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Who likes it hot? A global analysis of the climatic, ecological, and evolutionary determinants of warming tolerance in ants
Abstract
Effects of climate warming on wild populations of organisms are expected to be greatest at higher latitudes, paralleling greater anticipated increases in temperature in these regions. Yet, these expectations assume that populations in different regions are equally susceptible to the effects of warming. This is unlikely to be the case. Here, we develop a series of predictive models for physiological thermal tolerances in ants based on current and future climates. We found that tropical ants have lower warming tolerances, a metric of susceptibility to climate warming, than temperate ants despite greater increases in temperature at higher latitudes. Using climatic, ecological and phylogenetic data, we refine our predictions of which ants (across all regions) were most susceptible to climate warming. We found that ants occupying warmer and more mesic forested habitats at lower elevations are the most physiologically susceptible to deleterious effects of climate warming. Phylogenetic history was also a strong indicator of physiological susceptibility. In short, we find that ants that live in the canopies of hot, tropical forest are the most at risk, globally, from climate warming. Unfortunately this is where many, perhaps most, ant and other species on Earth live.
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“Fourth, our analyses are in keeping with predictions of Deutsch et al. (5) that tropical insects should be especially vulnerable to climate warming, adding to field and laboratory studies over the past several years that have consistently supported the predicted sensitivity (8, 48–53).”
From Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web (2018) · cites this paper as [52]
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Sorted by citations
Huey, R. B., Kearney, M., Krockenberger, A. K., Holtum, J. A. M., Jess, M., & Williams, S. E. (2012) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0005 · Cited by 1,496
“These ectotherms may be additionally vulnerable because they have limited acclimatization capacities [72], low heat tolerance [68,78,184] and already live in environments that are warm relative to T o [6,47,68,123,185,186].”
BackgroundThermal-safety margins and the necessity of thermoregulatory behavior across latitude and elevation
Sunday, J. M., Bates, A. E., Kearney, M., Colwell, R. K., Dulvy, N. K., Longino, J. T., & Huey, R. B. (2014) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1316145111 · Cited by 1,296
“…analyses that predict large-scale patterns in the vulnerability of ectotherms to climate warming often invoke the concept of the “ thermal-safety margin ” (3 – 6), which measures the difference between a species ’ maximum tolerance to heat and the warm air temperatures it regularly experiences.”
InfluentialClimate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web
Lister, B. C., & Garcia, A. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1722477115 · Cited by 730
Kellermann, V., Overgaard, J., Hoffmann, A. A., Fløjgaard, C., Svenning, J., & Loeschcke, V. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1207553109 · Cited by 535
“Previous studies comparing upper thermal limits of species provided conflicting geographical differences in thermal safety margins, with some finding these to be smaller for species from tropical regions (10, 22, 23) and others finding species from temperate or dry environments to be closer to their thermal maxima (11…”
BackgroundHeat stress and the fitness consequences of climate change for terrestrial ectotherms
Kingsolver, J. G., Diamond, S. E., & Buckley, L. B. (2013) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.12145 · Cited by 478
“Several other recent analyses support the negative impacts of climate change for tropical ectotherms (Huey et al. 2009; Sinervo et al. 2010; Diamond et al. 2012; Bonebrake & Deutsch 2012; Thomas et al. 2012).”
ResultSelf-citationTolerance landscapes in thermal ecology
Rezende, E. L., Castañeda, L. E., & Santos, M. (2014) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.12268 · Cited by 429
“2 h are expected to differ 5 5 °C for an organism with z = 4 °C and 8 3 °C for z = 6 °C; hence, differences in assay duration might impact broad-scale comparative studies (Sunday, Bates & Dulvy 2011; Diamond et al. 2012; Hoffmann, Chown & Clusella-Trullas 2013; Ara ujo et al. 2013).”
