Extensions, validation, and clinical applications of a feedback control system simulator of the hypothalamo-pituitary-thyroid axis
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: We upgraded our recent feedback control system (FBCS) simulation model of human thyroid hormone (TH) regulation to include explicit representation of hypothalamic and pituitary dynamics, and updated TH distribution and elimination (D&E) parameters. This new model greatly expands the range of clinical and basic science scenarios explorable by computer simulation. METHODS: We quantified the model from pharmacokinetic (PK) and physiological human data and validated it comparatively against several independent clinical data sets. We then explored three contemporary clinical issues with the new model: combined triiodothyronine (T(3))/thyroxine (T(4)) versus T(4)-only treatment, parenteral levothyroxine (L-T(4)) administration, and central hypothyroidism. RESULTS: Combined T(3)/T(4) therapy--In thyroidectomized patients, the L-T(4)-only replacement doses needed to normalize plasma T(3) or average tissue T(3) were 145 microg L-T(4)/day or 165 microg L-T(4)/day, respectively. The combined T(4) + T(3) dosing needed to normalize both plasma and tissue T(3) levels was 105 microg L-T(4) + 9 microg T(3) per day. For all three regimens, simulated mean steady-state plasma thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), T(3), and T(4) was within normal ranges (TSH: 0.5-5 mU/L; T(4): 5-12 microg/dL; T(3): 0.8-1.9 ng/mL). Parenteral T(4) administration--800 microg weekly or 400 microg twice weekly normalized average tissue T(3) levels both for subcutaneous (SC) and intramuscular (IM) routes of administration. TSH, T(3), and T(4) levels were maintained within normal ranges for all four of these dosing schemes (1x vs. 2x weekly, SC vs. IM). Central hypothyroidism--We simulated steady-state plasma T(3), T(4), and TSH concentrations in response to varying degrees of central hypothyroidism, reducing TSH secretion from 50% down to 0.1% of normal. Surprisingly, TSH, T(3), and T(4) plasma concentrations remained within normal ranges for TSH secretion as low as 25% of normal. CONCLUSIONS: Combined T(3)/T(4) treatment--Simulated standard L-T(4)-only therapy was sufficient to renormalize average tissue T(3) levels and maintain normal TSH, T(3), and T(4) plasma levels, supporting adequacy of standard L-T(4)-only treatment. Parenteral T(4) administration-TSH, T(3), and T(4) levels were maintained within normal ranges for all four of these dosing schemes (1x vs. 2x weekly, SC vs. IM), supporting these therapeutic alternatives for patients with compromised L-T(4) gut absorption. Central hypothyroidism--These results highlight how highly nonlinear feedback in the hypothalamic-pituitary-thyroid axis acts to maintain normal hormone levels, even with severely reduced TSH secretion.
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For the majority of hypothyroid patients, standard L-T4-only therapy should be sufficient to reach normal triiodothyronine tissue concentrations.
“By mathematical modeling and computer simulations, it could be demonstrated that for the majority of hypothyroid patients standard l-T4-only therapy should be sufficient to reach normal triiodothyronine tissue concentrations (28, 29)”
From Calculated Parameters of Thyroid Homeostasis: Emerging Tools for Differential Diagnosis and Clinical Research (2016) · cites this paper as [29]
The Results (page unavailable) report that an L-T4-only dose normalized simulated lumped-tissue T3 in thyroidectomized subjects. The paper does not establish that standard L-T4-only therapy is sufficient for the majority of hypothyroid patients; that extends the simulation beyond its stated population and dosing conditions. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMany models focus on various aspects of the HPT axis, but models that specifically simulate the molecular regulations in thyroid follicles are still uncommon.
“While there are many models focusing on various aspects of the HPT axis (180, 273–275), models that specifically simulate the molecular regulations in thyroid follicles are still uncommon.”
From Intrathyroidal feedforward and feedback network regulating thyroid hormone synthesis and secretion (2022) · cites this paper as [275]
Ratios of T3 to T4 in combination therapy ranging from 1:3 to 1:17 have been reported.
“Ratios ranging from 1:3 to 1:17 have been reported in several articles (150–153).”
From Levothyroxine: conventional and novel drug delivery formulations. (2023) · cites this paper as [153]
As simulated by the model, a dose of 800 μg weekly or 400 μg twice weekly can maintain serum T3, T4, and TSH in the target range in patients with athyreosis.
“As simulated by the model, a dose of 800 µg weekly or 400 µg twice weekly can maintain serum T3, T4, and TSH in the target range in patients with athyreosis.”
From Levothyroxine: conventional and novel drug delivery formulations. (2023) · cites this paper as [153]
A novel feedback control system simulator developed by Eisenberg et al was quantified from pharmacokinetic and physiological human data and was validated against several independent clinical data sets.
“In 2008, a novel feedback control system simulator was developed by Eisenberg et al (153). The model was quantified from pharmacokinetic and physiological human data and was validated against several independent clinical data sets.”
From Levothyroxine: conventional and novel drug delivery formulations. (2023) · cites this paper as [153]
Subcutaneous injection produces smaller fluctuations in TSH levels and slower release into the circulation than intramuscular injection.
“SC injection produces smaller fluctuations in TSH levels and slower release into the circulation than IM injection (153).”
From Levothyroxine: conventional and novel drug delivery formulations. (2023) · cites this paper as [153]
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Eisenberg, M., Samuels, M., & DiStefano, J. J.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Los Angeles (US)
- Oregon Health & Science University (US)
- Venue
- Thyroid
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2008-10
- Volume
- 18
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 1071-1085
- ISSN
- 1050-7256 (ISSN-L)
- 1557-9077
- PMC
- PMC2962855
- OpenAlex
- W2075932932
- Cited by
- 65
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 3 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 2 · 2014: 7 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 1.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Thyroid (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute
- National Institutes of Health
- Directorate for Biological Sciences
- National Institute of General Medical Sciences (T32GM008185)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Thyroid Disorders and Treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Thyroid and Parathyroid Surgery
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Adrenal Hormones and Disorders
- Keywords
- hypothalamic-pituitary-thyroid axis, thyroid hormone regulation, triiodothyronine, thyroxine, levothyroxine, central hypothyroidism, thyroidectomy, thyroid-stimulating hormone
- MeSH terms
- Brain, Computer Simulation, Feedback, Humans, Hypothalamo-Hypophyseal System, Hypothyroidism, Iodide Peroxidase, Kinetics, Models, Biological, Thyroid Gland, Thyroidectomy, Thyroxine, Triiodothyronine, Hormone Replacement Therapy
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