Deep learning for identifying personal and family history of suicidal thoughts and behaviors from EHRs
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Objective: Personal and family history of suicidal thoughts and behaviors (PSH and FSH, respectively) are significant risk factors associated with future suicide events. These are often captured in narrative clinical notes in electronic health records (EHRs). Collaboratively, Weill Cornell Medicine (WCM), Northwestern Medicine (NM), and the University of Florida (UF) developed and validated deep learning (DL)-based natural language processing (NLP) tools to detect PSH and FSH from such notes. The tool's performance was further benchmarked against a method relying exclusively on ICD-9/10 diagnosis codes. Materials and Methods: We developed DL-based NLP tools utilizing pre-trained transformer models Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron, and compared them with expert-informed, rule-based methods. The tools were initially developed and validated using manually annotated clinical notes at WCM. Their portability and performance were further evaluated using clinical notes at NM and UF. Results: The DL tools outperformed the rule-based NLP tool in identifying PSH and FHS. For detecting PSH, the rule-based system obtained an F1-score of 0.75 ± 0.07, while the Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron DL tools scored 0.83 ± 0.09 and 0.84 ± 0.07, respectively. For detecting FSH, the rule-based NLP tool's F1-score was 0.69 ± 0.11, compared to 0.89 ± 0.10 for Bio_ClinicalBERT and 0.92 ± 0.07 for GatorTron. For the gold standard corpora across the three sites, only 2.2% (WCM), 9.3% (NM), and 7.8% (UF) of patients reported to have an ICD-9/10 diagnosis code for suicidal thoughts and behaviors prior to the clinical notes report date. The best performing GatorTron DL tool identified 93.0% (WCM), 80.4% (NM), and 89.0% (UF) of patients with documented PSH, and 85.0%(WCM), 89.5%(NM), and 100%(UF) of patients with documented FSH in their notes. Discussion: While PSH and FSH are significant risk factors for future suicide events, little effort has been made previously to identify individuals with these history. To address this, we developed a transformer based DL method and compared with conventional rule-based NLP approach. The varying effectiveness of the rule-based tools across sites suggests a need for improvement in its dictionary-based approach. In contrast, the performances of the DL tools were higher and comparable across sites. Furthermore, DL tools were fine-tuned using only small number of annotated notes at each site, underscores its greater adaptability to local documentation practices and lexical variations. Conclusion: Variations in local documentation practices across health care systems pose challenges to rule-based NLP tools. In contrast, the developed DL tools can effectively extract PSH and FSH information from unstructured clinical notes. These tools will provide clinicians with crucial information for assessing and treating patients at elevated risk for suicide who are rarely been diagnosed.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This multi-site study developed and validated deep learning NLP tools to detect personal and family history of suicidal thoughts and behaviors from clinical notes, benchmarking them against rule-based NLP and ICD codes. Transformer models outperformed rule-based NLP and identified many cases missed by diagnosis codes.
Key findings
- For personal history (PSH), the rule-based tool obtained an F1-score of 0.75 ± 0.07, while Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron scored 0.83 ± 0.09 and 0.84 ± 0.07, respectively. For family history (FSH), rule-based F1 was 0.69 ± 0.11, compared with 0.89 ± 0.10 for Bio_ClinicalBERT and 0.92 ± 0.07 for GatorTron.
- Site-specific GatorTron F1-scores were 0.92 (WCM), 0.78 (NM), and 0.83 (UF) for PSH, and 0.88 (WCM), 0.90 (NM), and 1.00 (UF) for FSH. Rule-based macro-average F1 ranged from 0.81 to 0.63 for PSH and 0.80 to 0.58 for FSH across sites.
- Only 2.2% (WCM), 9.3% (NM), and 7.8% (UF) of patients with documented PSH had an ICD-9/10 diagnosis code prior to the clinical note date. The best-performing GatorTron tool identified 93.0% (WCM), 80.4% (NM), and 89.0% (UF) of patients with documented PSH, and 85.0% (WCM), 89.5% (NM), and 100% (UF) with documented FSH.
- Across all sites, more than 90% of patients had no recorded STB diagnosis by ICD-9/10 codes, and no ICD code exists for FSH.
Methods
- Multi-site development and validation at Weill Cornell Medicine (WCM), Northwestern Medicine (NM), and University of Florida Health (UF). WCM training data included more than 13.8 million clinical notes from 177,993 patients prescribed antidepressants or diagnosed with mental health conditions between 2000–2020; gold-standard corpora comprised 301 notes/134 patients at WCM, 400 notes/313 patients at NM, and 400 notes/341 patients at UF.
- Rule-based NLP used the Leo framework’s SuicideHistoryExtractor with dual lexicons and ConText negation. Deep learning classifiers used Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron, fine-tuned with context windows of 8, 16, 24, or 32 words, batch size 16, learning rate 1e-05, dropout 0.3, AdamW, 5 epochs, and 10-fold cross-validation; performance was measured by weighted precision, recall, and F1.
