Comparative effectiveness and risk of preterm birth of local treatments for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and stage IA1 cervical cancer: a systematic review and network meta-analysis
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: The trade-off between comparative effectiveness and reproductive morbidity of different treatment methods for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) remains unclear. We aimed to determine the risks of treatment failure and preterm birth associated with various treatment techniques. METHODS: In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials database for randomised and non-randomised studies reporting on oncological or reproductive outcomes after CIN treatments from database inception until March 9, 2022, without language restrictions. We included studies of women with CIN, glandular intraepithelial neoplasia, or stage IA1 cervical cancer treated with excision (cold knife conisation [CKC], laser conisation, and large loop excision of the transformation zone [LLETZ]) or ablation (radical diathermy, laser ablation, cold coagulation, and cryotherapy). We excluded women treated with hysterectomy. The primary outcomes were any treatment failure (defined as any abnormal histology or cytology) and preterm birth (<37 weeks of gestation). The network for preterm birth also included women with untreated CIN (untreated colposcopy group). The main reference group was LLETZ for treatment failure and the untreated colposcopy group for preterm birth. For randomised controlled trials, we extracted group-level summary data, and for observational studies, we extracted relative treatment effect estimates adjusted for potential confounders, when available, and we did random-effects network meta-analyses to obtain odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs. We assessed within-study and across-study risk of bias using Cochrane tools. This systematic review is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018115495 and CRD42018115508. FINDINGS: 7880 potential citations were identified for the outcome of treatment failure and 4107 for the outcome of preterm birth. After screening and removal of duplicates, the network for treatment failure included 19 240 participants across 71 studies (25 randomised) and the network for preterm birth included 68 817 participants across 29 studies (two randomised). Compared with LLETZ, risk of treatment failure was reduced for other excisional methods (laser conisation: OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44-0·79] and CKC: 0·63 [0·50-0·81]) and increased for laser ablation (1·69 [1·27-2·24]) and cryotherapy (1·84 [1·33-2·56]). No differences were found for the comparison of cold coagulation versus LLETZ (1·09 [0·68-1·74]) but direct data were based on two small studies only. Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, risk of preterm birth was increased for all excisional techniques (CKC: 2·27 [1·70-3·02]; laser conisation: 1·77 [1·29-2·43]; and LLETZ: 1·37 [1·16-1·62]), whereas no differences were found for ablative methods (laser ablation: 1·05 [0·78-1·41]; cryotherapy: 1·01 [0·35-2·92]; and cold coagulation: 0·67 [0·02-29·15]). The evidence was based mostly on observational studies with their inherent risks of bias, and the credibility of many comparisons was low. INTERPRETATION: More radical excisional techniques reduce the risk of treatment failure but increase the risk of subsequent preterm birth. Although there is uncertainty, ablative treatments probably do not increase risk of preterm birth, but are associated with higher failure rates than excisional techniques. Although we found LLETZ to have balanced effectiveness and reproductive morbidity, treatment choice should rely on a woman's age, size and location of lesion, and future family planning. FUNDING: National Institute for Health and Care Research: Research for Patient Benefit.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, more radical excisional treatments (cold knife conisation and laser conisation) reduced treatment failure versus LLETZ but increased preterm birth, while ablative methods had higher failure rates but little evidence of increased preterm birth. LLETZ had balanced effectiveness and reproductive morbidity, although the evidence was mostly observational and many comparisons were of low credibility.
Key findings
- Treatment failure was lower after laser conisation (OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44–0·79]) and cold knife conisation (CKC; 0·63 [0·50–0·81]) than after LLETZ, and higher after laser ablation (1·69 [1·27–2·24]) and cryotherapy (1·84 [1·33–2·56]); cold coagulation showed no difference versus LLETZ (1·09 [0·68–1·74]) but direct data came from only two small studies.
- Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, preterm birth risk was increased for all excisional techniques: CKC 2·27 (1·70–3·02), laser conisation 1·77 (1·29–2·43), and LLETZ 1·37 (1·16–1·62); no differences were found for laser ablation (1·05 [0·78–1·41]), cryotherapy (1·01 [0·35–2·92]), or cold coagulation (0·67 [0·02–29·15]).
- The treatment failure network included 19 240 participants across 71 studies (25 randomised), and the preterm birth network included 68 817 participants across 29 studies (two randomised).
- In dose-response analyses, treatment failure risk was inversely proportional to excised cone length (linear model based on three studies), while preterm birth risk increased with cone length: 10 mm absolute risk 10·4% versus colposcopy 7·9% (OR 1·31 [1·11–1·55]); 15 mm 17·2% (OR 2·17 [1·69–2·80]); 20 mm 32·4% (OR 4·09 [2·68–6·23]).
Methods
- Systematic review and network meta-analysis searching MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL from database inception until March 9, 2022, without language restrictions; included randomised and non-randomised studies of women with CIN, glandular intraepithelial neoplasia, or stage IA1 cervical cancer treated with excision (CKC, laser conisation, LLETZ) or ablation (radical diathermy, laser ablation, cold coagulation, cryotherapy), excluding hysterectomy.
- Primary outcomes were any treatment failure (abnormal histology or cytology) and preterm birth (<37 weeks); the main reference group was LLETZ for treatment failure and the untreated colposcopy group for preterm birth.
- Random-effects network meta-analyses produced odds ratios with 95% CIs; analyses included design-adjusted models, subgroup and sensitivity analyses, risk-of-bias assessment with RoB 2 and ROBINS-I, CINeMA credibility rating, absolute risk estimation, and dose-response meta-analyses for cone length. Registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018115495 and CRD42018115508.
Limitations
- Stated: Data were dominated by observational data, so unmeasured confounding might bias estimated treatment effects; little data were available for radical diathermy, cold coagulation, and cryotherapy; possible inclusion of clinically insignificant lesions, preferential use of excision or ablation by lesion severity/location, and differences in distribution of publication year, age, adenocarcinoma in situ, cervical cancer, and CIN3 or worse across comparisons might have biased treatment failure estimates.
- Stated: The magnitude of difference in efficacy between ablation and excision might have been diluted by preferential use of excision in older women and for more severe or endocervical lesions; the proportion treated for CIN3 or worse was lower in ablative than excisional techniques.
- Evident from the text: cold coagulation estimates were based on two small studies for treatment failure and a single low-quality study for preterm birth with very wide confidence intervals; stage IA1 cervical cancer analysis was not possible because of small numbers; the treatment-failure dose-response linear model was based on only three studies; radical diathermy was not included in the narrative because of scarce evidence.
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Claims the paper makes
14 of 23 cited sources checked · 8 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
A population-based study from Sweden reported a more than doubled standardised incidence ratio of cervical cancer after treatment in women treated during 2001-08 compared with women treated during 1971-80.
“A population-based study from Sweden raised further concerns reporting a more than doubled standardised incidence ratio of cervical cancer after treatment in women treated during 2001–08 compared with women treated during 1971–80.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] Strander, 2014, Effect of ageing on cervical or vaginal cancer in Swedish women previously treated for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3: population based cohort study of long term incidence and mortality, BMJ source
- Premisecitation
The 2013 Cochrane review was underpowered to detect differences among highly efficacious treatments.
