Cited by 261Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource ManagementLand Use and Ecosystem ServicesForest Management and Policy

Land use patterns and related carbon losses following deforestation in South America

Open access
Sy, V De, Herold, M, Achard, F, Beuchle, R, Clevers, J G P W, Lindquist, E, Verchot, L·2015·Environmental Research Letters

Abstract

Land use change in South America, mainly deforestation, is a large source of anthropogenic CO 2 emissions. Identifying and addressing the causes or drivers of anthropogenic forest change is considered crucial for global climate change mitigation. Few countries however, monitor deforestation drivers in a systematic manner. National-level quantitative spatially explicit information on drivers is often lacking. This study quantifies proximate drivers of deforestation and related carbon losses in South America based on remote sensing time series in a systematic, spatially explicit manner. Deforestation areas were derived from the 2010 global remote sensing survey of the Food and Agricultural Organisation Forest Resource Assessment. To assess proximate drivers, land use following deforestation was assigned by visual interpretation of high-resolution satellite imagery. To estimate gross carbon losses from deforestation, default Tier 1 biomass levels per country and eco-zone were used. Pasture was the dominant driver of forest area (71.2%) and related carbon loss (71.6%) in South America, followed by commercial cropland (14% and 12.1% respectively). Hotspots of deforestation due to pasture occurred in Northern Argentina, Western Paraguay, and along the arc of deforestation in Brazil where they gradually moved into higher biomass forests causing additional carbon losses. Deforestation driven by commercial cropland increased in time, with hotspots occurring in Brazil (Mato Grosso State), Northern Argentina, Eastern Paraguay and Central Bolivia. Infrastructure, such as urban expansion and roads, contributed little as proximate drivers of forest area loss (1.7%). Our findings contribute to the understanding of drivers of deforestation and related carbon losses in South America, and are comparable at the national, regional and continental level. In addition, they support the development of national REDD+ interventions and forest monitoring systems, and provide valuable input for statistical analysis and modelling of underlying drivers of deforestation.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124004

Cites

6 of 6 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Despite an increasing focus on commodity agriculture, both Amazon-wide studies and case studies show that smallholder farming is still a relevant driver, especially in the western and northern regions of the Amazon.

    “Despite an increasing focus on commodity agriculture, both Amazon-wide studies and case studies625show that smallholder farming is still a relevant driver, especially in the western and northern regions 626 of the Amazon (Figure5)[21,22].”

    From A systematic comparison of deforestation drivers and policy effectiveness across the Amazon biome (2023) · cites this paper as [22]

    The Discussion reports that smallholder and mixed agriculture remained important deforestation drivers in the Andean countries, and Results §3.1 places smallholder crop expansion mostly in that region. This supports the claim's regional pattern, but the study covers South America as a whole; these passages do not establish the finding specifically for the western and northern Amazon or identify the study as Amazon-wide. (LLM, conf=0.82)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Deforestation, especially at large scales, has become driven mostly by the expansion of commodity agriculture (particularly beef and soy production).

    “As indicated in global and Amazon-wide analyses [21,22], deforestation, especially at large scales, 601 has become driven mostly by the expansion of commodity agriculture (particularly beef and soy 602 production).”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 28

