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Does happiness itself directly affect mortality? The prospective UK Million Women Study
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Poor health can cause unhappiness and poor health increases mortality. Previous reports of reduced mortality associated with happiness could be due to the increased mortality of people who are unhappy because of their poor health. Also, unhappiness might be associated with lifestyle factors that can affect mortality. We aimed to establish whether, after allowing for the poor health and lifestyle of people who are unhappy, any robust evidence remains that happiness or related subjective measures of wellbeing directly reduce mortality. METHODS: The Million Women Study is a prospective study of UK women recruited between 1996 and 2001 and followed electronically for cause-specific mortality. 3 years after recruitment, the baseline questionnaire for the present report asked women to self-rate their health, happiness, stress, feelings of control, and whether they felt relaxed. The main analyses were of mortality before Jan 1, 2012, from all causes, from ischaemic heart disease, and from cancer in women who did not have heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive lung disease, or cancer at the time they answered this baseline questionnaire. We used Cox regression, adjusted for baseline self-rated health and lifestyle factors, to calculate mortality rate ratios (RRs) comparing mortality in women who reported being unhappy (ie, happy sometimes, rarely, or never) with those who reported being happy most of the time. FINDINGS: Of 719,671 women in the main analyses (median age 59 years [IQR 55-63]), 39% (282,619) reported being happy most of the time, 44% (315,874) usually happy, and 17% (121,178) unhappy. During 10 years (SD 2) follow-up, 4% (31,531) of participants died. Self-rated poor health at baseline was strongly associated with unhappiness. But after adjustment for self-rated health, treatment for hypertension, diabetes, asthma, arthritis, depression, or anxiety, and several sociodemographic and lifestyle factors (including smoking, deprivation, and body-mass index), unhappiness was not associated with mortality from all causes (adjusted RR for unhappy vs happy most of the time 0·98, 95% CI 0·94-1·01), from ischaemic heart disease (0·97, 0·87-1·10), or from cancer (0·98, 0·93-1·02). Findings were similarly null for related measures such as stress or lack of control. INTERPRETATION: In middle-aged women, poor health can cause unhappiness. After allowing for this association and adjusting for potential confounders, happiness and related measures of wellbeing do not appear to have any direct effect on mortality. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council, Cancer Research UK.
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“However, in the Million Women Study, there was no association of happiness with risk of mortality after accounting for health status, although concerns have been raised about the study methodology. 79,80”
From Psychological Health, Well-Being, and the Mind-Heart-Body Connection: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association (2021) · cites this paper as [79]
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“Similar to our study, all previous studies except two [12, 28] found that persons with the most positive attitude (measured in different ways) had the lowest Table 2: Baseline characteristics in the Leisure World Cohort Study, 1980s.”
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“The relevance between self-rated health and the well-being of older adults has been demonstrated in different cultural backgrounds (30, 48, 49).”
BackgroundInfluentialDai, Y., Cui, N., Ji, X., Raine, A., Richmond, T. S., & Liu, J. (2025) · World Journal of Pediatrics · doi:10.1007/s12519-025-00903-9 · Cited by 2
“For adults, increased happiness is associated with decreased risks of all-cause mortality and various chronic illnesses [7] and is a protective factor for sleep, such as adequate sleep duration [8].”