- Manual annotation followed shared guidelines with majority polling and last-instance rules; inter-rater Cohen’s kappa was 0.89 for PSH and 0.89 for FSH at WCM, 0.75 and 0.85 at NM, and 0.89 combined at UF. Results were benchmarked against ICD-9/10 diagnosis codes.
Limitations
- Stated: the STB and history-modifier lexicon was restricted, leading to missed site-specific keywords and moderate external-site performance, especially for self-harm behaviors with diverse operational definitions; local lexicon customization could improve accuracy.
- Stated: the tools were tested at only three academic medical institutions, which may not reflect the broader healthcare system, so broader testing is needed.
- Stated: templating varied across sites, and the rule-based NLP algorithm did not account for templating structure, possibly hurting performance. Evident: the DL tools were fine-tuned on relatively small site-specific annotated corpora, and direct comparison with prior STB detection tools was not feasible because prior work did not focus on the historical aspect of suicidality.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
11 of 14 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 2 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Prior automated approaches primarily focus on identifying suicidal tendencies without considering their temporal aspects, often conflating current and historical events.
“These approaches, ranging from rule-based algorithms to ML techniques, primarily focus on identifying suicidal tendencies without considering their temporal aspects, often conflating current and historical events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 3 sources checked- cites [17] Walsh, C. G. et al. Prospective validation of an electronic health record–based, real-time suicide risk model. JAMA Netw. Open 4, e211428 (2021). source
The Methods > Real-Time Prediction section describes an automated model that explicitly separates five years of historical predictors from suicide attempts or suicidal ideation in the subsequent 30 days. Methods > Study Outcomes also specifies a 30-day prediction target. The paper therefore describes an approach that considers timing rather than conflating historical and future events; it does not establish how common that problem is among other approaches. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [18] Levis, M., Westgate, C. L., Gui, J., Watts, B. V. & Shiner, B. Natural language processing of clinical mental health notes may add predictive value to existing suicide risk models. Psychol. Med. 51, 1382–1391 (2021). source
The Discussion (page unavailable) says REACH VET variables are often static and contrasts them with a method that monitors how predictors change over time. This supports the narrower point that an existing automated model may miss temporal changes. The paper does not say prior approaches generally conflate current and historical events, or establish that limitation for rule-based approaches. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [19] Pathak, J., Kho, A. N. & Denny, J. C. Electronic health records-driven phenotyping: challenges, recent advances, and perspectives. J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc. 20, e206–e211 (2013). source
The paper’s discussion of EHR phenotyping describes rule-based and machine-learning approaches, supporting that part of the sentence. It does not discuss identifying suicidal tendencies or conflating current and historical suicidal events; instead, it explicitly lists temporal relations among the problems clinical NLP techniques address. No page number is available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Personal and family history of suicidal thoughts and behaviors (PSH and FSH, respectively) are significant risk factors associated with future suicide events.
“Personal and family history of suicidal thoughts and behaviors (PSH and FSH, respectively) are significant risk factors associated with future suicide events.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“Personal suicide history and a family suicide history (PSH and FSH, respectively) significantly increase future suicide risk, emphasizing the importance of identifying these factors8,9.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [8] Probert-Lindström, S., Berge, J., Westrin, Å., Öjehagen, A. & Pavulans, K. S. Long-term risk factors for suicide in suicide attempters examined at a medical emergency in patient unit: results from a 32-year follow-up study. BMJ Open 10, e038794 (2020). source
The Results table (Risk factors at long term) identifies previous suicide attempts as a significant predictor of later death by suicide, supporting the personal-history component for attempts. The paper does not establish family history as a risk factor, and its finding about prior attempts does not establish the same association for a personal history of suicidal thoughts or for future nonfatal suicidal events. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [9] Brent, D. A. & Melhem, N. Familial transmission of suicidal behavior. Psychiatr. Clin. North Am. 31, 157–177 (2008). source
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
- Premisecitation
The authors' prior study found that among patients identified through an NLP-based approach as having PHQ-9 scores, 31% showed scores suggesting major depressive disorder, yet lacked a corresponding structured ICD or SNOMED diagnosis code.
“Our prior study found that among patients identified through NLP-based approach as having PHQ-9 scores—a clinical instrument measuring depression severity—31% showed scores suggesting major depressive disorder, yet lacked a corresponding structured ICD or SNOMED diagnosis code39.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] McCoy, T. H., Castro, V. M., Roberson, A. M., Snapper, L. A. & Perlis, R. H. Improving prediction of suicide and accidental death after discharge from general hospitals with natural language processing. JAMA Psychiatry 73, 1064–1071 (2016). source
The Discussion reports that 48.9% of patients who died by suicide had no coded psychiatric ICD-9 diagnosis, but it does not report the claimed PHQ-9 finding. Searches for PHQ-9, major depressive disorder, SNOMED, and 31% found no passage in our copy addressing that result. The available Results instead concern NLP-derived language features and suicide-risk prediction; page numbers were not available. (LLM, conf=0.75)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The sole use of ICD-9/10 diagnosis codes in EHRs to document STB has proven insufficient.
