Cited by 85Cervical Cancer and HPV ResearchEndometrial and Cervical Cancer TreatmentsPreterm Birth and Chorioamnionitis

Comparative effectiveness and risk of preterm birth of local treatments for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and stage IA1 cervical cancer: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

Open access
Athanasiou, Antonios, Veroniki, Areti Angeliki, Efthimiou, Orestis, Kalliala, Ilkka, Naci, Huseyin, Bowden, Sarah, Paraskevaidi, Maria, Arbyn, Marc +6 more·2022·The Lancet Oncology

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The trade-off between comparative effectiveness and reproductive morbidity of different treatment methods for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) remains unclear. We aimed to determine the risks of treatment failure and preterm birth associated with various treatment techniques. METHODS: In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials database for randomised and non-randomised studies reporting on oncological or reproductive outcomes after CIN treatments from database inception until March 9, 2022, without language restrictions. We included studies of women with CIN, glandular intraepithelial neoplasia, or stage IA1 cervical cancer treated with excision (cold knife conisation [CKC], laser conisation, and large loop excision of the transformation zone [LLETZ]) or ablation (radical diathermy, laser ablation, cold coagulation, and cryotherapy). We excluded women treated with hysterectomy. The primary outcomes were any treatment failure (defined as any abnormal histology or cytology) and preterm birth (<37 weeks of gestation). The network for preterm birth also included women with untreated CIN (untreated colposcopy group). The main reference group was LLETZ for treatment failure and the untreated colposcopy group for preterm birth. For randomised controlled trials, we extracted group-level summary data, and for observational studies, we extracted relative treatment effect estimates adjusted for potential confounders, when available, and we did random-effects network meta-analyses to obtain odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs. We assessed within-study and across-study risk of bias using Cochrane tools. This systematic review is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018115495 and CRD42018115508. FINDINGS: 7880 potential citations were identified for the outcome of treatment failure and 4107 for the outcome of preterm birth. After screening and removal of duplicates, the network for treatment failure included 19 240 participants across 71 studies (25 randomised) and the network for preterm birth included 68 817 participants across 29 studies (two randomised). Compared with LLETZ, risk of treatment failure was reduced for other excisional methods (laser conisation: OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44-0·79] and CKC: 0·63 [0·50-0·81]) and increased for laser ablation (1·69 [1·27-2·24]) and cryotherapy (1·84 [1·33-2·56]). No differences were found for the comparison of cold coagulation versus LLETZ (1·09 [0·68-1·74]) but direct data were based on two small studies only. Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, risk of preterm birth was increased for all excisional techniques (CKC: 2·27 [1·70-3·02]; laser conisation: 1·77 [1·29-2·43]; and LLETZ: 1·37 [1·16-1·62]), whereas no differences were found for ablative methods (laser ablation: 1·05 [0·78-1·41]; cryotherapy: 1·01 [0·35-2·92]; and cold coagulation: 0·67 [0·02-29·15]). The evidence was based mostly on observational studies with their inherent risks of bias, and the credibility of many comparisons was low. INTERPRETATION: More radical excisional techniques reduce the risk of treatment failure but increase the risk of subsequent preterm birth. Although there is uncertainty, ablative treatments probably do not increase risk of preterm birth, but are associated with higher failure rates than excisional techniques. Although we found LLETZ to have balanced effectiveness and reproductive morbidity, treatment choice should rely on a woman's age, size and location of lesion, and future family planning. FUNDING: National Institute for Health and Care Research: Research for Patient Benefit.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, more radical excisional treatments (cold knife conisation and laser conisation) reduced treatment failure versus LLETZ but increased preterm birth, while ablative methods had higher failure rates but little evidence of increased preterm birth. LLETZ had balanced effectiveness and reproductive morbidity, although the evidence was mostly observational and many comparisons were of low credibility.

