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Cited by 959Marine and fisheries researchFish Ecology and Management StudiesMarine and Coastal Ecosystems

Global fish production and climate change

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Brander, K. M.·2007·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
DOI 10.1073/pnas.0702059104PMC PMC2148362
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Abstract

Current global fisheries production of ≈160 million tons is rising as a result of increases in aquaculture production. A number of climate-related threats to both capture fisheries and aquaculture are identified, but we have low confidence in predictions of future fisheries production because of uncertainty over future global aquatic net primary production and the transfer of this production through the food chain to human consumption. Recent changes in the distribution and productivity of a number of fish species can be ascribed with high confidence to regional climate variability, such as the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. Future production may increase in some high-latitude regions because of warming and decreased ice cover, but the dynamics in low-latitude regions are governed by different processes, and production may decline as a result of reduced vertical mixing of the water column and, hence, reduced recycling of nutrients. There are strong interactions between the effects of fishing and the effects of climate because fishing reduces the age, size, and geographic diversity of populations and the biodiversity of marine ecosystems, making both more sensitive to additional stresses such as climate change. Inland fisheries are additionally threatened by changes in precipitation and water management. The frequency and intensity of extreme climate events is likely to have a major impact on future fisheries production in both inland and marine systems. Reducing fishing mortality in the majority of fisheries, which are currently fully exploited or overexploited, is the principal feasible means of reducing the impacts of climate change.

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  • Climate change affects the survival, growth, reproduction, recruitment and distribution of individuals within a species, and impacts can also be shown at the level of populations, communities, or entire ecosystems.

    “Climate change affects the survival, growth, reproduction, recruitment and distribution of individuals within a species, but impacts can also be shown at the level of populations, communities, or entire ecosystems”

    From El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impact on tuna fisheries in Indian Ocean (2014) · cites this paper as Brander 2007

    The “Evidence of Climate Impacts” passage (page unavailable) states nearly the entire claim, including effects on survival, growth, reproduction and distribution, and impacts at population, community and ecosystem levels. It does not include recruitment in that list; the copy discusses recruitment elsewhere in connection with fishing, not as an effect on individuals attributed to climate change. (LLM, conf=0.88)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

  • Recent changes in the distribution of a number of fish species can be ascribed with high confidence to regional climate variability, such as ENSO and anomalies.

    “Recent changes in the distribution of a number of fish species can be ascribed with high confidence to regional climate variability, such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and anomalies”

    From El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impact on tuna fisheries in Indian Ocean (2014) · cites this paper as Brander 2007

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Authors
Brander, K. M.
Affiliations
International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (DK)
Corresponding author
Brander, K. M.
ORCID
Brander, K. M.
Venue
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Publisher
National Academy of Sciences
Published
2007-12-11
Volume
104
Issue
50
Pages
19709-19714
ISSN
  • 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
  • 1091-6490
DOI
10.1073/pnas.0702059104
PMC
PMC2148362
OpenAlex
W2007173289
Cited by
959
References
0
Citations by year
2026: 31 · 2025: 56 · 2024: 48 · 2023: 70 · 2022: 69 · 2021: 56 · 2020: 56 · 2019: 63 · 2018: 57 · 2017: 63 · 2016: 41 · 2015: 41 · 2014: 47 · 2013: 64 · 2012: 44
FWCI
4.29
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Funders
  • Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer
  • Norges Forskningsråd
  • International Council for the Exploration of the Sea
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine and fisheries research
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Fish Ecology and Management Studies
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Marine and Coastal Ecosystems
Keywords
climate change impacts on fisheries, aquaculture, capture fisheries, ENSO, fish distribution shifts, ocean warming, sea ice decline, vertical mixing, nutrient cycling, overfishing, fishing mortality, marine biodiversity loss, inland fisheries, climate extremes, trophic transfer
MeSH terms
Animals, Climate, Fisheries, Fishes, Forecasting, Humans, Greenhouse Effect, Aquaculture

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