“However, this review was underpowered to detect differences among highly efficacious treatments and has been questioned by later evidence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Martin-Hirsch, 2013, Surgery for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, Cochrane Database Syst Rev source
- Findingown data
No difference in risk of preterm birth was found between laser ablation and the untreated colposcopy group (OR 1.05, 95% CI 0.78-1.41).
“whereas no differences were found for ablative methods (laser ablation: 1·05 [0·78–1·41]; cryotherapy: 1·01 [0·35–2·92]; and cold coagulation: 0·67 [0·02–29·15])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, cold knife conisation (CKC) increases the risk of preterm birth (OR 2.27, 95% CI 1.70-3.02).
“Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, risk of preterm birth was increased for all excisional techniques (CKC: 2·27 [1·70–3·02]; laser conisation: 1·77 [1·29–2·43]; and LLETZ: 1·37 [1·16–1·62])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
Compared with LLETZ, laser conisation reduces the risk of treatment failure (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.44-0.79).
“Compared with LLETZ, risk of treatment failure was reduced for other excisional methods (laser conisation: OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44–0·79] and CKC: 0·63 [0·50–0·81])”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“the risk of treatment failure was found to be lower for laser conisation (OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44–0·79]) and CKC (0·63 [0·50–0·81]) than for LLETZ”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
Compared with LLETZ, cryotherapy increases the risk of treatment failure (OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.33-2.56).
“increased for laser ablation (1·69 [1·27–2·24]) and cryotherapy (1·84 [1·33–2·56])”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“Most ablative treatments had higher odds of treatment failure than did LLETZ (cryotherapy: 1·84 [1·33–2·56]; and laser ablation: 1·69 [1·27–2·24])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
Compared with LLETZ, cold knife conisation (CKC) reduces the risk of treatment failure (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.50-0.81).
“Compared with LLETZ, risk of treatment failure was reduced for other excisional methods (laser conisation: OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44–0·79] and CKC: 0·63 [0·50–0·81])”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“the risk of treatment failure was found to be lower for laser conisation (OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·44–0·79]) and CKC (0·63 [0·50–0·81]) than for LLETZ”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, laser conisation increases the risk of preterm birth (OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.29-2.43).
“Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, risk of preterm birth was increased for all excisional techniques (CKC: 2·27 [1·70–3·02]; laser conisation: 1·77 [1·29–2·43]; and LLETZ: 1·37 [1·16–1·62])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
No difference in risk of preterm birth was found between cryotherapy and the untreated colposcopy group (OR 1.01, 95% CI 0.35-2.92).
“whereas no differences were found for ablative methods (laser ablation: 1·05 [0·78–1·41]; cryotherapy: 1·01 [0·35–2·92]; and cold coagulation: 0·67 [0·02–29·15])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, LLETZ increases the risk of preterm birth (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.16-1.62).
“Compared with the untreated colposcopy group, risk of preterm birth was increased for all excisional techniques (CKC: 2·27 [1·70–3·02]; laser conisation: 1·77 [1·29–2·43]; and LLETZ: 1·37 [1·16–1·62])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
No difference in risk of preterm birth was found between cold coagulation and the untreated colposcopy group (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.02-29.15).
“whereas no differences were found for ablative methods (laser ablation: 1·05 [0·78–1·41]; cryotherapy: 1·01 [0·35–2·92]; and cold coagulation: 0·67 [0·02–29·15])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
Compared with LLETZ, laser ablation increases the risk of treatment failure (OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.27-2.24).
“increased for laser ablation (1·69 [1·27–2·24]) and cryotherapy (1·84 [1·33–2·56])”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“Most ablative treatments had higher odds of treatment failure than did LLETZ (cryotherapy: 1·84 [1·33–2·56]; and laser ablation: 1·69 [1·27–2·24])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
In the analysis restricted to endocervical lesions or unsatisfactory colposcopy, or both, CKC reduced the risk of treatment failure versus LLETZ (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.39-0.91).
“except for the analysis restricted to endocervical lesions or unsatisfactory colposcopy, or both (CKC vs LLETZ: OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·39–0·91]; laser conisation vs LLETZ: 0·44 [0·23–0·84]).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
A post-hoc subgroup analysis restricted to women with ectocervical lesions only confirmed the lower efficacy of laser ablation and cryotherapy than of LLETZ.
“To control for preferential use of excision for endocervical and ablation for ectocervical lesions, we did a post-hoc subgroup analysis restricted to women with ectocervical lesions only, which confirmed the lower efficacy of laser ablation and cryotherapy than of LLETZ; results did not change when we restricted the analysis to both ectocervical lesions and studies with participants with a median”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
When compared with LLETZ, excisional treatments had an increased risk of preterm birth (CKC: OR 1·65 [95% CI 1·28-2·13]; laser conisation: OR 1·29 [0·97-1·72] with more uncertainty).
“When compared with LLETZ, excisional treatments had an increased risk of preterm birth (CKC: 1·65 [1·28–2·13]; similarly for laser conisation albeit with more uncertainty: 1·29 [0·97–1·72]).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
In pairwise meta-analyses, effect estimates were higher when treatments were compared with the external group than when compared with the colposcopy group (any treatment vs external group: OR 1·93 [95% CI 1·70-2·20]; any treatment vs colposcopy group: OR 1·31 [1·18-1·46]).
“As such, in pairwise meta-analyses, effect estimates were higher when treatments were compared with the external group than when compared with the colposcopy group (any treatment vs external group: OR 1·93 [95% CI 1·70–2·20]; any treatment vs colposcopy group: 1·31 [1·18–1·46]; appendix pp 68–69).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the analysis restricted to endocervical lesions or unsatisfactory colposcopy, or both, laser conisation reduced the risk of treatment failure versus LLETZ (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.23-0.84).
“except for the analysis restricted to endocervical lesions or unsatisfactory colposcopy, or both (CKC vs LLETZ: OR 0·59 [95% CI 0·39–0·91]; laser conisation vs LLETZ: 0·44 [0·23–0·84]).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
In studies with participants with a median age of 33 years or older, effect estimates of treatment failure for laser ablation and cryotherapy versus LLETZ were uncertain (laser ablation OR 1·17 [95% CI 0·62-2·19]; cryotherapy OR 1·24 [0·34-4·49]) due to a smaller number of studies using ablation in older women.
“but effect estimates versus LLETZ were uncertain in studies with participants with a median age of 33 years or older (laser ablation: OR 1·17 [95% CI 0·62–2·19]; cryotherapy: 1·24 [0·34–4·49]) due to a smaller number of studies using ablation in older women (appendix pp 143–45).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
When the analysis was restricted to studies in which most women were being treated for CIN3 or worse, ablative treatments led to higher rates of premature birth than were seen in the untreated colposcopy group, although estimates were uncertain.
“However, when the analysis was restricted to studies in which most women were being treated for CIN3 or worse, ablative treatments led to higher rates of premature birth than were seen in the untreated colposcopy group, although estimates were uncertain.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the unadjusted network meta-analysis model for preterm birth, all excisional techniques increased the risk of preterm birth compared with the untreated colposcopy group (CKC: OR 2·27 [95% CI 1·70-3·02]; laser conisation: OR 1·77 [1·29-2·43]; LLETZ: OR 1·37 [1·16-1·62]).
