The DOI matches its Crossref record; 30 of the 30 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Increase in observed net carbon dioxide uptake by land and oceans during the past 50 years
Abstract
One of the greatest sources of uncertainty for future climate predictions is the response of the global carbon cycle to climate change. Although approximately one-half of total CO(2) emissions is at present taken up by combined land and ocean carbon reservoirs, models predict a decline in future carbon uptake by these reservoirs, resulting in a positive carbon-climate feedback. Several recent studies suggest that rates of carbon uptake by the land and ocean have remained constant or declined in recent decades. Other work, however, has called into question the reported decline. Here we use global-scale atmospheric CO(2) measurements, CO(2) emission inventories and their full range of uncertainties to calculate changes in global CO(2) sources and sinks during the past 50 years. Our mass balance analysis shows that net global carbon uptake has increased significantly by about 0.05 billion tonnes of carbon per year and that global carbon uptake doubled, from 2.4 ± 0.8 to 5.0 ± 0.9 billion tonnes per year, between 1960 and 2010. Therefore, it is very unlikely that both land and ocean carbon sinks have decreased on a global scale. Since 1959, approximately 350 billion tonnes of carbon have been emitted by humans to the atmosphere, of which about 55 per cent has moved into the land and oceans. Thus, identifying the mechanisms and locations responsible for increasing global carbon uptake remains a critical challenge in constraining the modern global carbon budget and predicting future carbon-climate interactions.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Over the last 50 years, the removal of about one-third of anthropogenic GHG emissions has been attributed to terrestrial ecosystems.109”
From Technologies and perspectives for achieving carbon neutrality (2021) · cites this paper as [109]
Citations
Cites
Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M. C., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., Miller, H. L., & Chen, Z. (2007) · Cited by 23,398
A large and persistent carbon sink in the world’s forests
Pan, Y., Birdsey, R. A., Fang, J., Houghton, R., Kauppi, P. E., Kurz, W. A., Phillips, O. L., Shvidenko, A., Lewis, S. L., Canadell, J. G., et al. (2011) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1201609 · Cited by 8,458
Climate–Carbon Cycle Feedback Analysis: Results from the C4MIP Model Intercomparison
Friedlingstein, P., Cox, P., Betts, R., Bopp, L., von Bloh, W., Brovkin, V., Cadule, P., Doney, S., Eby, M., Fung, I., et al. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3800.1 · Cited by 2,902
Drought-Induced Reduction in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Production from 2000 Through 2009
Zhao, M., & Running, S. W. (2010) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1192666 · Cited by 2,738
Canadell, J. G., Le Quéré, C., Raupach, M. R., Field, C. B., Buitenhuis, E. T., Ciais, P., Conway, T. J., Gillett, N. P., Houghton, R. A., & Marland, G. (2007) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0702737104 · Cited by 2,136
Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide
Quéré, C. L., Raupach, M., Canadell, J. G., Marland, G., Bopp, L., Ciais, P., Conway, T. J., Doney, S. C., Feely, R. A., Foster, P., et al. (2009) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo689 · Cited by 2,096
Recent patterns and mechanisms of carbon exchange by terrestrial ecosystems
Schimel, D. S., House, J. I., Hibbard, K. A., Bousquet, P., Ciais, P., Peylin, P., Braswell, B. H., Apps, M. J., Baker, D., Bondeau, A., et al. (2001) · Nature · doi:10.1038/35102500 · Cited by 1,379
Houghton, R. A. (2003) · Tellus B · doi:10.3402/tellusb.v55i2.16764 · Cited by 1,186
Net carbon dioxide losses of northern ecosystems in response to autumn warming
Piao, S., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Peylin, P., Reichstein, M., Luyssaert, S., Margolis, H., Fang, J., Barr, A., Chen, A., et al. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06444 · Cited by 1,157
GLOBAL, REGIONAL, AND NATIONAL FOSSIL-FUEL CO2 EMISSIONS
Boden, T. A., Marland, G. H., & Andres, R. J. (2010) · Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) Datasets · doi:10.3334/cdiac/00001_v2010 · Cited by 1,007
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- BP. Statistical Review of World Energy http://www.bp.com/sectionbodycopy.do? categoryId = 7500&contentId = 7068481 (2011)
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 601–700 of 783
Global Warming: An Econometric Analysis
Erickson, G. M. (2014) · Journal of Finance & Economics · doi:10.12735/jfe.v2i4p17 · Cited by 1
Borrelle, S. B., Frielick, S., Asshoff, R., & Leuzinger, S. (2016) · IGI Global eBooks · doi:10.4018/978-1-5225-0803-8.ch027 · Cited by 1
Characteristics Variation of Atmospheric CO2 and CH4 in Yongxing Island, South China Sea
Lv, H., Jiang, Y., & Wang, H. (2024) · Journal of Ocean University of China · doi:10.1007/s11802-024-5528-x · Cited by 1
Air–Sea CO2 Exchange Over the Mediterranean Sea, the Red Sea and the Arabian Sea
Zarghamipour, M., Malakooti, H., & Bordbar, M. H. (2024) · International Journal of Environmental Research · doi:10.1007/s41742-024-00586-6 · Cited by 1
Sarkar, P., Dash, S., Krause, J. A., Sinha, S., Panetier, J. A., & Jiang, J. (2024) · ChemSusChem · doi:10.1002/cssc.202400517 · Cited by 1
