The DOI matches its Crossref record; 55 of the 58 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
A unifying view of climate change in the Sahel linking intra-seasonal, interannual and longer time scales
Open accessAbstract
We propose a re-interpretation of the oceanic influence on the climate of the African Sahel that is consistent across observations, 20th century simulations and 21st century projections, and that resolves the uncertainty in projections of precipitation change in this region: continued warming of the global tropical oceans increases the threshold for convection, potentially drying tropical land, but this 'upped ante' can be met if sufficient moisture is supplied in monsoon flow. In this framework, the reversal to warming of the subtropical North Atlantic, which is now out-pacing warming of the global tropical oceans, provides that moisture, and explains the partial recovery in precipitation since persistent drought in the 1970s and 1980s. We find this recovery to result from increases in daily rainfall intensity, rather than in frequency, most evidently so in Senegal, the westernmost among the three Sahelian countries analyzed. Continuation of these observed trends is consistent with projections for an overall wetter Sahel, but more variable precipitation on all time scales, from intra-seasonal to multi-decadal.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“Smallholder rainfed agriculture and herding are becoming increasingly difficult due to unpredictable availability of water and in some locations expansion of the Sahara Desert [23, 61, 62].”
From Climate Change, Migration, and Civil Strife. (2020) · cites this paper as [23]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe check wasn’t confident either way, so it gives no verdict — never disputed.
In the citing paper
“The 2013 IPCC report forecasts that, by the late twenty-first century, intense heat and dryness will affect countries extending across North Africa into Egypt and Sudan and northeast to Saudi Arabia, the Levant including Syria, Iraq, and Iran [20], to parts of India and China in Asia, and across the Southern United States and Mexico [21–23].”
From Climate Change, Migration, and Civil Strife. (2020) · cites this paper as [23]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M. C., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., Miller, H. L., & Chen, Z. (2007) · Cited by 23,398
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
Rayner, N. A., Parker, D. E., Horton, E. B., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V., Rowell, D. P., Kent, E. C., & Kaplan, A. (2003) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2002jd002670 · Cited by 11,133
Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
Held, I. M., & Soden, B. J. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3990.1 · Cited by 5,052
Solomon, S. (2007) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 4,149
Mitchell, T. D., & Jones, P. D. (2005) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1181 · Cited by 3,820
Christensen, J. H., Hewitson, B. C., Busuioc, A., Chen, A., Gao, X., Held, R., Jones, R., Kolli, R. K., Kwon, W., Laprise, R., et al. (2007) · Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar-und Meeresforschung (Alfred-Wegener-Institut) · Cited by 3,177
THE WCRP CMIP3 Multimodel Dataset: A New Era in Climate Change Research
Meehl, G., Covey, C., Delworth, T., Latif, M., Mcavaney, B., Mitchell, J., Stouffer, R., & Taylor, K. E. (2007) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-88-9-1383 · Cited by 2,831
Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856–1991
Kaplan, A., Cane, M. A., Kushnir, Y., Clement, A., Blumenthal, M. B., & Rajagopalan, B. (1998) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/97jc01736 · Cited by 1,577
Research works printed but not linked: 7
- Botoni E, 2009, La transformation silencieuse de l’environnement et des systèmes de production au Sahel: impacts des investissements publics et privés dans la gestion des ressources naturelles
- 2007, Human Development Report 2007/2008. Fighting Climate Change: Human Solidarity in a Divided World
- 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2103:TRTATI>2.0.CO;2 · DOI
- Traoré S B Laouali A M, 2011, WCRP Workshop on Drought Predictability and Prediction in a Changing Climate
- Salack S, 2013, Clim. Dyn.