“While International Classification of Disease (ICD-9/10) diagnosis codes in EHRs are used to document STB, their sole use has proven insufficient14.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Carter, G. et al. Predicting suicidal behaviours using clinical instruments: systematic review and meta-analysis of positive predictive values for risk scales. Br. J. Psychiatry 210, 387–395 (2017). source
The paper’s CUI+ and clinical-assessment sections evaluate the accuracy of suicide-risk scales for predicting future behaviour. They do not address whether ICD-9/10 codes alone adequately document suicidal thoughts and behaviours in EHRs; searches for ICD-9, diagnosis codes, and electronic health records found no passage on that point. (LLM, conf=0.77)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
GatorTron-based DL reported slightly higher FSH F1-scores of 0.88, 0.90, 1.00 at WCM, NM and UF, respectively.
“while GatorTron-based DL reported slightly higher scores of 0.88, 0.90, 1.00 at WCM, NM and UF, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingown data
For PSH, the Bio_ClinicalBERT-based model yielded F1-scores of 0.88, 0.73, and 0.88 at WCM, NM and UF, respectively.
“For PSH, utilizing Bio_ClinicalBERT-based model yielded F1-score of 0.88, 0.73, and 0.88 at WCM, NM and UF, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For both PSH and FSH, the DL methods showed higher performance than the rule-based NLP method across all three sites.
“For both PSH and FSH, the DL methods showed higher performance than the rule-based NLP method across all three sites.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the UF cohort of 341 patients, manual annotation identified 64 patients with PSH and 12 with FSH.
“In the UF cohort of 341 patients, manual annotation identified 64 patients with PSH and 12 with FSH.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The lowest performance for PSH was observed at UF, primarily as a result of a reduced recall of 0.60.
“The lowest performance for PSH was observed at UF, primarily as a result of a reduced recall of 0.60.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For detecting FSH, the Bio_ClinicalBERT DL tool achieved an F1-score of 0.89 ± 0.10.
“For detecting FSH, the rule-based NLP tool’s F1-score was 0.69 ± 0.11, compared to 0.89 ± 0.10 for Bio_ClinicalBERT and 0.92 ± 0.07 for GatorTron.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For detecting FSH, the GatorTron DL tool achieved an F1-score of 0.92 ± 0.07.
“For detecting FSH, the rule-based NLP tool’s F1-score was 0.69 ± 0.11, compared to 0.89 ± 0.10 for Bio_ClinicalBERT and 0.92 ± 0.07 for GatorTron.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For detecting PSH, the rule-based NLP tool achieved an F1-score of 0.75 ± 0.07.
“For detecting PSH, the rule-based system obtained an F1-score of 0.75 ± 0.07, while the Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron DL tools scored 0.83 ± 0.09 and 0.84 ± 0.07, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The DL tools outperformed the rule-based NLP tool in identifying PSH and FSH.
“The DL tools outperformed the rule-based NLP tool in identifying PSH and FHS.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The current study reveals a similar pattern of underdiagnosis when relying solely on ICD codes.
“The current study reveals a similar pattern of underdiagnosis when relying solely on ICD codes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The best performing GatorTron DL tool identified 85.0% (WCM), 89.5% (NM), and 100% (UF) of patients with documented FSH in their notes.
“The best performing GatorTron DL tool identified 93.0% (WCM), 80.4% (NM), and 89.0% (UF) of patients with documented PSH, and 85.0%(WCM), 89.5%(NM), and 100%(UF) of patients with documented FSH in their notes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The rule-based NLP tool demonstrated varying performance across different sites, with macro-average F1-scores ranging from 0.81 to 0.63 for PSH and 0.80 to 0.58 for FSH when evaluated against the corresponding gold standards.
“The rule-based NLP tool demonstrated varying performance across different sites (Table 2). Specifically, the macro-average F1-scores ranged from 0.81 to 0.63 for PSH and 0.80 to 0.58 for FSH when evaluated against the corresponding gold standards.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The highest performance for both PSH and FSH outcomes was recorded at WCM.
“Notably, the highest performance for both outcomes was recorded at WCM.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Error analysis at the three sites suggests that documentation practices vary widely when reporting temporal aspects of STB.
“Error analysis at the three sites further suggests that documentation practices vary widely when reporting temporal aspects of STB.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the NM cohort, only 9 (9.3%) PSH and 6 (10.5%) FSH patients had ICD codes for STB on or before the notes report dates.
“only 9 (9.3%) PSH and 6 (10.5%) FSH patients had ICD codes for STB on or before the notes report dates.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For detecting FSH, the rule-based NLP tool achieved an F1-score of 0.69 ± 0.11.
“For detecting FSH, the rule-based NLP tool’s F1-score was 0.69 ± 0.11, compared to 0.89 ± 0.10 for Bio_ClinicalBERT and 0.92 ± 0.07 for GatorTron.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For about 80% of these cases, the developed models prove effective in extracting this critical information.
