The DOI matches its Crossref record; 144 of the 144 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Thermal biology of mosquito‐borne disease
Open accessAbstract
Mosquito‐borne diseases cause a major burden of disease worldwide. The vital rates of these ectothermic vectors and parasites respond strongly and nonlinearly to temperature and therefore to climate change. Here, we review how trait‐based approaches can synthesise and mechanistically predict the temperature dependence of transmission across vectors, pathogens, and environments. We present 11 pathogens transmitted by 15 different mosquito species – including globally important diseases like malaria, dengue, and Zika – synthesised from previously published studies. Transmission varied strongly and unimodally with temperature, peaking at 23–29ºC and declining to zero below 9–23ºC and above 32–38ºC. Different traits restricted transmission at low versus high temperatures, and temperature effects on transmission varied by both mosquito and parasite species. Temperate pathogens exhibit broader thermal ranges and cooler thermal minima and optima than tropical pathogens. Among tropical pathogens, malaria and Ross River virus had lower thermal optima (25–26ºC) while dengue and Zika viruses had the highest (29ºC) thermal optima. We expect warming to increase transmission below thermal optima but decrease transmission above optima. Key directions for future work include linking mechanistic models to field transmission, combining temperature effects with control measures, incorporating trait variation and temperature variation, and investigating climate adaptation and migration.
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Self-citationImpacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude
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Infectious disease in an era of global change
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Colón-González, F. J., Sewe, M. O., Tompkins, A. M., Sjödin, H., Casallas, A., Rocklöv, J., Caminade, C., & Lowe, R. (2021) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(21)00132-7 · Cited by 455
Amazon deforestation drives malaria transmission, and malaria burden reduces forest clearing
MacDonald, A. J., & Mordecai, E. A. (2019) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1905315116 · Cited by 250
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Self-citationShocket, M. S., Verwillow, A. B., Numazu, M. G., Slamani, H., Cohen, J. M., El Moustaid, F., Rohr, J., Johnson, L. R., & Mordecai, E. A. (2020) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.58511 · Cited by 192
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Metadata
- Authors
- Mordecai, E. A., Caldwell, J. M., Grossman, M. K., Lippi, C. A., Johnson, L. R., Neira, M., Rohr, J. R., Ryan, S. J., Savage, V., Shocket, M. S., Sippy, R., Stewart Ibarra, A. M., Thomas, M. B., & Villena, O.
- Venue
- Ecology Letters
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2019-07-08
- Volume
- 22
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 1690-1708
- ISSN
- 1461-023X (ISSN-L)
- 1461-0248
- OpenAlex
- W2961201202
- Cited by
- 746
- References
- 144
- FWCI
- 43.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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- Mordecai, E. A., Caldwell, J. M., Grossman, M. K., Lippi, C. A., Johnson, L. R., Neira, M., Rohr, J. R., Ryan, S. J., Savage, V., Shocket, M. S., Sippy, R., Stewart Ibarra, A. M., Thomas, M. B., & Villena, O. (2019). Thermal biology of mosquito‐borne disease. Ecology Letters. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13335
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