Case-control vaccine effectiveness studies: Preparation, design, and enrollment of cases and controls
Open accessAbstract
Case-control studies are commonly used to evaluate effectiveness of licensed vaccines after deployment in public health programs. Such studies can provide policy-relevant data on vaccine performance under 'real world' conditions, contributing to the evidence base to support and sustain introduction of new vaccines. However, case-control studies do not measure the impact of vaccine introduction on disease at a population level, and are subject to bias and confounding, which may lead to inaccurate results that can misinform policy decisions. In 2012, a group of experts met to review recent experience with case-control studies evaluating the effectiveness of several vaccines; here we summarize the recommendations of that group regarding best practices for planning, design and enrollment of cases and controls. Rigorous planning and preparation should focus on understanding the study context including healthcare-seeking and vaccination practices. Case-control vaccine effectiveness studies are best carried out soon after vaccine introduction because high coverage creates strong potential for confounding. Endpoints specific to the vaccine target are preferable to non-specific clinical syndromes since the proportion of non-specific outcomes preventable through vaccination may vary over time and place, leading to potentially confusing results. Controls should be representative of the source population from which cases arise, and are generally recruited from the community or health facilities where cases are enrolled. Matching of controls to cases for potential confounding factors is commonly used, although should be reserved for a limited number of key variables believed to be linked to both vaccination and disease. Case-control vaccine effectiveness studies can provide information useful to guide policy decisions and vaccine development, however rigorous preparation and design is essential.
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Vaccine effectiveness was estimated using the test-negative, case-control study design.
“Vaccine effectiveness was estimated using the test-negative, case–control study design11,12, applying methodology that was developed earlier to assess duration of protection of the BNT162b213 and mRNA-127314 vaccines in the same population during pre-Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection waves (Methods).”
From Duration of mRNA vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 subvariants in Qatar (2022) · cites this paper as [12]
Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection during the Omicron wave in Qatar was estimated using the test-negative, case-control study design, a standard design for assessing vaccine effectiveness.
“Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529)1 infection during the large Omicron wave in Qatar, between December 23, 2021 and February 28, 2022, was estimated using the test-negative, case–control study design, a standard design for assessing vaccine effectiveness11,12,36,40.”
From Duration of mRNA vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 subvariants in Qatar (2022) · cites this paper as [12]
The cohort study design applied earlier to the same population of Qatar yielded findings similar to those of the test-negative case-control design, supporting the validity of this standard approach in assessing vaccine effectiveness.
“However, the cohort study design applied earlier to the same population of Qatar yielded findings similar to those of the test-negative case–control design36,38,39, supporting the validity of this standard approach in assessing vaccine effectiveness11,12,36,40.”
From Duration of mRNA vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 subvariants in Qatar (2022) · cites this paper as [12]
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Self-citationHealth Care Utilization and Symptom Severity in Ghanaian Children – a Cross-Sectional Study
Krumkamp, R., Sarpong, N., Kreuels, B., Ehlkes, L., Loag, W., Schwarz, N. G., Zeeb, H., Adu‐Sarkodie, Y., & May, J. (2013) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0080598 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Domı́nguez, Á., Ciruela, P., García‐García, J. J., Llop, F. A. M., de Sevilla, M. F., Selva, L., Usandizaga, F. C., Muñoz‐Almagro, C., Planes, A. M., Codina, G., et al. (2011) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.09.034 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
O’Loughlin, R. E., Edmond, K. M., Mangtani, P., Cohen, A. L., Shetty, S., Hajjeh, R. A., & Mulholland, K. (2010) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.06.107 · Cited by 25 · cited 1× · see citing works
“For example, a systematic review of Hib vaccine effectiveness noted that case-control studies using radiologically confirmed pneumonia endpoints may have overestimated effectiveness (compared to clinical trial estimates of efficacy against that same endpoint), although the reason for the high point estimates is unclea…”
BackgroundSelf-citationSuzuki, M., Camacho, A., & Ariyoshi, K. (2014) · Epidemiology and Infection · doi:10.1017/s0950268814000107 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Picón, T., Alonso, L., Gabarrot, G. G., Speranza, N., Casas, M., Arrieta, F., Camou, T., Rosa, R., de Oliveira, L. H., & Verani, J. R. (2013) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.01.059 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Self-citationHaemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccine impact against purulent meningitis in Rwanda
Muganga, N., Uwimana, J., FIDELE, N., GAHIMBARE, L., Gessner, B. D., Mueller, J. E., Mhlanga, B. R., Katsande, R., Herbinger, K., & Rugambwa, C. (2007) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2007.06.032 · Cited by 19 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Examples of this approach include: rotavirus-negative gastroenteritis as controls for cases of rotavirus [36,41,43], influenza-negative respiratory infection for cases of influenza [71], pneumococcal or non-purulent/ Hib-negative meningitis as controls for Hib meningitis cases [18,20], and non-vaccine serotype invasiv…”
BackgroundLee, E. H., Corcino, M., Moore, A., Garib, Z., Peña, C., Sánchez, J., Fernández, J., Feris-Iglesias, J. M., & Flannery, B. L. (2008) · Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública · doi:10.1590/s1020-49892008000900002 · Cited by 17 · cited 1× · see citing works
“This method is based on the approach developed for vaccine coverage surveys [15,21,58].”
