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Cited by 272Aging, Health, and DisabilityInsurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk ManagementAging and Gerontology Research

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 82 of the 83 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Looking Forward to a General Theory on Population Aging

Robine, J.-M., Michel, J.-P.·2004·The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences
DOI 10.1093/gerona/59.6.m590
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Abstract

The main theories on population aging based on recent data on human longevity, life expectancy, morbidity changes, disability trends, and mortality decrease are presented and discussed within their own geographic, cultural, socioeconomic, and medical contexts. The complex interactions between all these components do not facilitate trend forecasting of aging population (healthy aging versus disability pandemic). In the context of population aging, four elements were introduced with their implications: 1) an increase in the survival rates of sick persons, which would explain the expansion of morbidity, 2) a control of the progression of chronic diseases, which would explain a subtle equilibrium between the decrease in mortality and the increase in disability, 3) an improvement of the health status and health behaviors of new cohorts of elderly people, which would explain the compression of morbidity, and eventually 4) an emergence of very old and frail populations, which would explain a new expansion of morbidity. Obviously, all these elements coexist today, and future trend scenarios-expansion or compression of disability-depend on their respective weights leading to the need of elaborating "a general theory on population aging." This theory has to be based on a world harmonization of functional decline measurements and a periodic "International Aging Survey" to monitor global aging through a sample of carefully selected countries.

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Citations

Cites

Show all 83 references

Research works printed but not linked: 19

  1. 2002, Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, 57B, S126
  2. 1980, Acta psychiatrica Scandinavica, 62, 282
  3. 1990, J INSURANCE MED, 22, 89
  4. 2000, Health statistics quarterly / Office for National Statistics, 7, 32
  5. 2001, Aging trends (Hyattsville, Md.), 2, 1
  6. 1994, ETUDES STATISTIQ, 1, 17
  7. 1993, The Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, 48, S153
  8. 1997, Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, 52B, S59
  9. 2000, Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, 55B, S298
  10. 2001, Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, 56B, S100
  11. 2001, Aging trends (Hyattsville, Md.), 4, 1
  12. 2001, Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, 56B, S206
  13. 2003, POP DEV REV, 29, 239
  14. 2002, Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological and Medical Sciences, 57A, M347
  15. 2002, Health statistics quarterly / Office for National Statistics, 15, 60
  16. 2001, Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological and Medical Sciences, 56A, M146
  17. 2003, POP DEV REV, 29, 229
  18. 2001, 13, 159
  19. 2001, 13, 173

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Metadata

Authors
Robine, J.-M., & Michel, J.-P.
Affiliations
University Hospital of Geneva (CH)
Corresponding author
Robine, J.-M.
ORCID
Venue
The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Published
2004-06-01
Volume
59
Issue
6
Pages
M590-M597
ISSN
  • 1079-5006 (ISSN-L)
  • 1758-535X
DOI
10.1093/gerona/59.6.m590
OpenAlex
W2109431544
Cited by
272
References
83
Citations by year
2026: 3 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 6 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 11 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 9 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 17 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 17
FWCI
2.78
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • The Journals of Gerontology Series A (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • reroDoc Digital Library (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Aging, Health, and Disability
  • Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Developmental and Educational Psychology › Aging and Gerontology Research
Keywords
population aging, compression of morbidity, disability, life expectancy, mortality decline, chronic disease progression, frailty, oldest old, healthy aging
MeSH terms
Aged, Chronic Disease, Disabled Persons, Persons with Disabilities, Health Status, Humans, Life Expectancy, Population Dynamics, Health Behavior, Survival Rate

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