The DOI matches its Crossref record; 53 of the 54 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Estimating historical changes in global land cover: Croplands from 1700 to 1992
Open accessAbstract
Human activities over the last three centuries have significantly transformed the Earth's environment, primarily through the conversion of natural ecosystems to agriculture. This study presents a simple approach to derive geographically explicit changes in global croplands from 1700 to 1992. By calibrating a remotely sensed land cover classification data set against cropland inventory data, we derived a global representation of permanent croplands in 1992, at 5 min spatial resolution [Ramankutty and Foley, 1998]. To reconstruct historical croplands, we first compile an extensive database of historical cropland inventory data, at the national and subnational level, from a variety of sources. Then we use our 1992 cropland data within a simple land cover change model, along with the historical inventory data, to reconstruct global 5 min resolution data on permanent cropland areas from 1992 back to 1700. The reconstructed changes in historical croplands are consistent with the history of human settlement and patterns of economic development. By overlaying our historical cropland data set over a newly derived potential vegetation data set, we analyze our results in terms of the extent to which different natural vegetation types have been converted for agriculture. We further examine the extent to which croplands have been abandoned in different parts of the world. Our data sets could be used within global climate models and global ecosystem models to understand the impacts of land cover change on climate and on the cycling of carbon and water. Such an analysis is a crucial aid to sharpen our thinking about a sustainable future.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“These data were analyzed using a Geographic Information System to estimate global areas and populations within a simplified set of terrestrial biomes (aggregated from the potential vegetation classes of ref. 28) and world regions (after ref. 1).”
From Used planet: a global history (2013) · cites this paper as [28]
In the citing paper
“For “land conversion” emissions, we assume that cropland expansion occurred in the same proportions by biome in the AW1 scenario as in the RW, calculated as in previous studies”
From Greenhouse gas mitigation by agricultural intensification (2010) · cites this paper as [26]
In the citing paper
“Most cropland abandonment occurred in eastern North America during the early 1900s but expanded to China, southern South America and Europe by mid-century.”
From Mapping the world's degraded lands (2015) · cites this paper as Ramankutty and Foley (1999)
In the citing paper
“Recent satellite advances have enabled new global scale datasets of agricultural land cover, which have been developed by merging satellite derived land cover maps with ground level agricultural inventory data sets (Cardille, Foley, & Costa, 2002;Goldewijk, 2001;Ramankutty & Foley, 1999).”
From Mapping the world's degraded lands (2015) · cites this paper as Ramankutty & Foley, 1999
In the citing paper
“Toward the end of the last century, abandonment was limited to the eastern portion of the U.S., parts of the Amazon basin and southern South America.”
From Mapping the world's degraded lands (2015) · cites this paper as Ramankutty and Foley (1999)
In the citing paper
“The HYDE database also provides information on pastures not captured by Ramankutty and Foley (1999).”
From Mapping the world's degraded lands (2015) · cites this paper as Ramankutty and Foley (1999)
In the citing paper
“They found that the extent of cropland abandonment increased greatly from roughly 65 million ha in the 1950s to 225 million ha in 1990, and the rate of abandonment increased as well.”
From Mapping the world's degraded lands (2015) · cites this paper as Ramankutty and Foley (1999)
In the citing paper
“The two global agricultural databases are also difficult to compare because Ramankutty and Foley (1999) do not consider abandonment of pastureland, which is part of the Campbell et al. (2009) estimate.”
