Population collapse of a Gondwanan conifer follows the loss of Indigenous fire regimes in a northern Australian savanna
Open accessAbstract
Colonialism has disrupted Indigenous socioecological systems around the globe, including those supported by intentional landscape burning. Because most disruptions happened centuries ago, our understanding of Indigenous fire management is largely inferential and open to debate. Here, we investigate the ecological consequences of the loss of traditional Aboriginal fire management on fire-exposed savannas on the Arnhem Plateau, northern Australia, using the fire-sensitive conifer Callitris intratropica as a bio-indicator. We contrast Kakadu National Park, where traditional Aboriginal fire management was severely disrupted during the early twentieth century following Aboriginal relocation to surrounding settlements, and an adjacent Aboriginal estate where traditional Aboriginal fire management endures. Since 2006, traditional Aboriginal fire management at this site has been overlaid by a program of broad-scale institutionalized burning in the early dry season, designed to reduce greenhouse emissions. Using remote sensing, field survey, and dendrochronology, we show that on the Aboriginal estate, C. intratropica populations depend on the creation of a shifting patch mosaic of long unburned areas necessary for the recruitment of C. intratropica. However, the imposition of broad-scale fire management is disrupting this population patch dynamic. In Kakadu, there have been extreme declines of C. intratropica associated with widespread fires since the mid twentieth century and consequent proliferation of grass fuels. Fire management in Kakadu since 2007, designed to increase the size and abundance of patches of unburned vegetation, has not been able to reverse the population collapse of C. intratropica . Our study demonstrates that colonial processes including relocation of Indigenous people and institutional fire management can have deleterious consequences that are nearly irreversible because of hysteresis in C. intratropica population dynamics.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Institutional burning, even when intended to mimic Indigenous fire regimes, can produce unintended and undesirable outcomes.
“Institutional burning, even when intended to mimic Indigenous fire regimes, can produce unintended and undesirable outcomes (67).”
From Tree rings reveal persistent Western Apache (Ndee) fire stewardship and niche construction in the American Southwest (2025) · cites this paper as [67]
The Abstract reports that broad-scale institutional burning disrupted the conifer population’s patch dynamics, supporting the claim that institutional burning can have undesirable outcomes. But it says the program was designed to reduce greenhouse emissions, not to mimic Indigenous fire regimes. The Conclusions likewise describe institutional management as a different form of fire management that can overwrite traditional regimes. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
An Introduction to Tree-Ring Dating
Stokes, M. A., & Smiley, T. L. (1996) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 3,914 · see citing works
Biological Invasions by Exotic Grasses, the Grass/Fire Cycle, and Global Change
D'Antonio, C. M., & Vitousek, P. M. (1992) · Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.es.23.110192.000431 · Cited by 3,399 · see citing works
landscapemetrics : an open‐source R tool to calculate landscape metrics
Hesselbarth, M., Sciaini, M., With, K. A., Wiegand, K., & Nowosad, J. (2019) · Ecography · doi:10.1111/ecog.04617 · Cited by 1,192 · see citing works
Human occupation of northern Australia by 65,000 years ago
Clarkson, C., Jacobs, Z., Marwick, B., Fullagar, R., Wallis, L., Smith, M., Roberts, R. G., Hayes, E., Lowe, K., Carah, X., et al. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature22968 · Cited by 1,185 · see citing works
Learning to coexist with wildfire
Moritz, M. A., Batllori, E., Bradstock, R. A., Gill, A. M., Handmer, J., Hessburg, P. F., Leonard, J., McCaffrey, S., Odion, D. C., Schoennagel, T., et al. (2014) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature13946 · Cited by 1,169 · see citing works
Vegetation fires in the Anthropocene
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Kolden, C. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Johnston, F. H., van der Werf, G. R., & Flannigan, M. (2020) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-020-0085-3 · Cited by 1,148 · see citing works
Self-citationDecoloniality and anti-oppressive practices for a more ethical ecology
Trisos, C. H., Auerbach, J., & Katti, M. (2021) · Nature Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1038/s41559-021-01460-w · Cited by 441 · see citing works
Yibarbuk, D., Whitehead, P., Russell‐Smith, J., Jackson, D., Godjuwa, C., Fisher, A., Cooke, P. M., Choquenot, D., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2001) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2699.2001.00555.x · Cited by 384 · see citing works