- 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0187:RVIWAD>2.0.CO;2 · DOI
- Mbow C, 2008, Afr. J. Env. Sci. Technol., 2, 75
Cited by
Sorted by citations
A review of droughts on the African continent: a geospatial and long-term perspective
Masih, I., Maskey, S., Mussá, F. E. F., & Trambauer, P. (2014) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-18-3635-2014 · Cited by 760
Sultan, B., & Gaetani, M. (2016) · Frontiers in Plant Science · doi:10.3389/fpls.2016.01262 · Cited by 627
Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
Xie, S., Deser, C., Vecchi, G. A., Collins, M. D., Delworth, T. L., Hall, A. D., Hawkins, E., Johnson, N. C., Cassou, C., Giannini, A., et al. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2689 · Cited by 370
Self-citationRainfall trends in the African Sahel: Characteristics, processes, and causes
Biasutti, M. (2019) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.591 · Cited by 375
Yeager, S. G., Danabasoglu, G., Rosenbloom, N. A., Strand, G., Bates, S. C., Meehl, G. A., Karspeck, A. R., Lindsay, K., Long, M. C., Teng, H., et al. (2018) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-17-0098.1 · Cited by 275
The Greening of the Sahara: Past Changes and Future Implications
Pausata, F. S. R., Gaetani, M., Messori, G., Berg, A., de Souza, D. M., Sage, R. F., & deMenocal, P. B. (2020) · One Earth · doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2020.03.002 · Cited by 258
Dominant role of greenhouse-gas forcing in the recovery of Sahel rainfall.
Dong, B., & Sutton, R. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2664 · Cited by 229
Rodríguez‐Fonseca, B., Mohíno, E., Mechoso, C. R., Caminade, C., Biasutti, M., Gaetani, M., García‐Serrano, J., Vizy, E. K., Cook, K. H., Xue, Y., et al. (2015) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-14-00130.1 · Cited by 228
Rainfall intensification in tropical semi-arid regions: the Sahelian case
Panthou, G., Lebel, T., Vischel, T., Quantin, G., Sané, Y., Bâ, A., Ndiaye, O., Diongue, A., & Diop‐Kane, M. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac334 · Cited by 209
Self-citationGlobal energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons
Biasutti, M., Aiko Voigt, A., Boos, W. R., Braconnot, P., Hargreaves, J. C., Harrison, S. P., Kang, S. M., Mapes, B. E., Scheff, J., Schumacher, C., et al. (2018) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0137-1 · Cited by 163
Assessing the observed impact of anthropogenic climate change
Hansen, G., & Stone, D. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2896 · Cited by 139
Climate Change, Migration, and Civil Strife.
Balsari, S., Dresser, C., & Leaning, J. (2020) · Current Environmental Health Reports · doi:10.1007/s40572-020-00291-4 · Cited by 135
Skilful prediction of Sahel summer rainfall on inter-annual and multi-year timescales
Sheen, K. L., Smith, D. M., Dunstone, N., Eade, R., Rowell, D. P., & Vellinga, M. (2017) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms14966 · Cited by 127
Monerie, P., Wainwright, C. M., Sidibé, M., & Akinsanola, A. A. (2020) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05332-0 · Cited by 130
Evan, A. T., Flamant, C. N., Lavaysse, C., Kocha, C., & Saci, A. (2014) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-14-00039.1 · Cited by 116
Variability of moisture recycling using a precipitationshed framework
Keys, P. W., Barnes, E. A., van der Ent, R., & Gordon, L. J. (2014) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-18-3937-2014 · Cited by 114
Identifying changing precipitation extremes in Sub-Saharan Africa with gauge and satellite products
Harrison, L., Funk, C. C., & Peterson, P. J. (2019) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab2cae · Cited by 118
Understanding changes in terrestrial water storage over West Africa between 2002 and 2014
Ndehedehe, C. E., Awange, J. L., Agutu, N. O., Kühn, M., & Heck, B. (2015) · Advances in Water Resources · doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2015.12.009 · Cited by 108
Monsoon Responses to Climate Changes—Connecting Past, Present and Future
Seth, A., Giannini, A., Rojas, M., Rauscher, S. A., Bordoni, S., Singh, D., & Camargo, S. J. (2019) · Current Climate Change Reports · doi:10.1007/s40641-019-00125-y · Cited by 107
Self-citationNdehedehe, C. E., Agutu, N. O., Okwuashi, O., & Ferreira, V. G. (2016) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.05.068 · Cited by 97
Park, J., Bader, J., & Matei, D. (2015) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms6985 · Cited by 101
What Four Decades of Earth Observation Tell Us about Land Degradation in the Sahel?
