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Ocean Deoxygenation in a Warming World
Abstract
Ocean warming and increased stratification of the upper ocean caused by global climate change will likely lead to declines in dissolved O2 in the ocean interior (ocean deoxygenation) with implications for ocean productivity, nutrient cycling, carbon cycling, and marine habitat. Ocean models predict declines of 1 to 7% in the global ocean O2 inventory over the next century, with declines continuing for a thousand years or more into the future. An important consequence may be an expansion in the area and volume of so-called oxygen minimum zones, where O2 levels are too low to support many macrofauna and profound changes in biogeochemical cycling occur. Significant deoxygenation has occurred over the past 50 years in the North Pacific and tropical oceans, suggesting larger changes are looming. The potential for larger O2 declines in the future suggests the need for an improved observing system for tracking ocean 02 changes.
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“Warming oceans contain less O 2 and are expected to exhibit increased stratification and reduced ventilation rates, leading to further ocean dissolved oxygen (DO) reductions (Keeling et al., 2010;Shepherd et al., 2017) beyond the 2% decline measured over the last half century (Schmidtko et al., 2017).”
From Warming and hypoxia reduce the performance and survival of northern bay scallops (Argopecten irradians irradians) amid a fishery collapse (2023) · cites this paper as Keeling et al., 2010
In the citing paper
“Indeed, even today many regions of Earth's oceans are poised on the brink of anoxic conditions (Keeling et al. 2010), and such regions are often critically important for the large-scale biogeochemical cycles of many linked major and trace element species.”
From The History of Ocean Oxygenation (2022) · cites this paper as Keeling et al. 2010
In the citing paper
“As a result of enhanced stratification and reduced ventilation, next generation GCMs predict a decline in dissolved oxygen with high certainty [37,52,53]”
From Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems (2015) · cites this paper as [53]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Keeling, R. F., Körtzinger, A., & Gruber, N.
- Affiliations
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US)
- GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (DE)
- ETH Zurich (CH)
- Venue
- Annual Review of Marine Science
- Publisher
- Annual Reviews
- Published
- 2010-01-01
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 199-229
- ISSN
- 1941-0611 (ISSN-L)
- 1941-1405
- OpenAlex
- W2131829457
- Cited by
- 1,712
- References
- 150
- Citations by year
- 2026: 112 · 2025: 123 · 2024: 157 · 2023: 187 · 2022: 128 · 2021: 117 · 2020: 113 · 2019: 104 · 2018: 94 · 2017: 89 · 2016: 84 · 2015: 92 · 2014: 88 · 2013: 71 · 2012: 77
- FWCI
- 5.50
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Annual Review of Marine Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR) (acceptedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine Plankton and Biogeochemistry
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine Biology and Ecology Research
- Keywords
- ocean deoxygenation, ocean warming, ocean stratification, dissolved oxygen, oxygen minimum zone, ocean productivity, nutrient cycling, carbon cycle, marine habitats, North Pacific, tropical oceans, ocean observing systems
- MeSH terms
- Environmental Monitoring, Oceans and Seas, Oxygen, Seawater, Ecosystem, Global Warming
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