BackgroundThermal adaptation generates a diversity of thermal limits in a rainforest ant community
Kaspari, M. E., Clay, N. A., Lucas, J. M., Yanoviak, S. P., & Kay, A. D. (2014) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.12750 · Cited by 337
“We used the protocols of Diamond and colleagues (e.g., Diamond et al., 2012b), which checked for body CTmax by rotating the tubes and checking for a righting response.”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialThe origin and maintenance of montane diversity: integrating evolutionary and ecological processes
Graham, C. H., Carnaval, A. C., Cadena, C. D., Zamudio, K. R., Roberts, T. E., Parra, J. L., McCain, C. M., Bowie, R. C. K., Moritz, C. C., Baines, S. B., et al. (2014) · Ecography · doi:10.1111/ecog.00578 · Cited by 282
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species' Responses to Climate Change
Buckley, L. B., & Kingsolver, J. G. (2012) · Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-110411-160516 · Cited by 270
“This is notable because ant species with higher critical thermal maxima were more abundant in experimental warming chambers (Diamond et al. 2012a).”
BackgroundInfluentialBuckley, L. B., & Huey, R. B. (2016) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13313 · Cited by 214
“For ants, we used the compilation of the Global Ant Bioinformatics database by Diamond et al. (2012) and plotted the number of ant genera within 10 ° bins.”
MethodTerrestrial insects and climate change: adaptive responses in key traits
Kellermann, V., & van Heerwaarden, B. (2019) · Physiological Entomology · doi:10.1111/phen.12282 · Cited by 211
“Estimates of upper thermal limits have been used to assess species’ climate change risk (Deutsch et al., 2008; Diamond et al., 2012; Kellermann et al., 2012b).”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialThe response of ants to climate change
Parr, C. L., & Bishop, T. R. (2022) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.16140 · Cited by 218
“…increases at low latitudes will not be as great as those experienced at high latitudes, tropical ants are considered more vulnerable because they generally have lower warming tolerance and already operate closer to their critical thermal limits than temperate ants (Diamond et al., 2012).”
InfluentialMutualism meltdown in insects: bacteria constrain thermal adaptation
Wernegreen, J. J. (2012) · Current Opinion in Microbiology · doi:10.1016/j.mib.2012.02.001 · Cited by 185
Grigg, J. W., & Buckley, L. B. (2013) · Biology Letters · doi:10.1098/rsbl.2012.1056 · Cited by 161
Ashcroft, M. B., & Gollan, J. R. (2013) · Agricultural and Forest Meteorology · doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2013.03.008 · Cited by 150
“The fact that warming tolerances differ between species in arid and forested environments (e.g. Diamond et al., 2012) is also likely to reflect the different biases between standardised observations and near-surface conditions in these environments, which will obscure any actual differences in…”
BackgroundDiamond, S. E., Nichols, L. M., McCoy, N., Hirsch, C., Pelini, S. L., Sanders, N. J., Ellison, A. M., Gotelli, N. J., & Dunn, R. R. (2012) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/11-2296.1 · Cited by 147
“…traits have been especially successful in predicting responses of individual species to climate change (Chown et al. 2004, Helmuth et al. 2005, Buckley 2008, Deutsch et al. 2008, Pörtner and Farrell 2008, Huey et al. 2009, Kearney and Porter 2009, Sinervo et al. 2010, Diamond et al. 2012).”
BackgroundSelf-citationBujan, J., Yanoviak, S. P., & Kaspari, M. E. (2016) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.2355 · Cited by 139
“Insect thermal sensitivity (Huey et al. 1991; Deutsch et al. 2008; Hurlbert et al. 2008; Diamond et al. 2012) and desiccation resistance are frequently studied independently (Hadley 1994; Chown 1993; Gibbs et al. 1997; Schilman et al. 2007) despite their potential to interact (Renault et al. 2005;…”
BackgroundAndrew, N. R., Hart, R. A. D. J., Jung, M., Hemmings, Z., & Terblanche, J. S. (2013) · Journal of Insect Physiology · doi:10.1016/j.jinsphys.2013.06.003 · Cited by 140
“While it is generally clear that different estimates of climate can influence these indices in profound ways (Clusella-Trullas et al., 2011; Diamond et al., 2012; Huey et al., 2009), few studies have considered microclimatic data at ecologically relevant times or spatial scales for ants (e.g.…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialDiamond, S. E., Chick, L. D., Perez, A., Strickler, S. A., & Martin, R. A. (2018) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2018.0036 · Cited by 131
Self-citationPincebourde, S., & Casas, J. (2014) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/14-0744.1 · Cited by 121
“Recently, these data were used to infer the warming tolerance of ectotherms across latitudes, typically by taking the difference between thermal limits and macroclimate temperatures (Deutsch et al. 2008, Diamond et al. 2012, Sunday et al. 2012, Kingsolver et al. 2013).”
