Cited by 673Climate variability and modelsClimate Change and Health ImpactsClimate Change and Environmental Impact

Deadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia

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Im, Eun-Soon, Pal, Jeremy S., Eltahir, Elfatih A. B.·2017·Science Advances

Abstract

Climate change poses a deadly heat wave risk to South Asia due to population density, poverty, and outdoor working conditions.

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Crossref · 10.1126/sciadv.1603322

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  • A 2017 model suggested that extremes of wet-bulb temperature in South Asia, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP 8.5) scenario, are expected to approach or exceed the critical temperature of 35 °C (95 °F), considered an upper limit of human survivability.

    “A 2017 model suggested that extremes of wet-bulb temperature in South Asia, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP 8.5) scenario, are expected to approach or exceed the critical temperature of 35 °C (95 °F), considered an upper limit of human survivability [87].”

    From Climate Change, Migration, and Civil Strife. (2020) · cites this paper as [87]

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Research works printed but not linked: 3

  1. [4]K. R. Smith, A. Woodward, D. Campbell-Lendrum, D. D. Chadee, Y. Honda, Q. Liu, J. Olwoch, B. Revich, R. Sauerborn, Human health: Impacts, adaptation, and co-benefits, in Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, C. B. Field, V. R. Barros, D. J. Dokken, K. J. Mach, M. D. Mastrandrea, T. E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K. L. Ebi, Y. O. Estrada, R. C. Genova, B. Girma, E. S. Kissel, A. N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P. R. Mastrandrea, L. L. White, Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014), pp. 709–754.
  2. [11]K. R. Smith, A. Woodward, D. Campbell-Lendrum, D. D. Chadee, Y. Honda, Q. Liu, J. M. Olwoch, B. Revich, R. Sauerborn, Human health: Impacts, adaptation, and co-benefits, in Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change, C. B. Field, V. R. Barros, D. J. Dokken, K. J. Mach, M. D. Mastrandrea, T. E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K. L. Ebi, Y. O. Estrada, R. C. Genova, B. Girma, E. R. Kissel, A. N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P. R. Mastrandrea, L. L. White, Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014), pp. 709–754.
  3. [22]Disasters in Asia and the Pacific: 2015 Year in Review (United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, 2016); www.unescap.org/sites/default/files/2015_Year%20in%20Review_final_PDF_1.pdf.

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Authors
Im, E.-S., Pal, J. S., & Eltahir, E. A. B.
Affiliations
  • Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HK)
  • Loyola Marymount University (US)
  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
Corresponding author
  • Im, Eun-Soon
  • Pal, Jeremy S.
  • Eltahir, Elfatih A. B.
Venue
Science Advances
Published
2017-08-04
Volume
3
Issue
8
Pages
e1603322-e1603322
ISSN
2375-2548 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2740973936
Cited by
673
References
42
Citations by year
2026: 75 · 2025: 78 · 2024: 100 · 2023: 80 · 2022: 78 · 2021: 105 · 2020: 60 · 2019: 51 · 2018: 38 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 1
FWCI
29.52
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
cc-by-nc
Locations
  • Science Advances (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • Rare & Special e-Zone (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) (submittedVersion)
Funders
National Research Foundation Singapore (award332065)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
Keywords
heat waves, wet-bulb temperature, climate change projections, agricultural land, Ganges basin, Indus Basin, human vulnerability, natural hazards, greenhouse gas emissions, South Asia
MeSH terms
Agriculture, Asia, Climate, Hot Temperature, Humans, Models, Theoretical, Population Density, Poverty, Temperature, Vulnerable Populations, Climate Change, Spatio-Temporal Analysis

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