Cited by 107Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceMarkov Chains and Monte Carlo MethodsBayesian Methods and Mixture Models

Inference for Multivariate Normal Hierarchical Models

Everson, Philip J., Morris, Carl N.·2000·Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology

Abstract

Summary: This paper provides a new method and algorithm for making inferences about the parameters of a two-level multivariate normal hierarchical model. One has observed J p-dimensional vector outcomes, distributed at level 1 as multivariate normal with unknown mean vectors and with known covariance matrices. At level 2, the unknown mean vectors also have normal distributions, with common unknown covariance matrix A and with means depending on known covariates and on unknown regression coefficients. The algorithm samples independently from the marginal posterior distribution of A by using rejection procedures. Functions such as posterior means and covariances of the level 1 mean vectors and of the level 2 regression coefficient are estimated by averaging over posterior values calculated conditionally on each value of A drawn. This estimation accounts for the uncertainty in A, unlike standard restricted maximum likelihood empirical Bayes procedures. It is based on independent draws from the exact posterior distributions, unlike Gibbs sampling. The procedure is demonstrated for profiling hospitals based on patients' responses concerning p=2 types of problems (non-surgical and surgical). The frequency operating characteristics of the rule corresponding to a particular vague multivariate prior distribution are shown via simulation to achieve their nominal values in that setting.

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Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. Everson, P. (1995) Inference for multivariate normal hierarchical models. PhD Dissertation. Department of Statistics, Harvard University, Cambridge.
  2. Hox, J. (1998) Multilevel modeling in windows: a review of MLWin. Multilev Modllng Newslett., 10, no. 2, 2±5.

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Authors
Everson, P. J., & Morris, C. N.
Affiliations
  • Swarthmore College (US)
  • Harvard University (US)
Corresponding author
Everson, Philip J.
Venue
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
Published
2000-07-01
Volume
62
Issue
2
Pages
399-412
ISSN
  • 1369-7412 (ISSN-L)
  • 1467-9868
OpenAlex
W1992951219
Cited by
107
References
28
Citations by year
2025: 1 · 2024: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 9 · 2012: 11
FWCI
3.99
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) (publishedVersion)
  • Works - Scholarship, Research, & Creative Expression (Swarthmore College) (submittedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
Harvard University
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
Keywords
two-level model, marginal posterior distributions, rejection sampling, empirical Bayes, posterior mean estimation, operating characteristics

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