Cited by 543Building Energy and Comfort OptimizationIntegrated Energy Systems OptimizationBuilding energy efficiency and sustainability

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Global scenarios of urban density and its impacts on building energy use through 2050

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Güneralp, Burak, Zhou, Yuyu, Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana, Gupta, Mukesh, Yu, Sha, Patel, Pralit L., Fragkias, Michail, Li, Xiaoma, Seto, Karen C.·2017·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

DOI 10.1073/pnas.1606035114PMC PMC5576775

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Abstract

Significance: Urban density significantly impacts urban energy use and the quality of life of urban residents. Here, we provide a global-scale analysis of future urban densities and associated energy use in the built environment under different urbanization scenarios. The relative importance of urban density and energy-efficient technologies varies geographically. In developing regions, urban density tends to be the more critical factor in building energy use. Large-scale retrofitting of building stock later rather than sooner results in more energy savings by the middle of the century. Reducing building energy use, improving the local environment, and mitigating climate change can be achieved through systemic efforts that take potential co-benefits and trade-offs of both higher urban density and building energy efficiency into account.

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Authors: Güneralp, B., Zhou, Y., Ürge-Vorsatz, D., Gupta, M., Yu, S., Patel, P. L., Fragkias, M., Li, X., & Seto, K. C.
Affiliations: Texas A&M University (US)
Iowa State University (US)
Centre for Climate Change and Sustainable Energy Policy, Central European University, 1051 Budapest, Hungary;
Central European University (AT)
Joint Global Change Research Institute (US)
Boise State University (US)
Yale University (US)
ORCID: Güneralp, Burak
Zhou, Yuyu
Yu, Sha
Patel, Pralit L.
Fragkias, Michail
Li, Xiaoma
Seto, Karen C.
Venue: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
Published: 2017-01-09
Volume: 114
Issue: 34
Pages: 8945-8950
ISSN: 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1606035114
PMC: PMC5576775
OpenAlex: W2570837382
Cited by: 543
References: 46
Citations by year: 2026: 52 · 2025: 65 · 2024: 57 · 2023: 47 · 2022: 75 · 2021: 58 · 2020: 56 · 2019: 39 · 2018: 82 · 2017: 11
FWCI: 48.05
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Licence: www.pnas.org/site/misc/userlicense.xhtml (vor, 181 d)
Locations: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences OpenIR (Chinese Academy of Sciences) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion)
Greater South Information System
Funders: U.S. Department of Energy (DE-AC05-76RL01830)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Engineering › Building and Construction › Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
Physical Sciences › Engineering › Building and Construction › Building energy efficiency and sustainability
Keywords: urban density, building energy consumption, urbanization, heating and cooling energy, energy scenarios, building retrofit, energy efficiency, urban form, climate change mitigation, China, Asia, developing cities

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Global scenarios of urban density and its impacts on building energy use through 2050

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