“For about 80% of these cases, our developed models prove effective in extracting this critical information, underscoring the value of these tools in enhancing mental health assessments.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For detecting PSH, the Bio_ClinicalBERT DL tool achieved an F1-score of 0.83 ± 0.09.
“For detecting PSH, the rule-based system obtained an F1-score of 0.75 ± 0.07, while the Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron DL tools scored 0.83 ± 0.09 and 0.84 ± 0.07, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For detecting PSH, the GatorTron DL tool achieved an F1-score of 0.84 ± 0.07.
“For detecting PSH, the rule-based system obtained an F1-score of 0.75 ± 0.07, while the Bio_ClinicalBERT and GatorTron DL tools scored 0.83 ± 0.09 and 0.84 ± 0.07, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the gold standard corpora, the proportion of patients with an ICD-9/10 diagnosis code for suicidal thoughts and behaviors prior to the clinical notes report date was 2.2% at WCM, 9.3% at NM, and 7.8% at UF.
“For the gold standard corpora across the three sites, only 2.2% (WCM), 9.3% (NM), and 7.8% (UF) of patients reported to have an ICD-9/10 diagnosis code for suicidal thoughts and behaviors prior to the clinical notes report date.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Across all sites, more than 90% of the patients had no recorded STB diagnosis (either pre-existing or concurrent with the note date), according to the ICD-9/10 codes in their medical records.
“Across all sites, more than 90% of the patients had no recorded STB diagnosis (either pre-existing or concurrent with the note date), according to the ICD-9/10 codes in their medical records.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The extent to which EHR templates are included in notes varies widely across the three sites.
“The extent to which these templates are included in notes varies widely across the three sites.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the UF cohort, only 5 (7.8%) PSH and 0 FSH patients had any ICD code for SI or SB on or before the notes report date.
“Of these, only 5 (7.8%) PSH and 0 FSH patients had any ICD code for SI or SB on or before the notes report date.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The GatorTron-based model demonstrated superior performance for PSH with F1-scores of 0.92, 0.78, and 0.83 at WCM, NM and UF, respectively.
“In contrast, the GatorTron-based model demonstrated superior performance for PSH with F1-score of 0.92, 0.78, and 0.83 at WCM, NM and UF, respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
The algorithms were validated by comparison to manually annotated clinical notes of patients with different characteristics from three different academic medical centers in the U.S.
“The algorithms were validated by comparison to manually annotated clinical notes of patients with different characteristics from three different academic medical centers in the U.S.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The comparable performance of the DL methods at the three sites, despite notes originating at different clinical settings, suggests the general suitability of this method in detecting history of STB from clinical notes.
“The comparable performance of the DL methods at the three sites, despite the fact that notes were originated at different clinical settings, suggest the general suitability of this method in detecting history of STB from clinical notes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The developed DL tools can effectively extract PSH and FSH information from unstructured clinical notes.
“In contrast, the developed DL tools can effectively extract PSH and FSH information from unstructured clinical notes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Details like personal and family history of STB are often only recorded in clinical notes instead of ICD-9/10 diagnoses codes.
- Study design and conductown data
The performance of the rule-based NLP and DL tools was evaluated using a gold standard corpus developed by manual annotation.
“The performance of the rule-based NLP and DL tools was evaluated using a gold standard corpus developed by manual annotation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
The DL tools were fine-tuned using only a small number of annotated notes at each site.
“Furthermore, DL tools were fine-tuned using only small number of annotated notes at each site, underscores its greater adaptability to local documentation practices and lexical variations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
At UF, Cohen's Kappa score was 0.89 for PSH and FSH combined.
“At UF, the Cohen’s Kappa score of 0.89 was observed for PSH and FSH combined, ensuring sufficient agreement between reviewers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Variations in local documentation practices across health care systems pose challenges to rule-based NLP tools.
“Variations in local documentation practices across health care systems pose challenges to rule-based NLP tools.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The rule-based algorithm was iteratively refined until it consistently and accurately extracted all relevant instances of history of STB.
“This iterative refinement was conducted until the algorithm consistently and accurately extracted all relevant instances of history of STB.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The DL-tool developed demonstrated robustness to the varying documentation practices and patient populations presented across the three sites.
“The DL-tool we developed demonstrated robustness to the varying documentation practices and patient populations presented across the three sites.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The lexicon for STB and history modifiers was restricted, leading to moderate performance at external sites due to missed keywords specific to those locations.
“Primarily, the lexicon for STB and history modifiers was restricted, leading to moderate performance at external sites due to missed keywords specific to those locations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The DL tools have greater adaptability to local documentation practices and lexical variations.
“Furthermore, DL tools were fine-tuned using only small number of annotated notes at each site, underscores its greater adaptability to local documentation practices and lexical variations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
There was generally high inter-rater agreement between the manual annotators at all three sites.
