CoChat
Sign Up
Cited by 2,375Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual OffendingCrime Patterns and InterventionsCriminal Justice and Corrections Analysis

Predicting relapse: A meta-analysis of sexual offender recidivism studies.

Hanson, R. Karl, Bussière, Monique T.·1998·Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology
DOI 10.1037/0022-006x.66.2.348
Open this paper in CoChat — free account

Abstract

Evidence from 61 follow-up studies was examined to identify the factors most strongly related to recidivism among sexual offenders. On average, the sexual offense recidivism rate was low (13.4%; n = 23,393). There were, however, subgroups of offenders who recidivated at high rates. Sexual offense recidivism was best predicted by measures of sexual deviancy (e.g., deviant sexual preferences, prior sexual offenses) and, to a lesser extent, by general criminological factors (e.g., age, total prior offenses). Those offenders who failed to complete treatment were at higher risk for reoffending than those who completed treatment. The predictors of nonsexual violent recidivism and general (any) recidivism were similar to those predictors found among nonsexual criminals (e.g., prior violent offenses, age, juvenile deliquency). Our results suggest that applied risk assessments of sexual offenders should consider separately the offender's risk for sexual and nonsexual recidivism.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1037/0022-006x.66.2.348

Cites

4 of 4 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Claims the paper makes

This paper’s full text isn’t openly available, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Extreme effect sizes were identified by following the rules developed in Hanson and Bussière (1998).

    “Because outliers can distort the results of a meta-analysis, extreme effect sizes were identified by following the rules developed in Hanson and Bussière (1998).”

    From The relationship between nature connectedness and happiness: a meta-analysis (2014) · cites this paper as Hanson and Bussière (1998)

  • No outliers were identified in the meta-analysis following the rules of Hanson and Bussière (1998).

    “Following the rules developed in Hanson and Bussière (1998), no outliers were identified.”

    From The relationship between nature connectedness and happiness: a meta-analysis (2014) · cites this paper as Hanson and Bussière (1998)

  • The recorded pattern of sexual reoffending is relatively infrequent, with reported rates of 13.4% over four to five years' follow-up.

    “Although the recorded pattern of sexual reoffending is relatively infrequent, with reported rates of 13.4% over four to five years' follow-up (Hanson 1998)”

    From Pharmacological interventions for those who have sexually offended or are at risk of offending (2015) · cites this paper as Hanson 1998

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Hanson, R. K., & Bussière, M. T.
Affiliations
Government of Canada (CA)
ORCID
Hanson, R. Karl
Venue
Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology
Publisher
American Psychological Association (APA)
Published
1998-04
Volume
66
Issue
2
Pages
348-362
ISSN
  • 0022-006X (ISSN-L)
  • 1939-2117
DOI
10.1037/0022-006x.66.2.348
OpenAlex
W2074414186
Cited by
2,375
References
4
Citations by year
2026: 55 · 2025: 39 · 2024: 61 · 2023: 38 · 2022: 55 · 2021: 88 · 2020: 85 · 2019: 71 · 2018: 61 · 2017: 70 · 2016: 121 · 2015: 148 · 2014: 121 · 2013: 115 · 2012: 97
FWCI
11.37
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
Keywords
sexual offenders, recidivism, recurrence prediction, risk assessment, sexual deviance, treatment completion, juvenile delinquency, age of offenders
MeSH terms
Criminal Psychology, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Paraphilic Disorders, Patient Dropouts, Prisoners, Recurrence, Risk Factors, Sex Offenses, Violence

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review