“Using the unadjusted network meta-analysis model for preterm birth (Figure 3, Figure 4), all excisional techniques increased the risk of preterm birth compared with the untreated colposcopy group (CKC: OR 2·27 [95% CI 1·70–3·02]; laser conisation: 1·77 [1·29–2·43]; and LLETZ: 1·37 [1·16–1·62]), whereas there was no evidence of an effect for laser ablation or cryotherapy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The post-hoc subgroup analysis of studies with potentially some clinically insignificant lesions (non-persistent CIN1) and other prespecified subgroup analyses (publication year, smoking, ascertainment of exposure or outcome, and level of income of country) did not materially change the results between LLETZ and other excisional treatments compared with the main analysis.
“The post-hoc subgroup analysis of studies with potentially some clinically insignificant lesions (ie, non-persistent CIN1) as well as other prespecified subgroup analyses (publication year, smoking, ascertainment of exposure or outcome, and level of income of country) did not materially change the results between LLETZ and other excisional treatments compared with the main analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
No effect of the length of follow-up was found for excisional techniques.
“We found no effect of the length of follow-up for excisional techniques (appendix p 192).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Using restricted cubic splines, rates of preterm birth increased proportionally with cone length (20 studies).
“Conversely, by using restricted cubic splines, rates of preterm birth increased proportionally with cone length (20 studies; appendix pp 212–13).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For endocervical lesions, LLETZ had a higher risk of treatment failure than CKC or laser conisation regardless of technique used (top-hat or standard LLETZ), although with some uncertainty.
“For endocervical lesions, LLETZ had a higher risk of treatment failure than did CKC or laser conisation regardless of technique used (top-hat or standard LLETZ; post hoc), although with some uncertainty (appendix p 145).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
Treatment failure rates were lower after CKC or laser conisation than after LLETZ in all post-hoc subgroup analyses for tumour location or grade of the lesion.
“Treatment failure rates were lower after CKC or laser conisation than after LLETZ in all post-hoc subgroup analyses for tumour location (ie, endocervical or ectocervical) or grade of the lesion (ie, CIN2 or worse or persistent CIN1, CIN3, or adenocarcinoma in situ); an analysis for stage IA1 cervical cancer was not possible because of the small number of cases (appendix pp 143–45).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
In standard meta-analyses, untreated women attending for colposcopy (untreated colposcopy group) had a higher risk of preterm birth than did women with no history of CIN (untreated external group).
“For the outcome of preterm birth, in standard meta-analyses we found that untreated women attending for colposcopy (untreated colposcopy group) had a higher risk of preterm birth than did women with no history of CIN (untreated external group; appendix pp 68–69).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In dose-response meta-analyses according to length of excised cone, in a linear model based on only three studies, risk of treatment failure was inversely proportional to length of excised cone.
“In our dose-response meta-analyses according to length of excised cone, in a linear model based on only three studies, we found that risk of treatment failure was inversely proportional to length of excised cone (appendix p 211).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The design-adjusted network meta-analyses gave broadly similar results to the unadjusted network meta-analysis.
“The design-adjusted network meta-analyses gave broadly similar results to the unadjusted network meta-analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingnone given
Little data were available for radical diathermy, cold coagulation, and cryotherapy.
“Little data were available for radical diathermy, cold coagulation, and cryotherapy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The post-hoc subgroup analysis of studies with potentially some clinically insignificant lesions and other prespecified subgroup analyses (publication year, smoking, ascertainment of exposure or outcome, and level of income of country) did not materially change the results between LLETZ and ablative treatments compared with the main analysis.
“The post-hoc subgroup analysis of studies with potentially some clinically insignificant lesions and other prespecified subgroup analyses (publication year, smoking, ascertainment of exposure or outcome, and level of income of country) did not materially change the results between LLETZ and ablative treatments compared with the main analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
More radical excisional treatment techniques (CKC or laser conisation) have lower rates of treatment failure than LLETZ.
“We identified previously unknown differences and reported lower rates of treatment failure among more radical excisional treatment techniques (CKC or laser conisation) than with LLETZ.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the network meta-analysis, laser ablation and cryotherapy were associated with almost twice the risk of failure compared with LLETZ.
“In our network meta-analysis, we found that laser ablation and cryotherapy were associated with almost twice the risk of failure compared with LLETZ.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In a post-hoc subgroup analysis restricted to women with CIN3, the odds ratios of treatment failure after ablative techniques versus LLETZ were even higher, in particular for cryotherapy.
“In a post-hoc subgroup analysis restricted to women with CIN3, the ORs of treatment failure after ablative techniques versus LLETZ were even higher, in particular for cryotherapy, supporting that cryotherapy should not be recommended for high-grade disease.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Laser ablation and cryotherapy had a higher risk of treatment failure than LLETZ in the prespecified subgroup analysis restricted to studies of younger women (median age <33 years).
“Laser ablation and cryotherapy still had higher risk of treatment failure than did LLETZ in the prespecified subgroup analysis restricted to studies of younger women (studies with a median age of <33 years), but effect estimates versus LLETZ were uncertain in studies with participants with a median age of 33 years or older (laser ablation: OR 1·17 [95% CI 0·62–2·19]; cryotherapy: 1·24 [0·34–4·49])”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the unadjusted network meta-analysis model for preterm birth, there was no evidence of an effect for laser ablation or cryotherapy compared with the untreated colposcopy group.
“whereas there was no evidence of an effect for laser ablation or cryotherapy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
No significant differences were found between LLETZ and CKC or laser conisation for women younger than 33 years.
“no significant differences were found between LLETZ and CKC or laser conisation for women younger than 33 years (appendix pp 143–45).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Findingown data
The absolute risk of preterm birth was highest for CKC, followed by laser conisation and LLETZ.
“The absolute risk of preterm birth was highest for CKC, followed by laser conisation and LLETZ (figure 5).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premiseown data
No network meta-analyses exploring the trade-off between effectiveness and risk of prematurity have been published to date.
“We identified meta-analyses reporting on oncological or reproductive outcomes after cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) treatments, but none of these explored the trade-off between effectiveness and risk of prematurity, and no network meta-analyses have been published to date.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Given the paucity of data, cold coagulation cannot be considered a safe alternative to LLETZ.
“Given the paucity of data, cold coagulation cannot be considered a safe alternative to LLETZ.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Premisereasoning
A large-scale randomised controlled trial assessing the relative effectiveness and morbidity of different treatment techniques is unlikely to ever be conducted.
“Given the similar effectiveness of most treatments, a large-scale randomised controlled trial assessing the relative effectiveness and morbidity of different treatment techniques is unlikely to ever be conducted.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
LLETZ has balanced effectiveness and reproductive morbidity.
“Although we found LLETZ to have balanced effectiveness and reproductive morbidity, treatment choice should rely on a woman's age, size and location of lesion, and future family planning.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Study design and conductown data
Estimates for most treatment comparisons were of low or very low quality mostly due to high risk of within-study bias.