Key findings

  • Treatment failure was lower after laser conisation (OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44–0·79]) and cold knife conisation (CKC; 0·63 [0·50–0·81]) than after LLETZ, and higher after laser ablation (1·69 [1·27–2·24]) and cryotherapy (1·84 [1·33–2·56]); cold coagulation showed no difference versus LLETZ (1·09 [0·68–1·74]) but direct data came from only two small studies.
  • Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, preterm birth risk was increased for all excisional techniques: CKC 2·27 (1·70–3·02), laser conisation 1·77 (1·29–2·43), and LLETZ 1·37 (1·16–1·62); no differences were found for laser ablation (1·05 [0·78–1·41]), cryotherapy (1·01 [0·35–2·92]), or cold coagulation (0·67 [0·02–29·15]).
  • The treatment failure network included 19 240 participants across 71 studies (25 randomised), and the preterm birth network included 68 817 participants across 29 studies (two randomised).
  • In dose-response analyses, treatment failure risk was inversely proportional to excised cone length (linear model based on three studies), while preterm birth risk increased with cone length: 10 mm absolute risk 10·4% versus colposcopy 7·9% (OR 1·31 [1·11–1·55]); 15 mm 17·2% (OR 2·17 [1·69–2·80]); 20 mm 32·4% (OR 4·09 [2·68–6·23]).

Methods

  • Systematic review and network meta-analysis searching MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL from database inception until March 9, 2022, without language restrictions; included randomised and non-randomised studies of women with CIN, glandular intraepithelial neoplasia, or stage IA1 cervical cancer treated with excision (CKC, laser conisation, LLETZ) or ablation (radical diathermy, laser ablation, cold coagulation, cryotherapy), excluding hysterectomy.
  • Primary outcomes were any treatment failure (abnormal histology or cytology) and preterm birth (<37 weeks); the main reference group was LLETZ for treatment failure and the untreated colposcopy group for preterm birth.
  • Random-effects network meta-analyses produced odds ratios with 95% CIs; analyses included design-adjusted models, subgroup and sensitivity analyses, risk-of-bias assessment with RoB 2 and ROBINS-I, CINeMA credibility rating, absolute risk estimation, and dose-response meta-analyses for cone length. Registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018115495 and CRD42018115508.

Limitations

  • Stated: Data were dominated by observational data, so unmeasured confounding might bias estimated treatment effects; little data were available for radical diathermy, cold coagulation, and cryotherapy; possible inclusion of clinically insignificant lesions, preferential use of excision or ablation by lesion severity/location, and differences in distribution of publication year, age, adenocarcinoma in situ, cervical cancer, and CIN3 or worse across comparisons might have biased treatment failure estimates.
  • Stated: The magnitude of difference in efficacy between ablation and excision might have been diluted by preferential use of excision in older women and for more severe or endocervical lesions; the proportion treated for CIN3 or worse was lower in ablative than excisional techniques.
  • Evident from the text: cold coagulation estimates were based on two small studies for treatment failure and a single low-quality study for preterm birth with very wide confidence intervals; stage IA1 cervical cancer analysis was not possible because of small numbers; the treatment-failure dose-response linear model was based on only three studies; radical diathermy was not included in the narrative because of scarce evidence.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/s1470-2045(22)00334-5

Cites

43 of 43 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

14 of 23 cited sources checked · 8 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    A population-based study from Sweden reported a more than doubled standardised incidence ratio of cervical cancer after treatment in women treated during 2001-08 compared with women treated during 1971-80.

    “A population-based study from Sweden raised further concerns reporting a more than doubled standardised incidence ratio of cervical cancer after treatment in women treated during 2001–08 compared with women treated during 1971–80.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [15] Strander, 2014, Effect of ageing on cervical or vaginal cancer in Swedish women previously treated for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3: population based cohort study of long term incidence and mortality, BMJ source
  • Premisecitation

    The 2013 Cochrane review was underpowered to detect differences among highly efficacious treatments.

    “However, this review was underpowered to detect differences among highly efficacious treatments and has been questioned by later evidence.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [14] Martin-Hirsch, 2013, Surgery for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, Cochrane Database Syst Rev source
  • Findingown data

    No difference in risk of preterm birth was found between laser ablation and the untreated colposcopy group (OR 1.05, 95% CI 0.78-1.41).

    “whereas no differences were found for ablative methods (laser ablation: 1·05 [0·78–1·41]; cryotherapy: 1·01 [0·35–2·92]; and cold coagulation: 0·67 [0·02–29·15])”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • Findingown data

    Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, cold knife conisation (CKC) increases the risk of preterm birth (OR 2.27, 95% CI 1.70-3.02).

