The DOI matches its Crossref record; 7 of the 7 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Assessing the threat to montane biodiversity from discordant shifts in temperature and precipitation in a changing climate: Climate change risk for montane vertebrates
Abstract
Mountains are centres of global biodiversity, endemism and threatened species. Elevational gradients present opportunities for species currently living near their upper thermal limits to track cooler temperatures upslope in warming climates, but only if changes in precipitation are sufficiently in step with temperature. We model local population extirpation risk for a range of temperature and precipitation scenarios over the next 100 years for 16 848 vertebrate species populations distributed along 156 elevational gradients. Average population extirpation risks due to warming alone were < 5%, but increased 10-fold, on average, when changes in precipitation were also considered. Under the driest scenarios (minimum predicted precipitation), local extirpation risks increased sharply (50-60%) and were especially worrisome for hydrophilic amphibians and montane Latin America (c. 80%). Realistic assessment of risks urgently requires improved monitoring of precipitation, better regional precipitation models and more research on the effects of changes in precipitation on montane distributions.
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Cites
Pearson, R. G., & Dawson, T. P. (2003) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1046/j.1466-822x.2003.00042.x · Cited by 4,252
Impacts of climate warming on terrestrial ectotherms across latitude
Deutsch, C. A., Tewksbury, J. J., Huey, R. B., Sheldon, K. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Haak, D. C., & Martin, P. R. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0709472105 · Cited by 3,840
Widespread amphibian extinctions from epidemic disease driven by global warming
Alan Pounds, J., Bustamante, M. R., Coloma, L. A., Consuegra, J. A., Fogden, M. P. L., Foster, P. N., La Marca, E., Masters, K. L., Merino-Viteri, A., Puschendorf, R., et al. (2006) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature04246 · Cited by 1,960
Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain
Pounds, J. A., Fogden, M. P. L., & Campbell, J. H. (1999) · Nature · doi:10.1038/19297 · Cited by 1,429
Global Warming, Elevational Range Shifts, and Lowland Biotic Attrition in the Wet Tropics
Colwell, R. K., Brehm, G., Cardelús, C. L., Gilman, A. C., & Longino, J. T. (2008) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1162547 · Cited by 1,375
Self-citationGlobal analysis of thermal tolerance and latitude in ectotherms
Sunday, J. M., Bates, A. E., & Dulvy, N. K. (2011) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2010.1295 · Cited by 1,300
Global distribution and conservation of rare and threatened vertebrates
Grenyer, R., Orme, C. D. L., Jackson, S. F., Thomas, G. H., Davies, R. G., Davies, T. J., Jones, K. E., Olson, V. A., Ridgely, R. S., Rasmussen, P. C., et al. (2006) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature05237 · Cited by 569
Cited by
Thermal tolerance and the global redistribution of animals
Sunday, J. M., Bates, A. E., & Dulvy, N. K. (2012) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1539 · Cited by 1,585
The Role of Mountain Ranges in the Diversification of Birds
Fjeldså, J., Bowie, R. C. K., & Rahbek, C. (2012) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102710-145113 · Cited by 420
Trisos, C. H., Amatulli, G., Gurevitch, J., Robock, A., Xia, L., & Zambri, B. (2018) · Nature Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1038/s41559-017-0431-0 · Cited by 157
Lozier, J. D., Strange, J. P., & Koch, J. B. (2013) · Conservation Genetics · doi:10.1007/s10592-013-0498-3 · Cited by 61
Metadata
- Authors
- McCain, C. M., & Colwell, R. K.
- Venue
- Ecology Letters
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2011-10-09
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1236-1245
- ISSN
- 1461-023X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2154280034
- Cited by
- 291
- References
- 7
- FWCI
- 9.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- McCain, C. M., & Colwell, R. K. (2011). Assessing the threat to montane biodiversity from discordant shifts in temperature and precipitation in a changing climate: Climate change risk for montane vertebrates. Ecology Letters. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01695.x
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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