MethodKhowaja, A. R., Mohiuddin, S., Cohen, A. L., Mirza, W. A., Nadeem, N., Zuberi, T., Salam, B., Mubarak, F., Rizvi, B., Husen, Y. A., et al. (2013) · The Journal of Pediatrics · doi:10.1016/j.jpeds.2013.03.034 · Cited by 14 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Security concerns can also interfere with recruitment of community controls; investigators of Hib vaccine effectiveness in Colombia and Pakistan had to alter control recruitment strategies due to the safety risks associated with seeking neighborhood controls [24,68].”
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“However, results of a study in such a context are only generalizable to children who would be hospitalized when ill. Controls can also be identified in out-patient clinics that cases would attend if ill [65], an approach used for Hib vaccine effectiveness studies in Colombia [68] and Ukraine [23].”
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Waning of BNT162b2 Vaccine Protection against SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Qatar
Chemaitelly, H., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., AlMukdad, S., Yassine, H. M., Benslimane, F. M., Al Khatib, H. A., Coyle, P., Ayoub, H. H., Al Kanaani, Z., et al. (2021) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2114114 · Cited by 831 · see citing works
Looking beyond COVID-19 vaccine phase 3 trials
Kim, J. H., Marks, F., & Clemens, J. D. (2021) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41591-021-01230-y · Cited by 586 · see citing works
Effects of Previous Infection and Vaccination on Symptomatic Omicron Infections
Altarawneh, H. N., Chemaitelly, H., Ayoub, H. H., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Al-Khatib, H. A., Smatti, M. K., Coyle, P., Al-Kanaani, Z., et al. (2022) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2203965 · Cited by 551 · see citing works
“2 Omicron infection Effectiveness against any symptomatic Omicron infection Cases* (PCR-positive) Controls* (PCR-negative) SMD† Cases* (PCR-positive) Controls* (PCR-negative) SMD† Cases* (PCR-positive) Controls* (PCR-negative) SMD† N= 3,212 N= 3,212 N=10,646 N=10,646 N=13,139 N=13,139 Median age (IQR) — years 30 (15-3…”
BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Qatar
Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Chemaitelly, H., Yassine, H. M., Benslimane, F. M., Al Khatib, H. A., AlMukdad, S., Coyle, P., Ayoub, H. H., Al Kanaani, Z., et al. (2021) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41591-021-01583-4 · Cited by 450 · see citing works
Chemaitelly, H., Yassine, H. M., Benslimane, F. M., Al Khatib, H. A., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Malek, J. A., Coyle, P., Ayoub, H. H., Al Kanaani, Z., et al. (2021) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41591-021-01446-y · Cited by 386 · see citing works
Protection against the Omicron Variant from Previous SARS-CoV-2 Infection
Altarawneh, H. N., Chemaitelly, H., Hasan, M. R., Ayoub, H. H., Qassim, S., AlMukdad, S., Coyle, P., Yassine, H. M., Al-Khatib, H. A., Benslimane, F. M., et al. (2022) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmc2200133 · Cited by 445 · see citing works
Duration of mRNA vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 subvariants in Qatar
Chemaitelly, H., Ayoub, H. H., AlMukdad, S., Coyle, P., Tang, P., Yassine, H. M., Al-Khatib, H. A., Smatti, M. K., Hasan, M. R., Al-Kanaani, Z., et al. (2022) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-30895-3 · Cited by 228 · see citing works
“However, the cohort study design applied earlier to the same population of Qatar yielded fi ndings similar to those of the test-negative case – control design 36,38,39 , supporting the validity of this standard approach in assessing vaccine effectiveness 11,12,36,40 .”