“Estimates for most treatment comparisons were of low or very low quality mostly due to high risk of within-study bias (appendix pp 223–24).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The reproductive health risks from ablative treatments might be underestimated because of the preferential use of these techniques in women with less severe disease.
“Therefore, the reproductive health risks from ablative treatments might be underestimated because of the preferential use of these techniques in women with less severe disease.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Heterogeneity in the network (τ2=0·10) was moderate compared with the empirical distribution.
“Heterogeneity in the network (τ2=0·10) was moderate compared with the empirical distribution (appendix p 15).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Study design and conductown data
No substantial evidence of inconsistency between direct and indirect evidence was found.
“We did not find substantial evidence of inconsistency between direct and indirect evidence (appendix pp 83–84).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 13
- May combine two claims. 34
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationWithin-study risk of bias was assessed separately for each outcome using RoB 2 for randomised controlled trials and ROBINS-I for non-randomised studies.
“Two reviewers (AA and IK) assessed within-study risk of bias separately for each outcome using RoB 224 for randomised controlled trials and ROBINS-I25 for non-randomised studies (appendix pp 12–14).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checkedClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationLocal treatment techniques for cervical preinvasive and early invasive disease were previously thought to be interchangeable with regards to treatment failure rates, largely based on a 2013 Cochrane review of randomised controlled trials.
“Local treatment techniques for cervical preinvasive and early invasive disease were previously thought to be interchangeable with regards to treatment failure rates, largely based on a 2013 Cochrane review of randomised controlled trials.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Martin-Hirsch, 2013, Surgery for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, Cochrane Database Syst Rev source
The Background (Main results) reports that 29 randomised trials found no significant differences in persistent disease after treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN). But the Discussion (Overall completeness and applicability of evidence) says the trials were largely underpowered and that no firm conclusion about differences in treatment effect could be drawn; it does not establish that techniques are interchangeable. The review concerns CIN, not treatment of early invasive disease. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe risk of prematurity in subsequent pregnancies increases with increasing treatment radicality and length of cone excised.
“The risk of prematurity in subsequent pregnancies has been known to increase with increasing treatment radicality and length of cone excised.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 5 sources checked- cites [8] Kyrgiou, 2006, Obstetric outcomes after conservative treatment for intraepithelial or early invasive cervical lesions: systematic review and meta-analysis, Lancet source
- cites [9] Arbyn, 2008, Perinatal mortality and other severe adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: meta-analysis, BMJ source
The Discussion (Biological mechanisms; page unavailable) reports a positive association between depth of excision and adverse obstetric events, but presents the link between the amount of tissue removed and obstetric morbidity as a hypothesis. The Results (Severe and extreme preterm delivery; page unavailable) show higher risks after some procedures, but do not establish a consistent increase in prematurity with each increase in treatment radicality or cone length. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [10] Kyrgiou, 2014, Fertility and early pregnancy outcomes after treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: systematic review and meta-analysis, BMJ source
- cites [11] Kyrgiou, 2016, Adverse obstetric outcomes after local treatment for cervical preinvasive and early invasive disease according to cone depth: systematic review and meta-analysis, BMJ source
- cites [12] Kyrgiou, 2015, Proportion of cervical excision for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia as a predictor of pregnancy outcomes, Int J Gynaecol Obstet source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe credibility of the evidence included in the network meta-analysis was rated using CINeMA.
“We rated the credibility of the evidence included in the network meta-analysis using CINeMA33 (appendix pp 16–17).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [33] Salanti, 2014, Evaluating the quality of evidence from a network meta-analysis, PLoS One source
The Introduction and the section on confidence in each effect size propose a GRADE-based approach to rating confidence in network meta-analysis evidence. Our copy does not identify that approach as CINeMA or describe a tool by that name (searched: CINeMA). The citing authors’ statement that they used it is their own report, not something this source could establish. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationInappropriately superficial excisions in an attempt to minimise adverse pregnancy sequelae might compromise long-term oncological safety and could be partly accountable for the increased post-treatment incidence of cervical cancer.
“Conversely, inappropriately superficial excisions in an attempt to minimise adverse pregnancy sequelae might compromise long-term oncological safety45 and could be partly accountable for the increased post-treatment incidence of cervical cancer.15, 18”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked- cites [15] Strander, 2014, Effect of ageing on cervical or vaginal cancer in Swedish women previously treated for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3: population based cohort study of long term incidence and mortality, BMJ source
- cites [18] Arbyn, 2014, Long term outcomes for women treated for cervical precancer, BMJ source
- cites [45] Sasieni, 2016, Risk of preterm birth following surgical treatment for cervical disease: executive summary of a recent symposium, BJOG source
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationUntreated women attending for colposcopy have a higher risk of preterm birth than women without CIN, probably explained by inherent characteristics and genetic, epigenetic, or microbiome factors.
“Untreated women attending for colposcopy have a higher risk of preterm birth than do women without CIN, probably explained by inherent characteristics and genetic, epigenetic, or microbiome factors.40, 41, 42”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 3 sources checked- cites [40] Castanon, 2012, Risk of preterm birth after treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia among women attending colposcopy in England: retrospective-prospective cohort study, BMJ source
The Results (Internal comparison; page not provided) report a preterm-birth rate of 8.3% after punch biopsy only, while Table 2 reports 6.7% for births in England. The paper does not directly compare untreated colposcopy attendees with women confirmed not to have CIN. The Discussion (Strengths and limitations; page not provided) considers pre-existing risk factors and disease-related confounding, but does not identify genetic, epigenetic, or microbiome factors as the probable explanation. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [41] Kindinger, 2017, The interaction between vaginal microbiota, cervical length, and vaginal progesterone treatment for preterm birth risk, Microbiome source
The Results section reports an association between vaginal microbiota and preterm birth in women already at high risk, and the Discussion suggests possible microbiome-related mechanisms. The paper does not compare untreated women attending colposcopy with women without CIN, or attribute such a difference to inherent, genetic, or epigenetic factors. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [42] Mitra, 2016, The vaginal microbiota, human papillomavirus infection and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: what do we know and where are we going next?, Microbiome source
The ‘Limitations of current literature and areas for future study’ section says dysbiosis increases preterm-birth risk, and the ‘Vaginal microbiota and HPV/CIN/cervical cancer’ section reports an association between CIN severity and vaginal microbiota. The paper does not establish that untreated women attending colposcopy have a higher preterm-birth risk than women without CIN, or attribute such a difference to genetic or epigenetic factors. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataNo difference in risk of treatment failure was found between cold coagulation and LLETZ (OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.68-1.74), but direct data were based on two small studies only.
“No differences were found for the comparison of cold coagulation versus LLETZ (1·09 [0·68–1·74]) but direct data were based on two small studies only.”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“with the exception of cold coagulation, which had a similar risk (1·09 [0·68–1·74]), but only two small studies compared cold coagulation directly with LLETZ”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataCone lengths up to and including 10 mm were associated with a small increase in the risk of preterm birth when compared with the untreated colposcopy group, whereas lengths over 10 mm with a greater increase in risk (10 mm [10·4% absolute risk] vs colposcopy [7·9%]: OR 1·31 [95% CI 1·11-1·55]; 15 mm [17·2%] vs colposcopy: OR 2·17 [1·69-2·80]; 20 mm [32·4%] vs colposcopy: OR 4·09 [2·68-6·23]).