BackgroundBishop, T. R., Robertson, M. P., van Rensburg, B. J., & Parr, C. L. (2016) · Ecological Entomology · doi:10.1111/een.12364 · Cited by 119
“This is in contrast to Diamond et al. (2012), who found small, but significant, phylogenetic signal in CTmax for ants in their global dataset.”
BackgroundResultInfluentialSpecies traits and phylogenetic conservatism of climate-induced range shifts in stream fishes
Comte, L., Murienne, J., & Grenouillet, G. (2014) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms6053 · Cited by 128
Ribeiro‐Neto, J. D., Arnán, X., Tabarelli, M., & Leal, I. R. (2016) · Biodiversity and Conservation · doi:10.1007/s10531-016-1099-5 · Cited by 115
Response diversity of wild bees to overwintering temperatures
Fründ, J., Bluhm, S. L., & Tscharntke, T. (2013) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/s00442-013-2729-1 · Cited by 114
Ant Thermal Tolerance: A Review of Methods, Hypotheses, and Sources of Variation
Roeder, K. A., Roeder, D. V., & Bujan, J. (2021) · Annals of the Entomological Society of America · doi:10.1093/aesa/saab018 · Cited by 106
The direct and indirect effects of extreme climate events on insects
Filazzola, A., Matter, S. F., & MacIvor, J. S. (2021) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145161 · Cited by 104
Responses of arthropod populations to warming depend on latitude: evidence from urban heat islands
Youngsteadt, E., Ernst, A. F., Dunn, R. R., & Frank, S. D. (2016) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13550 · Cited by 93
“Global-scale studies demonstrate that, while climate does vary with latitude, ectotherms’ physiological heat tolerance (measured as the temperature that causes loss of mobility or death) varies much less (Sunday et al., 2011; Diamond et al., 2012b).”
BackgroundInfluentialSelf-citationForaging by forest ants under experimental climatic warming: a test at two sites
Stuble, K. L., Pelini, S. L., Diamond, S. E., Fowler, D. A., Dunn, R. R., & Sanders, N. J. (2013) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.473 · Cited by 99
“…tropical species typically occur at temperatures that are closer to their critical thermal maxima than do temperate species, making them more susceptible to the detrimental effects of warming (Deutsch et al. 2008; Tewksbury et al. 2008; Kingsolver 2009; Diamond et al. 2012a; Huey et al. 2012).”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citationSeasonal plasticity of thermal tolerance in ants
Bujan, J., Roeder, K. A., Yanoviak, S. P., & Kaspari, M. E. (2020) · Ecology · doi:10.1002/ecy.3051 · Cited by 95
“Every 10 minutes, each tube was inspected and rotated to determine if the ant had lost muscle control, i.e., loss of a righting response (as in Diamond et al. 2012).”
Does Plasticity Trade Off With Basal Heat Tolerance?
van Heerwaarden, B., & Kellermann, V. (2020) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2020.05.006 · Cited by 92
Widespread range expansions shape latitudinal variation in insect thermal limits
Lancaster, L. T. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2945 · Cited by 92
Penick, C. A., Diamond, S. E., Sanders, N. J., & Dunn, R. R. (2016) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.12818 · Cited by 91
“Foragers of A. rudis have a relatively low CTmax and are active at cooler temperatures, while foragers of T. curvispinosus have a rela- tively high CTmax and are active at warmer temperatures (Diamond et al. 2012a; Pelini et al. 2012; Stuble et al. 2013a).”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citationThermal tolerance and climate warming sensitivity in tropical snails
Marshall, D. J., Rezende, E. L., Baharuddin, N., Choi, F. M. P., & Helmuth, B. S. T. (2015) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.1785 · Cited by 87
“…the warmest 3 months of the year, and the mean temperature during the three warmest months of the year, have been compared against physiological limits to estimate resilience to climate change (Deutsch et al. 2008; Huey et al. 2009; Diamond et al. 2012; Kellermann et al. 2012; Logan et al. 2013).”