Baier, B. C., Miller, J. B., Sweeney, C., Lehman, S. J., Wolak, C., DiGangi, J. P., Choi, Y., Davis, K. J., Feng, S., & Lauvaux, T. (2025) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-25-10479-2025 · Cited by 1
Self-citationStappard, D. A., Wilson, J. D., Yool, A., & Tyrrell, T. (2025) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-18-6805-2025 · Cited by 1
Zhu, J., Zhang, M., & Zeng, X. (2019) · Atmospheric Science Letters · doi:10.1002/asl.876 · Cited by 1
Fauzi, I., Radjawane, I. M., Latief, H., Ritonga, R. F., & Faizin, H. Y. (2021) · IOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science · doi:10.1088/1755-1315/708/1/012104 · Cited by 1
Surviving Climate Chaos: by Strengthening Communities and Ecosystems
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cited by 1
Assessment of the energy recovery potential of waste photovoltaic (PV) modules
Hossain, M. F. (2021) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-323-90150-5.00013-3 · Cited by 2
Air Pollution and the Survival Period of Earth
Hossain, M. F. (2022) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-94818-4_12 · Cited by 1
Optimal Control of Global WarmingPreprint
Erickson, G. M. (2012) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2193945 · Cited by 1
Multiscale Analysis and Optimisation of Photosynthetic Solar Energy SystemsPreprint
Ringsmuth, A. K. (2014) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1402.5966 · Cited by 1
Impacts of physical data assimilation on the Global Ocean Carbonate SystemPreprint
Visinelli, L., Masina, S., Vichi, M., & Storto, A. (2014) · doi:10.5194/bgd-11-5399-2014 · Cited by 1
Evaluation of Sea-ice in the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model
Hübner, M. (2013) · elib (German Aerospace Center) · Cited by 1
Retrieving Forest Characteristics from High-Resolution Airborne S-Band Radar Data
Ningthoujam, R. K. (2016) · Leicester Research Archive (University of Leicester) · Cited by 1
Responses and adaptation strategies of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change
Yu, Z. T. (2016) · doi:10.33915/etd.7017 · Cited by 1
Sotnik, G. (2000) · doi:10.15760/etd.6123 · Cited by 1
Quantification and attribution of urban fossil fuel emissions through atmospheric measurements
Super, I. (2018) · doi:10.18174/457839 · Cited by 1
Fiume, S. (2020) · doi:10.1002/essoar.10503117.1 · Cited by 1
Tree Ring Reconstruction Of Modern Radiocarbon Dioxide Variability Over The Southern Ocean
Corran, R. (2021) · Open Access Victoria University of Wellington | Te Herenga Waka (Figshare) · doi:10.26686/wgtn.14703831.v2 · Cited by 1
Tian, L., Chai, J., Zhang, X., & Pan, Y. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4496836 · Cited by 1
Taylor, S. E. (2023) · Preprints.org · doi:10.20944/preprints202310.1593.v2 · Cited by 1
Taylor, S. E. (2023) · Preprints.org · doi:10.20944/preprints202310.1593.v1 · Cited by 1
Bonannella, C. (2024) · doi:10.18174/655208 · Cited by 2
González‐Roglich, M. (2015) · DukeSpace (Duke University) · Cited by 1
Arctic Ocean carbon biogeochemistry under climate change and ocean acidification
Silyakova, A. (2013) · NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives · Cited by 1
Munyemera, I. (2014) · BIBSYS Brage (BIBSYS (Norway)) · Cited by 1
Environmental Concerns Regarding CO2
Sun, C., Zhang, W., & Liu, H. (2013) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-444-53882-6.00015-2
Intra-annual variability of natural organic matter in boreal streams
Winterdahl, M. (2013) · Epsilon Open Archive (Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet biblioteket (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences))
Sun, Y. (2013) · Texas ScholarWorks (Texas Digital Library)
Impact of Elevated CO2on Growth and Yield of Wheat Crop: A Review
Dubey, S. K., Tripathi, S., & Pranuthi, G. (2014) · International Journal of Agriculture Environment and Biotechnology · doi:10.5958/2230-732x.2014.01363.1
Godard, O. (2014) · HAL
Research on the effect of Aerosol on the retrieval of hyperspectral XCO2
Gao, M., Zhang, C., & Zhou, Y. (2017) · Proceedings of SPIE, the International Society for Optical Engineering/Proceedings of SPIE · doi:10.1117/12.2260708
Zhu, B. (2017) · American Journal of Biological and Environmental Statistics · doi:10.11648/j.ajbes.20170302.12
Conception de catalyseur pour la carboxylation du diméthyle éther assistée par calculs DFT
Lacroix, J.-F. (2014) · Knowledge UdeS (Institutional Deposit of the University of Sherbrooke)
Response of the Terrestrial Carbon Exchange to the Climate Variability
Sun, M.-A., Cho, C., Kim, Y., Lee, J., Boo, K.-O., & Byun, Y. (2017) · doi:10.14191/atmos.2017.27.2.163
Biological consequences of rapid environmental change in the American pika Ochotona princeps
Waterhouse, M. D. (2017) · cIRcle (University of British Columbia) · doi:10.14288/1.0355850
Wakefield, S. P. (2019) · Tuwhera (Auckland University of Technology)
Cox, A. T. (2019) · Open Research Exeter (University of Exeter)
Advanced Green Building Technology
Hossain, M. F. (2021) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-62376-0_7
Deurbanization and Rural Development
Hossain, M. F. (2021) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-62376-0_15
COVID-19 and Its Impact on Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Dasgotra, A., Singh, V. K., Manna, S., Singh, G., Tauseef, S. M., & Pandey, J. K. (2021) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-66490-9_8