    “Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, risk of preterm birth was increased for all excisional techniques (CKC: 2·27 [1·70–3·02]; laser conisation: 1·77 [1·29–2·43]; and LLETZ: 1·37 [1·16–1·62])”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • Findingown data

    Compared with LLETZ, laser conisation reduces the risk of treatment failure (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.44-0.79).

    “Compared with LLETZ, risk of treatment failure was reduced for other excisional methods (laser conisation: OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44–0·79] and CKC: 0·63 [0·50–0·81])”
    • Also stated in: § Results · plain
      “the risk of treatment failure was found to be lower for laser conisation (OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44–0·79]) and CKC (0·63 [0·50–0·81]) than for LLETZ”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 13
  • May combine two claims. 34
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    Within-study risk of bias was assessed separately for each outcome using RoB 2 for randomised controlled trials and ROBINS-I for non-randomised studies.

    “Two reviewers (AA and IK) assessed within-study risk of bias separately for each outcome using RoB 224 for randomised controlled trials and ROBINS-I25 for non-randomised studies (appendix pp 12–14).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [24] Sterne, 2019, RoB 2: a revised tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials, BMJ source
    • cites [25] Sterne, 2016, ROBINS-I: a tool for assessing risk of bias in non-randomised studies of interventions, BMJ source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Local treatment techniques for cervical preinvasive and early invasive disease were previously thought to be interchangeable with regards to treatment failure rates, largely based on a 2013 Cochrane review of randomised controlled trials.

    “Local treatment techniques for cervical preinvasive and early invasive disease were previously thought to be interchangeable with regards to treatment failure rates, largely based on a 2013 Cochrane review of randomised controlled trials.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [14] Martin-Hirsch, 2013, Surgery for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, Cochrane Database Syst Rev source

      The Background (Main results) reports that 29 randomised trials found no significant differences in persistent disease after treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN). But the Discussion (Overall completeness and applicability of evidence) says the trials were largely underpowered and that no firm conclusion about differences in treatment effect could be drawn; it does not establish that techniques are interchangeable. The review concerns CIN, not treatment of early invasive disease. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    The risk of prematurity in subsequent pregnancies increases with increasing treatment radicality and length of cone excised.

    “The risk of prematurity in subsequent pregnancies has been known to increase with increasing treatment radicality and length of cone excised.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 5 sources checked
    • cites [8] Kyrgiou, 2006, Obstetric outcomes after conservative treatment for intraepithelial or early invasive cervical lesions: systematic review and meta-analysis, Lancet source
    • cites [9] Arbyn, 2008, Perinatal mortality and other severe adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: meta-analysis, BMJ source

      The Discussion (Biological mechanisms; page unavailable) reports a positive association between depth of excision and adverse obstetric events, but presents the link between the amount of tissue removed and obstetric morbidity as a hypothesis. The Results (Severe and extreme preterm delivery; page unavailable) show higher risks after some procedures, but do not establish a consistent increase in prematurity with each increase in treatment radicality or cone length. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [10] Kyrgiou, 2014, Fertility and early pregnancy outcomes after treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: systematic review and meta-analysis, BMJ source
    • cites [11] Kyrgiou, 2016, Adverse obstetric outcomes after local treatment for cervical preinvasive and early invasive disease according to cone depth: systematic review and meta-analysis, BMJ source
    • cites [12] Kyrgiou, 2015, Proportion of cervical excision for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia as a predictor of pregnancy outcomes, Int J Gynaecol Obstet source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    The credibility of the evidence included in the network meta-analysis was rated using CINeMA.

    “We rated the credibility of the evidence included in the network meta-analysis using CINeMA33 (appendix pp 16–17).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [33] Salanti, 2014, Evaluating the quality of evidence from a network meta-analysis, PLoS One source

      The Introduction and the section on confidence in each effect size propose a GRADE-based approach to rating confidence in network meta-analysis evidence. Our copy does not identify that approach as CINeMA or describe a tool by that name (searched: CINeMA). The citing authors’ statement that they used it is their own report, not something this source could establish. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Inappropriately superficial excisions in an attempt to minimise adverse pregnancy sequelae might compromise long-term oncological safety and could be partly accountable for the increased post-treatment incidence of cervical cancer.

