The DOI matches its Crossref record; 55 of the 59 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Carbon Tail Risk
Open accessAbstract
Strong regulatory actions are needed to combat climate change, but climate policy uncertainty makes it difficult for investors to quantify the impact of future climate regulation. We show that such uncertainty is priced in the option market. The cost of option protection against downside tail risks is larger for firms with more carbon-intense business models. For carbon-intense firms, the cost of protection against downside tail risk is magnified at times when the public’s attention to climate change spikes, and it decreased after the election of climate change skeptic President Trump.
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“Ilhan, Sautner, and Vilkov (2021) show that for equities, the cost of option protection against downside tail risk is larger for firms with greater carbon intensity.”
From Presidential Address: Sustainable Finance and ESG Issues— Value versus Values (2023) · cites this paper as Ilhan, Sautner, and Vilkov (2021)
Citations
Cites
Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error
Heckman, J. J. (1979) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912352 · Cited by 28,779
(2001) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 27,577
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty*
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1093/qje/qjw024 · Cited by 12,458
Do Investors Care about Carbon Risk?
Bolton, P., & Kacperczyk, M. (2021) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.05.008 · Cited by 3,380
Da, Z., ENGELBERG, J., & Gao, P. (2011) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01679.x · Cited by 3,048
The Importance of Climate Risks for Institutional Investors
Krueger, P., Sautner, Z., & Starks, L. T. (2020) · The Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhz137 · Cited by 3,034
Self-citationPolitical uncertainty and risk premia
Pástor, Ľ., & Veronesi, P. (2013) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.08.007 · Cited by 2,383
Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices
Pástor, Ľ., & Veronesi, P. (2012) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01746.x · Cited by 2,328
Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia
Bollerslev, T., Tauchen, G. E., & Zhou, H. (2009) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhp008 · Cited by 1,692
Firm-value effects of carbon emissions and carbon disclosures
Matsumura, E. M., Prakash, R., & Vera-Muñoz, S. C. (2014) · The Accounting Review · doi:10.2308/accr-50629 · Cited by 1,681
Research works printed but not linked: 8
- Cont,, 2004, Financial modelling with jumps
- Delis,, 2020, Being stranded on fossil reserves? Climate policy risk and the pricing of bank loans
- 2019, Carbon pricing: Heavy weather
- Görgen,, 2020, Carbon risk
- 2018, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Special report: Global warming of 1.5° C
- Litterman,, 2016, Climate risk: Tail risk and the price of carbon emissions—Answers to the risk management puzzle
- Ramelli,, 2020, Stock price rewards to climate saints and sinners: Evidence from the Trump Election
- Trump,, 2012, The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S
Cited by
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Items 1,001–1,001 of 1,001
Green by Demand: Investor Segmentation, Credibility, and Primary Market Demand for Green BondsPreprint
Marshall, A. P., Risal, H. G., Thapa, C., Neupane, B., & Krebbers, A. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.6960399
Metadata
- Authors
- Ilhan, E., Sautner, Z., & Vilkov, G.
- Affiliations
- University of Zurich (CH)
- Frankfurt School of Finance & Management (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Sautner, Zacharias
- Venue
- The Review of Financial Studies
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2020-06-27
- Volume
- 34
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1540-1571
- ISSN
- 0893-9454 (ISSN-L)
- 1465-7368
- OpenAlex
- W3121471843
- Cited by
- 1,136
- References
- 59
- Citations by year
- 2026: 292 · 2025: 279 · 2024: 202 · 2023: 152 · 2022: 105 · 2021: 58 · 2020: 28
- FWCI
- 39.53
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Licence
- academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model (vor)
- Locations
- Review of Financial Studies (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (publishedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Sustainable Finance and Green Bonds
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Stochastic processes and financial applications
- Keywords
- climate policy uncertainty, carbon-intensive firms, options market, downside risk protection, climate change skepticism, Trump administration, carbon pricing
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