Cited by 1,496Genetic Associations and EpidemiologyAdvanced Causal Inference TechniquesGenetics and Physical Performance

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Evaluating the potential role of pleiotropy in Mendelian randomization studies

Open access
Hemani, Gibran, Bowden, Jack, Davey Smith, George·2018·Human Molecular Genetics

Abstract

Pleiotropy, the phenomenon of a single genetic variant influencing multiple traits, is likely widespread in the human genome. If pleiotropy arises because the single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) influences one trait, which in turn influences another ('vertical pleiotropy'), then Mendelian randomization (MR) can be used to estimate the causal influence between the traits. Of prime focus among the many limitations to MR is the unprovable assumption that apparent pleiotropic associations are mediated by the exposure (i.e. reflect vertical pleiotropy), and do not arise due to SNPs influencing the two traits through independent pathways ('horizontal pleiotropy'). The burgeoning treasure trove of genetic associations yielded through genome wide association studies makes for a tantalizing prospect of phenome-wide causal inference. Recent years have seen substantial attention devoted to the problem of horizontal pleiotropy, and in this review we outline how newly developed methods can be used together to improve the reliability of MR.

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Figure 1. (A) The same SNP can associate with multiple traits due to vertical pleiotropy, horizontal pleiotropy and linkage disequilibrium with distinct causal variants depending on the analytical context. To estimate the causal influence of gene expression level (Gene) 1 on Trait 1, SNP 1 is a valid instrument that acts in a vertical pleiotropic manner. But SNP 1 has a horizontal pleiotropic effect when using it to estimate the causal influence of Gene 1 on Trait 2. If SNP 1 was used to instrument Gene 1 to test its effect on Trait 3, it would exhibit a pleiotropic association through linkage disequilibrium with SNP 2. (B) A directed acyclic graph (DAG) in which four SNPs instrument an exposure. The fourth SNP has a horizontal pleiotropic effect of magnitude α. The impact of the horizontal pleiotropic effect is shown in the scatter plot in (C), where the grey slope represents the true causal effect obtained from the three valid instruments, and the red slope represents the IVW estimate when all SNPs are used as instruments.
Figure 1. (A) The same SNP can associate with multiple traits due to vertical pleiotropy, horizontal pleiotropy and linkage disequilibrium with distinct causal variants depending on the analytical context. To estimate the causal influence of gene expression level (Gene) 1 on Trait 1, SNP 1 is a valid instrument that acts in a vertical pleiotropic manner. But SNP 1 has a horizontal pleiotropic effect when using it to estimate the causal influence of Gene 1 on Trait 2. If SNP 1 was used to instrument Gene 1 to test its effect on Trait 3, it would exhibit a pleiotropic association through linkage disequilibrium with SNP 2. (B) A directed acyclic graph (DAG) in which four SNPs instrument an exposure. The fourth SNP has a horizontal pleiotropic effect of magnitude α. The impact of the horizontal pleiotropic effect is shown in the scatter plot in (C), where the grey slope represents the true causal effect obtained from the three valid instruments, and the red slope represents the IVW estimate when all SNPs are used as instruments.CC BY · PubMed Central
Appendix figure 1. (A) Unobserved confounding (U) makes it impossible to be fully confident that an association between risk factor X and outcome Y represents a measure of causal effect of X on Y. (B) In a perfect RCT, randomization to treatment (T) removes the possibility of confounding, enabling the causal effect of T on Y to be estimated. (C) MR uses genetic variants (G) that explain some variation in the exposure X to estimate the causal effect of X on Y. G must satisfy the instrumental variable assumptions, encoded by the solid arrows (and the strict absence of the dotted arrows) in (C). (D) Instrumental variable methods can also be used in clinical trials when randomization is imperfect because some patients do not receive the treatment they were originally assigned. This is referred to as `non-compliance’. An MR analysis is conceptually and mathematically equivalent to the analysis of RCT data in the presence of non-compliance, where the SNP (G) and exposure (X) proxy for randomization (R) and treatment (T), respectively.
Appendix figure 1. (A) Unobserved confounding (U) makes it impossible to be fully confident that an association between risk factor X and outcome Y represents a measure of causal effect of X on Y. (B) In a perfect RCT, randomization to treatment (T) removes the possibility of confounding, enabling the causal effect of T on Y to be estimated. (C) MR uses genetic variants (G) that explain some variation in the exposure X to estimate the causal effect of X on Y. G must satisfy the instrumental variable assumptions, encoded by the solid arrows (and the strict absence of the dotted arrows) in (C). (D) Instrumental variable methods can also be used in clinical trials when randomization is imperfect because some patients do not receive the treatment they were originally assigned. This is referred to as `non-compliance’. An MR analysis is conceptually and mathematically equivalent to the analysis of RCT data in the presence of non-compliance, where the SNP (G) and exposure (X) proxy for randomization (R) and treatment (T), respectively.CC BY · PubMed Central

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  1. Purcell, 2009, International Schizophrenia Consortium, Nature, 460, 748

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Metadata

Authors
Hemani, G., Bowden, J., & Davey Smith, G.
Affiliations
  • University of Bristol (GB)
  • MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol
Corresponding author
Hemani, Gibran
Venue
Human Molecular Genetics
Published
2018-05-16
Volume
27
Issue
R2
Pages
R195-R208
ISSN
  • 0964-6906 (ISSN-L)
  • 1460-2083
OpenAlex
W2810852503
Cited by
1,496
References
113
Citations by year
2026: 129 · 2025: 266 · 2024: 422 · 2023: 209 · 2022: 169 · 2021: 131 · 2020: 101 · 2019: 62 · 2018: 7
FWCI
10.71
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Human Molecular Genetics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Bristol Research (University of Bristol) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • Wellcome Trust (208806/Z/17/Z)
  • Medical Research Council (MC_UU_12013/1)
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetics and Physical Performance
Keywords
pleiotropy, Mendelian randomization, horizontal pleiotropy, single nucleotide polymorphisms, causal inference, phenome-wide association study, genetic variants
MeSH terms
Animals, Humans, Phenotype, Genetic Variation, Reproducibility of Results, Genome, Human, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Genome-Wide Association Study, Mendelian Randomization Analysis, Genetic Pleiotropy

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