The impact of fossils and taxon sampling on ancient molecular dating analyses
Open accessAbstract
The number and complexity of molecular dating studies has increased over the past decade. Along with a broadening acceptance of their utility has come significant controversy over the methods and models that are appropriate, as well as the accuracy of the estimates yielded by molecular clock analyses. Radically different age estimates have been published for the same divergences from analyses of different datasets with different fossil constraints obtained with different methods, and the underlying explanation for these differences is often unclear. Here we utilize two previously published datasets to examine the effect of fossil calibrations and taxon sampling on the age estimates for two deep eukaryote divergences in an attempt to discern the relative impact of these factors. Penalized likelihood, non-parametric rate smoothing, and Bayesian methods were utilized to generate age estimates for the origin of the Metazoa from a 7-gene dataset and for the divergence of Eukaryotes from a 129-gene dataset. From these analyses, it is clear that the fossil calibrations chosen and the method for applying constraints to these nodes have a large impact on age estimates, while the degree of taxon sampling within a dataset is less important in terms of the resulting age estimates. Concerns and recommendations for addressing these two factors when initiating a dating analysis are discussed.
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Few studies have considered the cumulative impact of uncertainties on the precision of evolutionary timescales.
“Yet, few studies have considered the cumulative impact of these uncertainties on the precision of evolutionary timescales (e.g., [45, 46]).”
From Uncertainty in the Timing of Origin of Animals and the Limits of Precision in Molecular Timescales (2015) · cites this paper as [45]
The Introduction (p. 1) says that few studies examine how fossil constraints affect age estimates and that the error from those constraints is generally ignored or unreported. The paper also examines fossil calibrations and taxon sampling together, but it does not establish the broader claim that few studies have considered the cumulative impact of uncertainties on the precision of evolutionary timescales. (LLM, conf=0.84)
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- Authors
- Hug, L. A., & Roger, A. J.
- Affiliations
- Dalhousie University (CA)
- Venue
- Molecular Biology and Evolution
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2007-06-07
- Volume
- 24
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 1889-1897
- ISSN
- 0737-4038 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-1719
- OpenAlex
- W2164727170
- Cited by
- 144
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2025: 6 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 12 · 2014: 12 · 2013: 8 · 2012: 14
- FWCI
- 5.97
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Molecular Biology and Evolution (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Alfred P. Sloan Foundation
- Killam Trusts
- Canadian Institutes of Health Research (62809, MOP62809)
- Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (227085-2005)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Protist diversity and phylogeny
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Evolution and Paleontology Studies
- Keywords
- fossil calibration, taxon sampling, divergence time estimation, eukaryotic origin, penalized likelihood, Bayesian phylogenetics, molecular clock
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Bayes Theorem, Eukaryotic Cells, Fossils, Invertebrates, Models, Genetic, Phylogeny, Genetic Variation, Likelihood Functions, Sequence Analysis, DNA, Evolution, Molecular
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