InfluentialHitchings, M. D. T., Ranzani, O., Torres, M. S. S., de Oliveira, S. B., Almirón, M., Said, R., Borg, R., Schulz, W. L., de Oliveira, R. D., da Silva, P. V., et al. (2021) · The Lancet Regional Health - Americas · doi:10.1016/j.lana.2021.100025 · Cited by 200 · see citing works
The Use of Test-negative Controls to Monitor Vaccine Effectiveness
Chua, H., Feng, S., Lewnard, J. A., Sullivan, S. G., Blyth, C. C., Lipsitch, M., & Cowling, B. J. (2019) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/ede.0000000000001116 · Cited by 165 · see citing works
Protective Effect of Previous SARS-CoV-2 Infection against Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 Subvariants
Altarawneh, H. N., Chemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Hasan, M. R., Coyle, P. V., Yassine, H. M., Al-Khatib, H. A., Smatti, M. K., Kanaani, Z. A., Al‐Kuwari, E., et al. (2022) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmc2209306 · Cited by 144 · see citing works
Piernas, C., Patone, M., Astbury, N. M., Gao, M., Sheikh, A., Khunti, K. K., Shankar‐Hari, M., Dixon, S., Coupland, C. A. C., Aveyard, P. N., et al. (2022) · The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology · doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(22)00158-9 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
“25,26 However, data on negative test results were not available in the QResearch database we used.”
Cairns, M. E., Ceesay, S. J., Sagara, I., Zongo, I., Kessely, H., Gamougam, K., Diallo, A., Ogboi, J. S., Moroso, D., Hulle, S. V., et al. (2021) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1003727 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
“Case–control studies have been widely used to evaluate preventive interventions such as vaccines [10], and other preventive interventions for malaria [12].”
BackgroundChallenges in estimating influenza vaccine effectiveness
Ainslie, K. E. C., Haber, M., & Orenstein, W. (2019) · Expert Review of Vaccines · doi:10.1080/14760584.2019.1622419 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
“To minimize bias and confounding, it is recommended that case-control studies be carefully designed and implemented, including using specific endpoints, starting the study soon after vaccine introduction, selecting the control population carefully, and matching cases and controls only on key covariates thought to be a…”
MethodDifferential protection against SARS-CoV-2 reinfection pre- and post-Omicron
Chemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Coyle, P. V., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Thani, A. A. A., Kanaani, Z. A., Al‐Kuwari, E., Jeremijenko, A. M., et al. (2025) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-024-08511-9 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
“The effectiveness of natural infection against reinfection was estimated using the test-negative, case-control study design, which compares the odds of previous infection among SARS-CoV-2-positive tests (cases) to that among SARS-CoV-2-negative tests (controls) 11,12,15,16,63,64 .”
Altarawneh, H. N., Chemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Al-Khatib, H. A., Thani, A. A. A., Coyle, P. V., Kanaani, Z. A., et al. (2023) · EBioMedicine · doi:10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104734 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Khagayi, S., Omore, R., Otieno, G. P., Ogwel, B., Ochieng, J. B., Juma, J., Apondi, E., Bigogo, G., Onyango, C. O., Ngama, M., et al. (2019) · Clinical Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1093/cid/ciz664 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
“The statistical power of vaccine effectiveness studies can be affected by small numbers and high vaccine coverage [33].”
