Cited by 2Crustacean biology and ecologySpecies Distribution and Climate ChangeEcology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies

Phylogenetically‐Informed Crayfish Conservation in the Face of Climate Change

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Pipins, Sebastian, Böhm, Monika, Bland, Lucie, Crandall, Keith A., Hossain, Md Anwar, Rosindell, James, Gumbs, Rikki·2026·Animal Conservation

Published version of a preprint

Abstract

Crayfish are an ancient clade of freshwater decapods that play vital and diverse ecological roles in the freshwater systems that they inhabit. One third of assessed crayfish species is threatened with extinction and 87% are highly sensitive to climate change. However, the extent to which the evolutionary history of crayfish is threatened, especially by climate change, remains unclear. To address this, we produced a phylogenetically informed species prioritisation for the conservation of crayfish and explored the consequences of projected climate change scenarios on crayfish phylogenetic diversity. We used the EDGE2 metric to highlight 70 priority species for conservation. Their combined threatened evolutionary history accounts for 40.7% of the expected phylogenetic diversity loss for all 673 crayfish. Of these priority species, 45.7% are vulnerable to climate change, with the majority (32 species) located in Australia. Under a high warming scenario, individual species that are more evolutionarily distinct are projected to be disproportionately affected. The extinction of climate change vulnerable species could cause the loss of up to 26.3% more phylogenetic diversity than the random expectation, equivalent to 409 million years of evolutionary history. Our results highlight the need to consider climate change effects on phylogenetic diversity to fully understand its impact on biodiversity. If actions were taken to avoid a worst‐case warming scenario in favour of an intermediate scenario, we could safeguard 251 million years of unique crayfish evolutionary history.

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Authors
Pipins, S., Böhm, M., Bland, L., Crandall, K. A., Hossain, M. A., Rosindell, J., & Gumbs, R.
Affiliations
  • Zoological Society of London (GB)
  • Deakin University (AU)
  • Smithsonian Institution (US)
  • School of BioSciences The University of Melbourne Parkville Victoria Australia
  • International Union for Conservation of Nature (United Kingdom) (GB)
Corresponding author
Pipins, Sebastian
Venue
Animal Conservation
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2026-02-19
Volume
29
Issue
3
Pages
274-284
ISSN
  • 1367-9430 (ISSN-L)
  • 1469-1795
OpenAlex
W7130555191
Cited by
2
References
71
Citations by year
2026: 2
FWCI
7.05
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Animal Conservation (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
Natural Environment Research Council (NE/S007415/1)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Crustacean biology and ecology
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
Keywords
crayfish, climate change, phylogenetic diversity, conservation prioritization, evolutionary distinctiveness, extinction risk, freshwater decapods, species prioritization, warming scenarios

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