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Evidence on the impact of sustained exposure to air pollution on life expectancy from China’s Huai River policy
Open accessAbstract
This paper's findings suggest that an arbitrary Chinese policy that greatly increases total suspended particulates (TSPs) air pollution is causing the 500 million residents of Northern China to lose more than 2.5 billion life years of life expectancy. The quasi-experimental empirical approach is based on China’s Huai River policy, which provided free winter heating via the provision of coal for boilers in cities north of the Huai River but denied heat to the south. Using a regression discontinuity design based on distance from the Huai River, we find that ambient concentrations of TSPs are about 184 μg/m 3 [95% confidence interval (CI): 61, 307] or 55% higher in the north. Further, the results indicate that life expectancies are about 5.5 y (95% CI: 0.8, 10.2) lower in the north owing to an increased incidence of cardiorespiratory mortality. More generally, the analysis suggests that long-term exposure to an additional 100 μg/m 3 of TSPs is associated with a reduction in life expectancy at birth of about 3.0 y (95% CI: 0.4, 5.6).
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Formation of Urban Fine Particulate Matter
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Gelman, A., & Carlin, J. (2014) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/1745691614551642 · Cited by 1,343
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Apte, J. S., Marshall, J. D., Cohen, A. J., & Brauer, M. (2015) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.5b01236 · Cited by 995
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Self-citationYin, P., Brauer, M., Cohen, A. J., Wang, H., Li, J., Burnett, R. T., Stanaway, J. D., Causey, K., Larson, S., Godwin, W., et al. (2020) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(20)30161-3 · Cited by 624
Metadata
- Authors
- Chen, Y., Ebenstein, A., Greenstone, M., & Li, H.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2013-07-08
- Volume
- 110
- Issue
- 32
- Pages
- 12936-12941
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2088780245
- Cited by
- 1,818
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 69.28
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Chen, Y., Ebenstein, A., Greenstone, M., & Li, H. (2013). Evidence on the impact of sustained exposure to air pollution on life expectancy from China’s Huai River policy. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1300018110
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