The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The social shortfall and ecological overshoot of nations
Open accessAbstract
Previous research has shown that no country currently meets the basic needs of its residents at a level of resource use that could be sustainably extended to all people globally. Using the doughnut-shaped ‘safe and just space’ framework, we analyse the historical dynamics of 11 social indicators and 6 biophysical indicators across more than 140 countries from 1992 to 2015. We find that countries tend to transgress biophysical boundaries faster than they achieve social thresholds. The number of countries overshooting biophysical boundaries increased over the period from 32–55% to 50–66%, depending on the indicator. At the same time, the number of countries achieving social thresholds increased for five social indicators (in particular life expectancy and educational enrolment), decreased for two indicators (social support and equality) and showed little change for the remaining four indicators. We also calculate ‘business-as-usual’ projections to 2050, which suggest deep transformations are needed to safeguard human and planetary health. Current trends will only deepen the ecological crisis while failing to eliminate social shortfalls. Historical dynamics show that no country has achieved minimum social thresholds within biophysical boundaries between 1992 and 2015, and a projection indicates that no country is on the path to achieve them.
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Cites
Food in the Anthropocene: the EAT–Lancet Commission on healthy diets from sustainable food systems
Willett, W., Rockström, J., Loken, B., Springmann, M., Lang, T., Vermeulen, S., Garnett, T., Tilman, D., DeClerck, F., Wood, A., et al. (2019) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(18)31788-4 · Cited by 10,880
Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene
Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., Summerhayes, C. P., Barnosky, A. D., Cornell, S. E., Crucifix, M., et al. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1810141115 · Cited by 3,139
Whitmee, S., Haines, A., Beyrer, C., Boltz, F., Capon, A. G., de Souza Dias, B. F., Ezeh, A., Frumkin, H., Gong, P., Head, P., et al. (2015) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(15)60901-1 · Cited by 2,998
Hickel, J., & Kallis, G. (2020) · New Political Economy · doi:10.1080/13563467.2019.1598964 · Cited by 2,007
Self-citationKallis, G., Kostakis, V., Lange, S., Muraca, B., Paulson, S., & Schmelzer, M. (2018) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-025941 · Cited by 723
Global redistribution of income and household energy footprints: a computational thought experiment
Oswald, Y., Steinberger, J. K., Ivanova, D., & Millward-Hopkins, J. (2021) · Global Sustainability · doi:10.1017/sus.2021.1 · Cited by 82
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Metadata
- Authors
- Fanning, A. L., O’Neill, D. W., Hickel, J., & Roux, N.
- Venue
- Nature Sustainability
- Published
- 2021-11-18
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 26-36
- ISSN
- 2398-9629 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3214359274
- Cited by
- 393
- References
- 6
- FWCI
- 56.84
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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