BackgroundSelf-citationRotavirus Epidemiology and Monovalent Rotavirus Vaccine Effectiveness in Australia: 2010–2017
Maguire, J., Glasgow, K. M., Glass, K., Roczo‐Farkas, S., Bines, J. E., Sheppeard, V. K., Macartney, K. K., & Quinn, H. (2019) · PEDIATRICS · doi:10.1542/peds.2019-1024 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Tayar, E., Abdeen, S., Alah, M. A., Chemaitelly, H. S., Bougmiza, I. M., Ayoub, H. H., Kaleeckal, A. H., Latif, A. N., Shaik, R. M., Al‐Romaihi, H. E., et al. (2022) · Journal of Infection and Public Health · doi:10.1016/j.jiph.2022.12.016 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
“The resulting estimates for the adjusted odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were then used to estimate influenza vaccination effectiveness and corresponding 95% CI using the equation [25,26]:”
Ayoub, H. H., Tomy, M., Chemaitelly, H. S., Altarawneh, H. N., Coyle, P. V., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Kanaani, Z. A., Al‐Kuwari, E., Butt, A. A., et al. (2023) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwad239 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
“…already a volume of literature investigating other forms of bias for the test-negative design in the context of vaccine effectiveness estimation, 15,16,27-32 some of which may also apply in the context of PE S estimation, such as for issues relating to testing and applicability of this design for…”
BackgroundJones, M. L. J., Gargano, J. W., Powell, M., Park, I. U., Niccolai, L. M., Bennett, N. M., Griffin, M. R., Querec, T. D., Unger, E. R., Markowitz, L. E., et al. (2019) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwz253 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Andrejko, K. L., Gierke, R., Rowlands, J. V., Rosen, J. B., Thomas, A. R., Landis, Z., Rosales, M., Petit, S., Schaffner, W., Holtzman, C., et al. (2024) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.04.061 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
“The indirect cohort method mitigates potential selection biases that may arise due to differences in the characteristics between cases and controls as both are identified using the same case definition [15,35].”
MethodSelf-citationChemaitelly, H., Ayoub, H. H., AlMukdad, S., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Khatib, H. A. A., Smatti, M. K., Coyle, P., Kanaani, Z. A., et al. (2022) · doi:10.1101/2022.02.07.22270568 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Tick-borne encephalitis vaccine effectiveness and barriers to vaccination in Germany
Nygren, T. M., Pilic, A., Böhmer, M. M., Wagner-Wiening, C., Wichmann, O., Harder, T., & Hellenbrand, W. (2022) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-022-15447-5 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Choices in vaccine trial design in epidemics of emerging infections
Kahn, R. J., Rid, A., Smith, P. G., Eyal, N., & Lipsitch, M. (2018) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002632 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Self-citationPertussis in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations: epidemiology and challenges
Thisyakorn, U., Tantawichien, T., Thisyakorn, C., & Buchy, P. (2019) · International Journal of Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2019.07.016 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Qassim, S. H., Chemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Coyle, P. V., Tang, P., Yassine, H. M., Thani, A. A. A., Al-Khatib, H. A., Hasan, M. R., Kanaani, Z. A., et al. (2023) · EClinicalMedicine · doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102102 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Vitamin D deficiency in pregnancy and the risk of preterm birth: a nested case–control study
Tahsin, T., Khanam, R., Chowdhury, N. H., Hasan, A. S. M. T., Hosen, M. B., Rahman, S., Roy, A. K., Ahmed, S., Raqib, R., & Baqui, A. H. (2023) · BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth · doi:10.1186/s12884-023-05636-z · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Self-citationBelayachi, J., Obtel, M., Mhayi, A., Razıne, R., & Abouqal, R. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0278546 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
“The testnegative design has been used extensively to estimate VE among medically attended influenza virus illness and is believed to minimize biases associated with access to vaccines and healthcare-seeking behaviors, and recommended by the WHO interim guidance [22,23].”
MethodTheilacker, C., Fletcher, M. A., Jódar, L., & Gessner, B. D. (2022) · Microorganisms · doi:10.3390/microorganisms10010127 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
“impact evaluations of PCV13 adult vaccination on IPD or CAP are more challenging to interpret, as vaccine impact measured by surveillance systems is a combination of disease reduction in directly vaccinated individuals and disease reduction among unvaccinated persons due to less carriage among and transmission from va…”
BackgroundWatson‐Jones, D., Kavunga‐Membo, H., Grais, R. F., Ahuka, S. M., Roberts, N., Edmunds, W. J., Choi, E. M.-L., Roberts, C. H., Edwards, T., Camacho, A., et al. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-055596 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Ayoub, H. H., Tomy, M., Chemaitelly, H., Altarawneh, H. N., Coyle, P., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Kanaani, Z. A., Kuwari, E. A., Butt, A. A., et al. (2022) · doi:10.1101/2022.01.02.22268622 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Batool, R., Yousafzai, M. T., Qureshi, S., Ali, M., Sadaf, T., Mehmood, J., Ashorn, P., & Qamar, F. N. (2021) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.08.051 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Real world effectiveness of covid-19 vaccines
Hungerford, D., & Cunliffe, N. A. (2021) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.n2034 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
singh, A. P., Vadakedath, S., & Kandi, V. (2023) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.33374 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
“Such studies are frequently used to assess the efficacy of vaccines among the population [17].”