Self-citationThe impact of Aboriginal landscape burning on the Australian biota
Bowman, D. M. J. S. (1998) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/j.1469-8137.1998.00289.x · Cited by 375 · see citing works
Self-citationAboriginal mitogenomes reveal 50,000 years of regionalism in Australia
Tobler, R., Rohrlach, A. B., Soubrier, J., Bover, P. R., Llamas, B., Tuke, J., Bean, N. G., Abdullah-Highfold, A., Agius, S., O’Donoghue, A., et al. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature21416 · Cited by 365 · see citing works
Biogeography of the Australian monsoon tropics
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Brown, G. K., Braby, M. F., Brown, J. R., Cook, L. G., Crisp, M. D., Ford, F., Haberle, S. G., Hughes, J. M., Isagi, Y., et al. (2009) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02210.x · Cited by 331 · see citing works
Self-citationIndigenous knowledge and the shackles of wilderness
Fletcher, M., Hamilton, R. J., Dressler, W., & Palmer, L. R. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2022218118 · Cited by 328 · see citing works
Bushfires ‘down under’: patterns and implications of contemporary Australian landscape burning
Russell‐Smith, J., Yates, C., Whitehead, P., Smith, R., Craig, R., Allan, G., Thackway, R., Frakes, I., Cridland, S., Meyer, M. C. P., et al. (2007) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf07018 · Cited by 289 · see citing works
Returning Fire to the Land: Celebrating Traditional Knowledge and Fire
Lake, F. K., Wright, V., Morgan, P., McFadzen, M. E., McWethy, D. B., & Stevens‐Rumann, C. S. (2017) · Journal of Forestry · doi:10.5849/jof.2016-043r2 · Cited by 230 · see citing works
Wildfire risk as a socioecological pathology
Fischer, A. P., Spies, T. A., Steelman, T. A., Moseley, C., Johnson, B. R., Bailey, J. D., Ager, A. A., Bourgeron, P., Charnley, S., Collins, B. M., et al. (2016) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1002/fee.1283 · Cited by 218 · see citing works
Self-citationPyrodiversity and biodiversity: A history, synthesis, and outlook
Jones, G. M., & Tingley, M. W. (2021) · Diversity and Distributions · doi:10.1111/ddi.13280 · Cited by 213 · see citing works
Lawes, M. J., Richards, A. E., Dathe, J., et al. (2011) · Plant Ecology · doi:10.1007/s11258-011-9954-7 · Cited by 198 · see citing works
Huffman, M. R. (2013) · Ecology and Society · doi:10.5751/es-05843-180403 · Cited by 168 · see citing works
Bowman, D. M. J. S., & Panton, W. J. (1993) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.2307/2845586 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
Self-citationLocal and global pyrogeographic evidence that indigenous fire management creates pyrodiversity
Trauernicht, C., Brook, B. W., Murphy, B. P., Williamson, G. J., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2015) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.1494 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Self-citationLiebmann, M. J., Farella, J., Roos, C. I., Stack, A., Martini, S., & Swetnam, T. W. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1521744113 · Cited by 158 · see citing works
Self-citationLandscape analysis of Aboriginal fire management in Central Arnhem Land, north Australia
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Walsh, A., & Prior, L. D. (2004) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1046/j.0305-0270.2003.00997.x · Cited by 145 · see citing works
Self-citationRoos, C. I., Swetnam, T. W., Ferguson, T. J., Liebmann, M. J., Loehman, R. A., Welch, J. R., Margolis, E. Q., Guiterman, C. H., Hockaday, W. C., Aiuvalasit, M. J., et al. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2018733118 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
Self-citationThe importance of Indigenous cultural burning in forested regions of the Pacific West, USA
Long, J. W., Lake, F. K., & Goode, R. W. (2021) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119597 · Cited by 144 · see citing works
Bird, R. B., Tayor, N., Codding, B. F., & Bird, D. W. (2013) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2013.2297 · Cited by 125 · see citing works
Restore the lost ecological functions of people
Bird, R. B., & Nimmo, D. G. (2018) · Nature Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1038/s41559-018-0576-5 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Murphy, B. P., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2006) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01591.x · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Self-citationFire Country: How Indigenous Fire Management Could Help Save Australia
Steffensen, V. (2020) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wfv29n11_br · Cited by 101 · see citing works
Manage fire regimes, not fires