Mbow, C., Brandt, M., Ouédraogo, I., de Leeuw, J., & Marshall, M. (2015) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs70404048 · Cited by 92
Global warming induced hybrid rainy seasons in the Sahel
Salack, S., Klein, C. M., Giannini, A., Sarr, B., Worou, O. N., Belko, N., Bliefernicht, J., & Kunstmann, H. G. (2016) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104008 · Cited by 96
Self-citationMa, J., Chadwick, R. S., Seo, K., Dong, C., Huang, G., Foltz, G. R., & Jiang, J. H. (2018) · Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences · doi:10.1146/annurev-earth-082517-010102 · Cited by 88
Analysis of spatiotemporal changes and driving factors of desertification in the Africa Sahel
Yang, Z., Gao, X., Lei, J., Meng, X., & Zhou, N. (2022) · CATENA · doi:10.1016/j.catena.2022.106213 · Cited by 84
Ndehedehe, C. E., Anyah, R., Alsdorf, D., Agutu, N. O., & Ferreira, V. G. (2018) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.203 · Cited by 83
The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery
Giannini, A., & Kaplan, A. (2018) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-018-2341-9 · Cited by 86
Self-citationvan der Geest, K., de Sherbinin, A., Kienberger, S., Zommers, Z. A., Sitati, A., Roberts, E., & James, R. (2018) · Climate risk management, policy and governance · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-72026-5_9 · Cited by 85
Recent Trend in Hydroclimatic Conditions in the Senegal River Basin
Bodian, A., Diop, L., Panthou, G., Dacosta, H., Dème, A., Dezetter, A., Ndiaye, P. M., Diouf, I., & Vischel, T. (2020) · Water · doi:10.3390/w12020436 · Cited by 79
Snorek, J., Renaud, F. G., & Kloos, J. (2014) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.014 · Cited by 77
Drought, migration, and conflict in sub-Saharan Africa: what are the links and policy options?
Adaawen, S., Rademacher‐Schulz, C., Schraven, B., & Segadlo, N. (2019) · Current directions in water scarcity research · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-814820-4.00002-x · Cited by 75
Hill, S. A., Ming, Y., Held, I. M., & Zhao, M. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0785.1 · Cited by 76
Ndehedehe, C. E., Awange, J. L., Agutu, N. O., & Okwuashi, O. (2018) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.01.020 · Cited by 67
Hydrological cycle changes under global warming and their effects on multiscale climate variability
Ma, J., Zhou, L., Foltz, G. R., Qü, X., Ying, J., Tokinaga, H., Mechoso, C. R., Li, J., & Gu, X. (2020) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1111/nyas.14335 · Cited by 67
Remote sensing of vegetation in the Sudano-Sahelian zone: A literature review from 1975 to 2014
Karlson, M., & Ostwald, M. (2015) · Journal of Arid Environments · doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2015.08.022 · Cited by 62
Recent Trends in the Daily Rainfall Regime in Southern West Africa
Nkrumah, F., Vischel, T., Panthou, G., Klutse, N. A. B., Adukpo, D. C., & Diédhiou, A. (2019) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos10120741 · Cited by 67
Berg, A., Lintner, B. R., Findell, K. L., & Giannini, A. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-15-0877.1 · Cited by 61
Self-citationResolving Contrasting Regional Rainfall Responses to El Niño over Tropical Africa
Parhi, P., Giannini, A., Gentine, P., & Lall, U. (2015) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-15-0071.1 · Cited by 58
Self-citationAntwi‐Agyei, P., Dougill, A. J., & Stringer, L. C. (2017) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su9112130 · Cited by 58
Robust assessment of the time of emergence of precipitation change in West Africa
Gaetani, M., Janicot, S., Vrac, M., Famien, A. M., & Sultan, B. (2020) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-63782-2 · Cited by 59
Brandt, M., Verger, A., Diouf, A. A., Baret, F., & Samimi, C. (2014) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs6032408 · Cited by 56
