The DOI matches its Crossref record; 131 of the 131 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate-driven risks to the climate mitigation potential of forests
Abstract
Risks to mitigation potential of forests: Much recent attention has focused on the potential of trees and forests to mitigate ongoing climate change by acting as sinks for carbon. Anderegg et al. review the growing evidence that forests' climate mitigation potential is increasingly at risk from a range of adversities that limit forest growth and health. These include physical factors such as drought and fire and biotic factors, including the depredations of insect herbivores and fungal pathogens. Full assessment and quantification of these risks, which themselves are influenced by climate, is key to achieving science-based policy outcomes for effective land and forest management. Science , this issue p. eaaz7005
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“At the same time, the West Coast experiences catastrophic wildfires fueled by climate change-driven droughts [2] and a hundred years of misinformed forest management strategies [35],Steel, Safford, and [24, 38].”
From DIY mass timber: development of low-tech and low-cost structural mass timber manufacturing to support forest utilization in California (2025) · cites this paper as [2]
In the citing paper
“These climate change impacts also amplify the impacts of forest mismanagement (12) (Section 3).”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [12]
In the citing paper
“Future climate change is expected to accelerate degradation most strongly through weather extremes (heatwaves, drought, floods) and associated episodic events such as wildfire and insect outbreaks (12), given that these extremes override the positive impacts that might arise from trends in temperature, precipitation, or CO 2 .”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [12]
In the citing paper
“Furthermore, relying on forests for long-term carbon sequestration is a risk, particularly for monocultures with high vulnerability to storms, fire, or pest outbreaks (12,116).”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [12]
In the citing paper
“Future climate change will cause shifts in species distributions and ranges that may go beyond the boundaries of static protected areas and/or increase the number and frequency of episodic, forest stand-destroying events such as wildfire or insect and pest outbreaks (12).”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [12]
Citations
Cites
High-Resolution Global Maps of 21st-Century Forest Cover Change
Hansen, M. C., Potapov, P. V., Moore, R., Hancher, M., Turubanova, S. A., Tyukavina, A., Thau, D., Stehman, S. V., Goetz, S. J., Loveland, T. R., et al. (2013) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1244693 · Cited by 11,704
Self-citationA large and persistent carbon sink in the world’s forests
Pan, Y., Birdsey, R. A., Fang, J., Houghton, R., Kauppi, P. E., Kurz, W. A., Phillips, O. L., Shvidenko, A., Lewis, S. L., Canadell, J. G., et al. (2011) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1201609 · Cited by 8,458
Self-citationAllen, C. D., Macalady, A. K., Chenchouni, H., Bachelet, D., McDowell, N., Vennetier, M., Kitzberger, T., Rigling, A., Breshears, D. D., Hogg, E. H. (., et al. (2010) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.001 · Cited by 7,763
Forests and Climate Change: Forcings, Feedbacks, and the Climate Benefits of Forests
Bonan, G. B. (2008) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1155121 · Cited by 6,572
Drought under global warming: a review
Dai, A. (2011) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.81 · Cited by 3,523
Griscom, B. W., Adams, J., Ellis, P. W., Houghton, R. A., Lomax, G., Miteva, D. A., Schlesinger, W. H., Shoch, D., Siikamäki, J. V., Smith, P., et al. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1710465114 · Cited by 3,481
Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions
Solomon, S., Plattner, G.-K., Knutti, R., & Friedlingstein, P. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0812721106 · Cited by 3,217
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Abatzoglou, J. T., & Williams, A. P. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1607171113 · Cited by 3,073
Forest disturbances under climate change
Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., et al. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3303 · Cited by 2,878
(2010) · doi:10.5194/acp-10-11707-2010 · Cited by 2,859
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- G. Simonet A. B. Bos A. E. Duchelle I. A. P. Resosudarmo J. Subervie S. Wunder in Transforming REDD+: Lessons and New Directions A. Angelsen Ed. (Center for International Forestry Research 2018) pp. 117–130.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Vegetation fires in the Anthropocene
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Kolden, C. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Johnston, F. H., van der Werf, G. R., & Flannigan, M. (2020) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-020-0085-3 · Cited by 1,198
Global field observations of tree die-off reveal hotter-drought fingerprint for Earth’s forests
Hammond, W. M., Williams, P., Abatzoglou, J. T., Adams, H. D., Klein, T., López, R., Sáenz‐Romero, C., Hartmann, H., Breshears, D. D., & Allen, C. D. (2022) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-29289-2 · Cited by 700
Developing climate‐resilient crops: improving plant tolerance to stress combination
Rivero, R. M., Mittler, R., Blumwald, E., & Zandalinas, S. I. (2021) · The Plant Journal · doi:10.1111/tpj.15483 · Cited by 630
Overcoming the coupled climate and biodiversity crises and their societal impacts
Pörtner, H., Scholes, R. J., Arneth, A., Barnes, D. K. A., Burrows, M. T., Diamond, S. E., Duarte, C. M., Kiessling, W., Leadley, P., Managi, S., et al. (2023) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abl4881 · Cited by 624
Harnessing the potential of nature-based solutions for mitigating and adapting to climate change
Seddon, N. (2022) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abn9668 · Cited by 471
Metadata
- Authors
- Anderegg, W. R. L., Trugman, A. T., Badgley, G., Anderson, C. M., Bartuska, A., Ciais, P., Cullenward, D., Field, C. B., Freeman, J., Goetz, S. J., Hicke, J. A., Huntzinger, D., Jackson, R. B., Nickerson, J., Pacala, S., & Randerson, J. T.
- Affiliations
- University of Utah (US)
- University of California, Santa Barbara (US)
- World Wildlife Fund (US)
- Resources For The Future (US)
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- Stanford University (US)
- CarbonPlan, San Francisco, CA 94110, USA.
- Northern Arizona University (US)
- University of Idaho (US)
- Climate Action Reserve, Los Angeles, CA 90017, USA.
- Princeton University (US)
- University of California, Irvine (US)
- Corresponding author
- Anderegg, William R. L.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2020-06-19
- Volume
- 368
- Issue
- 6497
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W3035911052
- Cited by
- 854
- References
- 129
- Citations by year
- 2026: 152 · 2025: 183 · 2024: 159 · 2023: 138 · 2022: 107 · 2021: 99 · 2020: 15
- FWCI
- 4.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- David and Lucile Packard Foundation (NA)
- United States Department of Agriculture (2018-67019-27850, 2018-67012-28020)
- US National Science Foundation (1714972, 1802880, DMS-1520873)
- NASA Earth Ventures (NNL15AA03C)
- NASA Applied Sciences (NNX17AG51G)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Forestry › Forest Management and Policy
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Keywords
- forest carbon sink, forest stability, natural climate solutions, forest carbon sequestration, forest fires, drought, biotic disturbance, vegetation modeling, remote sensing of forests, climate change mitigation
- MeSH terms
- Fires, Policy Making, Droughts, Climate Change, Carbon Sequestration, Forests
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review