Cited by 1,746Climate Change and Health ImpactsThermoregulation and physiological responsesUrban Heat Island Mitigation

Global risk of deadly heat

Open access
Mora, Camilo, Dousset, Bénédicte, Caldwell, Iain R., Powell, Farrah E., Geronimo, Rollan C., Bielecki, Coral R., Counsell, Chelsie W. W., Dietrich, Bonnie S. +10 more·2017·Nature Climate Change

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Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/nclimate3322

Cites

32 of 32 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

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  • Individuals who are older, obese, unfit, have chronic disease, or experience acute illness or infection are at high risk for heat-induced pathologies (e.g., heat cramps, heat exhaustion, heat stroke).

    “those who are older, obese, unfit, have chronic disease, or experience acute illness or infection are at a high risk for heatinduced pathologies (eg, heat cramps, heat exhaustion, and heat stroke). 1,7,139,147”

    From Workers' health and productivity under occupational heat strain: a systematic review and meta-analysis (2018) · cites this paper as [1]

    The discussion (p. 8) describes an aging population as highly vulnerable to heat, supporting the claim about older individuals. It does not identify obesity, poor fitness, chronic disease, acute illness, or infection as risk factors, or specifically connect those groups to heat cramps, heat exhaustion, and heat stroke. (LLM, conf=0.87)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Rising temperatures from more intense and frequent heatwaves will render coping mechanisms inadequate, as some regions meet and exceed limits to human survivability.

    “Rising temperatures from more intense and frequent heatwaves will render coping mechanisms inadequate, as some regions meet and exceed limits to human survivability (Mora et al 2017).”

    From Attribution of 2022 early-spring heatwave in India and Pakistan to climate change: lessons in assessing vulnerability and preparedness in reducing impacts (2023) · cites this paper as Mora et al 2017

    The discussion (p. 8) projects increasing exposure to conditions exceeding human thermoregulatory capacity, especially in humid tropical regions. But the discussion (p. 4) says social adaptation can reduce exposure and modify mortality, even though outdoor conditions will remain deadly. The claim overstates the paper by treating coping mechanisms generally as inadequate. (LLM, conf=0.87)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • With changing climate, more people will need access to air conditioning in regions where deadly heat waves become common.

    “For example, with the changing climate, more people will need access to air conditioning in regions where deadly heat waves will become common [553,554].”

    From Tackling climate change with machine learning (2023) · cites this paper as [554]

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Authors
Mora, C., Dousset, B., Caldwell, I. R., Powell, F. E., Geronimo, R. C., Bielecki, C. R., Counsell, C. W. W., Dietrich, B. S., Johnston, E. T., Louis, L. V., Lucas, M. P., McKenzie, M. M., Shea, A. G., Tseng, H., Giambelluca, T. W., Leon, L. R., Hawkins, E., & Trauernicht, C.
Affiliations
  • University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa (US)
  • U.S. Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine (US)
  • National Centre for Atmospheric Science (GB)
Corresponding author
Mora, Camilo
Venue
Nature Climate Change
Published
2017-06-19
Volume
7
Issue
7
Pages
501-506
ISSN
  • 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
  • 1758-6798
OpenAlex
W2626726142
Cited by
1,746
References
33
Citations by year
2026: 250 · 2025: 262 · 2024: 227 · 2023: 193 · 2022: 183 · 2021: 215 · 2020: 174 · 2019: 140 · 2018: 77 · 2017: 22 · 2012: 1
FWCI
60.91
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
  • ResearchOnline - JCU (James Cook University) (submittedVersion)
  • CentAUR (University of Reading) (submittedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • U.S. Department of Defense
  • Natural Environment Research Council (ncas10009, NE/I020792/1, NE/N018591/1)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Thermoregulation and physiological responses
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Urban Heat Island Mitigation
Keywords
heat-related mortality, human thermoregulation, relative humidity, surface air temperature, climate change, greenhouse gas emissions, humid tropics, global risk assessment, heat waves

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