Barrios, L. M., González-Güeto, R., & S., G. R. N. (2021) · International Electronic Conference on Biological Diversity, Ecology and Evolution (BDEE) · doi:10.3390/bdee2021-09437
(2021) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-2021-66-rc2
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.004
Carbon and Photochemical Oxidant Cycles
Manning, W. J. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108635370.003
Adaptation in Specific Geographies
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.016
Learning from the Adaptation Communications
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.015
Community Land Titling in Bolivia
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.010
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.014
Adaptive Thinking, Feeling and Acting
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.019
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.017
Adaptation and the Paris Agreement
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.003
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.020
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.005
Coastal Zone and Community Planning in Zanzibar
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.011
Practical System Strengthening
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.008
(2021) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2021-386-rc1
Liveable and Sustainable Cities
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.012
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.006
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.013
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.007
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.022
(2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.021
Community Forest User Groups in Nepal
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.009
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.002
Schwartz, S. E. (2021) · doi:10.5194/acp-2021-924-ac1
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.001
Designing and Evaluating Adaptation Investments
Caldecott, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108878982.018
Rastogi, B. (2021) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-2021-299-ac2
Rastogi, B. (2021) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-2021-299-ac1
Comments on Global Carbon Budget 2021 (essd-2021-386)
(2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2021-386-cc1
Wang, Q. (2021) · Atmospheric measurement techniques · doi:10.5194/amt-2021-92-ac2
Wang, Q. (2021) · Atmospheric measurement techniques · doi:10.5194/amt-2021-92-ac1
Schwartz, S. E. (2022) · doi:10.5194/acp-2021-924-ac3
(2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2021-386-rc2
Friedlingstein, P. (2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2021-386-ac1
Friedlingstein, P. (2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2021-386-ac2
Friedlingstein, P. (2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2021-386-ac3
(2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2022-15-rc2
Getting the Cause of Atmospheric CO2 Rise WrongPreprint
Andrews, D. E. (2022) · doi:10.1002/essoar.10511113.1
(2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2022-15-rc3
Jiang, F. (2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2022-15-ac2
Jiang, F. (2022) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-2022-15-ac1
Comment on amt-2021-92, clarifications needed
(2021) · Atmospheric measurement techniques · doi:10.5194/amt-2021-92-rc2
Erb, K. (2020) · Faculty Opinions – Post-Publication Peer Review of the Biomedical Literature · doi:10.3410/f.738643173.793579001
Soil fauna: key to new carbon models
(2016) · SOIL · doi:10.5194/soil-2016-19-rc2
(2021) · Atmospheric measurement techniques · doi:10.5194/amt-2021-92-rc1
Hossain, M. F. (2021) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-62376-0_8
Werner, R., & Guineva, V. (2019) · Aerospace Research in Bulgaria · doi:10.3897/arb.v31.e04
Hossain, M. F. (2018) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-816722-9.00001-x
Metadata
- Authors
- Ballantyne, A. P., Alden, C. B., Miller, J. B., Tans, P. P., & White, J. W. C.
- Affiliations
- University of Colorado Boulder (US)
- Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research (US)
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (US)
- Corresponding author
- Ballantyne, A. P.
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2012-08
- Volume
- 488
- Issue
- 7409
- Pages
- 70-72
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- OpenAlex
- W2001507362
- Cited by
- 784
- References
- 29
- Citations by year
- 2026: 28 · 2025: 53 · 2024: 57 · 2023: 89 · 2022: 78 · 2021: 93 · 2020: 41 · 2019: 49 · 2018: 52 · 2017: 42 · 2016: 52 · 2015: 42 · 2014: 53 · 2013: 49 · 2012: 5
- FWCI
- 39.62
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine Plankton and Biogeochemistry
- Keywords
- terrestrial carbon sink, ocean carbon sink, carbon cycle, anthropogenic CO2 emissions, carbon-climate feedback, ocean carbon uptake, land carbon uptake, atmospheric CO2 observations, emission inventory, ocean acidification, ocean deoxygenation, ocean warming, ocean heat content
- MeSH terms
- Atmosphere, Carbon, Carbon Dioxide, Human Activities, Models, Theoretical, Oceans and Seas, Seawater, Time Factors, Uncertainty, History, 20th Century, History, 21st Century, Climate Change, Carbon Sequestration
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review