The Impacts of European and Asian Anthropogenic Sulfur Dioxide Emissions on Sahel Rainfall
Dong, B., Sutton, R. T., Highwood, E. J., & Wilcox, L. J. (2014) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13-00769.1 · Cited by 59
Chadwick, R. S., Douville, H., & Skinner, C. B. (2017) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3488-6 · Cited by 53
Scales for rating heavy rainfall events in the West African Sahel
Salack, S., Saley, I. A., Lawson, N. Z., Zabré, I., & Daku, E. K. (2018) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2018.05.004 · Cited by 53
Self-citationTa, S., Kouadio, Y. K., Ali, K. E., Toualy, E., Aman, A., & Yoroba, F. (2016) · Advances in Meteorology · doi:10.1155/2016/1940456 · Cited by 52
La reprise des pluies et la recrudescence des inondations en Afrique de l'Ouest sahélienne
Nouaceur, Z. (2020) · Physio-Géo · doi:10.4000/physio-geo.10966 · Cited by 62
Climate of Anxiety in the Sahel: Emigration in Xenophobic Times
Ribot, J., Faye, P., & Turner, M. D. (2020) · Public Culture · doi:10.1215/08992363-7816293 · Cited by 50
Oceanic Forcing on Interannual Variability of Sahel Heavy and Moderate Daily Rainfall
Diakhaté, M., Rodríguez‐Fonseca, B., Gómara, Í., Mohíno, E., Dieng, A. L., & Gaye, A. T. (2018) · Journal of Hydrometeorology · doi:10.1175/jhm-d-18-0035.1 · Cited by 51
Self-citationSalack, S., Sarr, B., Sangare, S., Ly, M., Sanda, I., & Kunstmann, H. (2015) · Climate Research · doi:10.3354/cr01282 · Cited by 41
Self-citationMultimodel precipitation responses to removal of U.S. sulfur dioxide emissions
Westervelt, D. M., Conley, A., Fiore, A. M., Lamarque, J., Shindell, D. T., Previdi, M., Faluvegi, G., Correa, G. J. P., & Horowitz, L. W. (2017) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1002/2017jd026756 · Cited by 51
Climate risk and food security in Mali: A historical perspective on adaptation
Giannini, A., Krishnamurthy, P. K., Cousin, R., Labidi, N., & Choularton, R. (2016) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1002/2016ef000404 · Cited by 51
Self-citationMarvel, K., Biasutti, M., & Bonfils, C. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab858e · Cited by 48
Fernandes, K., Giannini, A., Verchot, L. V., Baethgen, W., & Pinedo-Vasquez, M. A. (2015) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2015gl063911 · Cited by 46
Self-citationRobust sahel drought due to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation in CMIP5 simulations.
Villamayor, J., & Mohino, E. (2015) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2014gl062473 · Cited by 55
A synthetic view of rainfall intensification in the West African Sahel
Chagnaud, G., Panthou, G., Vischel, T., & Lebel, T. (2022) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac4a9c · Cited by 54
Analysis of rainfall variability in the Logone catchment, Lake Chad basin
Nkiaka, E., Nawaz, R., & Lovett, J. C. (2016) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.4936 · Cited by 41
Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from?
Mohíno, E., Keenlyside, N. S., & Pohlmann, H. (2016) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3416-9 · Cited by 40
Impact of vegetation greening on carbon and water cycle in the African Sahel-Sudano-Guinean region
Ogutu, B., D’Adamo, F., & Dash, J. (2021) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103524 · Cited by 40
Sahel rainfall in multimodel CMIP5 decadal hindcasts
Martin, E. R., & Thorncroft, C. D. (2014) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2014gl059338 · Cited by 41
Salack, S., Giannini, A., Diakhaté, M., Gaye, A. T., & Muller, B. (2013) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1673-4 · Cited by 38
Self-citationMarshall, M., Okuto, E. O., Kang, Y., Opiyo, E., & Ahmed, M. (2016) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-13-625-2016 · Cited by 37
Observed and Modeled Seasonal Air Quality and Respiratory Health in Senegal During 2015 and 2016