“During the validation of annotation, we observed generally a high inter-rater agreement between the manual annotators at all three sites.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The study highlights the significant potential of rule-based NLP and DL tools in identifying personal and family histories of STB, which are often only recorded in free-text notes within various EHR systems.
“In conclusion, our study highlights the significant potential of rule-based NLP and DL tools in identifying personal and family histories of STB, which are often only recorded in free-text notes within various EHR systems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: None of the existing methods reported for the detection of STB specifically looked at the temporal or historical nature of these events.
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 16
- May combine two claims. 24
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAdvancements in automated detection of SI, SB, and SA from clinical notes have shown varied success.
“Advancements in automated detection of SI, SB, and SA from clinical notes have shown varied success17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim3 of 3 sources checked- cites [17] Walsh, C. G. et al. Prospective validation of an electronic health record–based, real-time suicide risk model. JAMA Netw. Open 4, e211428 (2021). source
The Discussion’s Limitations section says this model used structured EHR data and did not capture information in unstructured clinical notes. Although the paper evaluates automated prediction of suicidal ideation and suicide attempts, it does not describe detecting them from clinical notes or compare the success of note-based detection methods. No page number is available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [18] Levis, M., Westgate, C. L., Gui, J., Watts, B. V. & Shiner, B. Natural language processing of clinical mental health notes may add predictive value to existing suicide risk models. Psychol. Med. 51, 1382–1391 (2021). source
The Results (page unavailable) report varied predictive performance from NLP analysis of clinical notes: little to no improvement above chance in most cohorts, but a small improvement in the 12-month cohort. The paper studies prediction of death by suicide, not automated detection of suicidal ideation (SI), suicidal behavior (SB), and suicide attempts (SA) individually. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [19] Pathak, J., Kho, A. N. & Denny, J. C. Electronic health records-driven phenotyping: challenges, recent advances, and perspectives. J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc. 20, e206–e211 (2013). source
The main discussion describes automated extraction from clinical notes and notes challenges in achieving high accuracy; the Summary of Papers in the Special Issue also describes differing performance across phenotyping applications (page numbers unavailable). But our copy does not report detection results for suicidal ideation, suicidal behavior, or suicide attempts, so it does not support the claim’s specific application to SI, SB, and SA. (LLM, conf=0.81)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationBERT models effectively capture the interaction between a key clinical concept and their surrounding context, and have shown superior performance in various NLP tasks including text classification.
“In particular, the BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) models effectively capture the interaction between a key clinical concept and their surrounding context, and have shown superior performance in various NLP tasks including text classification16.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] Kessler, R. C. et al. Developing a practical suicide risk prediction model for targeting high-risk patients in the Veterans health Administration. Int J. Methods Psychiatr. Res. 26, e1575 (2017). source
The Analysis methods (§2.3) and Results (§3.2) discuss BART—Bayesian additive regression trees—for predicting suicide risk, not BERT. Searches for BERT, transformers, clinical-context interactions, and NLP text classification found no passage addressing the attributed claim. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe majority of suicide decedents had a physician visit in the year prior to their death and 45% had a visit in the last month of life.
“Notably, the majority of suicide decedents had a physician visit in the year prior to their death and 45% had a visit in the last month of life, highlighting the potential of EHR data in suicide risk prediction and prevention13.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Velupillai, S. et al. Risk assessment tools and data-driven approaches for predicting and preventing suicidal behavior. Front. Psychiatry 10, 36 (2019). source
The Targeted Suicide Prevention and Data-Driven Approaches sections discuss health-service data and EHR-based prediction, but neither reports physician visits among suicide decedents. Searches for visits in the year and month before death, including the claimed 45%, found no matching passage in our copy. The paper’s separate figure of 33–45% in the Data-Driven Approaches table refers to prediction sensitivity, not physician visits; page numbers were unavailable. (LLM, conf=0.72)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor FSH, the lowest performance occurred at NM, mainly because of a low recall of 0.44.
“Similarly, for FSH, the lowest performance occurred at NM, mainly because of a low recall of 0.44.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataWCM (32.8%) and UF (33.4%) had a higher representation of older patients (aged 60 or older) compared to NM (17.9%).
“Both WCM (32.8%) and UF (33.4%) had a higher representation of older patients (aged 60 or older) compared to NM (17.9%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe DL-based approach achieves a higher and more robust performance across diverse health care systems compared to rule-based NLP.
“The DL-based approach achieves a higher and more robust performance across diverse health care systems compared to rule-based NLP.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataDemographic variations were evident across the sites, particularly in age, race, and ethnicity.
“Notably, demographic variations (Table 1) were evident across the sites, particularly in age, race, and ethnicity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor FSH, both methods showed comparable effectiveness: Bio_ClinicalBERT-based DL achieved F1-scores of 0.88, 0.81, and 1.00 at WCM, NM and UF, respectively.
“For FSH, both methods showed comparable effectiveness: Bio_ClinicalBERT-based DL achieved F1-score of 0.88, 0.81, and 1.00 at WCM, NM and UF, respectively”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenNotes from WCM and UF are mostly in free-text format with little or no templating components, while those from NM exhibit a mix of semi-structured and unstructured formats varying with the type of note.
