The dynamics of norm change in the cultural evolution of language
Open accessAbstract
Significance: Social conventions, such as shaking hands or dressing formally, allow us to coordinate smoothly and, once established, appear to be natural. But what happens when a new convention replaces an old one? This question has remained largely unanswered so far, due to the lack of suitable data. Here, we investigate the process of norm change by looking at 2,541 linguistic norm shifts occurring over the last two centuries in English and Spanish. We identify different patterns of norm adoption depending on whether the change is spontaneous or driven by a centralized institution, and we propose a simple model that reproduces all of the empirical observations. These results shed light on the cultural evolution of linguistic norms and human collective behavior.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Other studies indicate minorities as small as 0.3% can trigger substantial linguistic and social changes.
“However, real-world observations reveal a wider range, with some studies proposing 30 to 40% for gender conventions in corporate leadership (25, 48), and others indicating that minorities as small as 0.3% can trigger substantial linguistic and social changes (29, 49–51).”
From Emergent social conventions and collective bias in LLM populations (2025) · cites this paper as [51]
The Model and Unregulated evolution sections link small groups of committed users to the success of new linguistic forms. But the 0.3% figure (c = 0.003) appears in Intervention of informal institutions as a fitted commitment parameter supporting the old British spelling, not as a minority shown to trigger change; the paper also does not establish that figure for social changes generally. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
The Neutral Theory of Molecular Evolution
Kimura, M. (1979) · Scientific American · doi:10.1038/scientificamerican1179-98 · Cited by 7,698 · see citing works
The Neutral Theory of Molecular Evolution
Kimura, M. (1983) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511623486 · Cited by 6,300 · see citing works
Convention: A Philosophical Study.
Llewelyn, J. E., & Lewis, D. K. (1970) · The Philosophical Quarterly · doi:10.2307/2218418 · Cited by 3,119 · see citing works
Quantitative analysis of culture using millions of digitized books
Michel, J.-B., Shen, Y., Aiden, A. P., Veres, A., Gray, M. K., Pickett, J. P., Hoiberg, D., Clancy, D., Norvig, P., Orwant, J., et al. (2010) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1199644 · Cited by 2,972 · see citing works
The spreading of misinformation online
Del Vicario, M., Bessi, A., Zollo, F., Petroni, F., Scala, A., Caldarelli, G., Stanley, H. E., & Quattrociocchi, W. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1517441113 · Cited by 2,407 · see citing works
The Grammar of Society: The Nature and Dynamics of Social Norms
Bicchieri, C. (2005) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511616037 · Cited by 1,991 · see citing works
(2000) · Cited by 1,889 · see citing works
The neutral theory of molecular evolution
Dover, G. A. (1984) · Endeavour · doi:10.1016/0160-9327(84)90064-4 · Cited by 1,387 · see citing works
Historical Linguistics and Language Change
Lass, R. (1997) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511620928 · Cited by 954 · see citing works
Temporal patterns of happiness and information in a global social network: hedonometrics and Twitter
Dodds, P. S., Harris, K. D., Kloumann, I. M., Bliss, C. A., & Danforth, C. M. (2011) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0026752 · Cited by 809 · see citing works
Nyborg, K., Anderies, J. M., Dannenberg, A., Lindahl, T., Schill, C., Schlüter, M., Adger, W. N., Arrow, K. J., Barrett, S., Carpenter, S., et al. (2016) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aaf8317 · Cited by 775 · see citing works
Experimental evidence for tipping points in social convention
Centola, D., Becker, J., Brackbill, D., & Baronchelli, A. (2018) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aas8827 · Cited by 750 · see citing works
Self-citationQuantifying the evolutionary dynamics of language
Aiden, E. L., Michel, J.-B., Jackson, J., Tang, T., & Nowak, M. A. (2007) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06137 · Cited by 522 · see citing works
Young, H. P. (2015) · Annual Review of Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-economics-080614-115322 · Cited by 497 · see citing works
Pechenick, E. A., Danforth, C. M., & Dodds, P. S. (2015) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0137041 · Cited by 437 · see citing works
Social consensus through the influence of committed minorities
Xie, J., Sreenivasan, S., Korniss, G., Zhang, W., Lim, C., & Szymanski, B. K. (2011) · Physical Review E · doi:10.1103/physreve.84.011130 · Cited by 416 · see citing works
Human language reveals a universal positivity bias
Dodds, P. S., Clark, E. M., Desu, S., Frank, M. R., Reagan, A. J., Williams, J. R., Mitchell, L., Harris, K. D., Kloumann, I. M., Bagrow, J. P., et al. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1411678112 · Cited by 401 · see citing works
Historical Linguistics and Language Change
Price, G., & Lass, R. (1999) · The Modern Language Review · doi:10.2307/3736115 · Cited by 367 · see citing works
Psycholinguistics: a survey of theory and research problems.