Toure, N. O., Guèye, N. R. D., Mbow-Diokhané, A., Jenkins, G. S., Li, M., Dramé, M. S., Coker, K. A.-A. R., & Thiam, K. (2019) · GeoHealth · doi:10.1029/2019gh000214 · Cited by 35
Nkiaka, E., Nawaz, N. R., & Lovett, J. C. (2017) · Hydrological Sciences Journal · doi:10.1080/02626667.2017.1409427 · Cited by 35
Adeniyi, M. O. (2016) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1774-2 · Cited by 33
Drought-induced regime shift and resilience of a Sahelian ecohydrosystem
Wendling, V., Peugeot, C., Mayor, Á. G., Hiernaux, P., Mougin, É., Grippa, M., Kergoat, L., Walcker, R., Galle, S., & Lebel, T. (2019) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab3dde · Cited by 30
Hirasawa, H., Kushner, P. J., Sigmond, M., Fyfe, J. C., & Deser, C. (2020) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-19-0829.1 · Cited by 37
Saharan Heat Low Biases in CMIP5 Models
Dixon, R. D., Daloz, A. S., Vimont, D. J., & Biasutti, M. (2016) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0134.1 · Cited by 32
Assessment of Drought Recurrence in Somaliland: Causes, Impacts and Mitigations
Abdulkadir, G. (2017) · Journal of Climatology & Weather Forecasting · doi:10.4172/2332-2594.1000204 · Cited by 28
Atlantic Control of the Late Nineteenth-Century Sahel Humid Period
Villamayor, J., Mohíno, E., Khodri, M., Mignot, J., & Janicot, S. (2018) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0148.1 · Cited by 31
Understanding Pacific Ocean influence on interannual precipitation variability in the Sahel
Pomposi, C., Giannini, A., Kushnir, Y., & Lee, D. E. (2016) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2016gl069980 · Cited by 27
Self-citationRainfall changes in the savannah zone of northern Ghana 1961–2010
Owusu, K. (2017) · Weather · doi:10.1002/wea.2999 · Cited by 27
Projected Changes in Intra-Season Rainfall Characteristics in the Niger River Basin, West Africa
Akumaga, U., & Tarhule, A. (2018) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos9120497 · Cited by 27
Herman, R., Giannini, A., Biasutti, M., & Kushnir, Y. (2020) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-68356-w · Cited by 26
Self-citationModelling impacts of climate change on coastal West African rainfall
Ndehedehe, C. E., Usman, M. N., Okwuashi, O., & Ferreira, V. G. (2021) · Modeling Earth Systems and Environment · doi:10.1007/s40808-021-01302-5 · Cited by 25
Non-linear intensification of Sahel rainfall as a possible dynamic response to future warming
Schewe, J., & Levermann, A. (2017) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-8-495-2017 · Cited by 26
Climate change comes to the Sahel
Giannini, A. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2739 · Cited by 25
Self-citationA Quantitative Evaluation of the Multiple Narratives of the Recent Sahelian Regreening*
Stith, M., Giannini, A., del Corral, J., Adamo, S. B., & de Sherbinin, A. (2015) · Weather Climate and Society · doi:10.1175/wcas-d-15-0012.1 · Cited by 22
Self-citationPorkka, M., Wang‐Erlandsson, L., Destouni, G., Ekman, A. M. L., Rockström, J., & Gordon, L. J. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abdd57 · Cited by 22
Contrasting consequences of the Great Green Wall: Easing aridity while increasing heat extremes
Ingrosso, R., & Pausata, F. S. R. (2024) · One Earth · doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2024.01.017 · Cited by 26
Salack, S., Bossa, A. Y., Bliefernicht, J., Berger, S., Yira, Y., Sanoussi, K. A., Guug, S. S., Heinzeller, D., Avocanh, A., Barro, H., et al. (2019) · Data Science Journal · doi:10.5334/dsj-2019-033 · Cited by 21
Self-citationHydroclimate Extremes in Africa: Variability, Observations and Modeled Projections
Siebert, A. (2014) · Geography Compass · doi:10.1111/gec3.12136 · Cited by 19
Advances in monitoring vegetation and land use dynamics in the Sahel
Mbow, C., Fensholt, R., Nielsen, T. T., & Rasmussen, K. (2014) · Geografisk Tidsskrift-Danish Journal of Geography · doi:10.1080/00167223.2014.886515 · Cited by 20
Chapitre 2. Le retour d’une période humide au Sahel ?