“While notes from WCM and UF are mostly in free-text format with little or no templating components, those from NM exhibit a mix of semi-structured and unstructured formats varying with the type of note.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataGatorTron successfully identified 57 (89.0%) of the PSH cases and 12 (100%) of the FSH cases in the UF cohort.
“GatorTron, successfully identified 57 (89.0%) of the PSH cases and 12 (100%) of the FSH cases.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningTraditional methods of structured information collection might miss up to 90% of patients exhibiting suicidal thoughts or behaviors, as these are often only mentioned in unstructured clinical notes.
“Our findings indicate that traditional methods of structured information collection might miss up to 90% of patients exhibiting suicidal thoughts or behaviors, as these are often only mentioned in unstructured clinical notes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe patient cohorts are predominantly women across all three study sites: 60.4% at WCM, 63.3% at NM, and 67.7% at UF.
“The patient cohorts are predominantly women across all three study sites: 60.4% at WCM, 63.3% at NM, and 67.7% at UF.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe DL-based GatorTron tool accurately detected 42 (93.3%) of the PSH cases and 12 (85.7%) of the FSH cases from patient notes in the WCM cohort.
“Conversely, the DL-based GatorTron tool accurately detected 42 (93.3%) of the PSH cases and 12 (85.7%) of the FSH cases from patient notes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataA larger proportion of non-Hispanic patients was observed at UF when compared to WCM and NM sites (96.2% vs 89.6% and 81.5%).
“Additionally, a larger proportion of non-Hispanic patients was observed at UF when compared to WCM and NM sites (96.2% vs 89.6% and 81.5%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the WCM cohort of 134 patients, manual annotation identified 45 (33.6%) patients with a PSH and 14 (10.4%) patients with a FSH.
“In the WCM cohort of 134 patients, while manual annotation identified 45 (33.6%) patients with a PSH and 14(10.4%) patients with a FSH”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe study involved examining 301 notes from 134 patients at WCM, 400 notes from 313 patients at NM, and 400 notes from 341 patients at UF.
“The study involved examining 301 notes from 134 patients at WCM, 400 notes from 313 patients at NM, and 400 notes from 341 patients at UF.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataGatorTron successfully identified 78 (80.4%) of the PSH cases and 51 (89.5%) of the FSH cases from notes in the NM cohort.
“GatorTron, however, successfully identified 78(80.4%) of the PSH cases and 51 (89.5%) of the FSH cases from notes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAt NM, notes with suicidal events documented using a timestamp accounted for the majority of false negative cases and contributed towards the low recall.
“For instance, at NM notes suicidal events documented using a timestamp accounted for the majority of false negative cases and contributed towards the low recall.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe best performing GatorTron DL tool identified 93.0% (WCM), 80.4% (NM), and 89.0% (UF) of patients with documented PSH in their notes.
“The best performing GatorTron DL tool identified 93.0% (WCM), 80.4% (NM), and 89.0% (UF) of patients with documented PSH, and 85.0%(WCM), 89.5%(NM), and 100%(UF) of patients with documented FSH in their notes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the WCM cohort, only 1 (2.2%) PSH patient and 1 (7.1%) FSH patient had relevant ICD codes on or before the notes report date.
“only 1(2.2%) PSH patient and 1(7.1%) FSH patient had relevant ICD codes on or before the notes report date.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the NM cohort of 313 patients, manual annotation identified 97 (31.0%) patients with PSH and 57 (18.2%) with FSH.
“In the NM cohort of 313 patients, while manual annotation identified 97 (31.0%) patients with PSH and 57 (18.2%) with FSH”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe UF cohort (36.4%) had a higher representation of Black patients when compared to WCM (7.5%) and NM (14.1%) cohorts.
“The UF cohort (36.4%) had a higher representation of Black patients when compared to WCM (7.5%) and NM (14.1%) cohorts.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe current rule-based tool demonstrates comparable performance at the development site (WCM), but its performance at external sites (NM and UF) was lower.
“While the current rule-based tool demonstrates comparable performance at the development site (WCM), its performance at external sites (NM and UF) was lower, suggesting room for further improvement.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe Transformer-based BERT model has comparable performances at both the development sites and external sites, making it a better choice for detecting history of STBs.
“The Transformer-based BERT model, on the other hand, has comparable performances at both the development sites and external sites making it a better choice for detecting history of STBs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataSince the sample cohort was unbalanced for PSH and FSH across all sites, the authors used the weighted average from scikit learn python library to compute precision, recall and F1-score.
“Since the sample cohort was unbalanced for PSH and FSH across all sites, we used the weighted average from scikit learn python library to compute these measures36.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36] Adamou, M. et al. Mining free-text medical notes for suicide risk assessment. In: Proceedings of the 10th hellenic conference on artificial intelligence 1–8 (Association for Computing Machinery, 2018). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Interpretationown dataThe varying effectiveness of the rule-based tools across sites suggests a need for improvement in its dictionary-based approach.