Gardner, J. W., Carroll, J. B., Newmark, L., Ervin, S. M., Saporta, S., Greenberg, J. H., Walker, D. E., Jenkins, J. J., Wilson, K. V., & Lounsbury, F. G. (1954) · Journal of Abnormal & Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/h0063655 · Cited by 319 · see citing works
Change in Contemporary English. A Grammatical Study
Leech, G., Hundt, M., Mair, C., et al. (2009) · University of Salford Institutional Repository (University of Salford) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511642210 · Cited by 305 · see citing works
The spontaneous emergence of conventions: An experimental study of cultural evolution
Centola, D., & Baronchelli, A. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1418838112 · Cited by 282 · see citing works
Self-citationS-Curves and the Mechanisms of Propagation in Language Change
Blythe, R. A., & Croft, W. (2012) · Language · doi:10.1353/lan.2012.0027 · Cited by 259 · see citing works
Corpus de conversaciones coloquiales
Gómez, A. B. (2002) · Arco Libros eBooks · Cited by 250 · see citing works
Politeness in Language: Studies in Its History, Theory And Practice
Watts, R. J., 井出, 祥., & Ehlich, K. (2005) · Cited by 235 · see citing works
The American way of spelling: the structure and origins of American English orthography
(2000) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.37-2612 · Cited by 229 · see citing works
Marmor, A. (2009) · Princeton University Press eBooks · doi:10.1515/9781400831654 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Brown, A. (2018) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781315112381-5 · Cited by 168 · see citing works
The emergence of consensus: a primer
Baronchelli, A. (2018) · Royal Society Open Science · doi:10.1098/rsos.172189 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Self-citationEhrlich, P. R., & Levin, S. A. (2005) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.0030194 · Cited by 154 · see citing works
(2005) · doi:10.1515/9783110199819 · Cited by 130 · see citing works
Social conventions: from language to law
(2010) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.47-2490 · Cited by 127 · see citing works
Detecting evolutionary forces in language change
Newberry, M. G., Ahern, C. A., Clark, R., & Plotkin, J. B. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature24455 · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Koplenig, A. (2015) · Digital Scholarship in the Humanities · doi:10.1093/llc/fqv037 · Cited by 107 · see citing works
Noah Webster and the American dictionary
(2000) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.38-0152 · Cited by 93 · see citing works
Valenzuela, S. (2014) · International journal of communication · Cited by 90 · see citing works
The Emergence of Conventions in Online Social Networks
Kooti, F., Yang, H., Cha, M., Gummadi, K., & Mason, W. (2021) · Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media · doi:10.1609/icwsm.v6i1.14267 · Cited by 80 · see citing works
Mapping the Americanization of English in space and time
Gonçalves, B., Loureiro-Porto, L., Ramasco, J., & Sánchez, D. (2017) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0197741 · Cited by 80 · see citing works
The Great Illusion: Ignorance, Informational Cascades, and the Persistence of Unpopular Norms
Bicchieri, C., & Fukui, Y. (1999) · Business Ethics Quarterly · doi:10.2307/3857639 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Predicting emerging social conventions in online social networks
Kooti, F., Mason, W., Gummadi, K. P., & Cha, M. (2012) · ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management (CIKM) · doi:10.1145/2396761.2396820 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Entrenchment and persistence in language change: the Spanish past subjunctive
Rosemeyer, M., & Schwenter, S. A. (2017) · Corpus Linguistics and Linguistic Theory · doi:10.1515/cllt-2016-0047 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Constructing social systems through computer-mediated communication
Becker, B., & Mark, G. (1999) · Virtual Reality · doi:10.1007/bf01434995 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Psycholinguistics: A Survey of Theory and Research Problems
Osgood, C. E. (2021) · Indiana University Press eBooks · doi:10.2979/psycholinguisticsasu · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Committed activists and the reshaping of status-quo social consensus
Mistry, D., Zhang, Q., Perra, N., & Baronchelli, A. (2015) · Physical Review E · doi:10.1103/physreve.92.042805 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Self-citationUnderstanding linguistic innovations
Andersen, H. (1989) · Mouton eBooks · doi:10.1515/9783110853063.5 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Coherent oscillations in word-use data from 1700 to 2008
Montemurro, M. A., & Zanette, D. H. (2016) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/palcomms.2016.84 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Extracting information from S-curves of language change
Ghanbarnejad, F., Gerlach, M., Miotto, J., et al. (2014) · MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Four hundred years of English spelling reform
Zachrisson, R. E. (1931) · Studia Neophilologica · doi:10.1080/00393273108586757 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
The impact of variable commitment in the Naming Game on consensus formation
Niu, X., Doyle, C., Korniss, G., & Szymanski, B. K. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep41750 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Extracting information from S-curves of language change
Ghanbarnejad, F., Gerlach, M., Miotto, J. M., et al. (2014) · Journal of The Royal Society Interface · doi:10.1098/rsif.2014.1044 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Grant, L., Mills, S., Schauer, G. A., et al. (2007) · Journal of Politeness Research · doi:10.1515/pr.2007.014 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Salmon, V., & Scragg, D. G. (1976) · The Modern Language Review · doi:10.2307/3725966 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Ortografía de la lengua española
