Enhancement of interdecadal climate variability in the Sahel by vegetation interaction.
Abstract
The role of naturally varying vegetation in influencing the climate variability in the West African Sahel is explored in a coupled atmosphere-land-vegetation model. The Sahel rainfall variability is influenced by sea-surface temperature variations in the oceans. Land-surface feedback is found to increase this variability both on interannual and interdecadal time scales. Interactive vegetation enhances the interdecadal variation substantially but can reduce year-to-year variability because of a phase lag introduced by the relatively slow vegetation adjustment time. Variations in vegetation accompany the changes in rainfall, in particular the multidecadal drying trend from the 1950s to the 1980s.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Through its impacts on soil moisture, vegetation, and albedo, the rainfall received during a given year affects the likelihood of drought the following year, acting to enhance decadal-multidecadal variations of Sahel rainfall.
“Through its impacts on soil moisture, vegetation, and albedo, the rainfall received during a given year affects the likelihood of drought the following year, acting to enhance decadal-multidecadal variations of Sahel rainfall (Zeng et al., 1999).”
From The tropical atlantic observing system (2019) · cites this paper as Zeng et al., 1999
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S., Foley, J. A., Folke, C., & Walker, B. (2001) · Nature · doi:10.1038/35098000 · Cited by 7,510 · see citing works
Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models
Dai, A. (2013) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1633 · Cited by 4,762 · see citing works
Drought under global warming: a review
Dai, A. (2011) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.81 · Cited by 3,523 · see citing works
Climatic Impact of Tropical Lowland Deforestation on Nearby Montane Cloud Forests
Lawton, R. O., Nair, U. S., Pielke, R. A., & Welch, R. M. (2001) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1062459 · Cited by 1,169 · see citing works
Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales.
Giannini, A., Saravanan, R., & Chang, P. (2003) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1089357 · Cited by 1,058 · see citing works
Effects of Land Cover Conversion on Surface Climate
Bounoua, L., DeFries, R., Collatz, G. J., Sellers, P., & Khan, H. (2002) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1023/a:1013051420309 · Cited by 353 · see citing works
Sahel rainfall and decadal to multi-decadal sea surface temperature variability
Mohino, E., Janicot, S., & Bader, J. (2011) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0867-2 · Cited by 306 · see citing works
Interannual and decadal SST-forced responses of the West African monsoon
Rodríguez‐Fonseca, B., Janicot, S., Mohino, E., Losada, T., Bader, J., Caminade, C., Chauvin, F., Fontaine, B., García‐Serrano, J., Gervois, S., et al. (2011) · Atmospheric Science Letters · doi:10.1002/asl.308 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
The tropical atlantic observing system
Foltz, G. R., Brandt, P., Richter, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Hernandez, F., Dengler, M., Rodrigues, R. R., Schmidt, J. O., Yu, L., Lefevre, N., et al. (2019) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00206 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
Fontaine, B., Roucou, P., & Trzaska, S. (2003) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2002gl015834 · Cited by 85 · see citing works
Spring to summer changes in the West African monsoon through NCEP/NCAR reanalyses (1968–1998).
Fontaine, B., Philippon, N., Trzaska, S., & Roucou, P. (2002) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2001jd000834 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Skill of Sahel rainfall variability in four atmospheric GCMs forced by prescribed SST.
Moron, V., Philippon, N., & Fontaine, B. (2003) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2003gl018006 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Synergy between Population Policy, Climate Adaptation and Mitigation
O’Sullivan, J. N. (2018) · Pathways to a Sustainable Economy · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-67702-6_7 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
- Authors
- Zeng, N., Neelin, J. D., Lau, K.-M., & Tucker, C. J.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Los Angeles (US)
- Goddard Space Flight Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Zeng, Ning
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 1999-11-19
- Volume
- 286
- Issue
- 5444
- Pages
- 1537-1540
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2045368311
- Cited by
- 554
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 11 · 2019: 18 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 21 · 2016: 23 · 2015: 30 · 2014: 23 · 2013: 19 · 2012: 27
- FWCI
- 13.32
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Keywords
- Sahel climate, interdecadal climate variability, vegetation-climate interactions, land surface feedbacks, sea surface temperature, phase lag, West Africa
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review