The DOI matches its Crossref record; 9 of the 9 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment
Open accessAbstract
Significance: Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are widely expected to influence global climate over the coming century. The impact on drought is uncertain because of the complexity of the processes but can be estimated using outputs from an ensemble of global models (hydrological and climate models). Using an ensemble of 35 simulations, we show a likely increase in the global severity of drought by the end of 21st century, with regional hotspots including South America and Central and Western Europe in which the frequency of drought increases by more than 20%. The main source of uncertainty in the results comes from the hydrological models, with climate models contributing to a substantial but smaller amount of uncertainty.
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Cites
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BackgroundElevated CO2 effects on plant carbon, nitrogen, and water relations: six important lessons from FACE
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Cited by
Miralles, D. G., Gentine, P., Seneviratne, S. I., & Teuling, A. J. (2019) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1111/nyas.13912 · Cited by 1,080
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Schleussner, C.-F., Lissner, T. K., Fischer, E. M., Wohland, J., Perrette, M., Golly, A., Rogelj, J., Childers, K., Schewe, J., Frieler, K., et al. (2016) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-7-327-2016 · Cited by 680
Seasonal Drought Prediction: Advances, Challenges, and Future Prospects
Hao, Z., Singh, V. P., & Xia, Y. (2018) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1002/2016rg000549 · Cited by 607
Plant responses to increasing CO 2 reduce estimates of climate impacts on drought severity
Swann, A. L. S., Hoffman, F. M., Koven, C. D., & Randerson, J. T. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1604581113 · Cited by 585
Metadata
- Authors
- Prudhomme, C., Giuntoli, I., Robinson, E. L., Clark, D. B., Arnell, N. W., Dankers, R., Fekete, B. M., Franssen, W., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hannah, D. M., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y., & Wisser, D.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2013-12-16
- Volume
- 111
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 3262-3267
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2103897732
- Cited by
- 777
- References
- 9
- FWCI
- 34.00
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Prudhomme, C., Giuntoli, I., Robinson, E. L., Clark, D. B., Arnell, N. W., Dankers, R., Fekete, B. M., Franssen, W., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hannah, D. M., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y., & Wisser, D. (2014). Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222473110
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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