The DOI matches its Crossref record; 5 of the 5 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Self-locating belief and the Sleeping Beauty problem
Abstract
--- all that matters is that the person put to sleep believes that the setup is as I have described it. 1 First answer: 1/2, of course! Initially you were certain that the coin was fair, and so initially your credence in the coin's landing Heads was 1/2. Upon being awakened, you receive no new information (you knew all along that you would be awakened). So your credence in the coin's landing Heads ought to remain 1/2. Second answer: 1/3, of course! Imagine the experiment repeated many times. Then in the long run, about 1/3 of the wakings would be Heads-wakings --- wakings that happen on trials in which the coin lands Heads. So on any particular waking, you should have credence 1/3 that that waking is a Heads-waking, and hence have credence 1/3 in the coin's landing Heads on that trial. This consideration remains in force in the present circumstance, in which the experiment is performed just once. I will argue t
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Cites
(1960) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 5,851
Lewis, D. (1979) · The Philosophical Review · doi:10.2307/2184843 · Cited by 1,941
van Fraassen, C. (1984) · The Journal of Philosophy · doi:10.2307/2026388 · Cited by 535
On the Interpretation of Decision Problems with Imperfect Recall
Piccione, M., & Rubinstein, A. (1997) · Games and Economic Behavior · doi:10.1006/game.1997.0536 · Cited by 397
Belief and the problem of Ulysses and the sirens
van Fraassen, B. C. (1995) · Philosophical Studies · doi:10.1007/bf00996309 · Cited by 262
Cited by
Accuracy and the Laws of Credence
Pettigrew, R. (2016) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198732716.001.0001 · Cited by 473
Sleeping Beauty and the Dynamics of De Se Beliefs
Meacham, C. J. G. (2008) · Philosophical Studies · doi:10.1007/s11098-006-9036-1 · Cited by 139
Frege’s Puzzle and the Objects of Credence
Chalmers, D. J. (2011) · Mind · doi:10.1093/mind/fzr046 · Cited by 113
The Relevance of Self Locating Beliefs
Titelbaum, M. G. (2008) · The Philosophical Review · doi:10.1215/00318108-2008-016 · Cited by 113
Quantum theory and determinism
Vaidman, L. (2014) · Quantum Studies: Mathematics and Foundations · doi:10.1007/s40509-014-0008-4 · Cited by 65
Metadata
- Authors
- Elga, A.
- Venue
- Analysis
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2000-04
- Volume
- 60
- Issue
- 266
- Pages
- 143-147
- ISSN
- 0003-2638 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-8284
- OpenAlex
- W2100660185
- Cited by
- 289
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 24.06
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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