The DOI matches its Crossref record; 61 of the 61 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Extreme heat waves under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming
Open accessAbstract
Severe, extreme, and exceptional heat waves, such as those that occurred over the Balkans (2007), France (2003), or Russia (2010), are associated with increased mortality, human discomfort and reduced labour productivity. Based on the results of a very high-resolution global model, we show that, even at 1.5 °C warming, a significant increase in heat wave magnitude is expected over Africa, South America, and Southeast Asia. Compared to a 1.5 °C world, under 2 °C warming the frequency of extreme heat waves would double over most of the globe. In a 1.5 °C world, 13.8% of the world population will be exposed to severe heat waves at least once every 5 years. This fraction becomes nearly three times larger (36.9%) under 2 °C warming, i.e. a difference of around 1.7 billion people. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will also result in around 420 million fewer people being frequently exposed to extreme heat waves, and ~65 million to exceptional heat waves. Nearly 700 million people (9.0% of world population) will be exposed to extreme heat waves at least once every 20 years in a 1.5 °C world, but more than 2 billion people (28.2%) in a 2 °C world. With current emission trends threatening even the 2 °C target, our study is helpful to identify regions where limiting the warming to 1.5 °C would have the strongest benefits in reducing population exposure to extreme heat.
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Cites
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Cited by
Heat Waves: Physical Understanding and Scientific Challenges
Barriopedro, D., García‐Herrera, R., Ordóñez, C., Miralles, D. G., & Salcedo‐Sanz, S. (2023) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2022rg000780 · Cited by 404
1.5°C Hotspots: Climate Hazards, Vulnerabilities, and Impacts
Schleussner, C.-F., Deryng, D., D'haen, S., Hare, W., Lissner, T., Ly, M., Nauels, A., Noblet, M., Pfleiderer, P., Pringle, P., et al. (2018) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-025835 · Cited by 45
McGregor, G. (2024) · Biometeorology · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-69906-1_3 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Dosio, A., Mentaschi, L., Fischer, E. M., & Wyser, K.
- Venue
- Environmental Research Letters
- Publisher
- IOP Publishing
- Published
- 2018-04-25
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 054006
- ISSN
- 1748-9326 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2792025401
- Cited by
- 445
- References
- 61
- FWCI
- 20.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Dosio, A., Mentaschi, L., Fischer, E. M., & Wyser, K. (2018). Extreme heat waves under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aab827
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