BackgroundBreed susceptibility for common surgically treated orthopaedic diseases in 12 dog breeds
Boge, G. S., Moldal, E. R., Dimopoulou, M., Skjerve, E., & Bergström, A. (2019) · Acta veterinaria Scandinavica · doi:10.1186/s13028-019-0454-4 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Protection of natural infection against reinfection with SARS-CoV-2 JN.1 variant
Chemaitelly, H. S., Coyle, P. V., Kacem, M. A. B. H., Ayoub, H. H., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Thani, A. A. A., Kanaani, Z. A., Al‐Kuwari, E., et al. (2024) · Journal of Travel Medicine · doi:10.1093/jtm/taae053 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Heidarzadeh, A., Moridani, M. A., Khoshmanesh, S., Kazemi, S., Hajiaghabozorgi, M., & Karami, M. (2022) · International Journal of Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2022.12.024 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Sialubanje, C., Kapina, M., Chewe, O., Matapo, B. B., Moraes, A. N., Gianetti, B., Ngosa, W., Kasonde, M., Musonda, K. G., Mulenga, M., et al. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-066945 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Liang, Y., Driscoll, A. J., Patel, P. D., Datta, S., Voysey, M., French, N., Jamka, L. P., Henrion, M., Ndeketa, L., Laurens, M. B., et al. (2022) · The Lancet Global Health · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(22)00466-1 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Effectiveness of a single-dose mass dengue vaccination in Cebu, Philippines: A case-control study
Ylade, M. C., Agrupis, K. A., Daag, J. V., Crisostomo, M. V., Tabuco, M. O., Sy, A. K., Nealon, J., Macina, D., Sarol, J. N., Jr., Deen, J. L., et al. (2021) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.07.042 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Silva, T. C., Shah, S. A., Robertson, C., Sanchez, M. N., Katikireddi, S. V., Oliveira, V. D. A., Paixão, E. S., Rudan, I., Bertoldo, J., Penna, G. O., et al. (2023) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1004156 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Sukik, L., Chemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Coyle, P. V., Tang, P., Yassine, H. M., Thani, A. A. A., Hasan, M. R., Kanaani, Z. A., Al‐Kuwari, E., et al. (2024) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.04.026 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
McCollum, E. D., Ahmed, S., Roy, A., Chowdhury, N. H., Schuh, H. B., Rizvi, S. J. R., Hanif, A. A. M., Khan, A. M., Mahmud, A., Pervaiz, F., et al. (2020) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.08.035 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Self-citationThobani, R., Yousafzai, M. T., Sultana, S., Kazi, A. M., Jan, M., Rafey, A., Khan, A., Irfan, S., Ujjan, I. U., Brown, N., et al. (2022) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.06.072 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Weaver, R., Nguyen, C. D., Chan, J., Vilivong, K., Lai, J., Lim, R., Satzke, C., Vongsakid, M., Newton, P. N., Mulholland, K., et al. (2020) · The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific · doi:10.1016/j.lanwpc.2020.100014 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
“Measuring VE using the tandard case-control design is challenging due to difficulties in electing controls that are representative of the source populaion of the cases [13] .”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citationMarshall, H. S., Andraweera, P. H., Ward, J. S., Kaldor, J. M., Andrews, R. M., Macartney, K. K., Richmond, P., Krause, V., Koehler, A. P., Whiley, D. M., et al. (2022) · Vaccines · doi:10.3390/vaccines10020309 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
“Although increasing the number of controls per case increases statistical power, beyond a ratio of four controls per case only small improvements in power are expected [24,25].”
BackgroundImpact of the Rotavirus Vaccination Program in Norway After Four Years With High Coverage
Bruun, T., Salamanca, B. V., Bekkevold, T., Døllner, H., Gibory, M., Gilje, A. M., Haarr, E., Kran, A. B., Leegaard, T. M., Nakstad, B., et al. (2020) · The Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal · doi:10.1097/inf.0000000000003020 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
“Case-control studies are more efficient to assess VE in settings with vaccine coverage under 80%, and there is a stronger potential for confounding if the coverage is very high or low.(52) Thus, our study was underpowered to estimate VE by genotypes, age groups or number of doses.”