Española, A. D. A. D. L. L. (2010) · Espasa eBooks · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Noah Webster and the diffusion of linguistic innovations for political purposes
Weinstein, B. (1982) · International Journal of the Sociology of Language · doi:10.1515/ijsl.1982.38.85 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
The se-ra Alternation in Spanish Subjunctive
Naranjo, M. G. (2016) · Corpus Linguistics and Linguistic Theory · doi:10.1515/cllt-2015-0017 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Historia de la gramática española, 1847-1920 : de A. Bello a R. Lenz
Vaquera, M. L. C., & Redondo, J. A. D. M. (1986) · Gredos eBooks · Cited by 19 · see citing works
English verb regularization in books and tweets
Gray, T. J., Reagan, A. J., Dodds, P. S., et al. (2018) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0209651 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
The Great Illusion: Ignorance, Informational Cascades, and the Persistence of Unpopular Norms
Bicchieri, C., & Fukui, Y. (1999) · The Western Ontario series in philosophy of science · doi:10.1007/978-94-015-9191-1_5 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Kempas, I. (2011) · LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Spelling an End to Orthographical Reforms: Newspaper Response to the 1906 Roosevelt Simplifications
Vivian, J. H. (1979) · American Speech · doi:10.2307/454946 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Wijk, A. (1961) · Educational Research · doi:10.1080/0013188610030208 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
THE -RA AND -SE VERB FORMS IN MEXICO: A DIACHRONIC EXAMINATION FROM NON-LITERARY SOURCES
Wilson, J. M. (1983) · ScholarWorks@UMassAmherst (University of Massachusetts Amherst) · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Historia de la Real Academia Española
Pochat, M. T. (2001) · Cited by 2 · see citing works
La Academia y las "nuevas normas"
Casares, J. (1954) · Dialnet (Universidad de la Rioja) · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Olmos, B. P. (1992) · Cauce: Revista Internacional de Filología, Comunicación y sus Didácticas · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Andrés Bello y la Gramática Castellana latinoamericana
Wagner, C. (2016) · Revista Documentos Lingüísticos y Literarios UACh · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- Hodges RE (1964) A short history of spelling reform in the united states. The Phi Delta Kappan 45(7):330-332.
- M Jean-Baptiste, Y K Shen, A P Aiden, A Veres, M K Gray, J P Pickett, D Hoiberg, D Clancy, P Norvig, J Orwant, et al. Quantitative analysis of culture using millions of digitized books. science, 331(6014):176-182, 2011.
- Eitan Adam Pechenick, Christopher M Danforth, and Peter Sheridan Dodds. Characterizing the google books corpus: Strong limits to inferences of socio-cultural and linguistic evolution. PloS one, 10(10):e0137041, 2015. Dataset composition See complete SI on the PNAS website.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Group interactions modulate critical mass dynamics in social convention
Iacopini, I., Petri, G., Baronchelli, A., & Barrat, A. (2022) · Communications Physics · doi:10.1038/s42005-022-00845-y · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Self-citationEmergent social conventions and collective bias in LLM populations
Ashery, A. F., Aiello, L. M., & Baronchelli, A. (2025) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.adu9368 · Cited by 81 · see citing works
“However, real-world observations reveal a wider range, with some studies proposing 30 to 40 % for gender conventions in corporate leadership ( 25 , 48 ), and others indicating that minorities as small as 0.3 % can trigger substantial linguistic and social changes ( 29 , 49 – 51 ).”
InfluentialSelf-citationBaronchelli, A. (2024) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2023.0028 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Amato, R., Lacasa, L., Díaz-Guilera, A., & Baronchelli, A.
- Affiliations
- Universitat de Barcelona (ES)
- Queen Mary University of London (GB)
- Departament de Física de la Matèria Condensada, Universitat de Barcelona, E-08028 Barcelona, Spain;
- City, University of London (GB)
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2018-08-02
- Volume
- 115
- Issue
- 33
- Pages
- 8260-8265
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC6099908
- OpenAlex
- W2885347281
- Cited by
- 62
- References
- 65
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 34.34
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- City Research Online (City University London) (acceptedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Queen Mary Research Online (Queen Mary University of London) (submittedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Funders
- Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (FIS2012-38266-C02-02, FIS2015-71582-C2-2-P)
- Generalitat de Catalunya (2014SGR608)
- RCUK | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/P01660X/1)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Cultural Studies › Language and cultural evolution
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Language and Linguistics › Linguistics, Language Diversity, and Identity
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
- Keywords
- norm change, cultural evolution of language, spelling rules, lexical norms, English language, Spanish language, language change, formal institutions, informal authority, evolutionary models, collective behavior, historical corpora
- MeSH terms
- Cultural Evolution, Humans, Language, Social Norms
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review