From Mapping the world's degraded lands (2015) · cites this paper as Ramankutty and Foley (1999)
Citations
Cites
Human domination of Earth’s ecosystems
Vitousek, P. M., Mooney, H. A., Lubchenco, J., & Melillo, J. M. (1997) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.277.5325.494 · Cited by 9,086
Global land cover classification at 1 km spatial resolution using a classification tree approach
Hansen, M. C., DeFries, R., Townshend, J. R. G., & Sohlberg, R. A. (2000) · International Journal of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1080/014311600210209 · Cited by 2,284
Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production
Melillo, J. M., McGuire, A. D., Kicklighter, D. W., Moore, B., Vörösmarty, C. J., & Schloss, A. L. (1993) · Nature · doi:10.1038/363234a0 · Cited by 1,955
Human Appropriation of Renewable Fresh Water
Postel, S. L., Daily, G. C., & Ehrlich, P. R. (1996) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.271.5250.785 · Cited by 1,477
Foley, J. A., Prentice, I. C., Ramankutty, N., Levis, S., Pollard, D., Sitch, S., & Haxeltine, A. (1996) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/96gb02692 · Cited by 1,379
Self-citationWorld Agriculture: Towards 2015/2030
Bruinsma, J. (2017) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781315083858 · Cited by 1,107
Haxeltine, A., & Prentice, I. C. (1996) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/96gb02344 · Cited by 989
Amazon Deforestation and Climate Change
Shukla, J., NOBRE, C. A., & Sellers, P. J. (1990) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.247.4948.1322 · Cited by 987
Global Vegetation and Land Use: New High-Resolution Data Bases for Climate Studies
Matthews, E. (1983) · Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology · doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1983)022 · Cited by 928
Houghton, R. A., Hobbie, J. E., Melillo, J. M., Moore, B., Peterson, B. J., Shaver, G., & Woodwell, G. M. (1983) · Ecological Monographs · doi:10.2307/1942531 · Cited by 928
The Earth as Transformed by Human Action
Turner, B. L. (1988) · The Professional Geographer · doi:10.1111/j.0033-0124.1988.00340.x · Cited by 858
Potential Natural Vegetation of the Conterminous United States
Küchler, A. W. (1965) · Soil Science · doi:10.1097/00010694-196505000-00019 · Cited by 835
Fan, S., Gloor, M. U., Mahlman, J. D., Pacala, S. W., Sarmiento, J. L., Takahashi, T., & Tans, P. P. (1998) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.282.5388.442 · Cited by 797
Historical Statistics of the United States: Colonial Times to 1970
Buntin, L. J., & Census, U. S. B. O. T. (1976) · Journal of Marketing Research · doi:10.2307/3151041 · Cited by 763
Man's Role in Changing the Face of the Earth
(1955) · Nature · doi:10.1038/175754c0 · Cited by 758
Land-use and land-cover change. Science/research plan
Turner, B. L., Skole, D. L., Sanderson, S. R. W., Fischer, G. F., Fresco, L. O., & Leemans, R. (1995) · IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) · Cited by 725
The IGBP-DIS global 1km land cover data set, DISCover: First results
Loveland, T. R., & Belward, A. S. (1997) · International Journal of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1080/014311697217099 · Cited by 671
Changes in Land Use and Land Cover: A Global Perspective.
Newman, J. A., Meyer, W. B., & Turner, B. L. (1995) · Bulletin of the Torrey Botanical Club · doi:10.2307/2996094 · Cited by 621
Fries, R. S. D., Hansen, M. C., Townshend, J. R. G., & Sohlberg, R. A. (1998) · International Journal of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1080/014311698214235 · Cited by 614
The earth as transformed by human action
Mannion, A. M. (1991) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/0169-5347(91)90167-v · Cited by 596
Carbon in live vegetation of major world ecosystems
Olson, J. S., Watts, J. A., & Allison, L. J. (1983) · Cited by 588
A process-based, terrestrial biosphere model of ecosystem dynamics (Hybrid v3.0)
Friend, A. D., Stevens, A. K., Knox, R. G., & Cannell, M. G. R. (1997) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/s0304-3800(96)00034-8 · Cited by 530
Modelling tropical deforestation: A study of GCM land‐surface parametrizations
Dickinson, R. E., & Henderson-Sellers, A. (1988) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49711448009 · Cited by 514
The Terrestrial Carbon Cycle: Implications for the Kyoto Protocol