BackgroundZhu, H., Lin, J., Wei, H., Bao, B., Gao, T., & Zheng, X. (2020) · Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research · doi:10.1097/corr.0000000000001461 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
“For certain pathogens, the most economical and reliable strategy for infection prevention is enhancing patients’ immune defense by using vaccines [22].”
BackgroundBelayachi, J., Obtel, M., Razıne, R., & Abouqal, R. (2022) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2022.01.25.22269822 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Whitney, C. G. (2018) · Clinical Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1093/cid/ciy135 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Self-citationMonteiro, H. S., Neto, A. S. L., Kahn, R. J., de Sousa, G. D. S., Carmona, H. A., Andrade, J. S., & Castro, M. C. (2023) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.07.065 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Haposan, J. H., Icanervilia, A. V., Watts, E., Widyaningsih, S. A., Ulfa, S., Widayanti, P., Laksanawati, I. S., Thobari, J. A., & Bines, J. E. (2025) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127872 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Investigating Factors Associated with Vaccine Hesitancy in Makkah, KSA
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“Immune cells are also called lymphocytes and mainly consist of B-lymphocytes, T-lymphocytes and macrophages [4].”
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Folate deficiency in pregnancy and the risk of preterm birth: A nested case-control study
Lazar, V. M. A., Rahman, S., Chowdhury, N. H., Hasan, T., Akter, S., Islam, M. S., Ahmed, S., Baqui, A. H., & Khanam, R. (2024) · Journal of Global Health · doi:10.7189/jogh.14.04120 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
“Since it uses a case-control design, it may be susceptible to confounding and selection bias [47].”
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“It was indicated that results of VE estimation are most likely to be certain when the vaccine coverage is between 20 and 80% [33].”
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“Last, it is generally recognized that case-control studies achieve optimal power when vaccination coverage ranges between 20% and 80% 41 .”
Onwuchekwa, C., Edem, B. E., Williams, V., & Oga, E. A. (2020) · F1000Research · doi:10.12688/f1000research.25227.1 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
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“Real-world data (RWD) is critical to evaluate the safety, effectiveness, and uptake of vaccines [1].”
BackgroundUrquidi, C., Santelices, E., Lagomarcino, A. J., Valenzuela, M. T., Larrañaga, N., Gonzalez, E., Axel Pavez, R., Wosiack, A., Maturana, M., Moller, P., et al. (2023) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.03.060 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“Stringent matching by the neighborhood of residence for community controls, allowed our study to comply with the assumption of a similar selection of cases and controls, controlling for the influence of socio-environmental factors [32].”
BackgroundNelson, K., Churchyard, G., Cobelens, F. G. J., Hanekom, W. A., Hill, P. C., Lopman, B. A., Mave, V., Rangaka, M. X., Vekemans, J., White, R. G., et al. (2023) · The Lancet Microbe · doi:10.1016/s2666-5247(23)00112-x · Cited by 4 · see citing works
A framework for monitoring RSV prevention product effectiveness in the United States
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Evaluation strategies for measuring pneumococcal conjugate vaccine impact in low-resource settings
von Mollendorf, C., Lim, R., Choummanivong, M., Sychareun, V., Vilivong, K., Lai, J., Chan, J., Dunne, E. M., Phommachanh, S., Moore, K. A., et al. (2021) · Expert Review of Vaccines · doi:10.1080/14760584.2021.1965474 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“There are however a number of challenges and limitations when conducting these types of studies [27,28].”
BackgroundSelf-citationFortunato, F., Musco, A., Iannelli, G., Meola, M., Lopalco, P. L., & Martinelli, D. (2024) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.02.002 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Thirión-Romero, I. I., Plata, R. F., Pérez-Kawabe, M., Meza-Meneses, P. A., Castro-Fuentes, C. A., Rivera-Martínez, N. E., Barrón-Palma, E. V., Sánchez-Sandoval, A. L., Cornejo‐Juárez, P., Sepúlveda-Delgado, J., et al. (2023) · Vaccines · doi:10.3390/vaccines11121779 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“…revealed two essential findings: ) vaccine effectiveness, when adjusted for covariates, to prevent hospitalization was % with at least one COVID-19 vaccine and 73% for a complete vaccination scheme in COVID-19 outbreak dominated by the Delta variant; (2) the analysis by vaccine type In several…”
BackgroundA Review of Vaccine Efficacy Measures
Dasgupta, S. (2019) · Vaccination Research – Open Journal · doi:10.17140/vroj-4-110 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Altarawneh, H. N., Chemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Al-Khatib, H. A., Thani, A. A. A., Coyle, P. V., Kanaani, Z. A., et al. (2023) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2023.04.21.23288917 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Murunga, N., Otieno, G. P., Maia, M. F., & Agoti, C. N. (2020) · Wellcome Open Research · doi:10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16174.1 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Hib combination vaccines: efficient and effective
Cohen, C., & von Gottberg, A. (2018) · The Lancet Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/s1473-3099(18)30234-2 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
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“The effectiveness against Alpha and Beta variants was high: over 75% in Qatar [8,28–30].”
BackgroundChemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Coyle, P. V., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Thani, A. A. A., Kanaani, Z. A., Al‐Kuwari, E., Jeremijenko, A. M., et al. (2025) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127556 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Chemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Coyle, P. V., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Thani, A. A. A., Kanaani, Z. A., Al‐Kuwari, E., Jeremijenko, A. M., et al. (2025) · BMC Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1186/s12879-025-11410-7 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Identifying and reducing risks of neurological complications associated with vaccination
Handunnetthi, L., Ramasamy, M., Turtle, L. C. W., & Hunt, D. P. J. (2024) · Nature Reviews Neurology · doi:10.1038/s41582-024-01000-7 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“Case–control studies, by contrast, compare past exposure with vaccination between individuals who have and have not experienced the adverse event of interest 21 (termed ‘cases’ and ‘controls’, respectively).”
Upper and Lower Endoscopic Findings in Mesenteric Panniculitis Patients: A Case-Control Study
Schweistein, H., Weintraub, Y., Hornik‐Lurie, T., Haskiya, H., Rave, A., Bendersky, A. G., Issa, N., Naftali, T., & Gingold‐Belfer, R. (2024) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm13226709 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Reyburn, R., Russell, F. M., Munywoki, P. K., Franzel, L., Huong, T. T. G., Feikin, D. R., & Bont, L. (2025) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127397 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationEstimation of oral poliovirus vaccine effectiveness in Afghanistan, 2010–2020
Chard, A. N., Martinez, M., Matanock, A. M., & Kassem, A. M. (2021) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.09.020 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Gim, H., Oh, S.-Y., Lee, H., Lee, S., Seo, H., Park, Y., & Park, J. (2022) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph192416958 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“VE was calculated as (1 − OR) × 100 (%) [33,34].”
Sukik, L., Chemaitelly, H. S., Ayoub, H. H., Coyle, P. V., Tang, P., Hasan, M. R., Yassine, H. M., Thani, A. A. A., Kanaani, Z. A., Al‐Kuwari, E., et al. (2025) · BMJ Open Respiratory Research · doi:10.1136/bmjresp-2024-002718 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“38 39 This extended design leverages the widespread testing conducted during the COVID-19 pandemic, where individuals were tested for various reasons, such as routine requirements, and has been thoroughly investigated and validated through numerous studies, sensitivity analyses, negative control…”
Aguinaga-Romero, G., Jacome, C., Márquez, J., Pinos, J., Carmenates, A., Simancas‐Racines, D., Parise-Vasco, J. M., Viteri-García, A. A., Withembury, Á., Anchayhua, Y., et al. (2025) · Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública · doi:10.26633/rpsp.2025.32 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Ngamprasertchai, T., Phatharodom, P., Intalapaporn, K., Sutthipool, K., Chongtrakool, P., Yungyuen, T., Luvira, V., Ratanasuwan, W., Rattanaumpawan, P., Lawpoolsri, S., et al. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-24784-0 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Zhang, L., Jin, P., Wei, M., Jiang, H.-D., Li, J., & Zhu, F. (2022) · Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics · doi:10.1080/21645515.2022.2073751 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Vaccination Can Prevent Severe Pulmonary Disease in COVID-19 Positive Patients: A Case-Control Study
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“Case-control studies are generally used to assess the effectiveness of vaccines after their implementation in public health programs by using endpoints of diseases like lung involvement [9].”
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Viral Vectors in Veterinary Vaccine Development
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Real life vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19: Proof of the pudding!
