Government effectiveness and institutions as determinants of tropical cyclone mortality
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Significance: Tropical cyclone disasters frequently result in substantial loss of life. Institutional capacity and economic development are believed to play protective roles, but previous efforts have been unable to disentangle their relative effects. We establish empirically that stronger national and subnational institutions, independent of income, are associated with lower tropical cyclone mortality. This suggests that effective institutions play an important role in the success of disaster risk reduction strategies. Our approach of accounting for hazard intensity, population exposure, and socioeconomic conditions at high resolutions can be extended to other hazards and scales to further examine how institutions moderate risk.
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Impacts of global cyclone mortality were more severe in areas marked by weak political institutions and poor public goods delivery.
“A recent analysis of global cyclone mortality similarly found that impacts were more severe in areas marked by weak political institutions and poor public goods delivery (58).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [58]
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- Authors
- Tennant, E., & Gilmore, E. A.
- Affiliations
- Cornell University (US)
- Clark University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Tennant, Elizabeth
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2020-11-03
- Volume
- 117
- Issue
- 46
- Pages
- 28692-28699
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC7682563
- OpenAlex
- W3095847831
- Cited by
- 53
- References
- 66
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 6
- FWCI
- 7.69
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- DOD | United States Army | RDECOM | Army Research Laboratory (W911NF-13-1-0307)
- DOD | United States Army | RDECOM | Army Research Office (W911NF-13-1-0307)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Keywords
- tropical cyclones, government effectiveness, institutional quality, physical exposure, spatial interaction, infant mortality, public service delivery, extreme weather events, disaster risk governance, socioeconomic vulnerability
- MeSH terms
- Disasters, Government, Government Programs, Humans, Cyclonic Storms, Economic Development, Spatial Analysis
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