Cited by 305Smoking Behavior and CessationSubstance Abuse Treatment and OutcomesRisk Perception and Management

Optimistic bias in adolescent and adult smokers and nonsmokers

Arnett, Jeffrey Jensen·2000·Addictive Behaviors

Abstract

Optimistic biases regarding the risks of smoking were examined among 200 adolescents (aged 12-17) and 203 adults (aged 30-50). Strong majorities of adolescent and adult smokers and nonsmokers agreed that smoking is addictive and causes death for "most people" who smoke. However, for themselves personally, adolescent and adult smokers were more likely than nonsmokers to doubt that they would die from smoking even if they smoked for 30 or 40 years. Furthermore, 60% of adolescent and 48% of adult smokers believed that they "could smoke for a few years and then quit" if they wished, figures far higher than for nonsmokers. Thus an optimistic bias regarding smoking risks appears to be held by both adolescent and adult smokers, especially by adolescents and especially regarding addiction. Implications for smoking prevention programs are discussed.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/s0306-4603(99)00072-6

Cites

12 of 14 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Claims the paper makes

This paper’s full text isn’t openly available, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Adolescents have a more optimistic attitude than adults about their smoking behavior, believing they could smoke for a few years and then quit if they wished.

    “The same applies to estimation of health risks of smoking—adolescents have a more optimistic attitude regarding their smoking behavior than adults, believing that they “could smoke for a few years and then quit” if they wished (Arnett 2000).”

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Arnett, J. J.
Affiliations
University of Maryland, College Park (US)
Corresponding author
Arnett, Jeffrey Jensen
Venue
Addictive Behaviors
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2000-07
Volume
25
Issue
4
Pages
625-632
ISSN
0306-4603 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2162921028
Cited by
305
References
12
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 18 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 13 · 2012: 15
FWCI
1.24
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • Addictive Behaviors (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Clark Digital Commons (Clark University) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Risk Perception and Management
Keywords
optimism bias, smoking risk perception, adolescent smokers, adult smokers, non-smokers, tobacco dependence, smoking cessation, smoking prevention programs
MeSH terms
Adolescent, Adult, Attitude to Health, Female, Humans, Internal-External Control, Male, Middle Aged, Motivation, Smoking, Risk Assessment

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review