“Cone lengths up to and including 10 mm were associated with a small increase in the risk of preterm birth when compared with the untreated colposcopy group, whereas lengths over 10 mm with a greater increase in risk (10 mm [10·4% absolute risk] vs colposcopy [7·9%]: OR 1·31 [95% CI 1·11–1·55]; 15 mm [17·2%] vs colposcopy: OR 2·17 [1·69–2·80]; 20 mm [32·4%] vs colposcopy: 4·09 [2·68–6·23]; appendix”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOn the basis of P-scores, laser conisation and CKC were the highest-ranking treatments, whereas cryotherapy was the lowest-ranking treatment.
“On the basis of P-scores, laser conisation and CKC were the highest-ranking treatments, whereas cryotherapy was the lowest-ranking treatment (appendix p 70).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataMost ablative techniques had a risk of preterm birth similar to that of the untreated colposcopy group (7·9% [95% CI 6·3-9·9]), except for cold coagulation, which had a lower risk but much uncertainty (5·5% [0·2-71·5]) because the estimate was based on a single study of low quality.
“Most ablative techniques had a risk of preterm birth similar to that of the untreated colposcopy group (7·9% [95% CI 6·3–9·9]), except for cold coagulation, which had a lower risk but had much uncertainty (5·5% [0·2–71·5]) because the estimate was based on a single study of low quality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataSecondary analyses of treatment failure using different cutoffs for the definitions of treatment failure (cytological ASC-H or worse, or histological CIN2 or worse: 30 studies; histological CIN1 or worse: 22 studies; histological CIN2 or worse: 18 studies; high-risk HPV positivity rates at 6 months: eight studies) were consistent with the main analysis, although there was more uncertainty in the估计
“We did secondary analyses of the outcome of treatment failure using different cutoffs for the definitions of treatment failure (cytological ASC-H or worse, or histological CIN2 or worse: 30 studies; histological CIN1 or worse: 22 studies; histological CIN2 or worse: 18 studies; high-risk HPV positivity rates at 6 months: eight studies). Results were consistent with the main analysis, although”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe absolute risk of any treatment failure was lowest for laser conisation and CKC, and highest for cryotherapy and laser ablation.
“The absolute risk of any treatment failure was lowest for laser conisation and CKC, and highest for cryotherapy and laser ablation (figure 5).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn post-hoc subgroup analyses by grade of the lesion, the odds ratios of treatment failure after laser ablation and cryotherapy versus LLETZ increased with increasing CIN grade and were highest for CIN3 (laser ablation OR 2·38 [95% CI 1·03-5·48]; cryotherapy OR 3·11 [1·29-7·49]).
“In the post-hoc subgroup analyses for grade of the lesion, we found that odds ratios of treatment failure after laser ablation and cryotherapy (vs LLETZ) increased with increasing CIN grade, and were the highest for CIN3 (laser ablation: OR 2·38 [95% CI 1·03–5·48]; cryotherapy: 3·11 [1·29–7·49]; appendix pp 143–45).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataP-scores identified laser ablation, followed by cryotherapy and cold coagulation, as being the best treatments, and CKC as being the worst treatment for preterm birth.
“P-scores identified laser ablation, followed by cryotherapy and cold coagulation, as being the best treatments, and CKC as being the worst treatment (appendix p 77).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAlthough the distribution of CIN2 or worse was similar, the proportion of women treated for CIN3 or worse was lower in ablative than excisional techniques.
“Although the distribution of CIN2 or worse was similar, the proportion of women treated for CIN3 or worse was lower in ablative than excisional techniques.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataWhen compared with LLETZ, ablative techniques had a reduced risk of preterm birth but with uncertainty (laser ablation: OR 0·77 [95% CI 0·56-1·04]; cold coagulation and cryotherapy also had a reduced risk, but estimates were much more uncertain especially for cold coagulation).
“When compared with LLETZ, ablative techniques had a reduced risk of preterm birth but with uncertainty (laser ablation: 0·77 [0·56–1·04]; cold coagulation and cryotherapy also had a reduced risk, but estimates were much more uncertain especially for cold coagulation; figure 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn another post-hoc subgroup analysis of treatment failure, the odds ratios of cumulative treatment failure rates for laser ablation and cryotherapy compared with LLETZ increased with increasing follow-up duration and were highest in studies with median follow-up duration of at least 60 months (laser ablation OR 3·02 [95% CI 1·23-7·39]; cryotherapy OR 3·17 [1·36-7·35]).
“In another post-hoc subgroup analysis of treatment failure, the ORs of cumulative treatment failure rates for laser ablation and cryotherapy compared with LLETZ increased with increasing follow-up duration and were the highest in studies with median follow-up duration of at least 60 months (laser ablation: OR 3·02 [95% CI 1·23–7·39]; cryotherapy: 3·17 [1·36–7·35]); for cold coagulation, the”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn all these analyses, no differences were found between cold coagulation and LLETZ, but data on cold coagulation were scarce.
“In all these analyses, no differences were found between cold coagulation and LLETZ, but data on cold coagulation were scarce.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataResults for laser ablation and cryotherapy were quite conclusive even when non-randomised studies were down-weighted more aggressively and high-risk studies completely removed; for the rest of the treatments, uncertainty precluded definitive conclusions.
“Results for laser ablation and cryotherapy were quite conclusive even when we down-weighted non-randomised studies more aggressively and completely removed high-risk studies. For the rest of the treatments, there was uncertainty precluding definitive conclusions (appendix p 93).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataCKC was more effective than LLETZ for treatment of endocervical lesions (post hoc) and when done in older (median age of ≥33 years) women (prespecified).
“In subgroup analyses, we found that CKC was more effective than LLETZ for treatment of endocervical lesions (post hoc) and when done in older (median age of ≥33 years) women (prespecified).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe two sensitivity analyses that excluded non-randomised studies and that excluded non-randomised studies at high risk of bias showed consistent results with the main analyses, although there was more uncertainty due to the lower number of included studies than in the main analyses.
“The two sensitivity analyses that excluded non-randomised studies and that excluded non-randomised studies at high risk of bias showed consistent results with the main analyses, although there was more uncertainty due to the lower number of included studies than in the main analyses (appendix pp 143–5).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataResults from pairwise meta-analyses were in line with the network meta-analysis.
“Results from pairwise meta-analyses were in line with the network meta-analysis (appendix pp 66–67).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataCold coagulation had a similar risk of treatment failure as LLETZ, but data on cold coagulation were limited.
“Cold coagulation had a similar risk of failure as LLETZ, but data on cold coagulation were limited.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationA 2017 meta-analysis reported lower rates of margin positivity and recurrence for knife and laser cones than for LLETZ.
“Another meta-analysis published in 2017 reported lower rates of margin positivity and recurrence for knife and laser cones than for LLETZ.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] Arbyn, 2017, Incomplete excision of cervical precancer as a predictor of treatment failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Lancet Oncol source
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe evidence base for the network meta-analysis was mostly observational studies with inherent risks of bias, and the credibility of many comparisons was low.
