Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplantation (SOFT) Score: A Novel Method to Predict Patient Survival Following Liver Transplantation
Open accessAbstract
It is critical to balance waitlist mortality against posttransplant mortality. Our objective was to devise a scoring system that predicts recipient survival at 3 months following liver transplantation to complement MELD-predicted waitlist mortality. Univariate and multivariate analysis on 21,673 liver transplant recipients identified independent recipient and donor risk factors for posttransplant mortality. A retrospective analysis conducted on 30,321 waitlisted candidates reevaluated the predictive ability of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. We identified 13 recipient factors, 4 donor factors and 2 operative factors (warm and cold ischemia) as significant predictors of recipient mortality following liver transplantation at 3 months. The Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplant (SOFT) Score utilized 18 risk factors (excluding warm ischemia) to successfully predict 3-month recipient survival following liver transplantation. This analysis represents a study of waitlisted candidates and transplant recipients of liver allografts after the MELD score was implemented. Unlike MELD, the SOFT score can accurately predict 3-month survival following liver transplantation. The most significant risk factors were previous transplantation and life support pretransplant. The SOFT score can help clinicians determine in real time which candidates should be transplanted with which allografts. Combined with MELD, SOFT can better quantify survival benefit for individual transplant procedures.
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Rana and coworkers developed the SOFT score that integrates recipient and donor characteristics to predict liver transplant 3-month prognosis.
“Similarly, Rana and coworkers used the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN)/Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) data to develop the Survival Outcome Following Liver Transplant (SOFT) score that integrates recipient and donor characteristics to predict liver transplant 3-month prognosis (13).”
From Artificial Intelligence: Present and Future Potential for Solid Organ Transplantation (2022) · cites this paper as [13]
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Briceño, J., Cruz-Ramírez, M., Prieto, M., Navasa, M., Ortiz de Urbina, J., Orti, R., Gómez-Bravo, M.-Á., Otero, A., Varo, E., Tomé, S., et al. (2014) · Journal of Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.jhep.2014.05.039 · Cited by 152 · see citing works
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Artificial Intelligence: Present and Future Potential for Solid Organ Transplantation
Peloso, A., Moeckli, B., Delaune, V., Oldani, G., Andres, A., & Compagnon, P. (2022) · Transplant International · doi:10.3389/ti.2022.10640 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
- Authors
- Rana, A., Hardy, M. A., Halazun, K. J., Woodland, D. C., Ratner, L. E., Samstein, B., Guarrera, J. V., Brown, R. S., & Emond, J. C.
- Affiliations
- Columbia University Irving Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Rana, A.
- Venue
- American Journal of Transplantation
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2008-12
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 2537-2546
- ISSN
- 1600-6135 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1979066818
- Cited by
- 459
- References
- 12
- Citations by year
- 2026: 22 · 2025: 20 · 2024: 30 · 2023: 27 · 2022: 40 · 2021: 27 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 35 · 2018: 34 · 2017: 29 · 2016: 28 · 2015: 24 · 2014: 26 · 2013: 34 · 2012: 18
- FWCI
- 11.62
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- American Journal of Transplantation (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- Health Resources and Services Administration
- U.S. Public Health Service (231-00-0115)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (T32HL07854-11, T32HL007854)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Organ Transplantation Techniques and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Liver Disease and Transplantation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Transplantation: Methods and Outcomes
- Keywords
- liver transplantation, post-transplant mortality, survival prediction, MELD score, waitlist mortality, risk factors, donor risk factors, recipient risk factors, cold ischemia, warm ischemia, transplant candidate selection
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Decision Support Techniques, Female, Humans, Liver Diseases, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Theoretical, Prognosis, Retrospective Studies, Waiting Lists, Multivariate Analysis, Survival Analysis, Liver Transplantation, Treatment Outcome, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Endpoint Determination, Warm Ischemia, Kaplan-Meier Estimate
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