BackgroundSchou, M. F., Kristensen, T. N., Kellermann, V., Schlötterer, C., & Loeschcke, V. (2014) · Journal of Evolutionary Biology · doi:10.1111/jeb.12436 · Cited by 86
Elevational and microclimatic drivers of thermal tolerance in Andean Pristimantis frogs
Pintanel, P., Tejedo, M., Ron, S. R., Llorente, G. A., & Merino‐Viteri, A. (2019) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/jbi.13596 · Cited by 83
Tracing the Rise of Ants - Out of the Ground
Lucky, A., Trautwein, M., Guénard, B., Weiser, M. D., & Dunn, R. R. (2013) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0084012 · Cited by 82
“In assigning taxa to biomes, we used current biome as an approximation of the physiological tolerance of lineages [25].”
MethodSelf-citationSchou, M. F., Mouridsen, M. B., Sørensen, J. G., & Loeschcke, V. (2016) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.12782 · Cited by 78
Kellermann, V., van Heerwaarden, B., & Sgrò, C. M. (2017) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2017.0447 · Cited by 83
“Studies that seek to characterize thermal limits and thermal plasticity on non-model organisms predominately use estimates of thermal limits (generally measured as CTmax) from field individuals [2,5,7,28,43,44], even though thermal tolerances are highly plastic [11].”
BackgroundBasal resistance enhances warming tolerance of alien over indigenous species across latitude
Janion‐Scheepers, C., Phillips, L., Sgrò, C. M., Duffy, G. A., Hallas, R., & Chown, S. L. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1715598115 · Cited by 82
“In the springtail species investigated here, warming tolerance—a widely used measure of thermal safety margins—or capability to cope with elevated temperatures (17, 18, 35, 36), and calculated as the difference between maximum microhabitat temperature and CTmax, shows just such variation.”
BackgroundThe Vulnerability of Tropical Ectotherms to Warming Is Modulated by the Microclimatic Heterogeneity
Pincebourde, S., & Suppo, C. (2016) · Integrative and Comparative Biology · doi:10.1093/icb/icw014 · Cited by 82
Extreme Insolation: Climatic Variation Shapes the Evolution of Thermal Tolerance at Multiple Scales
Baudier, K. M., D’Amelio, C. L., Malhotra, R., O’Connor, M. P., & O’Donnell, S. (2018) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/698656 · Cited by 81
“In our analyses we accounted for two potentially important covariates of thermal tolerance: ant worker body size (Ribeiro et al. 2012) and phylogeny (Felsenstein 1985; Diamond et al. 2012b).”
BackgroundMethodInfluence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment
Ofori, B. Y., Stow, A., Baumgartner, J. B., & Beaumont, L. J. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-017-13245-y · Cited by 82
Nutrition modifies critical thermal maximum of a dominant canopy ant
Bujan, J., & Kaspari, M. E. (2017) · Journal of Insect Physiology · doi:10.1016/j.jinsphys.2017.08.007 · Cited by 72
Urban heat islands advance the timing of reproduction in a social insect
Chick, L. D., Strickler, S. A., Perez, A., Martin, R. A., & Diamond, S. E. (2019) · Journal of Thermal Biology · doi:10.1016/j.jtherbio.2019.01.004 · Cited by 72
Self-citationPollock, H. S., Brawn, J. D., & Cheviron, Z. A. (2020) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.13693 · Cited by 76
“…and have narrower thermal safety margins (i.e. are more likely to experience air temperatures that are closer to the limits of their heat tolerances) than their temperate counterparts (Deutsch et al., 2008; Diamond et al., 2012; Duarte et al., 2012; Huey et al., 2009, 2012; Vinagre et al., 2016).”
Andersen, A. N., Toro, I. D., & Parr, C. L. (2015) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/jbi.12599 · Cited by 69
“Temperature is a key factor controlling ant distributions (Andersen, 1995; Kaspari et al., 2004; Chaladze, 2012; Diamond et al., 2012; Bishop et al., 2014), and ant diversity declines with increasing latitude (Dunn et al., 2009).”