    “Conversely, inappropriately superficial excisions in an attempt to minimise adverse pregnancy sequelae might compromise long-term oncological safety45 and could be partly accountable for the increased post-treatment incidence of cervical cancer.15, 18”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [15] Strander, 2014, Effect of ageing on cervical or vaginal cancer in Swedish women previously treated for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3: population based cohort study of long term incidence and mortality, BMJ source
    • cites [18] Arbyn, 2014, Long term outcomes for women treated for cervical precancer, BMJ source
    • cites [45] Sasieni, 2016, Risk of preterm birth following surgical treatment for cervical disease: executive summary of a recent symposium, BJOG source
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Untreated women attending for colposcopy have a higher risk of preterm birth than women without CIN, probably explained by inherent characteristics and genetic, epigenetic, or microbiome factors.

    “Untreated women attending for colposcopy have a higher risk of preterm birth than do women without CIN, probably explained by inherent characteristics and genetic, epigenetic, or microbiome factors.40, 41, 42”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [40] Castanon, 2012, Risk of preterm birth after treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia among women attending colposcopy in England: retrospective-prospective cohort study, BMJ source

      The Results (Internal comparison; page not provided) report a preterm-birth rate of 8.3% after punch biopsy only, while Table 2 reports 6.7% for births in England. The paper does not directly compare untreated colposcopy attendees with women confirmed not to have CIN. The Discussion (Strengths and limitations; page not provided) considers pre-existing risk factors and disease-related confounding, but does not identify genetic, epigenetic, or microbiome factors as the probable explanation. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [41] Kindinger, 2017, The interaction between vaginal microbiota, cervical length, and vaginal progesterone treatment for preterm birth risk, Microbiome source

      The Results section reports an association between vaginal microbiota and preterm birth in women already at high risk, and the Discussion suggests possible microbiome-related mechanisms. The paper does not compare untreated women attending colposcopy with women without CIN, or attribute such a difference to inherent, genetic, or epigenetic factors. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [42] Mitra, 2016, The vaginal microbiota, human papillomavirus infection and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: what do we know and where are we going next?, Microbiome source

      The ‘Limitations of current literature and areas for future study’ section says dysbiosis increases preterm-birth risk, and the ‘Vaginal microbiota and HPV/CIN/cervical cancer’ section reports an association between CIN severity and vaginal microbiota. The paper does not establish that untreated women attending colposcopy have a higher preterm-birth risk than women without CIN, or attribute such a difference to genetic or epigenetic factors. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.78)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    No difference in risk of treatment failure was found between cold coagulation and LLETZ (OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.68-1.74), but direct data were based on two small studies only.

    “No differences were found for the comparison of cold coagulation versus LLETZ (1·09 [0·68–1·74]) but direct data were based on two small studies only.”
    • Also stated in: § Results · plain
      “with the exception of cold coagulation, which had a similar risk (1·09 [0·68–1·74]), but only two small studies compared cold coagulation directly with LLETZ”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Cone lengths up to and including 10 mm were associated with a small increase in the risk of preterm birth when compared with the untreated colposcopy group, whereas lengths over 10 mm with a greater increase in risk (10 mm [10·4% absolute risk] vs colposcopy [7·9%]: OR 1·31 [95% CI 1·11-1·55]; 15 mm [17·2%] vs colposcopy: OR 2·17 [1·69-2·80]; 20 mm [32·4%] vs colposcopy: OR 4·09 [2·68-6·23]).

    “Cone lengths up to and including 10 mm were associated with a small increase in the risk of preterm birth when compared with the untreated colposcopy group, whereas lengths over 10 mm with a greater increase in risk (10 mm [10·4% absolute risk] vs colposcopy [7·9%]: OR 1·31 [95% CI 1·11–1·55]; 15 mm [17·2%] vs colposcopy: OR 2·17 [1·69–2·80]; 20 mm [32·4%] vs colposcopy: 4·09 [2·68–6·23]; appendix”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    On the basis of P-scores, laser conisation and CKC were the highest-ranking treatments, whereas cryotherapy was the lowest-ranking treatment.