“The evidence was based mostly on observational studies with their inherent risks of bias, and the credibility of many comparisons was low.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“Results should be interpreted with caution because the evidence base consisted of mostly observational studies with inherent risks of bias.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationProtocols were registered with PROSPERO (CRD42018115508 and CRD42018115495).
“Protocols have been registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018115508 and CRD42018115495, and published previously.19, 20”
- Also stated in: § Methods · plain
“This systematic review is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018115495 and CRD42018115508.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [19] Athanasiou, 2019, Comparative efficacy and complication rates after local treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and stage 1a1 cervical cancer: protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis from the CIRCLE Group, BMJ Open
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [20] Athanasiou, 2019, Comparative fertility and pregnancy outcomes after local treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and stage 1a1 cervical cancer: protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis from the CIRCLE group, BMJ Open
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Also stated in: § Methods · plain
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenFor observational studies, relative treatment effect estimates adjusted for potential confounders were extracted when available.
“For observational studies, we extracted relative treatment effect estimates adjusted for potential confounders, when available.”
- Also stated in: § Methods · plain
“for observational studies, we extracted relative treatment effect estimates adjusted for potential confounders, when available”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Methods · plain
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisereasoningThe trade-off between treatment failure rates and preterm birth among different treatment methods remains unclear.
“The trade-off between treatment failure rates and preterm birth among different treatment methods remains unclear to date.”
- Also stated in: § Background · plain
“The trade-off between comparative effectiveness and reproductive morbidity of different treatment methods for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) remains unclear.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Background · plain
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataAblative treatments probably do not increase the risk of preterm birth compared with untreated CIN, but they are associated with higher failure rates than excisional techniques.
“Although there is uncertainty, ablative treatments probably do not increase risk of preterm birth, but are associated with higher failure rates than excisional techniques.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · hedged
“Conversely, ablative techniques might not increase the risk of preterm birth compared with women with untreated CIN, but there is uncertainty and they have a higher risk of treatment failure than excisional procedures, particularly in the long term and when used for treatment for CIN3.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Also stated in: § Introduction · hedged
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataMore radical excisional techniques (cold knife conisation and laser conisation) reduce the risk of treatment failure but increase the risk of subsequent preterm birth compared with more conservative treatments (LLETZ and ablation).
“More radical excisional techniques reduce the risk of treatment failure but increase the risk of subsequent preterm birth.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“We found that more aggressive treatments (ie, cold knife conisation and laser conisation) are associated with lower failure rates but a higher risk of subsequent preterm birth than more conservative treatments (ie, large loop excision of the transformation zone [LLETZ] and ablation).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationPrespecified design-adjusted analyses were done to combine randomised and non-randomised evidence, down-weighting studies with higher risk of bias.
“We did prespecified design-adjusted analyses to combine randomised and non-randomised evidence,31 in which studies with higher risk of bias were assigned less weight and studies of lower risk of bias were assigned more weight.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] Efthimiou, 2017, Combining randomized and non-randomized evidence in network meta-analysis, Stat Med source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe systematic review and network meta-analysis was done according to the Cochrane Handbook and reported using PRISMA guidelines for network meta-analysis.
“This systematic review and network meta-analysis was done according to the Cochrane Handbook22 and was reported using Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines for network meta-analysis (appendix pp 3–5).23”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [22] Higgins
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [23] Hutton, 2015, The PRISMA extension statement for reporting of systematic reviews incorporating network meta-analyses of health care interventions: checklist and explanations, Ann Intern Med source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataScreening and data extraction were done independently by two reviewers, and discrepancies were resolved through discussion with a third reviewer.
“Screening and data extraction were done independently by two reviewers (AA and IK) and discrepancies were resolved through discussion with a third reviewer (MK; more details on data extraction are in the appendix [p 12]).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningPossible inclusion of women with clinically insignificant lesions, preferential use of excision or ablation on the basis of the severity and location of the lesion, and differences in the distribution of publication year, age, adenocarcinoma in situ, cervical cancer, and CIN3 or worse across treatment comparisons might have led to further bias in calculations for the risk of treatment failure.
“Possible inclusion of women with clinically insignificant lesions (ie, non-persistent CIN1) in some studies, preferential use of excision or ablation on the basis of the severity and location of the lesion, and differences in the distribution of publication year, age, adenocarcinoma in situ, cervical cancer, and CIN3 or worse across treatment comparisons might have led to further bias in our”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataBecause odds ratios of treatment failure and preterm birth after ablation (vs LLETZ and colposcopy, respectively) were higher in the subgroup analysis restricted to patients with CIN3 or worse than in the main network meta-analyses, the magnitude of risks from ablation for severe disease might be underestimated in the main analyses, but our conclusions would not change.
“Because odds ratios of treatment failure and preterm birth after ablation (vs LLETZ and colposcopy, respectively) were higher in the subgroup analysis restricted to patients with CIN3 or worse than in the main network meta-analyses, the magnitude of risks from ablation for severe disease might be underestimated in the main analyses, but our conclusions would not change.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataMore aggressive local CIN treatments are associated with a reduced risk of treatment failure but an increased risk of preterm birth in subsequent pregnancies.
“Our findings suggest that more aggressive local CIN treatments are associated with a reduced risk of treatment failure but an increased risk of preterm birth in subsequent pregnancies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningData were dominated by observational data, thus bias might be present in the estimated treatment effects because of unmeasured confounding.
“Data were dominated by observational data, thus bias might be present in the estimated treatment effects because of unmeasured confounding.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataHeterogeneity in the network for preterm birth (τ2=0·02) was low compared with the empirical distribution, no evidence of inconsistency was found between direct and indirect data, and no small-study effects or publication bias were detected.
“Heterogeneity in the network (τ2=0·02) was low compared with the empirical distribution (appendix p 15). We found no evidence of inconsistency for risk of preterm birth between direct and indirect data (appendix pp 85–86).”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“No small-study effects or publication bias were detected (appendix pp 227–30).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Results · plain
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataNo evidence of small-study effects or publication bias was found.
“We did not find any evidence of small-study effects or publication bias (appendix pp 217–21).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataMost non-randomised studies and some randomised controlled trials were at high risk of bias.
“Most non-randomised studies (34 [74%] of 46 studies for treatment failure and 14 [52%] of 27 for preterm birth) and some randomised controlled trials (seven [28%] of 25 for treatment failure and none for preterm birth) were at high risk of bias.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataMost non-randomised studies were downgraded because of absence of adjustment for confounders, whereas most randomised controlled trials were downgraded because of absence of a published protocol.
“Most non-randomised studies were downgraded because of the absence of adjustment for confounders, whereas most randomised controlled trials were downgraded because of the absence of a published protocol (appendix pp 40–65).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe design-adjusted network meta-analyses gave almost identical results to the unadjusted network meta-analysis and did not affect conclusions drawn.
“The design-adjusted network meta-analyses gave almost identical results to the unadjusted network meta-analysis and did not affect conclusions drawn (appendix p 99).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe plausibility of the transitivity assumption was assessed by examining the distribution of suspected effect modifiers across treatment comparisons.