BackgroundSelf-citationAllen, J. L., Chown, S. L., Janion‐Scheepers, C., & Clusella‐Trullas, S. (2016) · Conservation Physiology · doi:10.1093/conphys/cow053 · Cited by 72
“, 2008) as a proxy for species vulnerability to climate change; and (ii) indications that tropical and sub-tropical species may be substantially more at risk from rising temperatures than their temperate counterparts, although with some complexity about this pattern and the assumptions made to derive it (Deutsch et al…”
BackgroundCurtis, E. M., Gollan, J. R., Murray, B. R., & Leigh, A. (2016) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/jbi.12713 · Cited by 69
“1) (Deutsch et al., 2008; Huey et al., 2009; Diamond et al., 2012; Hoffmann et al., 2013).”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialBujan, J., Roeder, K. A., de Beurs, K. M., Weiser, M. D., & Kaspari, M. E. (2020) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/geb.13121 · Cited by 67
“We used an established protocol for measuring ant CT max (Diamond et al., 2012; Kaspari, Clay, Lucas, Yanoviak, & Kay, 2015) in which the workers are inspected every 10 min for movement, and the temperature is raised 2°C, starting at 36°C.”
MethodDiamond, S. E. (2016) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1111/nyas.13223 · Cited by 68
Self-citationShah, A. A., Woods, H. A., Havird, J. C., Encalada, A. C., Flecker, A. S., Funk, W. C., Guayasamin, J. M., Kondratieff, B. C., Poff, N. L., Thomas, S. A., et al. (2020) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.15400 · Cited by 74
Thermal constraints on foraging of tropical canopy ants
Spicer, M. E., Stark, A. Y., Adams, B. J., Kneale, R. C., Kaspari, M. E., & Yanoviak, S. P. (2017) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/s00442-017-3825-4 · Cited by 67
Johansson, F., Orizaola, G., & Nilsson‐Örtman, V. (2020) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-65608-7 · Cited by 73
Critical thermal limits in ants and their implications under climate change
Nascimento, G., Câmara, T., & Arnán, X. (2022) · Biological reviews/Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · doi:10.1111/brv.12843 · Cited by 62
Esperk, T., Kjærsgaard, A., Walters, R. J., Berger, D., & Blanckenhorn, W. U. (2016) · Journal of Evolutionary Biology · doi:10.1111/jeb.12832 · Cited by 60
“…margins (the difference between mean ambient temperature and optimal temperature for a given species), tropical species are more vulnerable to current climate change than species living at higher latitudes (Deutsch et al., 2008; Huey et al., 2009, 2012; Sunday et al., 2011; Diamond et al., 2012).”
BackgroundNowrouzi, S., Andersen, A. N., Macfadyen, S., Staunton, K. M., VanDerWal, J. J., & Robson, S. K. A. (2016) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0153420 · Cited by 60
“Compared with temperate regions, tropical species often have narrower elevational ranges because of greater climatic change with elevation and narrower thermal tolerances [12, 13].”
BackgroundVariation in thermal tolerance of North American ants
Verble-Pearson, R., Gifford, M. E., & Yanoviak, S. P. (2014) · Journal of Thermal Biology · doi:10.1016/j.jtherbio.2014.12.006 · Cited by 59
“Climate change is altering the thermal profiles of habitats currently occupied by many plant and animal species (Sinervo et al., 2010; Diamond et al., 2012).”
InfluentialSchou, M. F., Kristensen, T. N., Pedersen, A., Karlsson, G., Loeschcke, V., & Malmendal, A. (2016) · American Journal of Physiology-Regulatory, Integrative and Comparative Physiology · doi:10.1152/ajpregu.00268.2016 · Cited by 56
“THE THERMAL ENVIRONMENT is central for the abundance and distribution of ectotherms and much attention has been directed toward the potential of ectotherms to adapt to current and future thermal conditions (2, 15, 16, 20, 22, 42).”
Rate dynamics of ectotherm responses to thermal stress
Kovacevic, A., Latombe, G., & Chown, S. L. (2019) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2019.0174 · Cited by 55
How does climate change affect social insects?