Cochrane, M. A., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2021) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00791-4 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Self-citationEdwards, A., Archer, R., Bruyn, P. C. D., Evans, J. D., Lewis, B., Vigilante, T., Whyte, S., & Russell‐Smith, J. (2021) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112568 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Trauernicht, C., Murphy, B. P., Portner, T. E., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2012) · Journal of Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2745.2012.01970.x · Cited by 85 · see citing works
Self-citationBowman, D. M. J. S., Price, O. F., Whitehead, P., & Walsh, A. (2001) · Australian Journal of Botany · doi:10.1071/bt00087 · Cited by 79 · see citing works
Self-citationBowman, D. M. J. S., Zhang, Y., Walsh, A., et al. (2003) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf03030 · Cited by 78 · see citing works
Self-citationConservative water management in the widespread conifer genus Callitris
Brodribb, T. J., Bowman, D. M. J. S., Grierson, P. F., et al. (2013) · AoB Plants · doi:10.1093/aobpla/plt052 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Self-citationArchibald, S. A. (2011) · African Journal of Range and Forage Science · doi:10.2989/10220119.2011.571410 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Edwards, A., & Russell‐Smith, J. (2009) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf08008 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
A grass–fire cycle eliminates an obligate‐seeding tree in a tropical savanna
Bowman, D. M. J. S., MacDermott, H. J., Nichols, S. C., & Murphy, B. P. (2014) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.1285 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Self-citationEvans, J. D., & Russell‐Smith, J. (2019) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf18126 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Corey, B., Andersen, A. N., Legge, S., Woinarski, J. C. Z., Radford, I. J., & Perry, J. (2019) · Conservation Letters · doi:10.1111/conl.12685 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Baker, P. J., Palmer, J., & D'Arrigo, R. D. (2008) · Australian Journal of Botany · doi:10.1071/bt08040 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Williamson, G. J., Prior, L. D., Jolly, W. M., Cochrane, M. A., Murphy, B. P., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2016) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035003 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Self-citationCleaning, Protecting, or Abating? Making Indigenous Fire Management “Work” in Northern Australia
Petty, A. M., deKoninck, V., & Orlove, B. (2015) · Journal of Ethnobiology · doi:10.2993/0278-0771-35.1.140 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Sharp, B. R., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2004) · Journal of Tropical Ecology · doi:10.1017/s0266467403001238 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Self-citationBowman, D. M. J. S., & Prior, L. D. (2004) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2004.01077.x · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Self-citationYates, C., & Russell‐Smith, J. (2003) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf03019 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Prior, L. D., Bowman, D. M. J. S., & Brook, B. W. (2006) · Ecological Research · doi:10.1007/s11284-006-0011-2 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Self-citationPrior, L. D., McCaw, W. L., Grierson, P. F., Murphy, B. P., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2011) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2011.03.030 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Self-citationLand management affects grass biomass in the Eucalyptus tetrodonta savannas of monsoonal Australia
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Franklin, D. C., Price, O. F., & Brook, B. W. (2007) · Austral Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.1442-9993.2007.01713.x · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Self-citationEdwards, A., Russell‐Smith, J., & Maier, S. (2018) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2017.12.038 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Quantifying pyrodiversity and its drivers
Steel, Z. L., Collins, B. M., Sapsis, D. B., & Stephens, S. L. (2021) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2020.3202 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Sakaguchi, S., Bowman, D. M. J. S., Prior, L. D., Crisp, M. D., Linde, C. C., Tsumura, Y., & Isagi, Y. (2013) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2013.2182 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Self-citationRussell‐Smith, J. (2006) · Australian Journal of Botany · doi:10.1071/bt05133 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Wilson, B., & Davis, G. W. (1988) · Australian Journal of Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.1442-9993.1988.tb00964.x · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Self-citationTrauernicht, C., Murphy, B. P., Tangalin, N., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2013) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.460 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Self-citationIs Anthropogenic Pyrodiversity Invisible in Paleofire Records?