    “On the basis of P-scores, laser conisation and CKC were the highest-ranking treatments, whereas cryotherapy was the lowest-ranking treatment (appendix p 70).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Most ablative techniques had a risk of preterm birth similar to that of the untreated colposcopy group (7·9% [95% CI 6·3-9·9]), except for cold coagulation, which had a lower risk but much uncertainty (5·5% [0·2-71·5]) because the estimate was based on a single study of low quality.

    “Most ablative techniques had a risk of preterm birth similar to that of the untreated colposcopy group (7·9% [95% CI 6·3–9·9]), except for cold coagulation, which had a lower risk but had much uncertainty (5·5% [0·2–71·5]) because the estimate was based on a single study of low quality.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Secondary analyses of treatment failure using different cutoffs for the definitions of treatment failure (cytological ASC-H or worse, or histological CIN2 or worse: 30 studies; histological CIN1 or worse: 22 studies; histological CIN2 or worse: 18 studies; high-risk HPV positivity rates at 6 months: eight studies) were consistent with the main analysis, although there was more uncertainty in the估计

    “We did secondary analyses of the outcome of treatment failure using different cutoffs for the definitions of treatment failure (cytological ASC-H or worse, or histological CIN2 or worse: 30 studies; histological CIN1 or worse: 22 studies; histological CIN2 or worse: 18 studies; high-risk HPV positivity rates at 6 months: eight studies). Results were consistent with the main analysis, although”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The absolute risk of any treatment failure was lowest for laser conisation and CKC, and highest for cryotherapy and laser ablation.

    “The absolute risk of any treatment failure was lowest for laser conisation and CKC, and highest for cryotherapy and laser ablation (figure 5).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In post-hoc subgroup analyses by grade of the lesion, the odds ratios of treatment failure after laser ablation and cryotherapy versus LLETZ increased with increasing CIN grade and were highest for CIN3 (laser ablation OR 2·38 [95% CI 1·03-5·48]; cryotherapy OR 3·11 [1·29-7·49]).

    “In the post-hoc subgroup analyses for grade of the lesion, we found that odds ratios of treatment failure after laser ablation and cryotherapy (vs LLETZ) increased with increasing CIN grade, and were the highest for CIN3 (laser ablation: OR 2·38 [95% CI 1·03–5·48]; cryotherapy: 3·11 [1·29–7·49]; appendix pp 143–45).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    P-scores identified laser ablation, followed by cryotherapy and cold coagulation, as being the best treatments, and CKC as being the worst treatment for preterm birth.

    “P-scores identified laser ablation, followed by cryotherapy and cold coagulation, as being the best treatments, and CKC as being the worst treatment (appendix p 77).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Although the distribution of CIN2 or worse was similar, the proportion of women treated for CIN3 or worse was lower in ablative than excisional techniques.

    “Although the distribution of CIN2 or worse was similar, the proportion of women treated for CIN3 or worse was lower in ablative than excisional techniques.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    When compared with LLETZ, ablative techniques had a reduced risk of preterm birth but with uncertainty (laser ablation: OR 0·77 [95% CI 0·56-1·04]; cold coagulation and cryotherapy also had a reduced risk, but estimates were much more uncertain especially for cold coagulation).

    “When compared with LLETZ, ablative techniques had a reduced risk of preterm birth but with uncertainty (laser ablation: 0·77 [0·56–1·04]; cold coagulation and cryotherapy also had a reduced risk, but estimates were much more uncertain especially for cold coagulation; figure 3).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In another post-hoc subgroup analysis of treatment failure, the odds ratios of cumulative treatment failure rates for laser ablation and cryotherapy compared with LLETZ increased with increasing follow-up duration and were highest in studies with median follow-up duration of at least 60 months (laser ablation OR 3·02 [95% CI 1·23-7·39]; cryotherapy OR 3·17 [1·36-7·35]).

    “In another post-hoc subgroup analysis of treatment failure, the ORs of cumulative treatment failure rates for laser ablation and cryotherapy compared with LLETZ increased with increasing follow-up duration and were the highest in studies with median follow-up duration of at least 60 months (laser ablation: OR 3·02 [95% CI 1·23–7·39]; cryotherapy: 3·17 [1·36–7·35]); for cold coagulation, the”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In all these analyses, no differences were found between cold coagulation and LLETZ, but data on cold coagulation were scarce.

