies and other impacts?
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