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Ageing populations: the challenges ahead
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Mathematically based forecasts of linear increases in life expectancy at birth are projected to occur at a rate of 2 years per decade (0.2 year increase in life expectancy at birth annually).
“Because mathematically based forecasts of linear increases in life expectancy at birth are projected to occur at a rate of 2 years per decade (0.2 year increase in life expectancy at birth annually) (19)”
From Inconvenient Truths About Human Longevity (2019) · cites this paper as [19]
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Olshansky, S. J., Passaro, D. J., Hershow, R. C., Layden, J., Carnes, B. A., Brody, J., Hayflick, L., Butler, R. N., Allison, D. B., & Ludwig, D. S. (2005) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmsr043743 · Cited by 2,612
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Lubitz, J., Cai, L., Kramarow, E., & Lentzner, H. (2003) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmsa020614 · Cited by 513
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Robine, J.-M., & Michel, J.-P. (2004) · The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences · doi:10.1093/gerona/59.6.m590 · Cited by 272
Hayflick, L. (2007) · PLoS Genetics · doi:10.1371/journal.pgen.0030220 · Cited by 260
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Metadata
- Authors
- Christensen, K., Doblhammer, G., Rau, R., & Vaupel, J. W.
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2009-10
- Volume
- 374
- Issue
- 9696
- Pages
- 1196-1208
- ISSN
- 0140-6736
- PMC
- PMC2810516
- Cited by
- 3,011
- References
- 6
- Language
- en
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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