High-throughput prediction of protein conformational distributions with subsampled AlphaFold2
Open accessAbstract
This paper presents an innovative approach for predicting the relative populations of protein conformations using AlphaFold 2, an AI-powered method that has revolutionized biology by enabling the accurate prediction of protein structures. While AlphaFold 2 has shown exceptional accuracy and speed, it is designed to predict proteins’ ground state conformations and is limited in its ability to predict conformational landscapes. Here, we demonstrate how AlphaFold 2 can directly predict the relative populations of different protein conformations by subsampling multiple sequence alignments. We tested our method against nuclear magnetic resonance experiments on two proteins with drastically different amounts of available sequence data, Abl1 kinase and the granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor, and predicted changes in their relative state populations with more than 80% accuracy. Our subsampling approach worked best when used to qualitatively predict the effects of mutations or evolution on the conformational landscape and well-populated states of proteins. It thus offers a fast and cost-effective way to predict the relative populations of protein conformations at even single-point mutation resolution, making it a useful tool for pharmacology, analysis of experimental results, and predicting evolution.
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Sequences were clustered by similarity, and one representative per cluster was randomly chosen to ensure diversity and reduce redundancy.
“Sequences were clustered by similarity [21], and one representative per cluster was randomly chosen to ensure diversity and reduce redundancy.”
From Reshaping biomolecular structure prediction through strategic conformational exploration with HelixFold-S1 (2026) · cites this paper as [21]
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- Authors
- Monteiro da Silva, G., Cui, J. Y., Dalgarno, D. C., Lisi, G. P., & Rubenstein, B. M.
- Affiliations
- Brown University (US)
- Brooke (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Rubenstein, Brenda M.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2024-03-27
- Volume
- 15
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 2464-2464
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC10973385
- OpenAlex
- W4393233076
- Cited by
- 196
- References
- 52
- Citations by year
- 2026: 60 · 2025: 85 · 2024: 51
- FWCI
- 26.40
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- correction (2024-04-10)
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature Communications (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (2027108)
- U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Cancer Institute (R01GM144451)
- Blavatnik Family Foundation
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Protein Structure and Dynamics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Receptor Mechanisms and Signaling
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Machine Learning in Bioinformatics
- Keywords
- protein conformational landscape, AlphaFold2, protein structure prediction, ABL1 kinase, GM-CSF, point mutations, protein evolution
- MeSH terms
- Mutation, Protein Conformation, Sequence Alignment, Point Mutation
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