Inference for Multivariate Normal Hierarchical Models
Abstract
Summary: This paper provides a new method and algorithm for making inferences about the parameters of a two-level multivariate normal hierarchical model. One has observed J p-dimensional vector outcomes, distributed at level 1 as multivariate normal with unknown mean vectors and with known covariance matrices. At level 2, the unknown mean vectors also have normal distributions, with common unknown covariance matrix A and with means depending on known covariates and on unknown regression coefficients. The algorithm samples independently from the marginal posterior distribution of A by using rejection procedures. Functions such as posterior means and covariances of the level 1 mean vectors and of the level 2 regression coefficient are estimated by averaging over posterior values calculated conditionally on each value of A drawn. This estimation accounts for the uncertainty in A, unlike standard restricted maximum likelihood empirical Bayes procedures. It is based on independent draws from the exact posterior distributions, unlike Gibbs sampling. The procedure is demonstrated for profiling hospitals based on patients' responses concerning p=2 types of problems (non-surgical and surgical). The frequency operating characteristics of the rule corresponding to a particular vague multivariate prior distribution are shown via simulation to achieve their nominal values in that setting.
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Lopiano, K. K., Smith, R. L., & Young, S. S. (2015) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1502.03062 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Exact bayesian inference for normal hierarchical models
Everson, P. J. (2001) · Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation · doi:10.1080/00949650108812068 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationNonparametric Bayesian analysis for multi-site hidden Markov model
Kim, D. H., Jo, A., & Kim, Y. (2016) · Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation · doi:10.1080/03610918.2015.1137592 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Geinitz, S., & Furrer, R. (2013) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1303.3390 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Fast and Exact Simulation of Multivariate Normal and Wishart Random Variables with Box ConstraintsPreprint
Koch, H., & Bopp, G. P. (2019) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1907.00057 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Posterior propriety of an objective prior for generalized hierarchical normal linear models
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COVARIANCE MATRICES AND SKEWNESS: MODELING AND APPLICATIONS IN FINANCE
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An analysis of the potential impact of various ozone regulatory standards on mortality
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Statistical estimation and changepoint detection methods in public health surveillance
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- Authors
- Everson, P. J., & Morris, C. N.
- Affiliations
- Swarthmore College (US)
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Everson, Philip J.
- Venue
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2000-07-01
- Volume
- 62
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 399-412
- ISSN
- 1369-7412 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-9868
- OpenAlex
- W1992951219
- Cited by
- 107
- References
- 28
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2024: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 9 · 2012: 11
- FWCI
- 3.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model (vor)
- Locations
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) (publishedVersion)
- Works - Scholarship, Research, & Creative Expression (Swarthmore College) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Harvard University
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
- Keywords
- two-level model, marginal posterior distributions, rejection sampling, empirical Bayes, posterior mean estimation, operating characteristics
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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