    “In all these analyses, no differences were found between cold coagulation and LLETZ, but data on cold coagulation were scarce.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Results for laser ablation and cryotherapy were quite conclusive even when non-randomised studies were down-weighted more aggressively and high-risk studies completely removed; for the rest of the treatments, uncertainty precluded definitive conclusions.

    “Results for laser ablation and cryotherapy were quite conclusive even when we down-weighted non-randomised studies more aggressively and completely removed high-risk studies. For the rest of the treatments, there was uncertainty precluding definitive conclusions (appendix p 93).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    CKC was more effective than LLETZ for treatment of endocervical lesions (post hoc) and when done in older (median age of ≥33 years) women (prespecified).

    “In subgroup analyses, we found that CKC was more effective than LLETZ for treatment of endocervical lesions (post hoc) and when done in older (median age of ≥33 years) women (prespecified).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The two sensitivity analyses that excluded non-randomised studies and that excluded non-randomised studies at high risk of bias showed consistent results with the main analyses, although there was more uncertainty due to the lower number of included studies than in the main analyses.

    “The two sensitivity analyses that excluded non-randomised studies and that excluded non-randomised studies at high risk of bias showed consistent results with the main analyses, although there was more uncertainty due to the lower number of included studies than in the main analyses (appendix pp 143–5).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Results from pairwise meta-analyses were in line with the network meta-analysis.

    “Results from pairwise meta-analyses were in line with the network meta-analysis (appendix pp 66–67).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Cold coagulation had a similar risk of treatment failure as LLETZ, but data on cold coagulation were limited.

    “Cold coagulation had a similar risk of failure as LLETZ, but data on cold coagulation were limited.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    A 2017 meta-analysis reported lower rates of margin positivity and recurrence for knife and laser cones than for LLETZ.

    “Another meta-analysis published in 2017 reported lower rates of margin positivity and recurrence for knife and laser cones than for LLETZ.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [16] Arbyn, 2017, Incomplete excision of cervical precancer as a predictor of treatment failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Lancet Oncol source
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The evidence base for the network meta-analysis was mostly observational studies with inherent risks of bias, and the credibility of many comparisons was low.

    “The evidence was based mostly on observational studies with their inherent risks of bias, and the credibility of many comparisons was low.”
    • Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
      “Results should be interpreted with caution because the evidence base consisted of mostly observational studies with inherent risks of bias.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    Protocols were registered with PROSPERO (CRD42018115508 and CRD42018115495).

    “Protocols have been registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018115508 and CRD42018115495, and published previously.19, 20”
    • Also stated in: § Methods · plain
      “This systematic review is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018115495 and CRD42018115508.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [19] Athanasiou, 2019, Comparative efficacy and complication rates after local treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and stage 1a1 cervical cancer: protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis from the CIRCLE Group, BMJ Open

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [20] Athanasiou, 2019, Comparative fertility and pregnancy outcomes after local treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and stage 1a1 cervical cancer: protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis from the CIRCLE group, BMJ Open

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    For observational studies, relative treatment effect estimates adjusted for potential confounders were extracted when available.

    “For observational studies, we extracted relative treatment effect estimates adjusted for potential confounders, when available.”
    • Also stated in: § Methods · plain
      “for observational studies, we extracted relative treatment effect estimates adjusted for potential confounders, when available”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisereasoning

    The trade-off between treatment failure rates and preterm birth among different treatment methods remains unclear.

    “The trade-off between treatment failure rates and preterm birth among different treatment methods remains unclear to date.”
    • Also stated in: § Background · plain
      “The trade-off between comparative effectiveness and reproductive morbidity of different treatment methods for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) remains unclear.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Ablative treatments probably do not increase the risk of preterm birth compared with untreated CIN, but they are associated with higher failure rates than excisional techniques.

    “Although there is uncertainty, ablative treatments probably do not increase risk of preterm birth, but are associated with higher failure rates than excisional techniques.”
    • Also stated in: § Introduction · hedged
      “Conversely, ablative techniques might not increase the risk of preterm birth compared with women with untreated CIN, but there is uncertainty and they have a higher risk of treatment failure than excisional procedures, particularly in the long term and when used for treatment for CIN3.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    More radical excisional techniques (cold knife conisation and laser conisation) reduce the risk of treatment failure but increase the risk of subsequent preterm birth compared with more conservative treatments (LLETZ and ablation).

