The DOI matches its Crossref record; 54 of the 54 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets
Open accessAbstract
I develop a model of (individually rational) collective reality denial in groups, organizations and markets. Whether participants' tendencies toward wishful thinking reinforce or dampen each other is shown to hinge on a simple and novel mechanism. When an agent can expect to benefit from other's delusions, this makes him more of a realist; when he is more likely to suffer losses from them this pushes him toward denial, which becomes contagious. This general "Mutually Assured Delusion" principle can give rise to multiple social cognitions of reality, irrespective of any strategic payoff interactions or private signals. It also implies that in hierachical organizations realism or denial will trickle down, causing subordinates to take their mindsets and beliefs from the leaders. Contagious "exuberance" can also seize asset markets, leading to evidence-resistant investment frenzies and subsequent deep crashes. In addition to collective illusions of control, the model accounts for the mirror case of fatalism and collective resignation. The welfare analysis differentiates valuable group morale from harmful groupthink and identifies a fundamental tension in organizations' attitudes toward free speech and dissent.
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Cites
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Benabou, R., & Tirole, J. (2003) · Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1111/1467-937x.00253 · Cited by 2,913
Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market's reaction☆
MALMENDIER, U., & TATE, G. (2008) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2007.07.002 · Cited by 2,754
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From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance
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Cited by
Individual and Corporate Social Responsibility
BÉNABOU, R., & TIROLE, J. (2010) · Economica · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0335.2009.00843.x · Cited by 2,237
Self-citationShiller, R. J. (2017) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.107.4.967 · Cited by 1,004
Mindful Economics: The Production, Consumption, and Value of Beliefs
Bénabou, R., & Tirole, J. (2016) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.30.3.141 · Cited by 817
Self-citationHow Does Social Media Impact Bitcoin Value? A Test of the Silent Majority Hypothesis
Mai, F., Shan, Z., Bai, Q., Wang, X. (., & Chiang, R. H. L. (2018) · Journal of Management Information Systems · doi:10.1080/07421222.2018.1440774 · Cited by 389
Schwardmann, P., & van der Weele, J. (2019) · Nature Human Behaviour · doi:10.1038/s41562-019-0666-7 · Cited by 215
Metadata
- Authors
- Bénabou, R.
- Venue
- The Review of Economic Studies
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2012-10-22
- Volume
- 80
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 429-462
- ISSN
- 0034-6527 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-937X
- OpenAlex
- W3021998117
- Cited by
- 319
- References
- 54
- FWCI
- 14.79
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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