Menzel, F., & Feldmeyer, B. (2021) · Current Opinion in Insect Science · doi:10.1016/j.cois.2021.01.005 · Cited by 58
Asymmetry of thermal sensitivity and the thermal risk of climate change
Buckley, L. B., Huey, R. B., & Kingsolver, J. G. (2022) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/geb.13570 · Cited by 61
Diamond, S. E., & Chick, L. D. (2017) · Current Zoology · doi:10.1093/cz/zox072 · Cited by 56
“…species, lower thermal tolerances appear to track latitudinal variation in climate more strongly than upper thermal tolerances (Sunday et al. 2011), and upper tolerances are frequently characterized by high levels of phylogenetic conservatism (Diamond et al. 2012; Kellermann et al. 2012).”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialSelf-citationThermal adaptation and phosphorus shape thermal performance in an assemblage of rainforest ants
Kaspari, M. E., Clay, N. A., Lucas, J. M., Revzen, S., Kay, A. D., & Yanoviak, S. P. (2015) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/15-1225.1 · Cited by 55
Strong Costs and Benefits of Winter Acclimatization in Drosophila melanogaster
Schou, M. F., Loeschcke, V., & Kristensen, T. N. (2015) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0130307 · Cited by 49
Chen, Y.-H., & Robinson, E. J. H. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0116113 · Cited by 48
“For ants, some species-level studies have asserted the negative impacts on physiology or behaviours from climate change [40–42]; others have revealed its promotive role on the expansion of species distribution, especially for invasive species [43–48].”
BackgroundHigh Heat Tolerance Is Negatively Correlated with Heat Tolerance Plasticity in Nudibranch Mollusks
Armstrong, E. J., Tanner, R. L., & Stillman, J. H. (2019) · Physiological and Biochemical Zoology · doi:10.1086/704519 · Cited by 48
Klinges, D. H., & Scheffers, B. R. (2020) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/711873 · Cited by 47
“…2000; Parmesan and Yohe 2003; Evans et al. 2005), fewer attempts have been made to integrate knowledge of such vertically stratified microclimates into biogeographical theory pertinent to landscape and global scales (but see Diamond et al. 2012; Scheffers et al. 2017b; Oliveira and Scheffers 2018).”
BackgroundClimate sensitivity across latitude: scaling physiology to communities
Louthan, A. M., DeMarche, M. L., & Shoemaker, L. G. (2021) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2021.05.008 · Cited by 45
Nguyen, A., DeNovellis, K., Resendez, S. D., Pustilnik, J. D., Gotelli, N. J., Parker, J. D., & Cahan, S. H. (2017) · Journal of Comparative Physiology B · doi:10.1007/s00360-017-1101-x · Cited by 46
Thermal acclimation and adaptation across populations in a broadly distributed soil arthropod
Jensen, A., Alemu, T., Alemneh, T., Pertoldi, C., & Bahrndorff, S. (2019) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.13291 · Cited by 47
Activity niches outperform thermal physiological limits in predicting global ant distributions
Guo, F., Guénard, B., Economo, E. P., Deutsch, C. A., & Bonebrake, T. C. (2020) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/jbi.13799 · Cited by 47
Geographical bias in physiological data limits predictions of global change impacts
White, C. R., Marshall, D. J., Chown, S. L., Clusella‐Trullas, S., Portugal, S. J., Franklin, C. E., & Seebacher, F. (2021) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.13807 · Cited by 45
Ant-mediated seed dispersal in a warmed world
Stuble, K. L., Patterson, C. M., Rodríguez‐Cabal, M. A., Ribbons, R. R., Dunn, R. R., & Sanders, N. J. (2014) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.286 · Cited by 42
Self-citationCoulin, C., de la Vega, G., Chifflet, L., Calcaterra, L. A., & Schilman, P. E. (2019) · Biological Invasions · doi:10.1007/s10530-019-02063-0 · Cited by 42
Using Physiology to Predict the Responses of Ants to Climatic Warming
Diamond, S. E., Penick, C. A., Pelini, S. L., Ellison, A. M., Gotelli, N. J., Sanders, N. J., & Dunn, R. R. (2013) · Integrative and Comparative Biology · doi:10.1093/icb/ict085 · Cited by 41
“Ants and several other ectothermic taxa are likely to be more vulnerable to climatic change in the tropics compared with more temperate regions (Deutsch et al. 2008; Huey et al. 2009; Diamond et al. 2012a; but see Walters et al. 2012).”
BackgroundResultInfluentialSelf-citationAgosta, S. J., Joshi, K. A., & Kester, K. M. (2018) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0198803 · Cited by 41
Leong, C., Tsang, T. P. N., & Guénard, B. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0265361 · Cited by 41
“There has been an increasing interest the forecasting of species’ tolerances to warming environments based on their CTmax [19, 45].”