IGBP Terrestrial Carbon Working Group, Steffen, W., Noble, I. R., Canadell, J. G., Apps, M. J., Schulze, E., & Jarvis, P. G. (1998) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.280.5368.1393 · Cited by 440
Characterizing patterns of global land use: An analysis of global croplands data
Ramankutty, N., & Foley, J. A. (1998) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/98gb02512 · Cited by 402
Self-citationEffects of Land Use on the Climate of the United States
Bonan, G. B. (1997) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1023/a:1005305708775 · Cited by 369
Losing Ground. Environmental Stress and World Food Prospects
Hd., J., & Eckholm, E. P. (1976) · Population · doi:10.2307/1531558 · Cited by 326
Deforestation Rates and Trends in Costa Rica, 1940 to 1983
Sader, S. A., & Joyce, A. T. (1988) · Biotropica · doi:10.2307/2388421 · Cited by 315
CLUE-CR: An integrated multi-scale model to simulate land use change scenarios in Costa Rica
Veldkamp, A., & Fresco, L. O. (1996) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/0304-3800(95)00158-1 · Cited by 291
Censo nacional agropecuario, 1960
y Censos, A. D. N. D. E. (1964) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 241
Crowley, J. M. (1964) · Cahiers de géographie du Québec · doi:10.7202/020536ar · Cited by 197
Potential climatic impacts of vegetation change: A regional modeling study
Copeland, J. H., Pielke, R. A., & Kittel, T. G. F. (1996) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/95jd02676 · Cited by 174
Americans and Their Forests: A Historical Geography
Judd, R. W., & Williams, M. (1990) · The New England Quarterly · doi:10.2307/366389 · Cited by 162
Changes in the landscape of Latin America between 1850 and 1985 I. Progressive loss of forests
Houghton, R. A., Lefkowitz, D. S., & Skole, D. L. (1991) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/0378-1127(91)90140-q · Cited by 154
Environmental Remote Sensing from Regional to Global Scales
Green, D. R., Foody, G. M., & Curran, P. J. (1995) · Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers · doi:10.2307/622439 · Cited by 142
Modelling Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Tropical Land Use Change
Hall, C. A. S., Tian, H., Qi, Y., Pontius, G., & Cornell, J. D. (1995) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.2307/2845977 · Cited by 138
Changing the face of the earth
Simmons, I. G. (1989) · Cited by 126
Ecological footprints of nations: how much nature do they use? How much nature do they have?
Wackernagel, M., Onisto, L., Callejas Linares, A., Is, L. F., & Mendez Garcia, J. (1997) · Cited by 120
LOSS AND ABANDONMENT OF CLEARED FARM LAND IN THE EASTERN UNITED STATES1
Hart, J. F. (1968) · Annals of the Association of American Geographers · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8306.1968.tb01645.x · Cited by 82
Simulating Changes in Global Land Cover as Affected by Economic and Climatic Factors
Zuidema, G., van den Born, G. J., Alcamo, J., & Kreileman, G. J. J. (1994) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-011-1200-0_5 · Cited by 80
Simulating changes in global land cover as affected by economic and climatic factors
Zuidema, G., van den Born, G. J., Alcamo, J., & Kreileman, G. J. J. (1994) · Water Air & Soil Pollution · doi:10.1007/bf00478339 · Cited by 76
Official Yearbook of the Commonwealth of Australia
Goldenweiser, E. A., & Knibbs, G. H. (1920) · Quarterly Publications of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2965258 · Cited by 71
Redclift, M. (1982) · Food Policy · doi:10.1016/0306-9192(82)90051-3 · Cited by 62
Saran, R. P. (1975) · Cited by 57
Klatt, W. (1971) · Pacific Affairs · doi:10.2307/2756628 · Cited by 52
The IMAGE 2 Hundred Year (1890 - 1990) Data Base of theGlobal Environment (HYDE)
Goldewijk, K., & Jj, B. (1995) · Cited by 46
Food production in the People's Republic of ChinaPreprint
Tang, A. M., & Stone, B. (1980) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 27
Driving Forces of Arable Land Conversion in China
Sun, L., & Li, X. (1997) · IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) · Cited by 17
Estadísticas históricas argentinas (comparadas)
Vázquez-Presedo, V. (1971) · Ediciones Macchi eBooks · Cited by 12
The expansion of the arable area
Robertson, C. J. (1956) · Scottish Geographical Magazine · doi:10.1080/00369225608735625 · Cited by 12
Grain Production and Marketing in Argentina
Rudbeck, J. P. (2018) · Cited by 7
Agricultural statistics in India : a guide
Bansil, P. (1984) · Oxford University Press eBooks · Cited by 5
Indian Agricultural Statistics.
