The DOI matches its Crossref record; 31 of the 31 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Dominant role of greenhouse-gas forcing in the recovery of Sahel rainfall.
Open accessOverview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“Rainfall in the Sahel has increased since the 1980s, but has not recovered to pre-drought levels (Nicholson et al., 2000;Dong and Sutton, 2015;Berntell et al., 2018).”
From The tropical atlantic observing system (2019) · cites this paper as Dong and Sutton, 2015
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Rayner, N. A., Parker, D. E., Horton, E. B., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V., Rowell, D. P., Kent, E. C., & Kaplan, A. (2003) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2002jd002670 · Cited by 11,133
Updated high‐resolution grids of monthly climatic observations – the CRU TS3 .10 Dataset
Harris, I. C., Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., & Lister, D. (2013) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.3711 · Cited by 6,326
NCEP–DOE AMIP-II reanalysis (R-2)
Kanamitsu, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Woollen, J., Yang, S.-K., Hnilo, J. J., Fiorino, M., & Potter, G. L. (2002) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-83-11-1631 · Cited by 5,771
Adler, R. F., Huffman, G. J., Chang, A. T. C., Ferraro, R. R., Xie, P., Janowiak, J. E., Rudolf, B., Schneider, U., Curtis, S., Bolvin, D. T., et al. (2003) · Journal of Hydrometeorology · doi:10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004 · Cited by 5,422
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
Compo, G. P., Whitaker, J. S., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Matsui, N., Allan, R. J., Yin, X., Gleason, B. E., Vose, R. S., Rutledge, G., Bessemoulin, P., et al. (2011) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.776 · Cited by 3,518
Global surface temperature change
Hansen, J., Ruedy, R., Sato, M., & Lo, K. (2010) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2010rg000345 · Cited by 3,081
Lamarque, J.-F., Bond, T. C., Eyring, V., Granier, C., Heil, A., Klimont, Z., Lee, D., Liousse, C., Mieville, A., Owen, B., et al. (2010) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi:10.5194/acp-10-7017-2010 · Cited by 2,105
Dynamics of deserts and drought in the Sahel
Charney, J. G. (1975) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49710142802 · Cited by 1,405
Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures, 1901–85
Folland, C. K., Palmer, T. N., & Parker, D. E. (1986) · Nature · doi:10.1038/320602a0 · Cited by 1,147
Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales.
Giannini, A., Saravanan, R., & Chang, P. (2003) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1089357 · Cited by 1,058
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 201–228 of 228
Long-term evolution of West African Monsoon in climate projections
(2024) · Journal of Chemical Biological and Physical Sciences · doi:10.24214/jcbps.d.14.2.21225 · Cited by 1
Impact of Climate Change Over Southeast Asia and Its Adjacent Regions on Global Climate
Yang, S., Wu, R., Jian, M., Huang, J., Hu, X., Wang, Z., & Jiang, X. (2020) · Springer climate · doi:10.1007/978-981-15-8225-7_7 · Cited by 1
The Impact of Tropical Tropopause Cooling on Sahelian Extreme Deep Convection
Kodera, K., Eguchi, N., Ueyama, R., Funatsu, B. M., Gaetani, M., & Taylor, C. M. (2021) · Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser II · doi:10.2151/jmsj.2021-055 · Cited by 1
Herman, R., Biasutti, M., Giannini, A., & Kushnir, Y. (2020) · doi:10.1002/essoar.10502585.1 · Cited by 1
Attributing extreme weather events in Africa to climate change : science, policy and practice
Young, H. R. (2017) · CentAUR (University of Reading)
Assessment of Climate Change in Italy by Variants of Ordered Correspondence Analysis
Cembalo, A., Lombardo, R., Beh, E. J., Romano, G., Ferrucci, M., & Pisano, F. M. (2021) · Stats · doi:10.3390/stats4010012
Ibrahim, I., & Usman, M. T. (2021) · Arabian Journal of Geosciences · doi:10.1007/s12517-021-07057-8
Huang, X., Ma, L., Liu, T., Sun, B., Chen, Y., Qiao, Z., & Liang, L. (2021) · Environmental Science and Pollution Research · doi:10.1007/s11356-021-14190-0
Herman, R. J., Biasutti, M., & Kushnir, Y. (2022) · doi:10.1002/essoar.10509961.1
(2021) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-91-rc2
Moreno, R. S. (2018) · Springer theses · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-99450-5_2
Villamayor, J. (2019) · Springer theses · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-20327-6_1
Mechoso, C. R. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108610995.001
(2021) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-1-rc1
Mechoso, C. R. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108610995.011
Bethke, I. (2021) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-91-ac1
Ilori, O. W., & Adeyewa, Z. D. (2025) · Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics · doi:10.1007/s00703-025-01081-z · Cited by 4
Role of the Oceans in Southern Hemisphere Climate
Santoso, A., Cai, W., Wang, G., Gupta, A. S., Rodrigues, R. R., & Taschetto, A. S. (2025) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009352680.006
Deng, S., Song, X., Lu, C., Lu, M., Chen, T., & Yang, N. (2025) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.105253
Anthropogenic aerosols override greenhouse gases in Sahel climate change
Nnamchi, H. C., & Fiedler, S. (2026) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-026-03474-3
A Synthesis of Compound Drought in Africa: Mechanisms, Hotspots, Impacts, and Future Projections
Adeyeri, O. E. (2026) · Water · doi:10.3390/w18091040 · Cited by 2
Water accounting in the Inner Niger Delta under climate and land use changes
Bonkoungou, B., Bossa, A. Y., van der Kwast, J., Mul, M., Kassambara, B., Ahoton, D. H., Kouyaté, F., Yameogo, T. S. K., & Sintondji, L. O. (2026) · H2Open Journal · doi:10.1016/j.htopen.2026.100020
Climate impacts and sustainable implications of large-scale desert solar farms across regions
Zhou, Y., Liu, J., Wu, H., Ma, J., Ge, W., Wu, B., Liu, X. L., & Tao, S. (2026) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2026.148851
Atmospheric drivers and socioeconomic impacts of precipitation variability in North Africa
Tanarhte, M., de Vries, A. J., Zittis, G., Armon, M., Hochman, A., Karpasitis, A., Kaskaoutis, D. G., & Khodayar, S. (2026) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-026-03801-8 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Dong, B., & Sutton, R.
- Affiliations
- National Centre for Atmospheric Science (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Dong, Buwen
- Sutton, Rowan
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2015-06-01
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 757-760
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W1804902297
- Cited by
- 229
- References
- 31
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 37 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 28 · 2017: 27 · 2016: 22 · 2015: 5
- FWCI
- 22.41
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- CentAUR (University of Reading) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- European Commission (2007–2013, FP7 2007-2013, FP7/2007, 607085)
- Natural Environment Research Council (NE/I006672/1, ncas10009, FP7/2007-2013)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Keywords
- greenhouse gas forcing, West African monsoon, Sahel drought, sea surface temperature, anthropogenic aerosol forcing, aerosol precursor emissions, multidecadal variability, climate change attribution, Sahel
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