“To assess the plausibility of the transitivity assumption, we examined the distribution of suspected effect modifiers across treatment comparisons (appendix p 15).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe study excluded studies that preferentially used excision for high-grade disease and ablation for low-grade disease, and did subgroup analyses of younger women, ectocervical lesions only, and studies excluding adenocarcinoma in situ or cervical cancer, which did not change the results.
“We excluded studies that preferentially used excision for high-grade disease and ablation for low-grade disease, and we did subgroup analyses of younger women, ectocervical lesions only, and studies excluding adenocarcinoma in situ or cervical cancer, which did not change the results.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
Heterogeneity (τ2) is the same across all treatment comparisons of each network.
“For identifiability, we assumed heterogeneity (τ2) to be the same across all treatment comparisons of each network,22 and we estimated it using the DerSimonian and Laird method.26”
The authors state this as an assumption.
This is the first network meta-analysis to explore the comparative effectiveness and reproductive morbidity for different treatments for CIN.
“To our knowledge, this is the first network meta-analysis to explore the comparative effectiveness and reproductive morbidity for different treatments for CIN.”
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Self-citationCombining randomized and non-randomized evidence in network meta-analysis
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Self-citationThe Kilim plot: A tool for visualizing network meta‐analysis results for multiple outcomes
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Self-citationCommentary: Have we dismissed ablative treatment too soon in colposcopy practice?
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Self-citationCost of screening and treatment of cervical dyskaryosis in Germany.
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The impact of HPV vaccination beyond cancer prevention: effect on pregnancy outcomes
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Self-citationTrend of decreasing length of cervical cone excision during the last 20 years.
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Self-citation
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“When used correctly, tissue-destructive methods, such as excision and ablation, are highly effective (~5–10% failure rate, i.e., 90–95% effective) [311], but, as discussed, they are much more difficult and more resource-intensive to deliver effectively.”
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“The most recent meta-analysis reported that increased risk of preterm labor is connected with all excisional techniques [22].”
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“Larger excisions and more radical excisional techniques increase treatment success but also pose greater risk of subsequent PTBs, and the observed increase risk does not decrease with time [87–89].”
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“A growing body of evidence suggested that local surgical treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia(CIN) reduces the risk of treatment failure but increases the risk of adverse obstetric outcomes, including preterm birth, low birth weight, premature rupture of the membranes et al. [37, 38].”
BackgroundSexually transmitted human papillomavirus and related sequelae
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“The data used to build our main analysis was informed by expert input, after these experts had assessed the results of our NMA, the results of the best available studies and the audit data.”
InfluentialSelf-citationCervical Cancer Treatment and Fertility: What We Know and What We Do
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“Despite an increased risk of preterm birth ( p = 0.010) and lower birth weight ( p 0.001), conization does not significantly increase rates of perinatal death or stillbirth [30,31].”
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“[9] Therefore, there is a subset of women with CIN2+ lesions who wish to avoid excisional treatment because their concern for cervical cancer risk is less important than their concern for future adverse pregnancy outcomes.”
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“Numerous studies have demonstrated the association between adverse obstetric outcomes and LEEP treatment [19, 21–23].”
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Cervical cancer elimination: what, how and WHO ?
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“The GBD 2021 offers a comprehensive assessment of global health, covering 371 diseases, injuries, and 88 risk factors across 204 countries and territories [10].”
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“[36] There is also a significant recurrence rate after surgical interventions.”
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HPV-Impfung: aktuelle Empfehlungen 2023
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Gynecologic Cancer Screening and Prevention: State of the Science and Practice
Tran, C., Diaz-Ayllon, H. P., Abulez, D. S., Chinta, S., Williams‐Brown, M. Y., & Desravines, N. (2025) · Current Treatment Options in Oncology · doi:10.1007/s11864-025-01301-z · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“5% and 16.3% in LEEPs and CKCs, respectively [45].”
InfluentialNakagawa, M., Evans, T. T., Bimali, M., Coleman, H. N., Crane, J., Darwish, N., Faulkner, J. L., Jones, A., Kelly, H., Lieblong, B. J., et al. (2025) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2025.01.18.25320725 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
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“However, evidence published over the past 15 years also indicates that these treatments are associated with increased reproductive morbidity, such as preterm labor and midterm miscarriage [5, 6], after treatment [7, 8].”
Adjuvant VaccInation After Conization for the Treatment for CervicAL Dysplasia
Caia, C., Maria, F. D., Sopracordevole, F., et al. (2025) · European Journal of Cancer Prevention · doi:10.1097/cej.0000000000000971 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Yang, W., Jiang, G., Liu, Y., Zhang, L., & Li, Y. (2025) · Photodiagnosis and Photodynamic Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.pdpdt.2025.104791 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
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Emerging Treatment Options for Cervical Dysplasia and Early Cervical Cancer
Boisen, M. M., & Guido, R. L. (2023) · Clinical Obstetrics & Gynecology · doi:10.1097/grf.0000000000000790 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
The HPV prevention and control program in Poland: progress and the way forward
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“While some evidence suggests no clear association between surgical method and margin status [38], a recent meta-analysis indicated that CK and laser conization had lower treatment failure rates compared to an LEEP [39].”
An integrated approach to secondary prevention of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia
Klinyshkova, T. V., & Frolova, N. B. (2024) · Vrach · doi:10.29296/25877305-2024-10-02 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
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“Although this treatment is effective in most cases, some women will experience residual or recurrent disease [2, 3].”
Quels outils de prédiction de l’accouchement prématuré en cas de menace d’accouchement prématuré ?
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“32 However, it is well known that cold knife conization is associated with stenosis, which comprises post-treatment follow-up.”
Eriksen, D. O., Krog, L., Ostenfeld, E. B., Jensen, P. T., Lycke, K. D., Grønborg, T. K., Wentzensen, N., Clarke, M. A., & Hammer, A. (2026) · Acta Obstetricia Et Gynecologica Scandinavica · doi:10.1111/aogs.70128 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
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“Given that many of these women are young, active surveillance of CIN2 has been widely adopted in the last decade due to high regression rates and the reproductive risks associated with local excision [16 – 20].”
Self-citationLong-Term Outcomes After Cervical Cold Knife Conization or Loop Electrosurgical Excision Procedure
Yi, H., Liu, Y., Yin, X., et al. (2026) · JAMA Surgery · doi:10.1001/jamasurg.2026.1782 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
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Development and validation of a risk prediction model for spontaneous preterm birth
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“On the one hand, overdiagnosis may result in unwarranted excisional surgery, which is linked to adverse pregnancy outcomes and various complications for both mothers and fetuses [17–26] .”
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Individualised care for cervical precancer
Paraskevaidis, E., Athanasiou, A., Ellis, L. B., Bowden, S. J., & Kyrgiou, M. (2025) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.r7
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Yang, W., Zhang, L., Li, Y., & Jiang, G. (2025) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.5380712
Predictors of Spontaneous Preterm Birth Among Pregnant Women With a History of Cervical Conization
Yamada, T., Takahashi, N., Yamamoto, R., & Hayashi, S. (2025) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.91558
“With regard to surgical variables, cold-knife conization seems to be the most hazardous method, and the risk of prematurity increases with increasing excisional specimen depth [8,10].”
