Cited by 803

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Biodemographic Trajectories of Longevity

Vaupel, James W., Carey, James R., Christensen, Kaare, Johnson, Thomas E., Yashin, Anatoli I., Holm, Niels V., Iachine, Ivan A., Kannisto, Väinö, Khazaeli, Aziz A., Liedo, Pablo, Longo, Valter D., Zeng, Yi, Manton, Kenneth G., Curtsinger, James W.·1998·Science

Abstract

Old-age survival has increased substantially since 1950. Death rates decelerate with age for insects, worms, and yeast, as well as humans. This evidence of extended postreproductive survival is puzzling. Three biodemographic insights—concerning the correlation of death rates across age, individual differences in survival chances, and induced alterations in age patterns of fertility and mortality—offer clues and suggest research on the failure of complicated systems, on new demographic equations for evolutionary theory, and on fertility-longevity interactions. Nongenetic changes account for increases in human life-spans to date. Explication of these causes and the genetic license for extended survival, as well as discovery of genes and other survival attributes affecting longevity, will lead to even longer lives.

Overview

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1126/science.280.5365.855

Cites

2 of 2 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

This paper’s full text isn’t openly available, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • These well-estimated hazard curves share the qualitative pattern observed at extreme ages in widely differing species.

    “Thus these well-estimated hazard curves share the qualitative pattern observed at extreme ages in widely differing species (8, 18)”
  • The fixed-frailty proportional hazard model of Vaupel, Stallard, and Manton implies approach to plateaus.

    “The fixed-frailty proportional hazard model of Vaupel, Stallard, and Manton (19) (with precursor 20) implies approach to plateaus (5, 8, 18)”