“The varying effectiveness of the rule-based tools across sites suggests a need for improvement in its dictionary-based approach.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe performances of the DL tools were higher and comparable across sites.
“In contrast, the performances of the DL tools were higher and comparable across sites.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationPrevious research indicates that mental health conditions were inadequately recorded as structured ICD or SNOMED codes in EHRs, but were more likely to be documented in patient notes.
“Previous research indicates that mental health conditions were inadequately recorded as structured ICD or SNOMED codes in EHRs, but were more likely to be documented in patient notes38.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [38] Ben-Ari, A. & Hammond, K. Text mining the EMR for modeling and predicting suicidal behavior among US veterans of the 1991 Persian Gulf War. In: 2015 48th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (eds. Bui, T. & Sprague, Jr., R.) 3168–3175 (IEEE Computer Society, 2015). source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe multi-site study was conducted with the approval of the Institutional Review Boards at each participating site and by a central IRB.
“This multi-site study was conducted with the approval of the Institutional Review Boards (IRBs) at each participating site and by a central IRB, ensuring adherence to ethical standards and patient privacy regulations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataAt NM, before the final voting process, Cohen's Kappa coefficients were 0.75 for PSH and 0.85 for FSH.
“Before the final voting process among all three reviewers at NM, the Cohen’s Kappa coefficient were 0.75 and 0.85 for PSH and FSH, respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenAll annotators were given the same annotation guidelines.
“All annotators were given the same annotation guidelines.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThe DL-based tools were fine-tuned on a relatively small number of notes (gold standard corpus) from each site, which reduces the overall development effort required.
“Moreover, the DL-based tools were fine-tuned on relatively small number of notes (gold standard corpus) from each site which reduces the overall development effort required.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenDisagreements between annotators were resolved through joint sessions to produce a final gold standard annotated document set.
“After both annotators completed annotations on the documents, any disagreements between the two sets were resolved through joint sessions of annotations, giving us a final gold standard annotated document set.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenEach model was evaluated via 10-fold cross-validation by randomly training using 80% of the data while keeping out 20% for testing to avoid overfitting.
“Each model was evaluated via 10-fold cross-validation by randomly training using 80% of the data while keeping out 20% for testing to avoid overfitting.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataAt WCM, Cohen's Kappa was 0.89 for PSH and 0.89 for FSH.
“At WCM, the Cohen’s Kappa measured was 0.89 for PSH and 0.89 for FSH.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe rule-based NLP and DL tools were tested across three academic medical institutions, which may not reflect the broader healthcare system.
“Secondly, the rule-based NLP and DL tools were tested across three academic medical institutions, which may not reflect the broader healthcare system.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe rule-based NLP algorithm did not account for possible templating structure and may have impacted negatively on the performance.
“Our rule-based NLP algorithm did not account for possible templating structure and may have impacted negatively on the performance.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
Patients at risk of suicide are often underdiagnosed.
“However, patients at risk of suicide are often underdiagnosed for a variety of reasons such as stigma associated with mental health issues and the limitations of diagnostic codes in capturing the complexity of mental health conditions.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Details like personal and family history of STB are often only recorded in clinical notes instead of ICD-9/10 diagnoses codes.
“This inadequacy is partly because details like personal and family history of STB are often only recorded in clinical notes instead of ICD-9/10 diagnoses codes.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The ICD-9 had no defined diagnosis code to document the historical aspect of STB.
“The ICD-9 had no defined diagnosis code to document the historical aspect of STB.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Personal history of self-harm was introduced only in 2016 when ICD-10 was formally adopted by EHR systems.
“Personal history of self-harm was introduced only in 2016 when ICD-10 was formally adopted by EHR systems.”
The paper relies on this without support.
There has been a lack of emphasis on distinguishing personal and family histories of STB.
“Notably, there has been a lack of emphasis on distinguishing personal and family histories of STB, despite the critical but different insights each of these factors offer.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Patients with pain conditions or those prescribed opioids are at an increased risk of STBs.
“Patients with pain conditions or those prescribed opioids are at an increased risk of STBs.”
The paper relies on this without support.
None of the existing methods reported for the detection of STB specifically looked at the temporal or historical nature of these events.
“However, none of the existing methods reported for the detection of STB specifically looked at the temporal or historical nature of these events.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Individuals with a personal or family history of suicidal thoughts and behaviors have an increased risk for future suicide events.
“Individuals with a PSH or a FSH have an increased risk for future suicide events.”
The paper relies on this without support.
No ICD code exists for family history of suicidal thoughts and behaviors.
“No ICD code exists for FSH, precluding direct comparison of underdiagnosis in EHRs.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Modern EHR systems use pre-defined templating components in organizing and documenting clinical notes.
“Thirdly, modern EHR systems use pre-defined templating component in organizing and documenting clinical notes.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
UF psychiatric inpatient-note percentage is incorrect
MinorEight of 400 UF notes is 2.0%, not 2.1%.
