Siberian Arctic black carbon sources constrained by model and observation
Open accessAbstract
Significance: A successful mitigation strategy for climate warming agents such as black carbon (BC) requires reliable source information from bottom-up emission inventory data, which can only be verified by observation. We measured BC in one of the fastest-warming and, at the same time, substantially understudied regions on our planet, the northeastern Siberian Arctic. Our observations, compared with an atmospheric transport model, imply that quantification and spatial allocation of emissions at high latitudes, specifically in the Russian Arctic, need improvement by reallocating emissions and significantly shifting source contributions for the transport, domestic, power plant, and gas flaring sectors. This strong shift in reported emissions has potentially considerable implications for climate modeling and BC mitigation efforts.
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Very few studies have tried to quantify the contribution of local power generation to pollution levels at the surface during winter in Arctic urban environments.
“However, very few studies have tried to quantify the contribution of local power generation to pollution levels at the surface during winter in Arctic urban environments.8,12”
From Estimating Power Plant Contributions to Surface Pollution in a Wintertime Arctic Environment (2025) · cites this paper as [8]
The paper describes the Siberian Arctic as understudied and estimates that power plants contribute 9% of black carbon at a receptor near Tiksi (opening summary; Methods). It does not establish that very few studies have quantified *local* power generation’s contribution to surface pollution specifically during winter in Arctic urban environments. Page numbers are not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredAnalysis of BC data, including new measurements of carbon isotopes in BC, collected at Tiksi on the northern coast of eastern Siberia showed that emissions from transport and domestic heating contribute each more than one third to the atmospheric BC concentrations on average per year.
“Analysis of BC data, including new measurements of carbon isotopes in BC, collected at Tiksi on the northern coast of eastern Siberia showed that emissions from transport and domestic heating contribute each more than one third to the atmospheric BC concentrations on average per year (Winiger et al., 2017).”
From Local Arctic Air Pollution: A Neglected but Serious Problem (2018) · cites this paper as Winiger et al., 2017
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Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredUsing measured isotope ratios, Winiger et al. (2017) showed that flaring BC emissions in Russia might have been overestimated, while emission distribution and source attribution were found faulty in available emission inventories.
“Using measured isotope ratios, Winiger et al. (2017) showed that fl aring BC emissions in Russia might have been overestimated, while emission distribution and source attribution were found faulty in available emission inventories.”
From Local Arctic Air Pollution: A Neglected but Serious Problem (2018) · cites this paper as Winiger et al., 2017
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Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
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Local Arctic Air Pollution: A Neglected but Serious Problem
Schmale, J., Arnold, S. R., Law, K. S., Thorp, T., Anenberg, S., Simpson, W. R., Mao, J., & Pratt, K. A. (2018) · Earth's Future · doi:10.1029/2018ef000952 · Cited by 219 · see citing works
“…the case for the metallurgical activities and BC emissions on the Kola Peninsula (Evans et al., 2015; Hienola et al., 2013; Prank et al., 2010) and gas flaring, even though the magnitude of the contribution of flaring is still unclear (Huang et al., 2015; Stohl et al., 2013; Winiger et al., 2017).”
BackgroundInfluentialEstimating Power Plant Contributions to Surface Pollution in a Wintertime Arctic Environment
Brett, N., Arnold, S. R., Law, K. S., Raut, J.-C., Onishi, T., Barret, B., Dieudonné, E., Cesler-Maloney, M., Simpson, W., Bekki, S., et al. (2025) · ACS ES&T Air · doi:10.1021/acsestair.5c00030 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
- Authors
- Winiger, P., Andersson, A., Eckhardt, S., Stohl, A., Semiletov, I. P., Dudarev, O. V., Charkin, A., Shakhova, N., Klimont, Z., Heyes, C., & Gustafsson, Ö.
- Affiliations
- Stockholm University (SE)
- NILU (NO)
- Russian Academy of Sciences (RU)
- University of Alaska Fairbanks (US)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
- Corresponding author
- Gustafsson, Örjan
- ORCID
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2017-01-30
- Volume
- 114
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- E1054-E1061
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC5320976
- OpenAlex
- W2581686942
- Cited by
- 126
- References
- 66
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 27 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 6.82
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- VU Research Portal (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (acceptedVersion)
- BIBSYS Brage (BIBSYS (Norway)) (acceptedVersion)
- NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- Energimyndigheten (35450-2)
- Seventh Framework Programme (PITN-GA-2010-264329, 282688)
- Nordisk Ministerråd (Defrost)
- Swedish Research Council Formas (942-2015-1070)
- Russian Academy of Sciences (14.Z50.31.0012/03.19.2014))
- EC | European Research Council (695331)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Toxic Organic Pollutants Impact
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Keywords
- black carbon, Arctic aerosols, Siberian Arctic, Russian Arctic, source attribution, biomass burning, domestic emissions, transport emissions, gas flaring, power plant emissions, open fires, emission inventory, atmospheric dispersion modeling, dual isotope analysis, global warming
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