BackgroundRoeder, K. A., Bujan, J., de Beurs, K. M., Weiser, M. D., & Kaspari, M. E. (2021) · Ecosphere · doi:10.1002/ecs2.3645 · Cited by 42
“We posit the lack of signal is partially due to reduced sample size — 28 genera compared to 40 genera in Bujan et al. (2020 a ) and 156 species in Diamond et al. (2012) — which parallels a similar result observed in communities of montane ants in southern Africa (Bishop et al. 2017).”
BackgroundAnt nest architecture is shaped by local adaptation and plastic response to temperature
Sankovitz, M., & Purcell, J. (2021) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-02491-w · Cited by 40
Arnán, X., & Blüthgen, N. (2015) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/geb.12363 · Cited by 38
da Costa, F. V., Blüthgen, N., Junior, A. B. V., Guerra, T. J., Braga, L. D. S., & Neves, F. S. (2018) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.05.001 · Cited by 38
Diamond, S. E., & Chick, L. D. (2017) · Ecography · doi:10.1111/ecog.03264 · Cited by 37
Self-citationThermal tolerance regulates foraging behaviour of ants
Roeder, D. V., Paraskevopoulos, A. W., & Roeder, K. A. (2022) · Ecological Entomology · doi:10.1111/een.13118 · Cited by 37
“(USA Scientific) prewarmed to 36 C and checked ants every 10 min to see if they had reached their critical thermal limit by rotating the vials and looking for a righting response (Diamond et al., 2012; Kaspari et al., 2015).”
Leal, I. R., Ribeiro‐Neto, J. D., Arnán, X., Oliveira, F. M. P., Arcoverde, G. B., Feitosa, R. M., & Andersen, A. N. (2017) · Caatinga · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-68339-3_3 · Cited by 36
Thermal limits in the face of infectious disease: How important are pathogens?
Hector, T. E., Sgrò, C. M., & Hall, M. D. (2021) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.15761 · Cited by 36
“…insight from studies exploring thermal safety margins, especially interspecific analyses of upper thermal limits across large geographic ranges, is that some populations and species have far narrower thermal safety margins than others (Diamond et al., 2011; Hoffmann, 2010; Kingsolver et al., 2013).”
BackgroundProjected changes in climatic suitability for Kinosternon turtles by 2050 and 2070
Butler, C. J., Stanila, B. D., Iverson, J. B., Stone, P. A., & Bryson, M. (2016) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.2492 · Cited by 35
“Turtles, and other ectotherms, are thought to be particularly sensitive to climate changes (Barrows, 2011; Diamond et al., 2012; Duarte et al., 2012; Gibbons et al., 2000; McCoy et al., 2011; Rödder et al., F IGURE 11 A map showing the output from the model runs for Kinosternon subrubrum.”
MethodBlatrix, R., Colin, T., Wegnez, P., Galkowski, C., & Géniez, P. (2018) · Annales de la Société entomologique de France (N S ) · doi:10.1080/00379271.2018.1490927 · Cited by 35
“Tropical ants have narrower temperature ranges than ants from temperate climates (Diamond et al. 2012), which limits the invasiveness of these species in France and Belgium.”
BackgroundCahan, S. H., Nguyen, A., Stanton‐Geddes, J., Penick, C. A., Hernáiz-Hernández, Y., Demarco, B., & Gotelli, N. J. (2016) · Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology Part A Molecular & Integrative Physiology · doi:10.1016/j.cbpa.2016.11.017 · Cited by 34
Pelini, S. L., Diamond, S. E., Nichols, L. M., Stuble, K. L., Ellison, A. M., Sanders, N. J., Dunn, R. R., & Gotelli, N. J. (2014) · Ecosphere · doi:10.1890/es14-00143.1 · Cited by 32
“…et al. 2000, Sanders et al. 2007, Dunn et al. 2009, Pelini et al. 2011a), colony survival (Pelini et al. 2012), worker density (Pelini et al. 2011a, Diamond et al. 2012a), foraging behavior (Ruano et al. 2000, Pelini et al. 2011a, Stuble et al. 2013), and competitive interactions (Cerda et al.…”
BackgroundInfluentialSelf-citationKristensen, T. N., Henningsen, A. K., Aastrup, C., Bech‐Hansen, M., Bjerre, L. B. H., Carlsen, B., Hagstrup, M., Jensen, S. G., Karlsen, P., Kristensen, L., et al. (2015) · Insect Science · doi:10.1111/1744-7917.12239 · Cited by 36
“CTmax is an important predictor of field heat resistance and small differences may have major impact on the distribution of ectotherms in nature (Sunday et al., 2011; Diamond et al., 2012).”
