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Cited by 304

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 102 of the 102 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

The Second Demographic Transition Theory: A Review and Appraisal

Open access
Zaidi, Batool, Morgan, S. Philip·2017·Annual Review of Sociology

Abstract

References to the second demographic transition (SDT) have increased dramatically in the past two decades. The SDT predicts unilinear change toward very low fertility and a diversity of union and family types. The primary driver of these changes is a powerful, inevitable, and irreversible shift in attitudes and norms in the direction of greater individual freedom and self-actualization. First, we describe the origin of this framework and its evolution over time. Second, we review the empirical fit of the framework to major changes in demographic and family behavior in the United States, the West, and beyond. As has been the case for other unilinear, developmental theories of demographic or family change, the SDT failed to predict many contemporary patterns of change and difference. Finally, we review previous critiques and identify fundamental weaknesses of this perspective, and we provide brief comparisons to selected alternative approaches.

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Crossref · 10.1146/annurev-soc-060116-053442

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Metadata

Authors
Zaidi, B., & Morgan, S. P.
Venue
Annual Review of Sociology
Published
2017-07-31
Volume
43
Issue
1
Pages
473-492
ISSN
  • 0360-0572 (ISSN-L)
  • 1545-2115
OpenAlex
W2527555632
Cited by
304
References
102
FWCI
8.05
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Second Demographic Transition Theory: A Review and Appraisal. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1146/annurev-soc-060116-053442
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Zaidi, B., & Morgan, S. P. (2017). The Second Demographic Transition Theory: A Review and Appraisal. Annual Review of Sociology. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-soc-060116-053442

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.