Nainggolan, O., Nainggolan, E., & Sihotang, U. (2021) · Media Penelitian dan Pengembangan Kesehatan · doi:10.22435/mpk.v31i3.4036 · Cited by 4
“…tidak sehat seperti kurangnya aktivitas fisik, pola makan yang tidak sehat, merokok, dan obesitas.24,25 Studi yang dilakukan di Inggris oleh Liu et al. (2016) dengan jumlah responden sebanyak 719.671 orang perempuan, menyimpulkan bahwa tidak terdapat bukti yang cukup kuat untuk menyatakan…”
BackgroundInfluentialMetadiscourse markers in research article abstracts. An interlingual and interdisciplinary study
Šandová, J. K. (2023) · LINGUISTICA SILESIANA · doi:10.24425/linsi.2017.117053 · Cited by 2
Positive affect predicts cerebral glucose metabolism in late middle-aged adults
Nicholas, C. R. N., Hoscheidt, S. M., Clark, L. R., Racine, A. M., Berman, S. E., Koscik, R. L., Dowling, N. M., Asthana, S., Christian, B. T., Sager, M. A., et al. (2017) · Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience · doi:10.1093/scan/nsx027 · Cited by 3
“A mean score of perceived health status over the two visits was calculated and included to control for potential confounding effects of ill health on positive affect (Liu et al., 2016).”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialEm busca da felicidade: uma narrativa
Mendes, L. (2018) · Estudos em Comunicação · doi:10.20287/ec.n27.v2.a06 · Cited by 2
Mikulincer, M., & Shaver, P. R. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108264822.020 · Cited by 4
Kulturelle Dimensionen und Subjektives Wohlbefinden im Kulturvergleich
Genkova, P. (2020) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-658-27825-0_22-1 · Cited by 2
", AMBRUSZ, A., & aliz.ambrusz@gmail.com" (2023) · Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Psychologia-Paedagogia · doi:10.24193/subbpsyped.2023.1.03 · Cited by 2
Models of Physical Health and Personality
Heilmayr, D., & Friedman, H. S. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108264822.019 · Cited by 2
Association of Affect and Performance in Dual-Task Walking in Non-demented Older Adults
Guharajan, D., & Holtzer, R. (2022) · Journal of Aging and Health · doi:10.1177/08982643221087836 · Cited by 2
“While surprising, our nonsignificant PA findings contribute to recent research that raises questions regarding the protective nature of PA (Liu et al., 2016).”
ResultGlioma patient-reported outcome assessment in clinical care
Tuleasca, C., Knisely, J. P. S., Leroy, H., Hottinger, A. F., Peciu-Florianu, I., Levivier, M., & Reyns, N. (2020) · The Lancet Oncology · doi:10.1016/s1470-2045(20)30141-8 · Cited by 2
The Effectiveness of Laughter Yoga to Improve Individual and Peer Happiness Among Cancer Patients
Werdani, Y. D. W. (2023) · Indonesian Journal of Cancer · doi:10.33371/ijoc.v17i1.940 · Cited by 1
Iuga, I. C., Jafri, S. R., & Iuga, H. (2025) · Frontiers in Medicine · doi:10.3389/fmed.2025.1667645 · Cited by 1
With happy we are more productive: Evidence from total factor productivity
Su, K., Fan, Y., & Yan, J. (2025) · Journal of Contemporary Accounting & Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jcae.2025.100536 · Cited by 1
Role models and health of Serbian Roma women
Čvorović, J., & Coe, K. (2018) · Glasnik Etnografskog instituta · doi:10.2298/gei1802367c
Sallis, H., Smith, G. D., & Munafo, M. R. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108264822.024 · Cited by 1
Self-Regulation and Control in Personality Functioning
Carver, C. S., & Scheier, M. F. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108264822.029 · Cited by 1
Ljaljević, A., Wenzel, H., & Laaser, U. (2023) · South Eastern European Journal of Public Health · doi:10.56801/seejph.vi.170 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Liu, B., Floud, S., Pirie, K., Green, J., Peto, R., & Beral, V.
- Affiliations
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Liu, Bette
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2016-02
- Volume
- 387
- Issue
- 10021
- Pages
- 874-881
- ISSN
- 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
- 0140-6736
- PMC
- PMC5075047
- OpenAlex
- W2192905344
- Cited by
- 259
- References
- 32
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 20 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 18 · 2020: 64 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 27 · 2017: 33 · 2016: 18
- FWCI
- 43.20
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Lancet (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UNSWorks (UNSW Sydney) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- The Sydney eScholarship Repository (The University of Sydney) (submittedVersion)
- UNSWorks (University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Cancer Research UK (16491)
- British Heart Foundation
- Medical Research Council (MR/K02700X/1)
- National Health and Medical Research Council
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Psychological Well-being and Life Satisfaction
- Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Health, psychology, and well-being
- Keywords
- happiness, mortality, subjective well-being, self-rated health, ischemic heart disease, cancer mortality, stress, perceived control, relaxation, lifestyle factors, women's health, Million Women Study, anxiety and depression, smoking, socioeconomic deprivation, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, asthma, arthritis, cause-specific mortality
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Female, Follow-Up Studies, United Kingdom, Happiness, Health Status, Humans, Middle Aged, Mortality, Neoplasms, Prospective Studies, Proportional Hazards Models, Myocardial Ischemia
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