BackgroundGeographic divergence in upper thermal limits across insect life stages: does behavior matter?
MacLean, H. J., Higgins, J. K., Buckley, L. B., & Kingsolver, J. G. (2016) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/s00442-016-3561-1 · Cited by 33
Kaspari, M. E., Bujan, J., Roeder, K. A., de Beurs, K. M., & Weiser, M. D. (2019) · Ecology · doi:10.1002/ecy.2888 · Cited by 29
Senior, V. L., Evans, L. C., Leather, S. R., Oliver, T. H., & Evans, K. L. (2020) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.15015 · Cited by 33
“This is perhaps expected given that most temperate insect species, especially those in closed (rather than open) habitats experience temperatures that are well within their thermal limits (Deutch et al. 2008; Diamond et al. 2012; Sunday 2014).”
BackgroundDoes social thermal regulation constrain individual thermal tolerance in an ant species?
Villalta, I., Oms, C. S., Angulo, E., Molinas‐González, C. R., Devers, S., Cerdá, X., & Boulay, R. (2020) · Journal of Animal Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2656.13268 · Cited by 34
Evolution is a double‐edged sword, not a silver bullet, to confront global change
Diamond, S. E., & Martin, R. A. (2020) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1111/nyas.14410 · Cited by 35
Self-citationQueiroz, A. C. M., Marques, T., Ribas, C. R., Cornelissen, T., Nogueira, A., Schmidt, F. A., Feitosa, R. M., Sobrinho, T. G., Quinet, Y., Baccaro, F. B., et al. (2022) · Biotropica · doi:10.1111/btp.13158 · Cited by 32
“These climatic filters affect different facets of ant assemblages, including ant activity, distribution, and diversity, because ant species exhibit specific tolerance limits (Barrow & Parr, 2008; Diamond et al., 2012).”
BackgroundScale‐dependent thermal tolerance variation in Australian mountain grasshoppers
Slatyer, R., Nash, M., & Hoffmann, A. A. (2015) · Ecography · doi:10.1111/ecog.01616 · Cited by 32
Nowrouzi, S., Andersen, A. N., Bishop, T. R., & Robson, S. K. A. (2018) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/s00442-018-4154-y · Cited by 32
Warming effects on leaf nutrients and plant growth in tropical forests
Wu, T., Qu, C., Li, Y., Li, X., Zhou, G., Liu, S., Chu, G., Meng, Z., Lie, Z., & Liu, J. (2019) · Plant Ecology · doi:10.1007/s11258-019-00943-y · Cited by 31
Arnán, X., Blüthgen, N., Molowny‐Horas, R., & Retana, J. (2015) · Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.3389/fevo.2015.00138 · Cited by 32
“, 2009 ; Diamond et al .”
Metadata
- Authors
- Diamond, S. E., Sorger, D. M., Hulcr, J., Pelini, S. L., Toro, I. D., Hirsch, C., Oberg, E., & Dunn, R. R.
- Affiliations
- North Carolina State University (US)
- Department of Biology North Carolina State University Raleigh NC 27695‐7617 USA
- Harvard University (US)
- University of Massachusetts Amherst (US)
- Texas A&M University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Diamond, Sarah E.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Global Change Biology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2011-10-09
- Volume
- 18
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 448-456
- ISSN
- 1354-1013 (ISSN-L)
- 1365-2486
- OpenAlex
- W2141603736
- Cited by
- 259
- References
- 52
- Citations by year
- 2026: 24 · 2025: 17 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 20 · 2020: 24 · 2019: 20 · 2018: 18 · 2017: 12 · 2016: 22 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 20 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 8
- FWCI
- 11.30
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Global Change Biology (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Energy
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Physiological and biochemical adaptations
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Insect Science › Insect and Arachnid Ecology and Behavior
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Keywords
- ants, warming tolerance, heat tolerance, global warming, latitudinal gradient, tropical forest canopy, habitat moisture, altitude, phylogeny, climate change vulnerability
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