Mapping the Global Flow of Aluminum: From Liquid Aluminum to End-Use Goods
Open accessAbstract
Demand for aluminum in final products has increased 30-fold since 1950 to 45 million tonnes per year, with forecasts predicting this exceptional growth to continue so that demand will reach 2-3 times today's levels by 2050. Aluminum production uses 3.5% of global electricity and causes 1% of global CO2 emissions, while meeting a 50% cut in emissions by 2050 against growing demand would require at least a 75% reduction in CO2 emissions per tonne of aluminum produced--a challenging prospect. In this paper we trace the global flows of aluminum from liquid metal to final products, revealing for the first time a complete map of the aluminum system and providing a basis for future study of the emissions abatement potential of material efficiency. The resulting Sankey diagram also draws attention to two key issues. First, around half of all liquid aluminum (~39 Mt) produced each year never reaches a final product, and a detailed discussion of these high yield losses shows significant opportunities for improvement. Second, aluminum recycling, which avoids the high energy costs and emissions of electrolysis, requires signification "dilution" (~ 8 Mt) and "cascade" (~ 6 Mt) flows of higher aluminum grades to make up for the shortfall in scrap supply and to obtain the desired alloy mix, increasing the energy required for recycling.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
For aluminum, the energy penalty was estimated up to 20%.
“For aluminum, the energy penalty was estimated up to 20% [108].”
From Material efficiency strategies to reducing greenhouse gas emissions associated with buildings, vehicles, and electronics—a review (2019) · cites this paper as [108]
Passenger cars account for about 8% of global steel use and about 18% of global aluminum use.
“Passenger cars account for only about 8% 35 and 18% 62 of global steel and aluminum use, respectively.”
From Global Carbon Benefits of Material Substitution in Passenger Cars until 2050 and the Impact on the Steel and Aluminum Industries (2014) · cites this paper as [62]
Cites
Options for Achieving a 50% Cut in Industrial Carbon Emissions by 2050
Allwood, J. M., Cullen, J. M., & Milford, R. L. (2010) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es902909k · Cited by 491 · see citing works
Self-citationSustainable materials with both eyes open
(2013) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.50-3871 · Cited by 435 · see citing works
Mapping the global flow of steel: From steelmaking to end-use goods
Cullen, J. M., Allwood, J. M., & Bambach, M. D. (2012) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es302433p · Cited by 268 · see citing works
Self-citationEnhanced heterogeneous nucleation in AZ91D alloy by intensive melt shearing
Fan, Z., Wang, Y., Xia, M., et al. (2009) · Acta Materialia · doi:10.1016/j.actamat.2009.06.052 · Cited by 254 · see citing works
The efficient use of energy: Tracing the global flow of energy from fuel to service
Cullen, J. M., & Allwood, J. M. (2009) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.054 · Cited by 248 · see citing works
Self-citationAnthropogenic Cycles of the Elements: A Critical Review
Chen, W., & Graedel, T. E. (2012) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es3010333 · Cited by 235 · see citing works
Theoretical efficiency limits for energy conversion devices
Cullen, J. M., & Allwood, J. M. (2010) · Energy · doi:10.1016/j.energy.2010.01.024 · Cited by 233 · see citing works
Self-citationMilford, R. L., Allwood, J. M., & Cullen, J. M. (2011) · Resources Conservation and Recycling · doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2011.05.021 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
Self-citationThermodynamic Analysis of Contamination by Alloying Elements in Aluminum Recycling
Nakajima, K., Takeda, O., Miki, T., Matsubae, K., Nakamura, S., & Nagasaka, T. (2010) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es9038769 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
Hatayama, H., Daigo, I., Matsuno, Y., & Adachi, Y. (2012) · Resources Conservation and Recycling · doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2012.06.006 · Cited by 139 · see citing works
The role of automobiles for the future of aluminum recycling
Modaresi, R., & Müller, D. B. (2012) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es300648w · Cited by 138 · see citing works
Melting standardized aluminum scrap: A mass balance model for europe
Boin, U., & Bertram, M. (2005) · JOM · doi:10.1007/s11837-005-0164-4 · Cited by 106 · see citing works
The economics of secondary aluminium supply: An econometric analysis based on European data
Blomberg, J., & Söderholm, P. (2009) · Resources Conservation and Recycling · doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2009.03.001 · Cited by 96 · see citing works
Unearthing Potentials for Decarbonizing the U.S. Aluminum Cycle
Liu, G., Bangs, C. E., & Müller, D. B. (2011) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es202211w · Cited by 96 · see citing works
Material Flow Analysis in the Aluminum Industry
Bertram, M., Martchek, K. J., & Rombach, G. (2009) · Journal of Industrial Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.1530-9290.2009.00158.x · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Modelling More Sustainable Aluminium (4 pp)
Martchek, K. J. (2005) · The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment · doi:10.1065/lca2006.01.231 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Theoretical/Best Practice Energy Use In Metalcasting Operations
Schifo, J., & Radia, J. (2004) · doi:10.2172/1216246 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Prospective Study of the World Aluminium Industry
Luo, Z., & Antonio, S. R. (2008) · Joint Research Centre (European Commission) · doi:10.2791/36024 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Prasso, D. C., Evans, J. W., & Wilson, I. J. (1995) · Metallurgical and Materials Transactions B · doi:10.1007/bf02654009 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Life cycle analysis of lithium-ion batteries for automotive applications
Dai, Q., Kelly, J. C., Gaines, L., & Wang, M. (2019) · Batteries · doi:10.3390/batteries5020048 · Cited by 491 · see citing works
Hertwich, E. G., Ali, S., Ciacci, L., Fishman, T., Heeren, N., Masanet, E., Asghari, F. N., Olivetti, E., Pauliuk, S., Tu, Q., et al. (2019) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab0fe3 · Cited by 477 · see citing works
Exley, C. (2013) · Environ. Sci.: Processes Impacts · doi:10.1039/c3em00374d · Cited by 382 · see citing works
Modaresi, R., Pauliuk, S., Løvik, A. N., & Müller, D. B. (2014) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es502930w · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Metal Dissipation and Inefficient Recycling Intensify Climate Forcing
Ciacci, L., Harper, E. M., Nassar, N. T., Reck, B. K., & Graedel, T. E. (2016) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.6b02714 · Cited by 78 · see citing works
Leveraging material efficiency as an energy and climate instrument for heavy industries in the EU
Hernandez, A. G., Cooper-Searle, S., Skelton, A. C. H., & Cullen, J. M. (2018) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.055 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Cullen, J. M., & Allwood, J. M.
- Affiliations
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Cullen, Jonathan M.
- Venue
- Environmental Science & Technology
- Publisher
- American Chemical Society (ACS)
- Published
- 2013-03-11
- Volume
- 47
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 3057-3064
- ISSN
- 0013-936X (ISSN-L)
- 1520-5851
- OpenAlex
- W2048918519
- Cited by
- 296
- References
- 19
- Citations by year
- 2026: 28 · 2025: 38 · 2024: 38 · 2023: 31 · 2022: 41 · 2021: 21 · 2020: 20 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 13 · 2013: 4
- FWCI
- 8.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- Environmental Science & Technology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Cambridge University Engineering Department Publications Database (submittedVersion)
- Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion)
- Apollo
- Funders
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/G007217/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Sustainability and Ecological Systems Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Mechanical Engineering › Extraction and Separation Processes
- Keywords
- aluminum production, aluminum recycling, material efficiency, CO2 emissions, energy consumption, yield loss, Sankey diagrams, emission reduction
- MeSH terms
- Aluminum, Greenhouse Effect, Internationality, Recycling
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review