Roos, C. I., Williamson, G. J., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2019) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire2030042 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Self-citationPrescribed burning protects endangered tropical heathlands of the Arnhem Plateau, northern Australia
Murphy, B. P., Cochrane, M. A., & Russell‐Smith, J. (2015) · Journal of Applied Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2664.12455 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Self-citationMonsoonal Australia: Landscape, ecology, and man in the northern Lowlands
Tudge, C. (1992) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/0169-5347(92)90159-9 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Pyrodiversity—why managing fire in food webs is relevant to restoration ecology
Bowman, D. M. J. S., & Legge, S. (2016) · Restoration Ecology · doi:10.1111/rec.12401 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Self-citationClassification of Post-Fire Responses of Woody Plants to include Pyrophobic Communities
Prior, L. D., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2020) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire3020015 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Self-citationCrisp, M. D., Cook, L. G., Bowman, D. M. J. S., Cosgrove, M., Isagi, Y., & Sakaguchi, S. (2018) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/nph.15561 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Self-citationBowman, D. M. J. S., Haverkamp, C., Rann, K. D., et al. (2017) · Journal of Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2745.12819 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Self-citationTrauernicht, C., Murphy, B. P., Prior, L. D., Lawes, M. J., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2016) · Ecosystems · doi:10.1007/s10021-016-9973-2 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Self-citationPetty, A. M., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2007) · Fire Ecology · doi:10.4996/fireecology.0301032 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Self-citationHammer, G. (1981) · Australian Forestry · doi:10.1080/00049158.1981.10674287 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Arnhem Land: Explorations among an Unknown People Part I. The Journey to Bennet Bay
Thomson, D. F. F. (1948) · Geographical Journal · doi:10.2307/1789695 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Lawes, M. J., Taplin, P., Bellairs, S. M., et al. (2012) · Plant Ecology · doi:10.1007/s11258-012-0155-9 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Two climate‐sensitive tree‐ring chronologies from Arnhem Land, monsoonal Australia
Allen, K., Brookhouse, M. T., French, B. J., et al. (2019) · Austral Ecology · doi:10.1111/aec.12699 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- [16]Haynes, C. D. in Proceedings of the Ecological Society of Australia (Australia) (Darwin Institute of Technology).
- [36]Press T Lea D Webb A Alistair G Kakadu Natural and Cultural Heritage and Management 1995 The Australian National University
- [38]Russell-Smith, J., Needham, S. & Brock, J. in Kakadu: Natural and Cultural Heritage and Management (eds A. J. Press et al.) 128–166 (Australian National University, 1995).
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Roos, C. I., Kaib, J. M., Laluk, N. C., Adams, M. M., Guiterman, C. H., Baisan, C. H., Morino, K., & Swetnam, T. W. (2025) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2509169122 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
“Institutional burning, even when intended to mimic Indigenous fire regimes, can produce unintended and undesirable outcomes ( 67 ).”
Self-citation
- Authors
- Bowman, D. M. J. S., Williamson, G. J., Johnston, F. H., Bowman, C. J. W., Murphy, B. P., Roos, C. I., Trauernicht, C., Rostron, J., & Prior, L. D.
- Affiliations
- University of Tasmania (AU)
- Charles Darwin University (AU)
- Southern Methodist University (US)
- University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa (US)
- Corresponding author
- Bowman, David M. J. S.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2022-05-31
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 9081-9081
- ISSN
- 2045-2322 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9156674
- OpenAlex
- W4281661648
- Cited by
- 24
- References
- 67
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 1
- FWCI
- 1.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Scientific Reports (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UTAS Research Repository (acceptedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Australian Research Council (DP0878177)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Rangeland and Wildlife Management
- Social Sciences › Anthropology › Australian Indigenous Culture and History
- Keywords
- Indigenous fire management, savanna fire regimes, population collapse, colonialism, Kakadu National Park, hysteresis, bioindicators
- MeSH terms
- Australia, Poaceae, Humans, Ecosystem, Tracheophyta, Grassland
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review