Anstey, V., Thomas, P. J., & Sastry, N. S. R. (1940) · Economica · doi:10.2307/2548707 · Cited by 5
Research works printed but not linked: 28
- Alexandratos N., 1995, World Agriculture Towards 2010
- Ashton L. G., 1952, Rural Australia: A Graphical Summary
- Australian Bureau of Statistics, 1978, Crops Statistics‐Australia
- Australian Bureau of Statistics, 1980, Crops Australia 1979/80
- Australian Bureau of Statistics, 1984, Crops and Pastures: Australia 1982–83
- Australian Bureau of Statistics, 1989, Summary of Crops: Australia 1987–88
- Australian Bureau of Statistics, 1990, Summary of Crops: Australia 1988–89
- Australian Bureau of Statistics, 1991, Summary of Crops: Australia 1989–90
- Brensike V. J., 1961, Grain marketing in the Soviet Union: With emphasis on wheat, Report of a Technical Study Group
- Chao K., 1970, Agricultural Production in Communist China 1949–1965
- Commonwealth Bureau of Census and Statistics, 1972, Crops Statistics
- Directorate of Economics and Statistics, 1962, Indian Agricultural Statistics 1957–58 & 1958–59
- Esser G., 1994, High Resolution Biosphere Model, documentation, Model version 3.0
- Fundação Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatistica, 1992, Anuario Estatistico do Brasil 1992: Reimpressão
- Grigg D. B., 1974, The growth and distribution of the world's arable land 1870–1970, Geography, 59, 104
- Houghton R. A., 1995, Continental scale estimates of the biotic carbon flux from land cover change: 1850 to 1980, Num. Data Package‐050
- Marsh G. P., 1864, Man and Nature
- Mather A. S., 1986, Land Use
- Office of the Agricultural Attache, 1972, Brief on Indian agriculture 1973
- Olson J. S., 1994, Global ecosystem framework‐definitions. USGS EROS Data Center Internal Report
- Richards J. F., 1994, Historic land use and carbon estimates for south and southeast Asia: 1880–1980, Num. Data Package‐046
- U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1900, 12th Census of the U.S
- U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1920, 14th Census of the U.S
- U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1940, 16th Census of the U.S
- U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1950, 18th Census of the U.S
- U.S. Department of Agriculture, 1992, Major Land Uses (1945–1992)
- U.S. Department of Agriculture, 1992, Agricultural Statistics Database for the People's Republic of China, 1949–92
- Williams M., 1990, The Earth as Transformed by Human Action, 163
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Global Consequences of Land Use
Foley, J. A., DeFries, R., Asner, G. P., Barford, C., Bonan, G., Carpenter, S. R., Chapin, F. S., Coe, M. T., Daily, G. C., Gibbs, H. K., et al. (2005) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1111772 · Cited by 13,272
Self-citationPlanetary boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet
Steffen, W., Richardson, K., Rockström, J., Cornell, S. E., Fetzer, I., Bennett, E. M., Biggs, R., Carpenter, S. R., de Vries, W., de Wit, C. A., et al. (2015) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1259855 · Cited by 12,527
Solutions for a cultivated planet
Foley, J. A., Ramankutty, N., Brauman, K. A., Cassidy, E. S., Gerber, J. S., Johnston, M., Mueller, N. D., O’Connell, C., Ray, D. K., West, P. C., et al. (2011) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature10452 · Cited by 8,476
Self-citationInvestigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate: A review
Seneviratne, S. I., Corti, T., Davin, É. L., Hirschi, M., Jaeger, E. B., Lehner, I., Orlowsky, B., & Teuling, A. J. (2010) · Earth-Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2010.02.004 · Cited by 6,002
Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing
Forster, P. M. D. F., Ramaswamy, V., Artaxo, P. E., Berntsen, T. K., Betts, R., Fahey, D. W., Haywood, J., Lean, J. L., Lowe, D. C., Myhre, G., et al. (2007) · elib (German Aerospace Center) · Cited by 4,638
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Ramankutty, N., & Foley, J. A.
- ORCID
- Ramankutty, Navin
- Venue
- Global Biogeochemical Cycles
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 1999-12
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 997-1027
- ISSN
- 0886-6236 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-9224
- OpenAlex
- W2106256460
- Cited by
- 2,074
- References
- 54
- Citations by year
- 2026: 41 · 2025: 50 · 2024: 77 · 2023: 83 · 2022: 79 · 2021: 110 · 2020: 128 · 2019: 103 · 2018: 110 · 2017: 113 · 2016: 124 · 2015: 129 · 2014: 88 · 2013: 101 · 2012: 84
- FWCI
- 15.82
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Global Biogeochemical Cycles (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Remote Sensing in Agriculture
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Environmental Changes in China
- Keywords
- cropland expansion, historical land cover change, land use change, potential natural vegetation, agricultural abandonment, settlement history, economic development
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review