Temperature-dependent hypoxia explains biogeography and severity of end-Permian marine mass extinction
Abstract
Drivers of the “Great Dying” Though our current extinction crisis is substantial, it pales in comparison to the largest extinction in Earth's history, which occurred at the end of the Permian Period. Referred to as the “Great Dying,” this event saw the loss of up to 96% of all marine species and 70% of terrestrial species. Penn et al. explored the extinction dynamics of the time using Earth system models in conjunction with physiological data across animal taxa (see the Perspective by Kump). They conclude that increased marine temperatures and reduced oxygen availability were responsible for a majority of the recorded extinctions. Because similar environmental alterations are predicted outcomes of current climate change, we would be wise to take note. Science , this issue p. eaat1327 ; see also p. 1113
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Current state-of-the-art Earth system models forced by temperature changes alone do a poor job of predicting the spatial pattern of anoxic conditions.
“However, although lower oxygen solubility and intensified ocean stratification can be important drivers of ocean deoxygenation (see above), current state-of-the-art Earth system models forced by temperature changes alone (Penn et al. 2018) do a poor job of predicting the spatial pattern of anoxic conditions (Eltom et al. 2017;Huang et al. 2017Huang et al. , 2019;;Isozaki 1997;Lei et al. 2017).”
From The History of Ocean Oxygenation (2022) · cites this paper as Penn et al. 2018
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- Authors
- Penn, J. L., Deutsch, C., Payne, J. L., & Sperling, E. A.
- Affiliations
- University of Washington (US)
- Stanford University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Penn, Justin L.
- Deutsch, Curtis
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2018-12-07
- Volume
- 362
- Issue
- 6419
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W2903416363
- Cited by
- 362
- References
- 65
- Citations by year
- 2026: 36 · 2025: 40 · 2024: 54 · 2023: 57 · 2022: 63 · 2021: 44 · 2020: 39 · 2019: 27 · 2018: 1 · 2015: 1
- FWCI
- 20.42
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (OCE-1419323, OCE-1458967)
- Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation (3775)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Paleontology and Stratigraphy of Fossils
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Evolution and Paleontology Studies
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Paleontology and Evolutionary Biology
- Keywords
- end-Permian mass extinction, marine hypoxia, ocean warming, biogeography, Earth system models, marine biodiversity loss
- MeSH terms
- Anaerobiosis, Animals, Hot Temperature, Oxygen, Greenhouse Effect, Biodiversity, Extinction, Biological, Climate Change, Aquatic Organisms
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