Cited by 516Marine and fisheries researchMarine and Coastal EcosystemsCoastal and Marine Management

The Future for Fisheries

Pauly, Daniel, Alder, Jackie, Bennett, Elena, Christensen, Villy, Tyedmers, Peter, Watson, Reg·2003·Science

Abstract

Formal analyses of long-term global marine fisheries prospects have yet to be performed, because fisheries research focuses on local, species-specific management issues. Extrapolation of present trends implies expansion of bottom fisheries into deeper waters, serious impact on biodiversity, and declining global catches, the last possibly aggravated by fuel cost increases. Examination of four scenarios, covering various societal development choices, suggests that the negative trends now besetting fisheries can be turned around, and their supporting ecosystems rebuilt, at least partly.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1126/science.1088667

Cites

2 of 2 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

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Authors
Pauly, D., Alder, J., Bennett, E., Christensen, V., Tyedmers, P., & Watson, R.
Affiliations
  • Dalhousie University (CA)
  • Sea Around Us Project, Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada.
Corresponding author
Pauly, Daniel
Venue
Science
Published
2003-11-21
Volume
302
Issue
5649
Pages
1359-1361
ISSN
  • 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
  • 1095-9203
OpenAlex
W2076349474
Cited by
516
References
2
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 23 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 26 · 2014: 20 · 2013: 33 · 2012: 43
FWCI
29.32
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • Science (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • eCite Digital Repository (University of Tasmania) (submittedVersion)
  • Figshare (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine and fisheries research
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Marine and Coastal Ecosystems
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law › Coastal and Marine Management
Keywords
global fisheries, fisheries management, deep-sea fisheries, biodiversity impacts, declining fish catches, fuel costs, ecological restoration, sustainable fisheries
MeSH terms
Animals, Conservation of Natural Resources, Developing Countries, Environment, Fisheries, Fishes, Forecasting, International Cooperation, Public Policy, Ecosystem, Developed Countries, Government Regulation, Biodiversity

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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

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