Deadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia
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Climate change poses a deadly heat wave risk to South Asia due to population density, poverty, and outdoor working conditions.
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A 2017 model suggested that extremes of wet-bulb temperature in South Asia, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP 8.5) scenario, are expected to approach or exceed the critical temperature of 35 °C (95 °F), considered an upper limit of human survivability.
“A 2017 model suggested that extremes of wet-bulb temperature in South Asia, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP 8.5) scenario, are expected to approach or exceed the critical temperature of 35 °C (95 °F), considered an upper limit of human survivability [87].”
From Climate Change, Migration, and Civil Strife. (2020) · cites this paper as [87]
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- Authors
- Im, E.-S., Pal, J. S., & Eltahir, E. A. B.
- Affiliations
- Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HK)
- Loyola Marymount University (US)
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US)
- Corresponding author
- Im, Eun-Soon
- Pal, Jeremy S.
- Eltahir, Elfatih A. B.
- Venue
- Science Advances
- Published
- 2017-08-04
- Volume
- 3
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- e1603322-e1603322
- ISSN
- 2375-2548 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5540239
- OpenAlex
- W2740973936
- Cited by
- 673
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2026: 75 · 2025: 78 · 2024: 100 · 2023: 80 · 2022: 78 · 2021: 105 · 2020: 60 · 2019: 51 · 2018: 38 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 29.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by-nc
- Locations
- Science Advances (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Rare & Special e-Zone (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Research Foundation Singapore (award332065)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- heat waves, wet-bulb temperature, climate change projections, agricultural land, Ganges basin, Indus Basin, human vulnerability, natural hazards, greenhouse gas emissions, South Asia
- MeSH terms
- Agriculture, Asia, Climate, Hot Temperature, Humans, Models, Theoretical, Population Density, Poverty, Temperature, Vulnerable Populations, Climate Change, Spatio-Temporal Analysis
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