Assessing the observed impact of anthropogenic climate change
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Most climate models predict for the next 100 years an expansion of areas where oxygen concentrations below the mixed layer are less than 30 mmol kg−1.
“ampliación de las áreas donde las concentraciones de oxígeno por debajo de la capa de mezcla son inferiores a 30 mmol kg -foot_0”
From Túnidos tropicales: calentamiento global y seguridad alimentaria, una visión global (2019) · cites this paper as Hansen & Stone 2015
The Introduction describes an analysis of observed impacts over 1971–2010, and ‘Selection restrictions, spatial characteristics and default period’ limits the assessed climate variables to temperature and precipitation. Searches for the 30 mmol kg−1 oxygen threshold and century-scale model projections found no passage addressing the claimed expansion of low-oxygen areas. Page numbers were not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.77)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMost climate models predict for the next 100 years a decrease in pH of 0.3 units.
“un descenso del pH de 0,3 unidades”
From Túnidos tropicales: calentamiento global y seguridad alimentaria, una visión global (2019) · cites this paper as Hansen & Stone 2015
The ‘Selection restrictions, spatial characteristics and default period’ section says ocean acidification could not readily be examined and restricts the analysis to temperature and precipitation. A search for pH projections and a 0.3-unit decrease found no passage supporting the claimed forecast for the next 100 years. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMost climate models predict for the next 100 years a decrease in ocean salinity, which will in turn produce stratification of water masses.
“una disminución de la salinidad de los océanos, que a su vez producirá una estratificación de las masas de agua (Nye 2010, Hansen & Stone 2015).”
From Túnidos tropicales: calentamiento global y seguridad alimentaria, una visión global (2019) · cites this paper as Hansen & Stone 2015
The Selection restrictions section says the analysis concerns atmospheric temperature, precipitation, and ocean surface temperature; the Introduction places its assessments in the past few decades, using 1971–2010. Searches for ocean salinity and stratification found no passage predicting a salinity decrease over the next 100 years or linking it to stratification. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMost climate models predict for the next 100 years an increase in sea surface water temperature of 3°C.
“La mayoría de los modelos climáticos predicen para los próximos cien años un incremento de la temperatura superficial del agua del mar de 3ºC”
From Túnidos tropicales: calentamiento global y seguridad alimentaria, una visión global (2019) · cites this paper as Hansen & Stone 2015
The Introduction and the 'Selection restrictions, spatial characteristics and default period' section describe an assessment of observed climate impacts, using 1971–2010 as the default period. Searches for a 3°C sea-surface-temperature increase over the next 100 years found no such projection in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.75)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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- Authors
- Hansen, G., & Stone, D.
- Affiliations
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US)
- Corresponding author
- Hansen, Gerrit
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2015-12-21
- Volume
- 6
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 532-537
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2254223311
- Cited by
- 139
- References
- 39
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 25 · 2024: 20 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 21 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 3
- FWCI
- 4.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.osti.gov
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Keywords
- anthropogenic climate change, regional climate trends, IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, global warming, air temperature change, ocean temperature change, precipitation change
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