    “More radical excisional techniques reduce the risk of treatment failure but increase the risk of subsequent preterm birth.”
    • Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
      “We found that more aggressive treatments (ie, cold knife conisation and laser conisation) are associated with lower failure rates but a higher risk of subsequent preterm birth than more conservative treatments (ie, large loop excision of the transformation zone [LLETZ] and ablation).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Prespecified design-adjusted analyses were done to combine randomised and non-randomised evidence, down-weighting studies with higher risk of bias.

    “We did prespecified design-adjusted analyses to combine randomised and non-randomised evidence,31 in which studies with higher risk of bias were assigned less weight and studies of lower risk of bias were assigned more weight.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] Efthimiou, 2017, Combining randomized and non-randomized evidence in network meta-analysis, Stat Med source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    The systematic review and network meta-analysis was done according to the Cochrane Handbook and reported using PRISMA guidelines for network meta-analysis.

    “This systematic review and network meta-analysis was done according to the Cochrane Handbook22 and was reported using Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines for network meta-analysis (appendix pp 3–5).23”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [22] Higgins

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [23] Hutton, 2015, The PRISMA extension statement for reporting of systematic reviews incorporating network meta-analyses of health care interventions: checklist and explanations, Ann Intern Med source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Screening and data extraction were done independently by two reviewers, and discrepancies were resolved through discussion with a third reviewer.

    “Screening and data extraction were done independently by two reviewers (AA and IK) and discrepancies were resolved through discussion with a third reviewer (MK; more details on data extraction are in the appendix [p 12]).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Possible inclusion of women with clinically insignificant lesions, preferential use of excision or ablation on the basis of the severity and location of the lesion, and differences in the distribution of publication year, age, adenocarcinoma in situ, cervical cancer, and CIN3 or worse across treatment comparisons might have led to further bias in calculations for the risk of treatment failure.

    “Possible inclusion of women with clinically insignificant lesions (ie, non-persistent CIN1) in some studies, preferential use of excision or ablation on the basis of the severity and location of the lesion, and differences in the distribution of publication year, age, adenocarcinoma in situ, cervical cancer, and CIN3 or worse across treatment comparisons might have led to further bias in our”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Because odds ratios of treatment failure and preterm birth after ablation (vs LLETZ and colposcopy, respectively) were higher in the subgroup analysis restricted to patients with CIN3 or worse than in the main network meta-analyses, the magnitude of risks from ablation for severe disease might be underestimated in the main analyses, but our conclusions would not change.

    “Because odds ratios of treatment failure and preterm birth after ablation (vs LLETZ and colposcopy, respectively) were higher in the subgroup analysis restricted to patients with CIN3 or worse than in the main network meta-analyses, the magnitude of risks from ablation for severe disease might be underestimated in the main analyses, but our conclusions would not change.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    More aggressive local CIN treatments are associated with a reduced risk of treatment failure but an increased risk of preterm birth in subsequent pregnancies.

    “Our findings suggest that more aggressive local CIN treatments are associated with a reduced risk of treatment failure but an increased risk of preterm birth in subsequent pregnancies.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Data were dominated by observational data, thus bias might be present in the estimated treatment effects because of unmeasured confounding.

    “Data were dominated by observational data, thus bias might be present in the estimated treatment effects because of unmeasured confounding.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Heterogeneity in the network for preterm birth (τ2=0·02) was low compared with the empirical distribution, no evidence of inconsistency was found between direct and indirect data, and no small-study effects or publication bias were detected.

    “Heterogeneity in the network (τ2=0·02) was low compared with the empirical distribution (appendix p 15). We found no evidence of inconsistency for risk of preterm birth between direct and indirect data (appendix pp 85–86).”
    • Also stated in: § Results · plain
      “No small-study effects or publication bias were detected (appendix pp 227–30).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    No evidence of small-study effects or publication bias was found.

    “We did not find any evidence of small-study effects or publication bias (appendix pp 217–21).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Most non-randomised studies and some randomised controlled trials were at high risk of bias.