Reported 2.1 · recomputed 2
“8(2.1%) psychiatric inpatient notes”
NM progress-note percentage uses the wrong denominator
MinorThe paper reports 400 NM validation notes, but 167 progress notes would be 41.75% of them, not 53.4%. The reported percentage instead corresponds approximately to 167 divided by the 313 patients.
Reported 53.4 · recomputed 41.75
“167 (53.4%) progress notes”
Ten-fold cross-validation conflicts with the stated test split
MinorIn ten-fold cross-validation, each fold holds out one tenth of the data. The stated procedure instead holds out 20% for testing.
“10-fold cross-validation”
“randomly training using 80% of the data while keeping out 20% for testing”
UF other-note percentage is incorrect
MinorThirty-three of 400 UF notes is 8.25%, not 8.4%.
Reported 8.4 · recomputed 8.25
“33(8.4%) other or unknown types.”
NM specialist counts do not cover 400 notes
MinorThe two specialist counts total 313, although the passage describes the authors of the 400 NM validation notes.
Reported 400 · recomputed 313
“The clinical notes used for validation were written by 66 (21.1%) psychiatric specialists and 247 (78.9%) non-psychiatric specialists.”
NM note types total 338, not 400
MinorThe listed NM note-type counts sum to 338, leaving 62 of the stated 400 validation notes unaccounted for.
Reported 400 · recomputed 338
“The gold standard corpus consisted of 3 (1%) assessment & plan notes, 23 (7.3%) consult notes, 4 (1.3%) discharge/summary notes, 21 (6.7%) ED notes, 26 (8.3%) History & Physical notes, 12 (3.8%) plan of care notes, 167 (53.4%) progress notes, 63 (20.1%) psychiatric note, 3 (1%) telephone encounters, and 16 (5.1%) notes of other types.”
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Research works printed but not linked: 1
- Garrido-Merchan, E. C., Gozalo-Brizuela, R. & Gonzalez-Carvajal, S. Comparing BERT against traditional machinelearning models in text classification. J Comput Cogn Eng. 2, 352–356 (2023).
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A review of ChatGPT in medical education: exploring advantages and limitations
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Köckritz, J., İlgen, B., Cohrdes, C., & Hattab, G. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-18413-z · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Zaribafzadeh, H., Henson, J. B., Chan, N. W., Rogers, U. A., Webster, W., Schappe, T., Li, F., Matsouaka, R., Kirk, A. D., Henao, R., et al. (2025) · American Journal of Transplantation · doi:10.1016/j.ajt.2025.02.019 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Rubio-Martín, S., García-Ordás, M. T., García, A. S., Pato, C. M. F., Crespo-Álvaro, A., & Benítez‐Andrades, J. A. (2025) · PeerJ Computer Science · doi:10.7717/peerj-cs.3045 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Li, S., Levis, M., Dimambro, M., Wu, W., Levy, J., Shiner, B. R., & Gui, J. (2025) · Computers in Biology and Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.compbiomed.2025.109939 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Davarinejad, O., Khezeli, M., Yarveisi, T., & Moradi, F. (2025) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-025-25105-w · Cited by 7 · see citing works
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Artificial intelligence in suicide risk assessment: a systematic literature review
Mokheleli, T., Makaba, T., Ndayizigamiye, P., Ntshingila, N., & Twinomurinzi, H. (2026) · Discover Artificial Intelligence · doi:10.1007/s44163-026-01031-7
Multimodal AI in Suicide Risk Prediction: Behavioral, Physiological, and Digital Biomarkers
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- Authors
- Adekkanattu, P., Furmanchuk, A., Wu, Y., Pathak, A., Patra, B. G., Bost, S., Morrow, D., Wang, G. H.-M., Yang, Y., Forrest, N. J., Luo, Y., Walunas, T. L., Lo-Ciganic, W., Gelad, W., Bian, J., Bao, Y., Weiner, M., Oslin, D., & Pathak, J.
- Affiliations
- Weill Cornell Medicine (US)
- Northwestern University (US)
- University of Florida Health (US)
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US)
- Philadelphia VA Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Adekkanattu, Prakash
- ORCID
- Venue
- npj Digital Medicine
- Published
- 2024-09-28
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 260-260
- ISSN
- 2398-6352 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC10980141
- OpenAlex
- W4402945049
- Semantic Scholar
- 9baead57e7cda73ba0d024a7f9894f61b81712b1
- Cited by
- 12
- References
- 49
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 7
- FWCI
- 1.77
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- npj Digital Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute on Drug Abuse (1R01DA050676)
- U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute of Mental Health (5R01MH121907-04)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Mental Health via Writing
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Suicide and Self-Harm Studies
- Keywords
- suicidal ideation, suicidal behavior, family history of suicide, suicide risk, clinical notes, electronic health records, clinical text mining, transformer models, rule-based natural language processing, suicide risk identification
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-27.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-27.
Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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