Cited by 3,840Physiological and biochemical adaptationsSpecies Distribution and Climate ChangeEcology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies

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Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude

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Deutsch, Curtis A., Tewksbury, Joshua J., Huey, Raymond B., Sheldon, Kimberly S., Ghalambor, Cameron K., Haak, David C., Martin, Paul R.·2008·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

DOI 10.1073/pnas.0709472105PMC PMC2373333

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Abstract

The impact of anthropogenic climate change on terrestrial organisms is often predicted to increase with latitude, in parallel with the rate of warming. Yet the biological impact of rising temperatures also depends on the physiological sensitivity of organisms to temperature change. We integrate empirical fitness curves describing the thermal tolerance of terrestrial insects from around the world with the projected geographic distribution of climate change for the next century to estimate the direct impact of warming on insect fitness across latitude. The results show that warming in the tropics, although relatively small in magnitude, is likely to have the most deleterious consequences because tropical insects are relatively sensitive to temperature change and are currently living very close to their optimal temperature. In contrast, species at higher latitudes have broader thermal tolerance and are living in climates that are currently cooler than their physiological optima, so that warming may even enhance their fitness. Available thermal tolerance data for several vertebrate taxa exhibit similar patterns, suggesting that these results are general for terrestrial ectotherms. Our analyses imply that, in the absence of ameliorating factors such as migration and adaptation, the greatest extinction risks from global warming may be in the tropics, where biological diversity is also greatest.

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Authors: Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Huey, R. B., Sheldon, K. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Haak, D. C., & Martin, P. R.
Affiliations: University of Washington (US)
Colorado State University (US)
ORCID: Deutsch, Curtis A.
Tewksbury, Joshua J.
Huey, Raymond B.
Sheldon, Kimberly S.
Ghalambor, Cameron K.
Haak, David C.
Martin, Paul R.
Venue: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
Published: 2008-05-06
Volume: 105
Issue: 18
Pages: 6668-6672
ISSN: 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0709472105
PMC: PMC2373333
OpenAlex: W1992244678
Cited by: 3,840
References: 40
Citations by year: 2026: 249 · 2025: 274 · 2024: 260 · 2023: 284 · 2022: 270 · 2021: 284 · 2020: 320 · 2019: 259 · 2018: 228 · 2017: 203 · 2016: 204 · 2015: 187 · 2014: 168 · 2013: 188 · 2012: 146
FWCI: 89.07
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Locations: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Physiological and biochemical adaptations
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
Keywords: global warming, heat tolerance, insect fitness, latitudinal gradient, tropical insects, optimal temperature, climate change projections, extinction risk, climate change impacts
MeSH terms: Adaptation, Physiological, Animals, Insecta, Temperature, Tropical Climate, Greenhouse Effect, Ecosystem

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