Cited by 166Water-Energy-Food Nexus StudiesWater resources management and optimizationClimate Change Policy and Economics

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21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating

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Hejazi, Mohamad I., Voisin, Nathalie, Liu, Lu, Bramer, Lisa M., Fortin, Daniel C., Hathaway, John E., Huang, Maoyi, Kyle, Page, Leung, L. Ruby, Li, Hong-Yi, Liu, Ying, Patel, Pralit L., Pulsipher, Trenton C., Rice, Jennie S., Tesfa, Teklu K., Vernon, Chris R., Zhou, Yuyu·2015·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

DOI 10.1073/pnas.1421675112PMC PMC4553779

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Abstract

Significance: Devising sustainable climate change mitigation policies with attention to potential synergies and constraints within the climate–energy–water nexus is the subject of ongoing integrated modeling efforts. This study employs a regional integrated assessment model and a regional Earth system model at high spatial and temporal resolutions in the Unites States to compare the implications of two of the representative concentration pathways under consistent socioeconomics. The results clearly show, for the first time to our knowledge, that climate change mitigation policies, if not designed with careful attention to water resources, could increase the magnitude, spatial coverage, and frequency of water deficits. The results challenge the general perception that mitigation that aims at reducing warming also would alleviate water deficits in the future.

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Authors: Hejazi, M. I., Voisin, N., Liu, L., Bramer, L. M., Fortin, D. C., Hathaway, J. E., Huang, M., Kyle, P., Leung, L. R., Li, H.-Y., Liu, Y., Patel, P. L., Pulsipher, T. C., Rice, J. S., Tesfa, T. K., Vernon, C. R., & Zhou, Y.
Affiliations: Joint Global Change Research Institute (US)
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US)
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99352
ORCID: Hejazi, Mohamad I.
Voisin, Nathalie
Liu, Lu
Bramer, Lisa M.
Hathaway, John E.
Huang, Maoyi
Kyle, Page
Li, Hong-Yi
Liu, Ying
Patel, Pralit L.
Rice, Jennie S.
Tesfa, Teklu K.
Vernon, Chris R.
Zhou, Yuyu
Venue: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
Published: 2015-08-03
Volume: 112
Issue: 34
Pages: 10635-10640
ISSN: 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1421675112
PMC: PMC4553779
OpenAlex: W2145991779
Cited by: 166
References: 39
Citations by year: 2026: 5 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 19 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 20 · 2020: 14 · 2019: 22 · 2018: 27 · 2017: 12 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 1
FWCI: 11.22
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: bronze
doi.org
Locations: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Funders: U.S. Department of Energy (DE-AC05–76RL01830, 76RL01830, AC05-76RL01830, DE-AC05?, Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830)
Battelle (AC05-76RL01830, DE- AC05-76RL01830, DE-AC05)
Office of Science (DE‐AC05‐76 RL01830)
Biological and Environmental Research (DE-AC05-76 RL01830, AC05-76RL01830, 76RL01830)
Laboratory Directed Research and Development (76RL01830, DEAC05–76RL01830)
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (DEAC0576RL01830, 76RL01830)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Water resources management and optimization
Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
Keywords: climate change mitigation, water stress, water demand, evapotranspiration, drought, surface drying, United States, socioeconomics, integrated modeling
MeSH terms: Conservation of Natural Resources, Forecasting, Fresh Water, Models, Theoretical, Public Policy, Socioeconomic Factors, United States, Water Supply, Climate Change, Global Warming, Water Cycle, Groundwater

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21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating

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