Datta, R. (2021) · Medical Journal Armed Forces India · doi:10.1016/j.mjafi.2021.07.008
“Both types of study calculate the risk of infection and disease among vaccinated and unvaccinated persons, and determine the reduction in risk.(4) While vaccine efficacy is studied in an ideal setting, as a prospective randomized control trial (where effect of vaccination in prevention of infection or disease can be p…”
BackgroundEffectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccine in Prevention of Mortality Among Moderate-Severe Cases
Yadav, A. K., Vasisht, K., Ghosh, S., & Bobdey, S. (2022) · Medical Journal of Dr D Y Patil Vidyapeeth · doi:10.4103/mjdrdypu.mjdrdypu_195_22
The Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccination in Indonesian Population: A Case-Control Study Protocol
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A Novel Practical Approach for Directly Assessing COVID-19 Vaccine Efficacy against HospitalizationPreprint
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“…routine infant immunization programs [6] and the most widely used formulations are 10-valent (GlaxoSmithKline, PCV10) and 13-valent 13-valent ( Pfizer, Data on PCV effectiveness against pneumonia using the case-control method, which complements data on vaccine impact [13], are limited [14–17].”
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“%) in the 18–59-year CRD subgroup and limited sample size compared to the other age groups [41].”
Mutisya, F., Agogo, G. O., Opudo, J., Jepkorir, B., Mwatondo, A. J., Langat, D., Munyua, P. M., Chege, D., & Hines, J. Z. (2026) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0351500
“While VE studies might be best done soon after vaccine introduction when coverage is below 80% [14], providing data from real world conditions on vaccine performance can help provide evidence to sustain vaccination programs.”
Quantitative systems pharmacology of HIV PrEP and PEP
Iannuzzi, S., Zhang, L., Liebenberg, A., Kim, H.-Y., & von Kleist, M. (2026) · Expert Opinion on Drug Metabolism & Toxicology · doi:10.1080/17425255.2026.2715711
“Similar to assessing vaccine efficacy, prophylactic efficacy may also be confirmed in case-control studies [10].”
- Authors
- Verani, J. R., Baqui, A. H., Broome, C. V., Cherian, T., Cohen, C., Farrar, J. L., Feikin, D. R., Groome, M. J., Hajjeh, R. A., Johnson, H. L., Madhi, S. A., Mulholland, K., O'Brien, K. L., Parashar, U. D., Patel, M. M., Rodrigues, L. C., Santosham, M., Scott, J. A., Smith, P. G., Sommerfelt, H., Tate, J. E., Victor, J. C., Whitney, C. G., Zaidi, A. K., & Zell, E. R.
- Affiliations
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Emory University (US)
- World Health Organization (CH)
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases (ZA)
- University of the Witwatersrand (ZA)
- Gavi (CH)
- Royal Children's Hospital (AU)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- Kenya Medical Research Institute (KE)
- Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NO)
- Aga Khan University (PK)
- Corresponding author
- Verani, Jennifer R.
- ORCID
- Verani, Jennifer R.
- Baqui, Abdullah H.
- Cherian, Thomas
- Cohen, Cheryl
- Farrar, Jennifer L.
- Feikin, Daniel R.
- Groome, Michelle J.
- Hajjeh, Rana A.
- Johnson, Hope L.
- Madhi, Shabir A.
- Mulholland, Kim
- Parashar, Umesh D.
- Patel, Manish M.
- Rodrigues, Laura C.
- Scott, J. Anthony
- Smith, Peter G.
- Sommerfelt, Halvor
- Tate, Jacqueline E.
- Victor, J. Chris
- Whitney, Cynthia G.
- Venue
- Vaccine
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-06
- Volume
- 35
- Issue
- 25
- Pages
- 3295-3302
- ISSN
- 0264-410X (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7007298
- OpenAlex
- W2605758023
- Cited by
- 102
- References
- 82
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 14 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 3
- FWCI
- 1.02
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Vaccine (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (acceptedVersion)
- NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- GAVI Alliance
- World Health Organization
- Wellcome Trust (098532/B/12/Z, 203077)
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (U01IP001048)
- Medical Research Council (MR/K012126/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Social Sciences › Health › Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Microbiology › Bacterial Infections and Vaccines
- Keywords
- vaccine effectiveness, case-control study, research design, confounding, vaccine introduction, health-seeking behavior, vaccination practices
- MeSH terms
- Immunogenicity, Vaccine, Female, Humans, Male, Vaccination, Vaccines, Case-Control Studies, Treatment Outcome, Immunization Programs, Control Groups
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