  1. Achard F et al 2014 Determination of tropical deforestation rates and related carbon losses from 1990 to 2010 Glob. Change Biol. 20 2540-54 · DOI
  2. Arima E Y, Richards P, Walker R and Caldas M M 2011 Statistical confirmation of indirect land use change in the Brazilian Amazon Environ. Res. Lett. 6 024010 · DOI · Paper page
  3. Asner G P, Llactayo W, Tupayachi R and Luna E R 2013 Elevated rates of gold mining in the Amazon revealed through high- resolution monitoring Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 110 18454-9 · DOI · Paper page
  4. Barona E, Ramankutty N, Hyman G and Coomes O T 2010 The role of pasture and soybean in deforestation of the Brazilian Amazon Environ. Res. Lett. 5 024002 · DOI
  5. Beuchle R, Grecchi R C, Shimabukuro Y E, Seliger R, Eva H D, Sano E and Achard F 2015 Land cover changes in the Brazilian Cerrado and Caatinga biomes from 1990 to 2010 based on a systematic remote sensing sampling approach Appl. Geogr. 58 116-27 · DOI
  6. Boucher D H, Elias P, Lininger K, May-Tobin C, Roquemore S and Saxon E 2011 The Root of the Problem: What's Driving Tropical Deforestation Today? (Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists) (www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/ global_warming/UCS_RootoftheProblem_Driversof DeforestationFullReport.pdf)
  7. Clark M L, Aide T M, Grau H R and Riner G 2010 A scalable approach to mapping annual land cover at 250 m using MODIS time series data: a case study in the Dry Chaco ecoregion of South America Remote Sens. Environ. 114 2816-32 · DOI
  8. Clark M L, Aide T M and Riner G 2012 Land change for all municipalities in Latin America and the Caribbean assessed from 250 m MODIS imagery (2001-2010) Remote Sens. Environ. 126 84-103 · DOI
  9. DeFries R S, Houghton R, Hansen M C, Field C B, Skole D and Townshend J 2002 Carbon emissions from tropical deforestation and regrowth based on satellite observations for the 1980s and 1990s Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 99 14256-61 · DOI
  10. DeFries R S, Rudel T K, Uriarte M and Hansen M C 2010 Deforestation driven by urban population growth and agricultural trade in the twenty-first century Nat. Geosci. 3 178-81 · DOI · Paper page
  11. De Sy V, Herold M, Achard F, Asner G P, Held A, Kellndorfer J and Verbesselt J 2012 Synergies of multiple remote sensing data sources for REDD+ monitoring Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 4 696-706 · DOI
  12. Eva H D, Achard F, Beuchle R, de Miranda E E, Carboni S, Seliger R, Vollmar M, Holler W, Oshiro O T and Barrena Arroyo V 2012 Forest cover changes in tropical South and Central America from 1990 to 2005 and related carbon Emiss. Removals Remote Sens. 4 1369-91 FAO & JRC (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and European Commission Joint Research Centre) 2012 Global forest land-use change 1990-2005 (FAO Forestry Paper No. 169) (Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization) FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) 2001 Global Ecological Zoning for the Global Forest Resources Assessment 2000 (Final Report Working Paper 56) (Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization) FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) · DOI
  13. Kuemmerle T et al 2013 Challenges and opportunities in mapping land use intensity globally Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 5 484-93 · DOI
  14. Langner A, Achard F and Grassi G 2014 Can recent pan-tropical biomass maps be used to derive alternative Tier 1 values for reporting REDD+ activities under UNFCCC? Environ. Res. Lett. 9 124008 · DOI
  15. Macedo M N, DeFries R S, Morton D C, Stickler C M, Galford G L and Shimabukuro Y E 2012 Decoupling of deforestation and soy production in the southern Amazon during the late 2000s Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 109 1341-6 · DOI · Paper page
  16. Malingreau J P, Eva H D and de Miranda E E 2012 Brazilian Amazon: a significant five year drop in deforestation rates but figures are on the rise again AMBIO 41 309-14 · DOI
  17. Müller R, Müller D, Schierhorn F, Gerold G and Pacheco P 2012 Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics Reg. Environ. Change 12 44-459 · DOI · Paper page
  18. Nepstad D C, Stickler C M and Almeida O T 2006 Globalization of the Amazon soy and beef industries: opportunities for conservation Conserv. Biol. 20 1595-603 · DOI · Paper page
  19. Pacheco P and Poccard-Chapuis R 2012 The complex evolution of cattle ranching development amid market integration and policy shifts in the Brazilian Amazon Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr. 102 1366-90 · DOI
  20. Romijn J E, Herold M, Kooistra L, Murdiyarso D and Verchot L 2012 Assessing capacities of non-annex I countries for national forest monitoring in the context of REDD+ Environ. Sci. Policy 20 33-48 · DOI
  21. Rudel T K 2007 Changing agents of deforestation: from state- initiated to enterprise driven processes, 1970-2000 Land Use Policy 24 35-41 · DOI · Paper page
  22. Rudel T K, DeFries R, Asner G P and Laurance W F 2009 Changing drivers of deforestation and new opportunities for conservation Conserv. Biol. 23 1396-405 · DOI
  23. Saatchi S S et al 2011 Benchmark map of forest carbon stocks in tropical regions across three continents Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 108 9899-904 · DOI
  24. Salvini G, Herold M, De Sy V, Kissinger G M, Brockhaus M and Skutsch M 2014 How countries link REDD+ interventions to drivers in their readiness plans: implications for monitoring systems Environ. Res. Lett. 9 074004 · DOI
  25. Swenson J J, Carter C E, Domec J C and Delgado C I 2011 Gold mining in the Peruvian Amazon: global prices, deforestation, and mercury imports PloS One 6 e18875 · DOI
  26. Särndal C E, Swensson B and Wretman J 1992 Model Assisted Survey Sampling (New York: Springer)
  27. Tyukavina A, Baccini A, Hansen M C, Potapov P V, Stehman S V, Houghton R A, Krylov A M, Turubanova S and Goetz S J 2015 Aboveground carbon loss in natural and managed tropical forests from 2000 to 2012 Environ. Res. Lett. 10 074002 UNFCCC 2014 Conference of the Parties, Report of the Conference of the Parties on its 19th session (Warsaw, 11-23 November 2013) Addendum, part two: action taken by the Conference of the Parties at its nineteenth session, contents, decisions adopted by COP19, on addressing the drivers of deforestation and forest degradation FCCC/CP/2013/10/Add.1 Decision 15/ CP.19 (http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2013/cop19/eng/ 10a01.pdf#page=43) · DOI
  28. Velasco Gomez M D, Beuchle R, Shimabukuro Y E, Grecchi R C, Simonetti D, Eva H D and Achard F 2015 A long-term perspective on deforestation rates in the Brazilian Amazon Int. Arch. Photogramm. Remote Sens. Spatial Inf. Sci. XL-7/W3 539-44 · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Sy, V. D., Herold, M., Achard, F., Beuchle, R., Clevers, J. G. P. W., Lindquist, E., & Verchot, L.
Affiliations
  • Wageningen University & Research (NL)
  • Joint Research Centre (IT)
  • Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (IT)
  • Center for International Forestry Research (ID)
Corresponding author
Sy, V De
Venue
Environmental Research Letters
Published
2015-11-27
Volume
10
Issue
12
Pages
124004
ISSN
1748-9326 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2177187964
Cited by
261
References
6
Citations by year
2026: 11 · 2025: 22 · 2024: 24 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 30 · 2021: 27 · 2020: 46 · 2019: 24 · 2018: 26 · 2017: 19 · 2016: 7 · 2013: 1
FWCI
12.98
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Environmental Research Letters (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
  • CGSPace A Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
  • Publication Database GFZ (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences) (submittedVersion)
  • Joint Research Centre (European Commission) (submittedVersion)
  • Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • University of Cambridge
  • Australian Agency for International Development (46167)
  • Direktoratet for Utviklingssamarbeid (QZA‐10/0468)
  • Wageningen University and Research
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
Keywords
deforestation drivers, land use change, carbon loss, South America, pasture expansion, deforestation hotspots, forest biomass, anthropogenic CO2 emissions, REDD+, forest monitoring, urban expansion, road infrastructure

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review