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 36

  1. 10.2105/AJPH.76.4.430 · DOI
  2. V. Kannisto J. Lauritsen A. R. Thatcher J. W. Vaupel Pop. Dev. Rev. 20 987 (1994); V. Kannisto Development of Oldest-Old Mortality 1950-1990 (Odense Univ. Press Odense Denmark 1994); V. Kannisto The Advancing Frontier of Survival (Odense Univ. Press Odense Denmark 1996); J. R. Wilmoth in (5) p. 38.
  3. B. Jeune and J. W. Vaupel Eds. Exceptional Longevity: From Prehistory to the Present (Odense Univ. Press Odense Denmark 1995).
  4. Vaupel J. W., Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London Ser. B352, 1 (1997). · DOI
  5. K. W. Wachter and C. E. Finch Eds. Between Zeus and the Salmon: The Biodemography of Longevity (National Academy Press Washington DC 1997).
  6. Manton K. G., Vaupel J. W., N. Engl. J. Med.333, 1232 (1995). · DOI
  7. C. E. Finch Longevity Senescence and the Genome (Univ. of Chicago Press Chicago IL 1990).
  8. P. B. Medawar, An Unsolved Problem in Biology(Lewis, London, 1952); G. C. Williams, Evolution 11, 398 (1957); W. D. Hamilton, J. Theor. Biol. 12, 12 (1966); B. Charlesworth, Evolution in Age-Structured Populations (Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 1994); P. Abrams, D. Ludwig, Evolution 49, 1055 (1995); L. Partridge in (5), p. 78. For discussion of the mixed empirical support for this theory, see (13); J. W. Curtsinger, P. M. Service, T. Prout, Am. Nat. 144, 210 (1994); Promislow D. E. L., Tatar M., Khazaeli A. A., Curtsinger J. W., Genetics 143, 839 (1996). · DOI
  9. Curtsinger J. W., Genetica96, 187 (1995); S. Tuljapurkar, in (5), p. 65. · DOI
  10. Charlesworth B., Partridge L., Curr. Biol.7, R440 (1997). · DOI
  11. The quote, from (12, p. R441), pertains to Mueller L. D., Rose M. R., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 93, 15249 (1996); also see S. D. Pletcher and J. W. Curtsinger, Evolution, in press. · DOI
  12. Keller L., Genoud M., Nature389, 958 (1997). · DOI
  13. A. R. Thatcher V. Kannisto J. W. Vaupel The Trajectory of Mortality from Age 80 to 120 (Odense Univ. Press Odense Denmark 1998).
  14. J. R. Carey, P. Liedo, D. Orozco, J. W. Vaupel, Science 258, 457 (1992); Carey J. R., Demography 34, 17 (1997). · DOI
  15. J. W. Vaupel, K. G. Manton, E. Stallard, ibid 16, 439 (1979); J. W. Curtsinger, H. H. Fukui, D. R. Townsend, J. W. Vaupel, Science 258, 461 (1992); Vaupel J. W., Carey J. R., ibid 260, 1666 (1993); A. I. Yashin, J. W. Vaupel, I. A. Iachine, Mech. Aging Dev. 74, 1 (1994).
  16. Tatar M., Carey J. R., Vaupel J. W., Evolution47, 1302 (1993); D. L. Wilson, Mech. Aging Dev.74, 15 (1994). But most smaller studies have not found deceleration (9). · DOI
  17. J. R. Carey, P. Liedo, J. W. Vaupel, Exp. Gerontol. 30, 605 (1995); A.A. Khazaeli, L. Xiu, J. W. Curtsinger, J. Gerontol. 52, 48 (1995); Khazaeli A. A., Xiu L., Curtsinger J. W., Genetica 98, 21 (1996). . In our nematode experiments, the volume of the container was reduced as worms died, to keep density constant. · DOI
  18. K. Christensen and J. W. Vaupel J. Int. Med. 240 333 (1996). · DOI
  19. A. Coale and P. Demeny, Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations (Academic Press, New York, 1983); Lee R. D., Carter L. R., J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 87, 659 (1992).
  20. Pletcher S. D., Houle D., Curtsinger J. W., Genetics148, 287 (1998). · DOI
  21. Yashin A. I., Iachine I. A., Demography34, 31 (1997). · DOI
  22. J. W. Vaupel A. I. Yashin K. G. Manton Math. Pop. Studies 1 21 (1988); J. W. Curtsinger and A. A. Khazaeli Exp. Gerontol. in press. · DOI
  23. Orzack S., Tuljapurkar S., Am. Nat.133, 901 (1989); M. Mangel and C. W. Clark, Dynamic Modeling in Behavioral Ecology (Princeton Univ. Press, Princeton, NJ, 1988). · DOI
  24. 10.1093/genetics/143.3.1207 · DOI
  25. 10.1126/science.273.5271.54 · DOI
  26. C. Franceschi, et al., Int. Rev. Immunol. 12, 57 (1995); Lakatta E. G., Aging 6, 213 (1994).
  27. L. Partridge, M. Farquhar, Nature 294, 580 (1981); Partridge L., Harvey P., ibid 316, 20 (1985).
  28. 10.2307/2061659 · DOI
  29. K. Christensen, J. W. Vaupel, N. V. Holm, A. I. Yashin, Br. Med. J. 310, 432 (1995); Kannisto V., Christensen K., Vaupel J. W., Am. J. Epidemiol. 145, 987 (1997). · DOI
  30. F. Schächter, et al., Nature Genet. 6, 29 (1994); G. De Benedictis, et al., Hum. Genet. 99, 312 (1997); Maynard Smith J., Nature 181, 496 (1958). · DOI
  31. 10.1126/science.278.5337.407 · DOI
  32. 10.1126/science.276.5318.1560 · DOI
  33. J. W. Vaupel Z. Wang K. Andreev A. I. Yashin Population Data at a Glance: Shaded Contour Maps of Demographic Surfaces (Odense Univ. Press Odense Denmark 1998).
  34. U.S. data are from the Social Security Administration. Data on U.S. whites are based on Social Security data supplied to J.W.V. by the Health Care Financing Administration. Concerning reliability and calculation methods, see (4 , 6); Kestenbaum B., Demography 29, 565 (1992); L. B. Shrestha and S. H. Preston,Survey Method. 21, 167 (1995). · DOI
  35. Müller H.-G., Wang J.-L., Capra W. B., Liedo P., Carey J. R., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.94, 2762 (1997). · DOI
  36. A. Brooks, G. J. Lithgow, T. E. Johnson, Science 263, 668 (1994); Vaupel J. W., Johnson T. E., Lithgow G. J., ibid 266, 826 (1994).

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Metadata

Authors
Vaupel, J. W., Carey, J. R., Christensen, K., Johnson, T. E., Yashin, A. I., Holm, N. V., Iachine, I. A., Kannisto, V., Khazaeli, A. A., Liedo, P., Longo, V. D., Zeng, Y., Manton, K. G., & Curtsinger, J. W.
Affiliations
J. W. Vaupel is at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, D-18057 Rostock, Germany; Odense University Medical School, DK-5000 Odense C, Denmark; the Center for Demographic Studies, Duke University, Durham, NC 27706, USA; and Andrus Gerontology Center, the University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089–0191, USA. J. R. Carey is in the Department of Entomology, University of California at Davis, Davis, CA 95616–8584, USA. K. Christensen, N. V. Holm, I. A. Iachine, and V. Kannisto...
Venue
Science
Published
1998-05-08
Volume
280
Issue
5365
Pages
855-860
ISSN
  • 0036-8075
  • 1095-9203
Cited by
803
References
2
Language
en

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review