    “Most non-randomised studies (34 [74%] of 46 studies for treatment failure and 14 [52%] of 27 for preterm birth) and some randomised controlled trials (seven [28%] of 25 for treatment failure and none for preterm birth) were at high risk of bias.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Most non-randomised studies were downgraded because of absence of adjustment for confounders, whereas most randomised controlled trials were downgraded because of absence of a published protocol.

    “Most non-randomised studies were downgraded because of the absence of adjustment for confounders, whereas most randomised controlled trials were downgraded because of the absence of a published protocol (appendix pp 40–65).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The design-adjusted network meta-analyses gave almost identical results to the unadjusted network meta-analysis and did not affect conclusions drawn.

    “The design-adjusted network meta-analyses gave almost identical results to the unadjusted network meta-analysis and did not affect conclusions drawn (appendix p 99).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The plausibility of the transitivity assumption was assessed by examining the distribution of suspected effect modifiers across treatment comparisons.

    “To assess the plausibility of the transitivity assumption, we examined the distribution of suspected effect modifiers across treatment comparisons (appendix p 15).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The study excluded studies that preferentially used excision for high-grade disease and ablation for low-grade disease, and did subgroup analyses of younger women, ectocervical lesions only, and studies excluding adenocarcinoma in situ or cervical cancer, which did not change the results.

    “We excluded studies that preferentially used excision for high-grade disease and ablation for low-grade disease, and we did subgroup analyses of younger women, ectocervical lesions only, and studies excluding adenocarcinoma in situ or cervical cancer, which did not change the results.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
44 of 44
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.

    “For identifiability, we assumed heterogeneity (τ2) to be the same across all treatment comparisons of each network,22 and we estimated it using the DerSimonian and Laird method.26”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    This is the first network meta-analysis to explore the comparative effectiveness and reproductive morbidity for different treatments for CIN.

    “To our knowledge, this is the first network meta-analysis to explore the comparative effectiveness and reproductive morbidity for different treatments for CIN.”
2 of 2

Cites

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4 of the 47 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

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Authors
Athanasiou, A., Veroniki, A. A., Efthimiou, O., Kalliala, I., Naci, H., Bowden, S., Paraskevaidi, M., Arbyn, M., Lyons, D., Martin-Hirsch, P., Bennett, P., Paraskevaidis, E., Salanti, G., & Kyrgiou, M.
Affiliations
  • Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust (GB)
  • St. Michael's Hospital (CA)
  • University of Bern (CH)
  • University of Helsinki (FI)
  • London School of Economics and Political Science (GB)
  • Imperial College London (GB)
  • Institut Scientifique de Santé Publique (BE)
Venue
The Lancet Oncology
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2022-08
Volume
23
Issue
8
Pages
1097-1108
ISSN
1470-2045 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4285045571
Cited by
85
References
47
Citations by year
2026: 25 · 2025: 33 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 1
FWCI
3.29
Type
journal article
Language
en
Update notices
erratum (2022-08-01)
Open access
Locations
  • The Lancet Oncology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • London School of Economics and Political Science Theses Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (acceptedVersion)
  • London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (acceptedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • BORIS (University Library Bern) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja (submittedVersion)
  • Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
Funders
  • National Science Foundation
  • Cancer Research UK (P92114)
  • National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR-INF-1847, PB-PG-0816-20004)
  • Department of Health and Social Care
  • European Commission (HORIZON2020, 847845)
  • Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (20004, 179158, 180083)
  • Institut National Du Cancer
  • Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (847845)
  • Research for Patient Benefit Programme
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Cervical Cancer and HPV Research
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Obstetrics and Gynecology › Endometrial and Cervical Cancer Treatments
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Preterm Birth and Chorioamnionitis
Keywords
cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, preterm birth, treatment failure, LLETZ, laser ablation, cold coagulation, cryotherapy, excisional treatment, ablative treatment, reproductive morbidity, colposcopy
MeSH terms
Network Meta-Analysis, Network Meta-Analysis as Topic, Uterine Cervical Dysplasia, Uterine Cervical Neoplasms, Female, Humans, Infant, Newborn, Conization, Premature Birth

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-16.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-16.

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