Vischel, T., Lebel, T., Panthou, G., Quantin, G., Rossi, A., & Martinet, M. (2015) · IRD Éditions eBooks · doi:10.4000/books.irdeditions.8937 · Cited by 20
The Greening and Wetting of the Sahel Have Leveled off since about 1999 in Relation to SST
Chen, T., Zhou, S., Liang, C., Hagan, D. F. T., Zeng, N., Wang, J., Shi, T., Chen, X., & Dolman, A. J. (2020) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs12172723 · Cited by 20
Nnamchi, H. C., Dike, V. N., Akinsanola, A. A., & Okoro, U. K. (2021) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105677 · Cited by 20
Monerie, P., Biasutti, M., Mignot, J., Mohíno, E., Pohl, B., & Zappa, G. (2023) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2023jd038712 · Cited by 19
Dryland Social-Ecological Systems in Changing Environments
Fu, B., & Stafford‐Smith, M. (2024) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-99-9375-8 · Cited by 20
Dryland Social-Ecological Systems in Africa
Li, F., Diop, S., Hirwa, H., Maesho, S., Ning, X., Tian, C., Qiao, Y., Faye, C., Cissé, B., Guissé, A., et al. (2024) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-99-9375-8_9 · Cited by 29
Ivits, É., Horion, S., Fensholt, R., & Cherlet, M. (2014) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs6054266 · Cited by 19
Sahel precipitation and regional teleconnections with the Indian Ocean
Dyer, E. L. E., Jones, D. B. A., Li, R. L., Sawaoka, H., & Mudryk, L. R. (2017) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1002/2016jd026014 · Cited by 20
Hirasawa, H., Kushner, P. J., Sigmond, M., Fyfe, J. C., & Deser, C. (2022) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-21-0795.1 · Cited by 24
Prediction of interannual North Atlantic sea surface temperature and its remote influence over land
Lienert, F., & Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2016) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3254-9 · Cited by 18
Young, H. R., Cornforth, R., Gaye, A. T., & Boyd, E. (2019) · Climate and Development · doi:10.1080/17565529.2019.1571401 · Cited by 17
Self-citationUncertain soil moisture feedbacks in model projections of Sahel precipitation
Berg, A., Lintner, B. R., Findell, K. L., & Giannini, A. (2017) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2017gl073851 · Cited by 16
Self-citationThe drying tendency of shallow meridional circulations in monsoons
Zhai, J., & Boos, W. R. (2017) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.3091 · Cited by 15
Turbulent diapycnal fluxes as a pilot Essential Ocean Variable
Boyer, A. L., Couto, N., Alford, M. H., Drake, H. F., Bluteau, C., Hughes, K., Garabato, A. C. N., Moulin, A. J., Peacock, T., Fine, E. C., et al. (2023) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1241023 · Cited by 14
Multi-scale drought variability over West Africa and the associated large-scale circulation patterns
Ogunrinde, A. T., Adigun, P., Xian, X., Yu, H., Dairaku, K., Adebiyi, A. A., & Ahmad, A. S. (2024) · Geomatics Natural Hazards and Risk · doi:10.1080/19475705.2024.2409199 · Cited by 14
Nouaceur, Z., Murărescu, O., & Murătoreanu, G. (2025) · Geosciences · doi:10.3390/geosciences15030080 · Cited by 15
Advances in the Lead Time of Sahel Rainfall Prediction With the North American Multimodel Ensemble
Giannini, A., Ali, A., Kelley, C. P., Lamptey, B. L., Minoungou, B., & Ndiaye, O. (2020) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2020gl087341 · Cited by 15
Self-citationTipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations
Loriani, S., Aksenov, Y., McKay, D. I. A., Bala, G., Born, A., Chiessi, C. M., Dijkstra, H. A., Donges, J. F., Drijfhout, S., England, M. H., et al. (2025) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-16-1611-2025 · Cited by 13
Metadata
- Authors
- Giannini, A., Salack, S., Lodoun, T., Ali, A., Gaye, A. T., & Ndiaye, O.
- Affiliations
- Columbia University (US)
- Centre d'Etude Regional pour l'Amelioration de l'Adaptation a la Secheresse (SN)
- Institut de l'Environnement et Recherches Agricoles (BF)
- Agrhymet Regional Centre (NE)
- Cheikh Anta Diop University (SN)
- Agence Nationale de l'Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie (SN)
- Venue
- Environmental Research Letters
- Publisher
- IOP Publishing
- Published
- 2013-04-18
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 024010
- ISSN
- 1748-9326 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2151415557
- Cited by
- 178
- References
- 58
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 16 · 2016: 17 · 2015: 16 · 2014: 11 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 11.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Environmental Research Letters (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Greater South Information System
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (0955372)
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NA08OAR4320754)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Keywords
- Sahel climate, rainfall variability, ocean-atmosphere interaction, North Atlantic warming, tropical ocean warming, rainfall intensity, precipitation projections, intraseasonal variability, interannual variability, multidecadal variability, Senegal
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