Engler, T., Nägele, M., Dannehl, D., et al. (2025) · Archives of Gynecology and Obstetrics · doi:10.1007/s00404-025-08190-5
Impact of HPV vaccination after a diagnosis of cervical HSIL – a case-control study
Vieira‐Baptista, P., Lima‐Silva, J., Freitas, G., Gonçalves, M., Coelho, C., Melo, C., Pinto, C., & Preti, M. (2025) · Expert Review of Anticancer Therapy · doi:10.1080/14737140.2025.2601767
Hodge, M. C., McClure, J. A., Hutson, J. R., et al. (2026) · Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology Canada · doi:10.1016/j.jogc.2026.103230
Min, S., Xie, L., Wu, Y., Bo, L., Liu, Y., Zhu, Y., & Tan, Y. (2026) · BMC Women s Health · doi:10.1186/s12905-026-04274-9
“While more thorough resection techniques can reduce treatment failure, they also increase the risk of premature delivery [12, 13].”
Fighting preterm birth with the scalpel: lessons from a decade of total cervical occlusion
Lindel, F., STEINKASSERER, L., Dutemeyer, V., Rahn, A., Hillemanns, P., Brodowski, L., & von Kaisenberg, C. (2026) · Journal of Perinatal Medicine · doi:10.1515/jpm-2025-0409
Hong, Q., Smith, L., Proctor, L., Gondara, L., Alam, M. S., Cook, D. A., Franco, E., Krajden, M., Martin, R. E., McClymont, E., et al. (2026) · International Journal of Gynecology & Obstetrics · doi:10.1002/ijgo.70872
Sadler, L. C., Wadsworth, M., Dawes, L. K., et al. (2026) · American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology · doi:10.1016/j.ajog.2026.02.033
Ferreira, A. L., de Melo, Y. L. M. F., Portari, E. A., et al. (2026) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0342001
“This is especially relevant because excisional treatment has been linked to adverse obstetric outcomes [10–14].”
Castle, P. E. (2026) · JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute · doi:10.1093/jnci/djag041
Rusu, E. L., Buciu, V. B., Balan, L., et al. (2026) · Diagnostics · doi:10.3390/diagnostics16081220
“At the same time, excision is not benign, especially in women with future reproductive plans, since cervical excision is associated with a higher risk of preterm birth [41].”
Hu, Y., Chen, S., Cheng, H., et al. (2026) · Journal of Gynecologic Oncology · doi:10.3802/jgo.2026.37.e98
“Furthermore, the probability of preterm birth following conization remains 2.27 times greater than that in untreated colposcopy cohorts, with a concomitant preterm rate of 16.3% [11].”
InfluentialVictoria, M.-K., Johanna, E. M., Concepta, N. K., Uwamahoro, M. C., Emmanuel, M. M., Loveness, A. N., & Patricia, K.-M. (2026) · International Journal of Nursing and Midwifery · doi:10.5897/ijnm2025.0554
Joura, E. A., Chatzistamatiou, Κ., Gültekin, M., et al. (2026) · International Journal of Gynecological Cancer · doi:10.1016/j.ijgc.2026.104794
Human papillomavirus and reproductive function: threats and possibilities of prophylaxis
Adamyan, L. V., & Minkina, G. N. (2026) · Russian Journal of Human Reproduction · doi:10.17116/repro20263203132
Li, M., You, Z., Li, J., Bi, H., Chen, F., Shen, D., Cong, Q., Yu, N., Zhao, Y., Qiu, L., et al. (2026) · Gynecology and Obstetrics Clinical Medicine · doi:10.1136/gocm-2026-000500
Pinto, V., Dellino, M., Cerbone, M., et al. (2026) · Pathogens · doi:10.3390/pathogens15080814
“Crucially, this approach demonstrates a minimal impact on the long-term risk of subsequent preterm delivery [3].”
Suzuki, K., Iriyama, T., Izumi, G., Wada‐Hiraike, O., Harada, M., & Hirota, Y. (2026) · Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology research · doi:10.1111/jog.70456
Runello, F., Schaafsma, M., Dick, S., et al. (2026) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-10358193/v1
Good practice recommendations on spontaneous preterm birth
Dehaene, I., Renzo, G. C. D., Daskalakis, G. J., Domellöf, M., Malamitsi‐Puchner, A., Modi, N., Koç, E., Shennan, A. H., Zeitlin, J. A., Andersson, O., et al. (2026) · European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology · doi:10.1016/j.ejogrb.2026.115389
Kıran, G., Tanoğlu, F. B., Erkoc, T. I., et al. (2026) · Journal of Lower Genital Tract Disease · doi:10.1097/lgt.0000000000000971
Gavril, S. T., Popovici, R. M., Solomon-Condriuc, I. P., Sescu, V. A., Haba, R. M., Mogoş, R. A., Costea, C. F., & Cărăuleanu, A. (2026) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm15197631
Therapeutic HPV vaccine: advancing the global vision to eliminate cervical cancer
Chen, S., Liu, F., Li, M., et al. (2026) · Science China Life Sciences · doi:10.1007/s11427-025-3464-2
- Authors
- Athanasiou, A., Veroniki, A. A., Efthimiou, O., Kalliala, I., Naci, H., Bowden, S., Paraskevaidi, M., Arbyn, M., Lyons, D., Martin-Hirsch, P., Bennett, P., Paraskevaidis, E., Salanti, G., & Kyrgiou, M.
- Affiliations
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust (GB)
- St. Michael's Hospital (CA)
- University of Bern (CH)
- University of Helsinki (FI)
- London School of Economics and Political Science (GB)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- Institut Scientifique de Santé Publique (BE)
- ORCID
- Venue
- The Lancet Oncology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2022-08
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 1097-1108
- ISSN
- 1470-2045 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9630146
- OpenAlex
- W4285045571
- Cited by
- 85
- References
- 47
- Citations by year
- 2026: 25 · 2025: 33 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 1
- FWCI
- 3.29
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- erratum (2022-08-01)
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet Oncology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- London School of Economics and Political Science Theses Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (acceptedVersion)
- London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- BORIS (University Library Bern) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja (submittedVersion)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Cancer Research UK (P92114)
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR-INF-1847, PB-PG-0816-20004)
- Department of Health and Social Care
- European Commission (HORIZON2020, 847845)
- Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (20004, 179158, 180083)
- Institut National Du Cancer
- Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (847845)
- Research for Patient Benefit Programme
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Cervical Cancer and HPV Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Obstetrics and Gynecology › Endometrial and Cervical Cancer Treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Preterm Birth and Chorioamnionitis
- Keywords
- cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, preterm birth, treatment failure, LLETZ, laser ablation, cold coagulation, cryotherapy, excisional treatment, ablative treatment, reproductive morbidity, colposcopy
- MeSH terms
- Network Meta-Analysis, Network Meta-Analysis as Topic, Uterine Cervical Dysplasia, Uterine Cervical Neoplasms, Female, Humans, Infant, Newborn, Conization, Premature Birth
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-16.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-16.
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